The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Ellis Park
Friday - August 05, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ELP-1   08/05/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
:223 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR WONSAPONATIME 1 2 11 11½   13 11¾ (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 117 12.00 ★ 12.35  
10  OPEN SAYS ME 7 7 64½ 53¾   23 21¾ (williamson brian)LOPEZ E 124 4.50 ★ 6.38 P
4  MS MERRABEL 2 4 31½ 31½   34 39 (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 40% 1.50 1.50 S
9  MY ZIP ZIP 6 6 77 77¼   57½ 410¼ (foster eric)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 ★ 3.50  
5  MAPLELINE 3 3 21 21½   45½ 512¼ (burnett henry)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 33% 2.10 3.47  
7  FOX CREEK LADY 4 1 41½ 41¾   610 618¼ (campbell h)EMIGH A 124 10.00 7.82  
8  EMOJI PRINCESS 5 5 54 65¼   712½ 719¾ (schlenk k)STILLION BROOKE 118 15.00 21.77  
SCR  KENKEAD               (schlenk k)BECKMAN ALICE 117 20.00    
SCR  LONGLIVEROCKNROLL               (childers vance)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00    
SCR  VIMONT               (larue steve)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00    
 
ELP-2   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
:24 :48 1:123 1:25   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CO CONSPIRATOR 4 4 16 14½ 11½ 1nk 12 (martinez a)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 17% 4.90 3.37 W
5  HORSE DADDY 3 1 36 24½ 21½ 2nk 22 (ewing ann)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00 ★ 5.12 P
1  ARROW STRIKE 5 5 57¼ 56¼ 43 32½ 35 (gutierrez faustio)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 33% 2.10 0.63 S
2  SMOKEY LEE 1 2 26 34½ 31½ 43 410¾ (fletcher kevin)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 12.00 15.61  
4  FROOME (IRE) 2 3 47 46 53½ 54½ 519¼ (poulos dee)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5.82  
SCR  MR CREED               (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  NINETIES COUNTRY               (gutierrez faustio)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50    
SCR  VERKLIMT               (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 113 6.00 6% 16.10    
 
ELP-3   08/05/2022 5940ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
:234 :472 1:114 1:372   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WORDS OF WISDOM 1 4 11½ 13½ 12½ 14 18¼ (york keith)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 18% 4.60 3.87 W
5  AQUACAT 3 1 21½ 57½ 56½ 24 28¼ (beckman whitworth)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 16.23  
3  SAILOR'S RETURN 2 5 55 46 44½ 47½ 312¼ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 124 2.00 22% 3.50 1.66 S
7  SCOTCH NO ROCKS 5 3 43 23½ 22½ 36 413½ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 28% 2.60 1.63  
6  THACH 4 2 31½ 33½ 33½ 59 516 (walsh p)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 4.12  
SCR  BEOCCA               (minnock g)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 ★    
SCR  GET THROUGH               (combs bentley)GILLIGAN JACK 118 8.00 11% 8.20    
 
ELP-4   08/05/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:14
:224 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AUNT SHIRLEY 2 2 41¼ 2nk   2nk 1½ (brisset rodolphe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 2.72  
4  TWICE AS SWEET 4 1 11 1nk   1nk 2½ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 20% 4.10 2.11 P
8  FEE 8 5 31 31½   33 37¼ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 ★ 3.76 S
1  ADALINDA 1 6 62¾ 54   46 411¾ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 3.00 56% 0.80 6.29  
5  WINDY BAY 5 7 52¾ 42½   56½ 513¼ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 ★ 6.21  
7  WORK OF FICTION 7 4 21 64¼   67½ 615¼ (arnold r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 11.55  
6  RED JEWEL 6 8 813¾ 815¼   713½ 719¼ (desormeaux keith)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 ★ 24.07  
3  BECKY THATCHER 3 3 75¾ 712¼   815 834 (lovell dennis)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 56.20  
 
