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Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Friday - July 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


ELP-1			07/22/2022		3630ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($10K)					Purse ($12.5K)			3UP		M/F		PT-11:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	QUEEN EKATI									(martin dawn)HOLMES GAGE 117						3.00		★				0.65
3	FOX CREEK LADY									(campbell h)EMIGH A 124						20.00						42.77
1	MY ZIP ZIP									(foster eric)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						15.00		★				4.38	S
7	NOGRATZ									(baker j)DE CRUZ 118						1.60		30%		2.40		2.13
2	CREATIVE WHIT									(cook david )PETERSON FERRIN 124						8.00		★				14.86
6	VIMONT									(larue steve)BAILEY CHEL-C 113						30.00						60.81
SCR	MIZZ ROANY									(pittman bon)HERRFORTH ERICA 108						30.00
SCR	MOUDARI									(hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						2.00		46%		1.20

ELP-2			07/22/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($19K)			3UP		M/F		PT-11:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	MRS. NUSHI									(foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119						2.50		44%		1.20		2.01	W
6	MI CRESCENDO									(contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						3.50		24%		3.20		1.87	P
1	LUNA CLASICA									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119						12.00		6%		15.00		10.31	S
3	LEAVE IT BE									(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119						2.00		★				2.82
5	ARNEIS									(hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 119						8.00						33.79
2	PACIFIC GROVE (GB)									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						4.00		★				5.48

ELP-3			07/22/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Optional Claiming ($15K)					Purse ($17.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	BIG SPORT									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 122						1.60		49%		1.00		1.43	W
2	ESPIONAGE									(anderson susan )LANERIE J 122						4.00		★				3.53	P
5	TRAPPE VALLEY									(hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						2.50		12%		7.00		5.78	S
6	SPEND BENJAMINS									(gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 122						6.00						4.92
3	HONORARY DEGREE									(miller f)COURT K 122						8.00		9%		10.40		3.65
1	SUGGESTED									(casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 122						8.00		★				19.15

ELP-4			07/22/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($61K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	BUSINESS MODEL									(walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 123						6.00		★				1.68
3	OLLIEMEISTER									(stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 123						6.00						8.78
6	RIGHT TONE									(sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123						1.40		30%		2.40		3.38	S
1	MEISTER									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123						2.50		33%		2.00		1.73
2	AMANI'S EAGLE									(rodriguez )CORRALES GERARDO 123						5.00		11%		8.50		11.74
5	LANSDOWNE (GB)									(lukas wayne)BEJARANO R null												14.35

ELP-5			07/22/2022		3630ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($60K)			2		F		PT- 1:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	JUSTA WARRIOR									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						4.50		7%		14.10		2.81	W
7	MALLY'S MONSOON									(kenneally )MURRILL MITCHELL 119						8.00						18.91
10	FRIGID LADY									(asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						2.50		28%		2.50		6.06	S
1	BONANZA GRADE									(casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						8.00						14.79
3	FASHION IDOL									(cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119						4.00		36%		1.70		1.52
9	CONVERSATIONAL									(mccarthy mic)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						10.00						7.43
5	BLING									(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119						15.00						14.43
8	GUNS N' LILIES									(wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119						6.00		★				13.28
2	TOP MULE									(foley greg)LANERIE J 119						20.00		5%		19.00		21.14
SCR	CATCHA LATER MO									(hancock dana)BAILEY CHEL-C 114						15.00

ELP-6			07/22/2022		5280ft	TURF	RC4	FIRM	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($16K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT									(walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118						4.50						5.62
8	MISSION BELLE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						1.60		44%		1.30		1.22	P
4	HOT HEELS									(fletcher )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123						15.00		5%		19.00		11.36	S
2	LA TOURISTA									(vasquez german )LANERIE J 123						15.00						10.06
10	RUNAWAY MOM									(kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116						6.00		8%		11.90		4.83
6	MOONSHINE DREAMER									(corrigan jim)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123						4.00		15%		5.80		5.24
7	MACHINE GUN MERRY									(mate)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123						6.00		10%		9.20		13.86
9	JERSEY GOLD									(pittman bon)STILLION BROOKE 118						50.00						44.16
5	LAKE BARKLEY									(hernandez jav)BAILEY CHEL-C 118						30.00						50.83
SCR	THROMBOCYTOPENIA									(obert danie)PETERSON FERRIN 123						20.00

ELP-7			07/22/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($60K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	FROSTED DEPARTURE									(mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119						15.00						6.89
10	FIGHT FIERCELY									(kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119						2.50		24%		3.20		1.90	P
1A	DREAM FORCE									(casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119						10.00		★				4.85	S
1	COUNTERSPY									(casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						10.00						4.85
5	MACHO VILLA									(lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 114						8.00		★				18.77
2	SPIELMAN									(desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						20.00						19.82
9	KNICKS STORY									(cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119						5.00		5%		18.50		5.15
12	HAYES STRIKE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						10.00						12.86
7	CINCH UP									(bright de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						15.00						38.59
11	EASY BIG BOY									(asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						3.00		51%		1.00		5.18
8	REVERE NOTE									(ricker c)BECKMAN ALICE 119						50.00						90.88
4	COACH ROGERS									(romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						15.00						24.12
SCR	PLAIN OR PEANUT									(elliott michell)HOLMES GAGE 112						20.00

ELP-8			07/22/2022		3630ft	TURF	RC1	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($60K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	HUNTER JOHN									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						6.00		★				7.37
10	TRUE JEDI									(davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119						6.00		26%		2.80		1.99	P
11	ZARTOWNIS									(devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						10.00		12%		7.00		8.87	S
1	TRULY MISCHIEF									(beckman d)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119						8.00						5.04
9	DERIVATIVE									(casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						4.50		20%		4.10		4.38
4	VERITABLE									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119						2.50		18%		4.40		3.60
3	BOOYAH									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						15.00						54.04
8	VASSAR'S BOY									(lyster stephen )LANERIE J 124						8.00						20.07
2	GO VIRTUAL									(gonzale)DE CRUZ 119						30.00						83.64
7	THE CLOWN									(mate)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119						50.00						85.74
SCR	CLOUD WITHOUT REIN									(barnett bobby )SANJUR SANTO 119						8.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.