Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KBCYA LATER 5 1 1½ 1½   12 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 31% 2.30 4.80 W
ROCK CHALK 8 8 8 77   4 2 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 8.90  
DON'T LET ME DOWN 3 7 6 5   3 33 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.50 S
10  THREE ZERO 10 2 3½ 3½   22 4 (abreu fernando)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 8.00 9.20  
STAR ATTITUDE 7 5 7 8   66 5 (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 6.00  
DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) 1 6 4 4   54 6 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 25% 2.90 1.40  
LEGAL CATCH 2 9 9 910½   89 7 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 38.25  
GODS GLORY 4 10 1010¾ 1011½   1011½ 8 (camejo m)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 12.20  
M. C. DOUBLE R 6 3 2½ 2½   7 913 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 9.30  
EXCALIBRATE 9 4 54 6   9 1013¼ (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 119 30.00 5% 19.00 32.25  
SCR  CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR               (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-2   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:13 1:372   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMA 8 10 86 8 8 2½ 1 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 9.60  
ROOT CAUSE 1 5 64 7 63 4 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 25% 3.00 4.90 P
TOWHEAD 5 2 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 3 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 34% 2.00 3.20 S
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) 2 1 3 43 3 52 4 (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 13.20  
FOREVER DIXIE 9 6 5 6 7 7 5 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 19% 4.20 7.80  
SHESJUSTANICEGIRL 6 4 43 53 52 65 6 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 7.50  
CONSEILLANTE 7 3 1 1½ 1½ 31 710¼ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 3.95  
SPUNK 4 8 98 9 95 86 811 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 22.60  
COEXIST 3 9 1010 1012½ 1012 1017½ 929¾ (dutrow anthony)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 18.40  
10  ASTRILA 10 7 74 3 42 912½ 1030¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 9.20  
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
 
SAR-3   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:23 :463 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAIRIE FIRE 1 5 41 3   2½ 1nk (baker charlton)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 38% 1.70 2.75 W
SHADOLAMO 3 7 7 7   5 2nk (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 4.90  
GUNS BLAZING 2 6 2nk 2nk   1½ 3 (davis edmu)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 10% 9.00 13.00 S
HAPPY SOPHIA 6 1 63 4   43 4 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00 8% 11.10 16.30  
MISSING LINK 7 2 1nk 1nk   3 57 (persaud randi)CARDENAS LUIS 122 15.00 15.60  
BIG Q 4 4 3½ 54   6 611¼ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 1.80 18% 4.70 1.95  
CADEAU DE PAIX 5 3 5 6   7 722 (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 3.20  
 
SAR-4   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:10     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE SWORD 7 4 1nk 12   1 1 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 9% 9.90 3.10 W
SWIFTSURE 8 5 2nk 22   2 2 (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 25% 3.00 3.80 P
COST BASIS 2 1 32 33   3 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 42% 1.40 1.60 S
LAFITTE'S FLEET 5 7 7 7   6 4 (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 13.50  
EBBEN 6 3 53 6   57 510½ (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 5.40  
AMERICAN POWER 3 2 4 45   47 610½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 10.40  
MAGNIFICENT CHROME 1 6 6 55   78 713½ (younghans will)HARKIE K 122 30.00 36.75  
SCOTTO 4 8 812½ 815½   817 818¾ (parker joseph)LUZZI J 122 50.00 38.00  
 
SAR-5   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:22 :443 :561     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. GREEN 2 2 42 42   2nk 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 13% 6.90 1.80 W
PARENTS PRIDE 9 6 31 32   3.2 2 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 8% 11.20 5.70 P
GLITTER UP 4 3 1½ 1½   1nk 3 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 10.10  
SIXTH STREET (FR) 8 1 2½ 2½   4 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 8% 11.30 4.70  
YAMAS 7 5 65 5   5 5 (jerkens a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 12.20  
LIBRETTO (IRE) 6 4 77 77   6 6 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 19.10  
SHE'S ALL CLASS 1 7 8 810½   9 79 (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 13.30  
LINEAR THINKING (IRE) 5 9 911 911½   8 810¼ (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 26% 2.80 8.90  
SHE'S STORMY 3 8 53 64   7 912 (jerkens james )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 6.80  
SCR  ALESSIA (GB)               (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
SAR-6   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCOLATE GELATO 6 1 11 11   16 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 49% 1.00 2.30 W
TWIN MISCHIEF 5 3 7 7   6 2 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 11.30 P
TAKE CHARGE BRIANA 1 2 5 5   3 3 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 13.10  
INTERPOLATE 2 6 21 21   26 412¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 6.30  
ALWAYS LAUGHING 7 5 8 6   710½ 515 (walsh p)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 19.40  
ROYAL POPPY 4 8 31 31   48 616½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 20.50  
UPPER CASE 3 7 6 4   5 716¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 5% 19.00 3.00  
10  FIRING BULLETS 8 4 4 8   822 847 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 25% 3.00 2.85  
SCR  IMPLICATED               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
SCR  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
SCR  SOUPER SLEWS CASH               (trombetta micha)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
SCR  ZIAERATI               (falcone ro)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
 