ELP-5   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
:251 :481 1:121 1:242   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PALATIAL TIMES 5 3 22 2nk 2nk 11½ 12¼ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 7% 13.70 2.61 W
2  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 1 4 32 31½ 31½ 21½ 22¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 2.69  
1  DUCHOSSOIS 4 2 53¼ 42 41¾ 32½ 38 (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 123 2.50 42% 1.40 1.46 S
5  THE BOSS FACTOR 2 1 12 1nk 1nk 43½ 414¾ (foster eric)HOLMES GAGE 116 15.00 3.67  
6  FEELING DANGEROUS 3 5 43 53½ 54¼ 56 517¼ (rodriguez eduardo)BECKMAN ALICE 116 15.00 21.46  
SCR  PLUTONIAN (IRE)               (ward a)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  MESSIAH               (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 118 10.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  LORD REVELSTOKE               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 10.00    
SCR  HANNITY               (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 123 2.50    
SCR  ESTILO VARONIL               (kordenbrock matt)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00    
SCR  UNIDENTIFIED MAN               (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00    
SCR  DRAFT CAPITAL               (asmussen m)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
ELP-6   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
:234 :47 1:112 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDO 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 12½ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 40% 1.50 2.08 W
7  RUNGIUS 7 6 62¾ 52¼ 42 31 22½ (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 7% 13.20 5.68 P
8  HALLOW POINT 8 5 41¼ 4¾ 3½ 2½ 33 (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 6.37  
2  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 2 3 51¼ 2½ 2nk 42 45½ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 4.00 24% 3.20 4.87  
5  DENINGTON 5 10 97 86¼ 65½ 54½ 58¾ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 4.10  
9  DUPLANTIS 9 8 73¾ 64¼ 54½ 65 611 (drury jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 16.67  
4  SILENT VOTE 4 7 1010½ 109¼ 815½ 814½ 720¼ (stinson jr)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 58.33  
6  TIZ THE COAST 6 4 31 3½ 76½ 714 823 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 ★ 9.17  
10  HOME SCHOOL 10 9 86¾ 97¾ 915¾ 915½ 924½ (nihei michelle)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 119 30.00 5% 19.00 39.13  
3  LUCKY'S SECRET 3 2 21 74¼ 10100 10100 10100 (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 24.11  
 
ELP-7   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
:234 :471 1:112 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNINVITED GUEST 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 11 11½ (margolis r)ROCCO S 120 3.50 18% 4.40 3.31 W
16  ST ANDREWS 10 8 64 62¼ 51¼ 31 21½ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 4.27  
9  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 5 3 32 32 3½ 41¼ 32½ (williamson brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 5.60  
4  FENWICK 2 4 11 1½ 1nk 21 45 (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 10.00 4.09  
10  PATIENT CAPITAL 6 5 74 95 73¼ 64¾ 57¼ (brown c)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 8.56  
11  DOMINICAN PIONEER 7 7 85 83½ 62¾ 53¼ 68¾ (ward a)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 14.20  
7  BUREAU 4 9 95¼ 73¼ 85¼ 86¼ 79¼ (watkins m)EMIGH A 120 20.00 56.58  
14  BARBARIAN 9 6 42½ 52¼ 4¾ 75¼ 810 (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 11.85  
12  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 8 10 106¼ 106 97¼ 98¼ 912¾ (divito p)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 9.69  
3  MOMENTOUS 1 1 53 42 107¼ 1010¼ 1018¾ (brisset rodolphe)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 33% 2.00 10.82  
SCR  ATRAS               (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
SCR  CIRCLE BACK JACK               (hamilton sarah)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  VERSTAPPEN               (walsh p)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAKE SURF               (arnold r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  WATCH THE MUSIC               (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
SCR  WINTERWOOD               (brennan terry)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
 
ELP-8   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
:233 :46 1:102 1:231   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FILM STAR 11 5 1nk 1nk 11 12 19½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 28% 2.60 2.33 W
2  CHIRON 1 1 2nk 2nk 21 22 29½ (combs bentley)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00 9.13  
1  STAND PROUD 2 6 54 53 44 34 310¾ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 2.33  
7  LAYTOWN 7 3 32 31½ 34 44 411 (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 2.97  
4  UNCLE BERLEY 4 2 64½ 63½ 55½ 67 514 (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 ★ 10.76  
6  BRIGHT SPARK 6 11 1111¼ 108½ 86¼ 56½ 614¼ (flint s)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 88.83  
9  DOUBLE DEALER 9 10 1010¼ 118¾ 108¾ 910¾ 721¼ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 113 10.00 8% 11.30 20.17  
10  STAND FOR FREEDOM 10 7 97¾ 97 97¼ 79 822¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 28% 2.60 4.92  
3  AUTOPOLIS 3 9 87½ 86½ 75¾ 810½ 923¼ (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 30.10  
8  EDGE OF GLORY 8 4 42½ 42 65¾ 1010¾ 1026¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 12% 7.10 9.82  
5  GRAND ASPEN 5 8 75 74½ 119¾ 1112¼ 1127 (cox h)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 6.96  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.