Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Friday - August 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   08/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR WONSAPONATIME         (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 117 12.00 ★    
SCR  KENKEAD Jul15 May31 May06 Mar17 Feb21 (schlenk jada )BECKMAN ALICE 117 20.00    
SCR  VIMONT Jul22 Jul06 Jun27 Jun12 Jun01 (larue steve)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00    
4  MS MERRABEL Jul19 Jul04 May21 Apr22   (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 40% 1.50    
5  MAPLELINE Jun22 Jun01 Mar19 Feb10 Jan15 (burnett a)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  LONGLIVEROCKNROLL Jun17 May20 Apr30     (childers vance)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00    
7  FOX CREEK LADY Jul22         (campbell h)EMIGH A 124 10.00    
8  EMOJI PRINCESS Jul10         (schlenk jad)STILLION BROOKE 118 15.00    
9  MY ZIP ZIP Jul22 Feb19 Feb11     (foster eric)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 ★    
10  OPEN SAYS ME Jun29         (williamson brian)LOPEZ E 124 4.50 ★    
 
ELP-2   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROW STRIKE Jun24 Jun11 May14 Apr22 Mar19 (gutierrez fausti)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  NINETIES COUNTRY Jul23 Jul03 May19 Apr16 Apr01 (gutierrez )CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50    
2  SMOKEY LEE Jul20 Apr01 Mar19 Feb11 Jan01 (fletcher kev)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 12.00    
SCR  MR CREED         (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 20% 3.90    
4  FROOME (IRE) Jul15 Jun18 Jun04 May14 Apr23 (poulos de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
5  HORSE DADDY Jul23 Jun29 May16 Mar10 Feb23 (ewing ann)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00 ★    
6  CO CONSPIRATOR Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 May06 Apr16 (martinez ra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  VERKLIMT Jun17 May19 Apr27 Mar27   (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 113 6.00 6% 16.10    
 
ELP-3   08/05/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEOCCA         (minnock wayne)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 ★    
2  WORDS OF WISDOM Jul16 May15 Apr08 Feb26 Jan22 (york keit)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
3  SAILOR'S RETURN Jul23 Jun18 May30 May05 Mar18 (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  GET THROUGH         (combs bentley)GILLIGAN JACK 118 8.00 11% 8.20    
5  AQUACAT Jun24 Apr28       (beckman whitwort)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
6  THACH Jul03 Jun12       (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00    
7  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Jul10 Jun11       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
ELP-4   08/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADALINDA Jul09         (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 3.00 56% 0.80    
2  AUNT SHIRLEY         (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
3  BECKY THATCHER Jul09 Apr14       (lovell denn)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00    
4  TWICE AS SWEET         (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
5  WINDY BAY         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 ★    
6  RED JEWEL         (desormeaux j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 ★    
7  WORK OF FICTION         (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00    
8  FEE         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 ★    
 
ELP-5   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUCHOSSOIS May21 May13 Mar19 Feb26   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  HANNITY Jun24 Jun04       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 2.50    
2  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Jun30 May27       (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 15.00    
SCR  LORD REVELSTOKE Jun27 Feb26 Feb10 Jan02   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 10.00    
SCR  PLUTONIAN (IRE) Apr17         (ward a)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 5% 18.90    
5  THE BOSS FACTOR Jul15 Jun08 May05 Mar25 Mar05 (foster eric)HOLMES GAGE 116 15.00    
6  FEELING DANGEROUS Jul17 Jun04 May20 Apr02 Feb10 (rodriguez edu)BECKMAN ALICE 116 15.00    
SCR  MESSIAH Jul15 Mar04 Feb09     (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 118 10.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  ESTILO VARONIL Jul06 Jun11 May07 Apr03 Mar27 (kordenbrock )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00    
SCR  DRAFT CAPITAL Jun25         (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
10  PALATIAL TIMES Jun27 Mar27       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Jul17 Jun23 Apr30     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDO         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Jun26         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  LUCKY'S SECRET Jul16         (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00    
4  SILENT VOTE Jul08         (stinson)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
5  DENINGTON         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
6  TIZ THE COAST         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 ★    
7  RUNGIUS Jun26         (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 119 4.50 7% 13.20    
8  HALLOW POINT Jul02         (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00    
9  DUPLANTIS Jun10         (drury thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
10  HOME SCHOOL (IRE)         (nihei miche)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-7   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINTERWOOD Jul15 Mar04 Jan28     (brennan t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
SCR  WATCH THE MUSIC Jul15 Apr16       (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
3  MOMENTOUS Jul09 May29 Apr23 Feb19   (brisset rodo)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 33% 2.00    
4  FENWICK May21 Apr09 Mar12 Feb13 Jan22 (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 10.00    
SCR  VERSTAPPEN Apr29 Mar25       (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  UNINVITED GUEST Jul09 Jun09 May13 Mar23 Feb26 (margolis steph)ROCCO S 120 3.50 18% 4.40    
7  BUREAU Jul09 Jun18 May14 Apr27 Apr01 (watkins m)EMIGH A 120 20.00    
SCR  ATRAS Jul04 Apr23 Mar18     (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
9  BRITAIN'S KITTEN Jul04 Jun12 May15 Apr23   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
10  PATIENT CAPITAL Jul02 May07 Apr01     (brown c)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
11  DOMINICAN PIONEER Jun03 Apr29       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
12  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun09 May22 (divito )DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
SCR  CIRCLE BACK JACK Jul16 May23 Apr10 Mar12   (hamilton s)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
14  BARBARIAN Jun29 May31       (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 120 8.00    
SCR  WAKE SURF May18 Mar12 Jan22     (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
16  ST ANDREWS Jun12 May15 Apr16 Jan22   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00    
 
ELP-8   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAND PROUD Apr22         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50    
1A  FILM STAR Jul03         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  CHIRON Apr02 Mar19 Feb21     (combs bentley)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00    
3  AUTOPOLIS         (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
4  UNCLE BERLEY Jul16 Jun18 May14 Apr07 Mar26 (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 ★    
5  GRAND ASPEN Jun05         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 118 6.00    
6  BRIGHT SPARK Jul03 Jun24 Jun11 May15 Apr27 (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
7  LAYTOWN         (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
8  EDGE OF GLORY Jul03 Jun19 May04 Apr09 Mar12 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 12% 7.10    
9  DOUBLE DEALER Jul03         (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 113 10.00 8% 11.30    
10  STAND FOR FREEDOM Jul03 Jun08       (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.