Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Friday - August 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR WONSAPONATIME 1 2 11 11½   13 11¾ (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 117 12.00 ★ 12.35  
10  OPEN SAYS ME 7 7 64½ 53¾   23 21¾ (williamson brian)LOPEZ E 124 4.50 ★ 6.38 P
4  MS MERRABEL 2 4 31½ 31½   34 39 (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 40% 1.50 1.50 S
9  MY ZIP ZIP 6 6 77 77¼   57½ 410¼ (foster eric)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 ★ 3.50  
5  MAPLELINE 3 3 21 21½   45½ 512¼ (burnett a)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 33% 2.10 3.47  
7  FOX CREEK LADY 4 1 41½ 41¾   610 618¼ (campbell h)EMIGH A 124 10.00 7.82  
8  EMOJI PRINCESS 5 5 54 65¼   712½ 719¾ (schlenk jad)STILLION BROOKE 118 15.00 21.77  
SCR  KENKEAD               (schlenk jada )BECKMAN ALICE 117 20.00    
SCR  LONGLIVEROCKNROLL               (childers vance)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00    
SCR  VIMONT               (larue steve)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00    
 
ELP-2   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:123 1:25   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CO CONSPIRATOR 4 4 16 14½ 11½ 1nk 12 (martinez ra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 17% 4.90 3.37 W
5  HORSE DADDY 3 1 36 24½ 21½ 2nk 22 (ewing ann)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00 ★ 5.12 P
1  ARROW STRIKE 5 5 57¼ 56¼ 43 32½ 35 (gutierrez fausti)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 33% 2.10 0.63 S
2  SMOKEY LEE 1 2 26 34½ 31½ 43 410¾ (fletcher kev)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 12.00 15.61  
4  FROOME (IRE) 2 3 47 46 53½ 54½ 519¼ (poulos de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5.82  
SCR  MR CREED               (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  NINETIES COUNTRY               (gutierrez )CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50    
SCR  VERKLIMT               (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 113 6.00 6% 16.10    
 
ELP-3   08/05/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:372   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WORDS OF WISDOM 1 4 11½ 13½ 12½ 14 18¼ (york keit)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 18% 4.60 3.87 W
5  AQUACAT 3 1 21½ 57½ 56½ 24 28¼ (beckman whitwort)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 16.23  
3  SAILOR'S RETURN 2 5 55 46 44½ 47½ 312¼ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 124 2.00 22% 3.50 1.66 S
7  SCOTCH NO ROCKS 5 3 43 23½ 22½ 36 413½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 28% 2.60 1.63  
6  THACH 4 2 31½ 33½ 33½ 59 516 (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 4.12  
SCR  BEOCCA               (minnock wayne)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 ★    
SCR  GET THROUGH               (combs bentley)GILLIGAN JACK 118 8.00 11% 8.20    
 
ELP-4   08/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:224 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AUNT SHIRLEY 2 2 41¼ 2nk   2nk 1½ (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 2.72  
4  TWICE AS SWEET 4 1 11 1nk   1nk 2½ (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 20% 4.10 2.11 P
8  FEE 8 5 31 31½   33 37¼ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 ★ 3.76 S
1  ADALINDA 1 6 62¾ 54   46 411¾ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 3.00 56% 0.80 6.29  
5  WINDY BAY 5 7 52¾ 42½   56½ 513¼ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 ★ 6.21  
7  WORK OF FICTION 7 4 21 64¼   67½ 615¼ (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 11.55  
6  RED JEWEL 6 8 813¾ 815¼   713½ 719¼ (desormeaux j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 ★ 24.07  
3  BECKY THATCHER 3 3 75¾ 712¼   815 834 (lovell denn)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 56.20  
 
