Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KBCYA LATER 5 1 1½ 1½   12 11¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 31% 2.30 4.80 W
8  ROCK CHALK 8 8 87¾ 77   43½ 21¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 8.90  
3  DON'T LET ME DOWN 3 7 65½ 53½   32½ 33 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.50 S
10  THREE ZERO 10 2 3½ 3½   22 43¼ (abreu fernan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 8.00 9.20  
7  STAR ATTITUDE 7 5 75¾ 88½   66 54¾ (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 6.00  
1  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) 1 6 42½ 42½   54 66½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 25% 2.90 1.40  
2  LEGAL CATCH 2 9 99¼ 910½   89 76¾ (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 38.25  
4  GODS GLORY 4 10 1010¾ 1011½   1011½ 89¼ (camejo jose)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 12.20  
6  M. C. DOUBLE R 6 3 2½ 2½   77½ 913 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 9.30  
9  EXCALIBRATE 9 4 54 65½   99½ 1013¼ (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 119 30.00 5% 19.00 32.25  
SCR  CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR               (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-2   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:13 1:372   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MOMA 8 10 86 87½ 84½ 2½ 11¾ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 9.60  
1  ROOT CAUSE 1 5 64 75½ 63 41½ 21¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 25% 3.00 4.90 P
5  TOWHEAD 5 2 21½ 2½ 2½ 1½ 35¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 34% 2.00 3.20 S
2  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) 2 1 32½ 43 31½ 52 46½ (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 13.20  
9  FOREVER DIXIE 9 6 53½ 64½ 73½ 75½ 56¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 19% 4.20 7.80  
6  SHESJUSTANICEGIRL 6 4 43 53 52 65 69¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 7.50  
7  CONSEILLANTE 7 3 11½ 1½ 1½ 31 710¼ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 3.95  
4  SPUNK 4 8 98 98½ 95 86 811 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 22.60  
3  COEXIST 3 9 1010 1012½ 1012 1017½ 929¾ (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 18.40  
10  ASTRILA 10 7 74 31½ 42 912½ 1030¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 ★ 9.20  
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-3   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:23 :463 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAIRIE FIRE 1 5 41 31½   2½ 1nk (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 38% 1.70 2.75 W
3  SHADOLAMO 3 7 75½ 76¼   53½ 2nk (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 4.90  
2  GUNS BLAZING 2 6 2nk 2nk   1½ 32½ (davis ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 10% 9.00 13.00 S
6  HAPPY SOPHIA 6 1 63 43½   43 43¼ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00 8% 11.10 16.30  
7  MISSING LINK 7 2 1nk 1nk   31½ 57 (persaud randi)CARDENAS LUIS 122 15.00 ★ 15.60  
4  BIG Q 4 4 3½ 54   65½ 611¼ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 1.80 18% 4.70 1.95  
5  CADEAU DE PAIX 5 3 51½ 64¼   78½ 722 (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 3.20  
 
SAR-4   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:10     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FIRE SWORD 7 4 1nk 12   12½ 14¼ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 9% 9.90 3.10 W
8  SWIFTSURE 8 5 2nk 22   22½ 24¼ (brisset )SANTANA JR 124 4.50 25% 3.00 3.80 P
2  COST BASIS 2 1 32 33   33½ 36¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 42% 1.40 1.60 S
5  LAFITTE'S FLEET 5 7 76½ 77½   67½ 48¼ (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 ★ 13.50  
6  EBBEN 6 3 53 65½   57 510½ (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 5.40  
3  AMERICAN POWER 3 2 42½ 45   47 610½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★ 10.40  
1  MAGNIFICENT CHROME 1 6 63½ 55   78 713½ (younghans wi)HARKIE K 122 30.00 36.75  
4  SCOTTO 4 8 812½ 815½   817 818¾ (parker joseph)LUZZI J 122 50.00 38.00  
 
SAR-5   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:22 :443 :561     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MRS. GREEN 2 2 42 42   2nk 13½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 13% 6.90 1.80 W
9  PARENTS PRIDE 9 6 31 32   3.2 23½ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 8% 11.20 5.70 P
4  GLITTER UP 4 3 1½ 1½   1nk 33½ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 10.10  
8  SIXTH STREET (FR) 8 1 2½ 2½   41¼ 44¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 8% 11.30 4.70  
7  YAMAS 7 5 65 53½   52¾ 55¼ (jerkens a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 12.20  
6  LIBRETTO (IRE) 6 4 77 77   64¾ 66¼ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 19.10  
1  SHE'S ALL CLASS 1 7 89½ 810½   99¼ 79 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 119 12.00 13.30  
5  LINEAR THINKING (IRE) 5 9 911 911½   89¼ 810¼ (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 26% 2.80 8.90  
3  SHE'S STORMY 3 8 53 64   76¼ 912 (jerkens jame)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 6.80  
SCR  ALESSIA (GB)               (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
SAR-6   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHOCOLATE GELATO 6 1 11 11   16 18½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 49% 1.00 2.30 W
6  TWIN MISCHIEF 5 3 73¼ 75¼   68½ 28½ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 ★ 11.30 P
2  TAKE CHARGE BRIANA 1 2 51¾ 51¾   36½ 38½ (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 13.10  
3  INTERPOLATE 2 6 21 21   26 412¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 ★ 6.30  
9  ALWAYS LAUGHING 7 5 84¼ 65¼   710½ 515 (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 119 12.00 19.40  
5  ROYAL POPPY 4 8 31 31   48 616½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 20.50  
4  UPPER CASE 3 7 62¾ 41½   58½ 716¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 5% 19.00 3.00  
10  FIRING BULLETS 8 4 41¼ 86¾   822 847 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 25% 3.00 2.85  
SCR  IMPLICATED               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
SCR  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
SCR  SOUPER SLEWS CASH               (trombetta mic)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
SCR  ZIAERATI               (falcone )SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
 
