Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Jul30 Jul01       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
2  LEGAL CATCH Jul01         (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
3  DON'T LET ME DOWN         (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GODS GLORY         (camejo jose)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
5  KBCYA LATER Jul21 Jun22 May29     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
6  M. C. DOUBLE R Jul08 Jun24 Jun03     (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
7  STAR ATTITUDE Jul03         (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
8  ROCK CHALK         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
9  EXCALIBRATE         (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  THREE ZERO Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 May20   (abreu fernan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 8.00    
SCR  CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR         (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-2   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROOT CAUSE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)         (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
3  COEXIST         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
4  SPUNK Jul24         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
5  TOWHEAD Jul24 Jun17 May26     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
6  SHESJUSTANICEGIRL         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
7  CONSEILLANTE         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
8  MOMA         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
9  FOREVER DIXIE Jul04         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
10  ASTRILA         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-3   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAIRIE FIRE Jun19 Jun04 Apr03 Feb20 Feb06 (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
2  GUNS BLAZING Jul21 Jun26 Apr22 Apr07 Feb21 (davis ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 10% 9.00    
3  SHADOLAMO Aug03 Jun02 May13 Apr29 Apr08 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
4  BIG Q Jul22 Jun17 May19 Mar20 Feb27 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 1.80 18% 4.70    
5  CADEAU DE PAIX Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 Mar31 Mar04 (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
6  HAPPY SOPHIA Aug06 Jul09 Feb27 Feb06   (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00 8% 11.10    
7  MISSING LINK Aug04 Jul08 Jun26 May14 Apr16 (persaud randi)CARDENAS LUIS 122 15.00 ★    
 
SAR-4   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNIFICENT CHROME Jul20 Jun19 May27 May12 Apr15 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
2  COST BASIS Apr21 Feb19       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 42% 1.40    
3  AMERICAN POWER Jul17         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★    
4  SCOTTO Jul16 Jun30 Jun16     (parker joseph)LUZZI J 122 50.00    
5  LAFITTE'S FLEET May27 Apr21 Mar09 Feb26 Feb05 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 ★    
6  EBBEN Jun18 May28 Apr16 Mar18 Feb03 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
7  FIRE SWORD Jun17         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 9% 9.90    
8  SWIFTSURE Jul24 Jun26       (brisset )SANTANA JR 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-5   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S ALL CLASS         (maker michael )ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
2  MRS. GREEN Jul20 Jun24 May27     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 13% 6.90    
3  SHE'S STORMY         (jerkens jame)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
4  GLITTER UP Jul27 Jun19 Jan13     (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
5  LINEAR THINKING (IRE)         (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
6  LIBRETTO (IRE) Jul20 Jun25 May28 Apr15   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
7  YAMAS Jul20         (jerkens a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
8  SIXTH STREET (FR) Jul23         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 8% 11.30    
9  PARENTS PRIDE         (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 8% 11.20    
SCR  ALESSIA (GB) Apr28         (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
SAR-6   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUPER SLEWS CASH         (trombetta mic)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
2  TAKE CHARGE BRIANA Jul24         (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
3  INTERPOLATE         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 ★    
4  UPPER CASE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  ROYAL POPPY         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
6  TWIN MISCHIEF         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  ZIAERATI         (falcone )SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
8  CHOCOLATE GELATO Jul14         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 49% 1.00    
9  ALWAYS LAUGHING         (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
10  FIRING BULLETS         (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  IMPLICATED         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
SCR  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
 
SAR-7   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTINCTIVE Jul20 Jun23 Jun01 May22   (moore michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 ★    
2  HOME FOR CHRISTMAS Jul20 Jun25 Apr10     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00    
3  SPUNGIE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
4  PALACE GOSSIP Jul22 Jun11 May14 Apr14   (dutrow anthony)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 6% 16.40    
5  CHOOSE HAPPINESS Jul01 Apr23 Mar13 Feb13 Jan20 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
6  OUT OF SIGHT Jul20 Jun23 May30 May12 Apr28 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 6% 14.50    
7  LADY THORNHILL Jul17 May06       (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00    
8  MY LIPS ARE SEALED         (atras rob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
9  PAY GRADE May05         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00    
SCR  OK HONEY Jul15 Jun02 May05 Mar26 Feb13 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50    
SCR  CARAGATE Jul21 Jun24 May27 Apr09 Feb21 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50    
 
SAR-8   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY MONEY Jul20 Jun23 May22 May08 Mar26 (persaud randi)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 20.00 7% 13.50    
2  HALO CITY Jun23 May27 May06 Mar31   (lynch na)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 ★    
3  SWEET SOLARE Jul15 Jun12 May07 Mar19 Feb25 (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00    
4  BETSY BLUE Jul20 Jun23 May27 Mar31 Mar18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.00 26% 2.80    
5  BRATTLE HOUSE Jun12 May05       (mott william)CASTELLANO J 126 1.00 35% 1.90    
6  SWEET WILLEMINA Aug01 Jun27 Jun10 May03 Apr27 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
7  FOREVER DREAMING May19 Apr24 Mar12 Jan23   (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
 
SAR-9   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADAMOSTO (IRE)         (o'brien jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 ★    
2  BIG INVASION Jul17 May29 May04 Mar26 Feb19 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.50 50% 1.00    
3  SKY AND SAND Jul17 Jun05 May14 Apr13 Feb26 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  EDITORIAL COMMENT (ARG)         (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
5  THAT'S RIGHT Jul17 Jun17 May20 Apr27 Apr07 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  SURPRISE BOSS Jul17 Jun19 Jun04 Apr23 Apr04 (rohena j)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
7  DETERMINED KINGDOM Jul11 Jun11 May21 May01 Apr02 (schoenthal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 7% 13.50    
 
SAR-10   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR STRATEGY Jul17 Jun26       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
2  BRAZILLIONAIRE Jul23 Jun25 Jun18 Apr16   (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 8% 11.50    
3  RECKLESS SPIRIT Jul01 Jun05       (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.60 42% 1.40    
4  F F ROCKET Jul23 Jun04 May19 Apr30 Mar05 (shivmangal lo)CARDENAS LUIS 123 30.00    
5  HATCH (GB) Jul21 May29 Apr23 Feb11 Jan14 (martin carlos )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
6  DOCTOR LOVE (FR) Jul24 Jun22 May19 Mar25 Jan16 (clarke dyla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
7  MOON HUNTER Jul08 Jun19 Apr23     (sciacca gary)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
8  RELATE Jun19 Feb24 Feb05 Jan01   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
9  SEAVER Jul23 Jul01 May13 Apr22   (hil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  HIGHER QUALITY Jul16 Jun11 Apr16     (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIA'S ANGEL Jul22 Jun17 May01 Apr02 Mar19 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT Jul28 Jul04 May05 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50    
SCR  CRYO Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 May30 Apr02 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  BOLD VICTORY Jul30 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 May19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.