Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Friday - July 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN EKATI 4 6 55 5   2 1 (martin dawn)HOLMES GAGE 117 3.00 0.65  
FOX CREEK LADY 3 3 2nk 1nk   1 2 (campbell h)EMIGH A 124 20.00 42.77  
MY ZIP ZIP 1 4 4 44   43 3 (foster eric)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 4.38 S
NOGRATZ 6 5 3 3   3 4 (baker jam)DE CRUZ 118 1.60 30% 2.40 2.13  
CREATIVE WHIT 2 2 1nk 2nk   55 515¼ (cook k)PETERSON FERRIN 124 8.00 14.86  
VIMONT 5 1 67 6   69 621¼ (larue steve)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 30.00 60.81  
SCR  MIZZ ROANY               (pittman bonni)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 30.00    
SCR  MOUDARI               (hancock joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
ELP-2   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-11:58
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. NUSHI 4 2 1½ 1   12 1 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 44% 1.20 2.01 W
MI CRESCENDO 6 1 2½ 2   32 2 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 24% 3.20 1.87 P
LUNA CLASICA 1 5 3 3   22 3 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 6% 15.00 10.31 S
LEAVE IT BE 3 6 5 4   4 4 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 2.00 2.82  
ARNEIS 5 4 4 66   5 520¼ (hancock a)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 33.79  
PACIFIC GROVE (GB) 2 3 63 56   6 624½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 5.48  
 
ELP-3   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:26
See original race card.
:224 :451 :57     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG SPORT 4 1 1nk 1   11 1 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 1.60 49% 1.00 1.43 W
ESPIONAGE 2 2 2nk 32   21 2 (anderson l)LANERIE J 122 4.00 3.53 P
TRAPPE VALLEY 5 4 3 2   3 3 (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 12% 7.00 5.78 S
SPEND BENJAMINS 6 6 6 43   44 4 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 4.92  
HONORARY DEGREE 3 5 5 65   55 511 (miller f)COURT K 122 8.00 9% 10.40 3.65  
SUGGESTED 1 3 4 55   6 613¼ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 19.15  
 
ELP-4   07/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT-12:54
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:10 1:223   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSINESS MODEL 4 4 4 53 4 3 1½ (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 6.00 1.68  
OLLIEMEISTER 3 3 2 2½ 11 1 2½ (stall albert)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 8.78  
RIGHT TONE 6 6 6 42 3 2 3 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 1.40 30% 2.40 3.38 S
MEISTER 1 2 54 64 6 4 44 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 2.50 33% 2.00 1.73  
AMANI'S EAGLE 2 1 33 31 54 6 58 (rodriguez hu)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 11% 8.50 11.74  
LANSDOWNE (GB) 5 5 1 1½ 21 54 613¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R null   14.35  
 
ELP-5   07/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTA WARRIOR 4 1 2½ 2½   1 15 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 7% 14.10 2.81 W
MALLY'S MONSOON 6 5 5 5   4 25 (kenneally ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 18.91  
10  FRIGID LADY 9 6 7 64   5 36 (asmussen st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 28% 2.50 6.06 S
BONANZA GRADE 1 2 1½ 1½   2 4 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 14.79  
FASHION IDOL 3 3 4 3   3 5 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 36% 1.70 1.52  
CONVERSATIONAL 8 7 64 76   7 6 (mccarthy micha)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 7.43  
BLING 5 4 3 4   6 7 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 14.43  
GUNS N' LILIES 7 8 8 87   8 812½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 13.28  
TOP MULE 2 9 9 9   910¼ 921½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 21.14  
SCR  CATCHA LATER MO               (hancock dana)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 15.00    
 
ELP-6   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:12 1:24   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT 2 4 53 5 5 3½ 1 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.50 5.62  
MISSION BELLE 7 6 6 6 3½ 2nk 2 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 1.60 44% 1.30 1.22 P
HOT HEELS 3 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 3 (fletcher ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 11.36 S
LA TOURISTA 1 3 32 4 42 4¾ 4 (vasquez sr)LANERIE J 123 15.00 10.06  
10  RUNAWAY MOM 9 8 85 8 8 7 5 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116 6.00 8% 11.90 4.83  
MOONSHINE DREAMER 5 7 74 7 6 5 6 (corrigan jim)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.00 15% 5.80 5.24  
MACHINE GUN MERRY 6 9 9 9 9 8 7 (matejk)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 6.00 10% 9.20 13.86  
JERSEY GOLD 8 5 42 31 7 9 812¾ (pittman bonni)STILLION BROOKE 118 50.00 44.16  
LAKE BARKLEY 4 2 2 2nk 2nk 6 914 (hernandez javie)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 30.00 50.83  
SCR  THROMBOCYTOPENIA               (obert daniell)PETERSON FERRIN 123 20.00    
 
ELP-7   07/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:10     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTED DEPARTURE 4 6 2nk 11   12 1 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 15.00 6.89  
10  FIGHT FIERCELY 8 2 3½ 21   22 2 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 2.50 24% 3.20 1.90 P
1A  DREAM FORCE 12 1 6 5   3 311¼ (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 4.85 S
COUNTERSPY 10 11 11 6   4 416½ (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 4.85  
MACHO VILLA 3 10 94 9   7 518¼ (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 114 8.00 18.77  
SPIELMAN 1 12 8 8   5 618¾ (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 19.82  
KNICKS STORY 7 3 5¾ 4   6 722 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 5% 18.50 5.15  
12  HAYES STRIKE 11 7 12 10   810¼ 823¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 12.86  
CINCH UP 5 5 1nk 7   1012¼ 931 (bright derr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 38.59  
11  EASY BIG BOY 9 4 4¾ 3   912¼ 1033½ (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 51% 1.00 5.18  
REVERE NOTE 6 9 10 1210¾   1115¼ 1134 (ricker c)BECKMAN ALICE 119 50.00 90.88  
COACH ROGERS 2 8 7 1110¾   1216¼ 1241½ (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 24.12  
SCR  PLAIN OR PEANUT               (elliott michelle )HOLMES GAGE 112 20.00    
 
ELP-8   07/22/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:221 :44 :553     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTER JOHN 5 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 1¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 7.37  
10  TRUE JEDI 9 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 2¾ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 6.00 26% 2.80 1.99 P
11  ZARTOWNIS 10 1 3 32   3 3¾ (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 12% 7.00 8.87 S
TRULY MISCHIEF 1 6 7 7   5 4 (beckman w)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 5.04  
DERIVATIVE 8 7 8 8   7 54 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 20% 4.10 4.38  
VERITABLE 4 4 6 5   44 6 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 18% 4.40 3.60  
BOOYAH 3 5 43 4   6 77 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 54.04  
VASSAR'S BOY 7 8 53 6   8 8 (lyster s)LANERIE J 124 8.00 20.07  
GO VIRTUAL 2 10 10 1010   9 9 (gonzalez )DE CRUZ 119 30.00 83.64  
THE CLOWN 6 9 9 9   1012¾ 1016¼ (matejk)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 50.00 85.74  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett c)SANJUR SANTO 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.