SAR-7   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:121 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OUT OF SIGHT 6 6 66 54½ 53¾ 53½ 1½ (donk david)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 6% 14.50 5.60 W
2  HOME FOR CHRISTMAS 2 2 33 32 31½ 3½ 2½ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 3.10  
8  MY LIPS ARE SEALED 8 5 22 2½ 2nk 2½ 3¾ (atras ro)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 9% 10.60 10.30 S
7  LADY THORNHILL 7 9 88 87 77¼ 64½ 42 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 9.50  
3  SPUNGIE 3 4 44 42½ 41¾ 42 52¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 56% 0.80 2.75  
4  PALACE GOSSIP 4 1 12 1½ 1nk 1½ 62¼ (dutrow anthony)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 6% 16.40 4.70  
5  CHOOSE HAPPINESS 5 8 910 99½ 99¼ 87¼ 73 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 19.00  
1  INSTINCTIVE 1 3 77 76½ 65¾ 74¾ 86¾ (moore michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 ★ 9.10  
9  PAY GRADE 9 7 55½ 65 87¼ 913¼ 919½ (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 33.25  
SCR  CARAGATE               (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50    
SCR  OK HONEY               (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50    
 
SAR-8   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:101     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BETSY BLUE 4 6 42 2½   11 16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.00 26% 2.80 2.10 W
5  BRATTLE HOUSE 5 1 11 1½   21 26 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 126 1.00 35% 1.90 0.80 P
6  SWEET WILLEMINA 6 4 64 63½   510½ 312 (lake scott)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 11% 8.10 8.00 S
2  HALO CITY 2 7 711 77½   611 412 (lynch na)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 ★ 22.50  
3  SWEET SOLARE 3 3 53 53   410 515½ (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 22.30  
1  HONEY MONEY 1 5 31½ 31   39 617¾ (persaud randi)CARDENAS LUIS 126 20.00 7% 13.50 31.50  
7  FOREVER DREAMING 7 2 21 41½   719 724¼ (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 9.10  
 
SAR-9   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:214 :441 :553     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BIG INVASION 2 2 57 57   31 13 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.50 50% 1.00 0.35 W
1  CADAMOSTO (IRE) 1 4 22 22   2nk 23 (o'brien jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 ★ 6.40 P
7  DETERMINED KINGDOM 7 3 46½ 36   41¼ 33½ (schoenthal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 7% 13.50 26.50 S
3  SKY AND SAND 3 5 69½ 69½   65¼ 44¾ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
6  SURPRISE BOSS 6 6 35 46   54¼ 57½ (rohena j)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 27.25  
5  THAT'S RIGHT 5 1 12 12   1nk 68 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 6.00 17% 5.00 6.30  
4  EDITORIAL COMMENT (ARG) 4 7 79½ 711½   716¾ 729 (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 14.90  
 
SAR-10   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:131     1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BRAZILLIONAIRE 2 2 31½ 31 31½ 2½ 11¼ (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 8% 11.50 4.30 W
8  RELATE 8 1 11 1½ 11½ 1½ 21¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 2.90  
1  WAR STRATEGY 1 3 53 53 53½ 33½ 34 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 10.20  
3  RECKLESS SPIRIT 3 4 43 42½ 42½ 54 45¾ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.60 42% 1.40 2.20  
9  SEAVER 9 5 21 2½ 21½ 44 56½ (hil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11.50  
4  F F ROCKET 4 7 75½ 74½ 75 66 67 (shivmangal lo)CARDENAS LUIS 123 30.00 26.00  
5  HATCH (GB) 5 6 64½ 64 64 76¼ 77¾ (martin carlos )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 5.50  
7  MOON HUNTER 7 8 86½ 86½ 85½ 88¼ 89¼ (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 24.75  
6  DOCTOR LOVE (FR) 6 9 99 98½ 912½ 924¼ 933¾ (clarke dyla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 24.50  
SCR  BOLD VICTORY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 ★    
SCR  CRYO               (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50    
SCR  HIGHER QUALITY               (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIA'S ANGEL               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.