SAR-7   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:121 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT OF SIGHT 6 6 66 5 5 5 1½ (donk david)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 6% 14.50 5.60 W
HOME FOR CHRISTMAS 2 2 33 32 3 3½ 2½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 3.10  
MY LIPS ARE SEALED 8 5 22 2½ 2nk 2½ 3¾ (atras rob)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 9% 10.60 10.30 S
LADY THORNHILL 7 9 88 87 7 6 42 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 9.50  
SPUNGIE 3 4 44 4 4 42 5 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 56% 0.80 2.75  
PALACE GOSSIP 4 1 12 1½ 1nk 1½ 6 (dutrow w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 6% 16.40 4.70  
CHOOSE HAPPINESS 5 8 910 9 9 8 73 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 19.00  
INSTINCTIVE 1 3 77 7 6 7 8 (moore m)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 9.10  
PAY GRADE 9 7 5 65 8 913¼ 919½ (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 33.25  
SCR  CARAGATE               (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50    
SCR  OK HONEY               (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50    
 
SAR-8   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:101     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETSY BLUE 4 6 42 2½   11 16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.00 26% 2.80 2.10 W
BRATTLE HOUSE 5 1 11 1½   21 26 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 126 1.00 35% 1.90 0.80 P
SWEET WILLEMINA 6 4 64 6   510½ 312 (lake a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 11% 8.10 8.00 S
HALO CITY 2 7 711 7   611 412 (lynch nata)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 22.50  
SWEET SOLARE 3 3 53 53   410 515½ (de hor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 22.30  
HONEY MONEY 1 5 3 31   39 617¾ (persaud randi)CARDENAS LUIS 126 20.00 7% 13.50 31.50  
FOREVER DREAMING 7 2 21 4   719 724¼ (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 9.10  
 
SAR-9   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:214 :441 :553     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG INVASION 2 2 57 57   31 13 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.50 50% 1.00 0.35 W
CADAMOSTO (IRE) 1 4 22 22   2nk 23 (o'brien jose)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 6.40 P
DETERMINED KINGDOM 7 3 4 36   4 3 (schoenthal ph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 7% 13.50 26.50 S
SKY AND SAND 3 5 6 6   6 4 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
SURPRISE BOSS 6 6 35 46   5 5 (rohena jos)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 27.25  
THAT'S RIGHT 5 1 12 12   1nk 68 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 6.00 17% 5.00 6.30  
EDITORIAL COMMENT (ARG) 4 7 7 711½   716¾ 729 (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 14.90  
 
SAR-10   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:131     1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAZILLIONAIRE 2 2 3 31 3 2½ 1 (englehart jere)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 8% 11.50 4.30 W
RELATE 8 1 11 1½ 1 1½ 2 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 2.90  
WAR STRATEGY 1 3 53 53 5 3 34 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 10.20  
RECKLESS SPIRIT 3 4 43 4 4 54 4 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.60 42% 1.40 2.20  
SEAVER 9 5 21 2½ 2 44 5 (hills)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11.50  
F F ROCKET 4 7 7 7 75 66 67 (shivmangal loli)CARDENAS LUIS 123 30.00 26.00  
HATCH (GB) 5 6 6 64 64 7 7 (martin f)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 5.50  
MOON HUNTER 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 (sciacca gary)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 24.75  
DOCTOR LOVE 6 9 99 9 912½ 924¼ 933¾ (clarke dylan)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 24.50  
SCR  BOLD VICTORY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00    
SCR  CRYO               (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50    
SCR  HIGHER QUALITY               (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIA'S ANGEL               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.