Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - July 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROBRO CORMAN         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 118 5.00 ★    
2  UPSTATE AND BACK Jul13         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
3  BUCK WILD         (crane clovis)CORA D 118 4.50 ★    
4  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY         (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  BRENTFORD         (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
 
PEN-2   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSY CAT Jun10 May11 Apr22 Mar29 Mar09 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 ★    
2  GOLD FELLOW Jun11 May12 Apr29 Apr02 Mar09 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00    
3  CRYPT Jun23 May12 Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 1.80 44% 1.30    
4  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Jul15 Jul06 Jun29 Jun16 May11 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 10% 9.40    
5  ROYAL'S INVASION Jul15 Jun10 Jun01 Apr22 Jan11 (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 15.00 6% 15.70    
SCR  MOUNTAIN TIME Jul01 Jun03 May14 May05 Apr15 (hillegass ale)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-3   07/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWNJACOB BROWN Jun11 May26       (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
2  ROCKIN THE PALACE Jun23 Jun01 May21 Apr22 Apr07 (stites fli)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 8.00 6% 15.50    
3  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Jun28 May26 Mar23 Feb22 Jan18 (shuman mark)WHITNEY G 122 2.00 20% 4.10    
4  TOUCH OF PRINCE Jul15 Jun16 Jun02 May05 Mar30 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50    
5  SIR ARTHUR Jun17         (bracho she)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Jul08 Jun29       (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
7  SKIMBLE SHANKS Jul15 Jul01 Jun10     (beattie d)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
8  CARPE SOGNO Jun24 May13 Mar01     (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  NO RHYTHM Jul08         (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   07/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOSHANAH Jul18 Jun28 Jun02 May16   (horlacher kyle)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE Jul18 Jul11 Jun17 Jun05 May18 (rogers ronald )CONNER TYLER 122 2.50    
3  HELLO GRACIE Jun25 Jun03 May14 Apr24   (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
4  ECLIPTICALS SARAH Jul07         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00    
SCR  RAECHEL'S RISK Jul13 Jun16       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
6  CRYSTALOLOGY Jun04         (saville ni)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 8.00    
7  ON ISLAND TIME Jul07 Jun15 May25 Apr29 Apr06 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 ★    
8  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE Jun01         (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  DWELLER Apr27 Apr07 Feb22 Feb01   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 8.00 11% 8.20    
10  CAN I GET AN AMEN         (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00    
 
PEN-5   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEKING THE THRONE Jun24 May19 Apr28 Mar22 Mar15 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 ★    
2  GINGERONMYMIND Jul01 Jun17 Apr13 Mar26 Feb06 (barboza vi)SANCHEZ J 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  NINJA PRINCESS Jul08 Jun30 Jun17 Mar25 Mar01 (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 14% 6.00    
4  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Mar02 Feb16 Feb01     (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
5  NORTHERN CROSS Jul01 May19 Apr20 Mar22 Mar11 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 1.80 ★    
6  HONESTA Jul06 Jun24 Jun11 May19 Apr28 (jacavone john)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
PEN-6   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH HOUSE Jun24         (stites fli)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 8.00 12% 7.30    
2  SWEET AND MACHA Jun24 Jun09 May26 May11   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
3  SMART TART Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May19 May05 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 12.00 ★    
4  MARKET OF STOCKS Jul02 Jun12 May27 May14 Apr28 (d'angelo ricardo)AVILES YAN 113 3.00 ★    
5  VANISHING FAITH Jul05 Jun28 Jun15 May22 Apr16 (martinez al)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 2.50    
6  GRAN MAMIBELLA Jun11 Mar24 Feb24 Jan21   (barboza vi)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACEARELLA Jun15 Apr21 Apr01 Mar15 Mar04 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 2.50 ★    
2  HIGH FRONTIER Jul08         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 ★    
3  LIFE IS ETERNAL Jun15 Jun01 May13 Apr21 Apr01 (geist dav)VARGAS L 120 3.50 ★    
4  SPECTACULLARI Apr20         (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 65% 0.50    
5  FAIRY DREAMS Jun30 Jun15 May12 Apr22   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-8   07/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAT OF HONOR Apr04 Feb02 Jan12     (pattershall)RAMOS C 117 2.00 23% 3.30    
2  THUNDER GRUNDER Jul14 May05 Mar25 Mar04 Feb15 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  GRAZELY Jun29 Jun09 May02 Mar21 Feb23 (flores-coba f)RIVERA D 124 4.50    
4  POCOPSON STATION May26 Mar11 Mar01 Feb11 Jan25 (ippolito mark)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 ★    
5  FLAT OUT FLASHY Jul14 Jun22 May26 Apr28 Apr06 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  CATTLE DRIVE Jul14 Jun02 May05 Mar29 Mar11 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.