Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Friday - August 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR WONSAPONATIME 1 2 11 1   13 1 (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 117 12.00 12.35  
10  OPEN SAYS ME 7 7 6 5   23 2 (williamson brian)LOPEZ E 124 4.50 6.38 P
MS MERRABEL 2 4 3 3   34 39 (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 40% 1.50 1.50 S
MY ZIP ZIP 6 6 77 7   5 410¼ (foster eric)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 3.50  
MAPLELINE 3 3 21 2   4 512¼ (burnett arm)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 33% 2.10 3.47  
FOX CREEK LADY 4 1 4 4   610 618¼ (campbell h)EMIGH A 124 10.00 7.82  
EMOJI PRINCESS 5 5 54 6   712½ 719¾ (schlenk jada )STILLION BROOKE 118 15.00 21.77  
SCR  KENKEAD               (schlenk k)BECKMAN ALICE 117 20.00    
SCR  LONGLIVEROCKNROLL               (childers vance)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00    
SCR  VIMONT               (larue steve)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00    
 
ELP-2   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:123 1:25   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CO CONSPIRATOR 4 4 16 1 1 1nk 12 (martinez ralp)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 17% 4.90 3.37 W
HORSE DADDY 3 1 36 2 2 2nk 22 (ewing ann)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00 5.12 P
ARROW STRIKE 5 5 5 5 43 3 35 (gutierrez faustio)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 33% 2.10 0.63 S
SMOKEY LEE 1 2 26 3 3 43 410¾ (fletcher kevin)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 12.00 15.61  
FROOME (IRE) 2 3 47 46 5 5 519¼ (poulos dee)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5.82  
SCR  MR CREED               (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  NINETIES COUNTRY               (gutierrez fa)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50    
SCR  VERKLIMT               (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 113 6.00 6% 16.10    
 
ELP-3   08/05/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:372   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORDS OF WISDOM 1 4 1 1 1 14 1 (york keith)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 18% 4.60 3.87 W
AQUACAT 3 1 2 5 5 24 2 (beckman whitworth)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 16.23  
SAILOR'S RETURN 2 5 55 46 4 4 312¼ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 124 2.00 22% 3.50 1.66 S
SCOTCH NO ROCKS 5 3 43 2 2 36 413½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 28% 2.60 1.63  
THACH 4 2 3 3 3 59 516 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 4.12  
SCR  BEOCCA               (minnock g)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00    
SCR  GET THROUGH               (combs bentley)GILLIGAN JACK 118 8.00 11% 8.20    
 
ELP-4   08/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:224 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT SHIRLEY 2 2 4 2nk   2nk 1½ (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 2.72  
TWICE AS SWEET 4 1 11 1nk   1nk 2½ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 20% 4.10 2.11 P
FEE 8 5 31 3   33 3 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 3.76 S
ADALINDA 1 6 6 54   46 411¾ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 3.00 56% 0.80 6.29  
WINDY BAY 5 7 5 4   5 513¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 6.21  
WORK OF FICTION 7 4 21 6   6 615¼ (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 11.55  
RED JEWEL 6 8 813¾ 815¼   713½ 719¼ (desormeaux k)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 24.07  
BECKY THATCHER 3 3 7 712¼   815 834 (lovell dennis)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 56.20  
 
ELP-5   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:251 :481 1:121 1:242   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PALATIAL TIMES 5 3 22 2nk 2nk 1 1 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 7% 13.70 2.61 W
MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 1 4 32 3 3 2 2 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 2.69  
DUCHOSSOIS 4 2 5 42 4 3 38 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 2.50 42% 1.40 1.46 S
THE BOSS FACTOR 2 1 12 1nk 1nk 4 414¾ (foster eric)HOLMES GAGE 116 15.00 3.67  
FEELING DANGEROUS 3 5 43 5 5 56 517¼ (rodriguez eduar)BECKMAN ALICE 116 15.00 21.46  
SCR  PLUTONIAN (IRE)               (ward a)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  MESSIAH               (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 118 10.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  LORD REVELSTOKE               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 10.00    
SCR  HANNITY               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 2.50    
SCR  ESTILO VARONIL               (kordenbrock ma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00    
SCR  UNIDENTIFIED MAN               (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00    
SCR  DRAFT CAPITAL               (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
ELP-6   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:112 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDO 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 1 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 40% 1.50 2.08 W
RUNGIUS 7 6 6 5 42 31 2 (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 7% 13.20 5.68 P
HALLOW POINT 8 5 4 4¾ 3½ 2½ 33 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 6.37  
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 2 3 5 2½ 2nk 42 4 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 4.00 24% 3.20 4.87  
DENINGTON 5 10 97 8 6 5 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 4.10  
DUPLANTIS 9 8 7 6 5 65 611 (drury j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 16.67  
SILENT VOTE 4 7 1010½ 10 815½ 814½ 720¼ (stinson w)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 58.33  
TIZ THE COAST 6 4 31 3½ 7 714 823 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 9.17  
10  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) 10 9 8 9 915¾ 915½ 924½ (nihei michell)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 119 30.00 5% 19.00 39.13  
LUCKY'S SECRET 3 2 21 7 10100 10100 10100 (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 24.11  
 
ELP-7   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:112 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNINVITED GUEST 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 11 1 (margolis stephen)ROCCO S 120 3.50 18% 4.40 3.31 W
16  ST ANDREWS 10 8 64 6 5 31 2 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 4.27  
BRITAIN'S KITTEN 5 3 32 32 3½ 4 3 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 5.60  
FENWICK 2 4 11 1½ 1nk 21 45 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 10.00 4.09  
10  PATIENT CAPITAL 6 5 74 95 7 6 5 (brown c)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 8.56  
11  DOMINICAN PIONEER 7 7 85 8 6 5 6 (ward a)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 14.20  
BUREAU 4 9 9 7 8 8 7 (watkins m)EMIGH A 120 20.00 56.58  
14  BARBARIAN 9 6 4 5 4¾ 7 810 (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 11.85  
12  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 8 10 10 106 9 9 912¾ (divito ja)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 9.69  
MOMENTOUS 1 1 53 42 10 1010¼ 1018¾ (brisset rodolp)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 33% 2.00 10.82  
SCR  ATRAS               (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
SCR  CIRCLE BACK JACK               (hamilton sar)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  VERSTAPPEN               (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAKE SURF               (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  WATCH THE MUSIC               (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
SCR  WINTERWOOD               (brennan ter)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
 
ELP-8   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:233 :46 1:102 1:231   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FILM STAR 11 5 1nk 1nk 11 12 1 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 28% 2.60 2.33 W
CHIRON 1 1 2nk 2nk 21 22 2 (combs bentley)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00 9.13  
STAND PROUD 2 6 54 53 44 34 310¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 2.33  
LAYTOWN 7 3 32 3 34 44 411 (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 2.97  
UNCLE BERLEY 4 2 6 6 5 67 514 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 10.76  
BRIGHT SPARK 6 11 1111¼ 10 8 5 614¼ (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 88.83  
DOUBLE DEALER 9 10 1010¼ 11 10 910¾ 721¼ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 113 10.00 8% 11.30 20.17  
10  STAND FOR FREEDOM 10 7 9 97 9 79 822¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 28% 2.60 4.92  
AUTOPOLIS 3 9 8 8 7 810½ 923¼ (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 30.10  
EDGE OF GLORY 8 4 4 42 6 1010¾ 1026¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 12% 7.10 9.82  
GRAND ASPEN 5 8 75 7 11 1112¼ 1127 (cox brad )DE CRUZ 118 6.00 6.96  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.