ELP-5   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:251 :481 1:121 1:242   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PALATIAL TIMES 5 3 22 2nk 2nk 11½ 12¼ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 7% 13.70 2.61 W
2  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 1 4 32 31½ 31½ 21½ 22¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 2.69  
1  DUCHOSSOIS 4 2 53¼ 42 41¾ 32½ 38 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 2.50 42% 1.40 1.46 S
5  THE BOSS FACTOR 2 1 12 1nk 1nk 43½ 414¾ (foster eric)HOLMES GAGE 116 15.00 3.67  
6  FEELING DANGEROUS 3 5 43 53½ 54¼ 56 517¼ (rodriguez edu)BECKMAN ALICE 116 15.00 21.46  
SCR  PLUTONIAN (IRE)               (ward a)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  MESSIAH               (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 118 10.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  LORD REVELSTOKE               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 10.00    
SCR  HANNITY               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 2.50    
SCR  ESTILO VARONIL               (kordenbrock )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00    
SCR  UNIDENTIFIED MAN               (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00    
SCR  DRAFT CAPITAL               (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
ELP-6   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:112 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDO 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 12½ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 40% 1.50 2.08 W
7  RUNGIUS 7 6 62¾ 52¼ 42 31 22½ (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 119 4.50 7% 13.20 5.68 P
8  HALLOW POINT 8 5 41¼ 4¾ 3½ 2½ 33 (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 6.37  
2  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 2 3 51¼ 2½ 2nk 42 45½ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 4.00 24% 3.20 4.87  
5  DENINGTON 5 10 97 86¼ 65½ 54½ 58¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 4.10  
9  DUPLANTIS 9 8 73¾ 64¼ 54½ 65 611 (drury thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 16.67  
4  SILENT VOTE 4 7 1010½ 109¼ 815½ 814½ 720¼ (stinson)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 58.33  
6  TIZ THE COAST 6 4 31 3½ 76½ 714 823 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 ★ 9.17  
10  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) 10 9 86¾ 97¾ 915¾ 915½ 924½ (nihei miche)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 119 30.00 5% 19.00 39.13  
3  LUCKY'S SECRET 3 2 21 74¼ 10100 10100 10100 (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 24.11  
 
ELP-7   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:112 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNINVITED GUEST 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 11 11½ (margolis steph)ROCCO S 120 3.50 18% 4.40 3.31 W
16  ST ANDREWS 10 8 64 62¼ 51¼ 31 21½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 4.27  
9  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 5 3 32 32 3½ 41¼ 32½ (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 5.60  
4  FENWICK 2 4 11 1½ 1nk 21 45 (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 10.00 4.09  
10  PATIENT CAPITAL 6 5 74 95 73¼ 64¾ 57¼ (brown c)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 8.56  
11  DOMINICAN PIONEER 7 7 85 83½ 62¾ 53¼ 68¾ (ward a)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 14.20  
7  BUREAU 4 9 95¼ 73¼ 85¼ 86¼ 79¼ (watkins m)EMIGH A 120 20.00 56.58  
14  BARBARIAN 9 6 42½ 52¼ 4¾ 75¼ 810 (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 120 8.00 11.85  
12  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 8 10 106¼ 106 97¼ 98¼ 912¾ (divito )DE CRUZ 120 12.00 9.69  
3  MOMENTOUS 1 1 53 42 107¼ 1010¼ 1018¾ (brisset rodo)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 33% 2.00 10.82  
SCR  ATRAS               (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
SCR  CIRCLE BACK JACK               (hamilton s)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  VERSTAPPEN               (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAKE SURF               (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  WATCH THE MUSIC               (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
SCR  WINTERWOOD               (brennan t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
 
ELP-8   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:233 :46 1:102 1:231   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FILM STAR 11 5 1nk 1nk 11 12 19½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 28% 2.60 2.33 W
2  CHIRON 1 1 2nk 2nk 21 22 29½ (combs bentley)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00 9.13  
1  STAND PROUD 2 6 54 53 44 34 310¾ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 2.33  
7  LAYTOWN 7 3 32 31½ 34 44 411 (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 2.97  
4  UNCLE BERLEY 4 2 64½ 63½ 55½ 67 514 (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 ★ 10.76  
6  BRIGHT SPARK 6 11 1111¼ 108½ 86¼ 56½ 614¼ (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 88.83  
9  DOUBLE DEALER 9 10 1010¼ 118¾ 108¾ 910¾ 721¼ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 113 10.00 8% 11.30 20.17  
10  STAND FOR FREEDOM 10 7 97¾ 97 97¼ 79 822¾ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 28% 2.60 4.92  
3  AUTOPOLIS 3 9 87½ 86½ 75¾ 810½ 923¼ (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 30.10  
8  EDGE OF GLORY 8 4 42½ 42 65¾ 1010¾ 1026¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 12% 7.10 9.82  
5  GRAND ASPEN 5 8 75 74½ 119¾ 1112¼ 1127 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 6.96  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.