The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 16, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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ELP-1   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 1:50
:23 :462 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HAPPY CLOUDS 5 1 12½ 13   14 17¾ (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.00 27% 2.70 2.53 W
2  MAGIC BEAUTY 2 2 33 33   24 27¾ (chapman k)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 1.40 ★ 1.59 P
4  FLAG TO FLAG 4 3 45½ 47   48½ 311¼ (brisset rodolphe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 17% 4.90 2.68 S
3  MACI'S GEMSTONE 3 6 58 58½   512½ 416½ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00 7% 13.00 25.86  
1  BLESSED ANGEL 1 4 22½ 23   36 519½ (chapman k)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 10.00 ★ 10.93  
6  LADY ENVOY 6 5 611 613½   617½ 623½ (lukas wayne)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 5.00 5.61  
 
ELP-2   07/16/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
:214 :451 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STAYED IN FOR HALF 6 2 11½ 1½   1½ 1½ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 22% 3.50 6.76 W
1A  TWIRLING ROSES 7 3 21½ 2½   31 2½ (rodriguez eduardo)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 14% 6.30 11.36 P
2  COMISKEY PARK 1 1 52¼ 51¾   2½ 3½ (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.50 23% 3.30 5.11 S
5  RESPECT THE CODE 5 7 64¼ 63¾   53½ 4¾ (miller peter)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 13.42  
1  KENNESAW 2 4 74¼ 75¼   75½ 55¾ (rodriguez eduardo)DIAZ RENE 117 6.00 11.36  
3  B D VALESKI 3 5 42 41½   42 65¾ (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 2.00 ★ 0.73  
4  CIRCLE BACK JACK 4 6 32 31½   65½ 76¾ (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 118 4.50 13% 6.60 4.20  
 
ELP-3   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
:222 :451 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TITLE SHOT 1 7 65½ 62¾   2nk 1½ (ortiz alexander)DIAZ RENE 119 1.60 33% 2.00 2.79 W
2  WORDS OF WISDOM 2 6 41½ 31   3½ 2½ (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 118 4.00 29% 2.40 2.10 P
5  RIKIO 4 4 1½ 11   1nk 33½ (beckman whitworth)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 7.76  
8  PRIVATE CONNIE 7 1 31 21   43 46¾ (hancock a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 ★ 6.57  
6  INDIAN SPRINGS 5 2 2½ 41¼   55 510½ (campbell h)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00 46.72  
3  MOUNTAIN GHOST 3 5 53 52¾   65½ 610½ (wiggins lon)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 ★ 11.72  
7  OFFICER NICK 6 3 76 74¾   78 712 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 11% 8.00 2.55  
SCR  SECRET EDGE               (hancock l)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 20.00    
 
ELP-4   07/16/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:14
:22 :453 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FADETHENOISE 9 4 2nk 1½   13½ 16 (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 6.10  
3  SAILOR'S CHANCE 3 1 1nk 31   34 26 (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00 6.58  
2  SPANISH DOUBLOON 2 3 3.2 2½   23½ 36¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 29% 2.40 3.25 S
1  COACHES MEETING 1 7 42¼ 42½   44½ 48 (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.50 25% 2.90 5.37  
8  ST. NEOTS 7 8 64¼ 54½   56 58½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 6% 15.20 3.54  
9  LORD GRANTHAM 8 9 86¼ 77   68 69½ (drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 18.82  
6  SIVAKO 5 5 53¾ 65   710 710¼ (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 8.00 4.39  
4  LUCKY'S SECRET 4 2 74¼ 87½   811 812¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 13.68  
7  LOOKA LOOKA 6 6 99¼ 911½   917 923¾ (pierce lacy)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 40.73  
SCR  GO LITTLE ROCKSTAR               (faircloth aveory)CANUTO THIAGO 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-5   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
:221 :452 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOURBON SPIRIT 4 6 44½ 43   2nk 13½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 31% 2.20 1.57 W
6  ACCIDENT 6 7 79 69½   44½ 23½ (short thomas)EMIGH A 119 4.00 15% 5.70 9.15 P
5  MIRANDA RIGHTS 5 2 1½ 1½   1nk 34 (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 4.05  
7  MEMPHIS PHAROAH 7 5 2½ 2½   32 47¾ (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 ★ 4.09  
3  BLUFF CITY 3 1 3½ 32   55½ 58¾ (catalano m)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 33% 2.00 2.53  
2  MYSTIC MINISTER 2 3 57 59   610½ 615¼ (fletcher kevin)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00 40.21  
1  DREAMFACTOR 1 4 68 712   718½ 728½ (stinson jr)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 12.00 ★ 40.05  
 
ELP-6   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($61K) 3 F PT- 4:10
:254 :502 1:14 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FANCY MARTINI 7 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 1nk 1½ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 20% 4.10 5.81 W
3  QUEROBIN DOURADA 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 2½ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 6.58  
6  AMANI'S IMAGE 6 4 31½ 41½ 41½ 31½ 3½ (gutierrez faustio)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 5.63  
2  MAMA RINA 2 2 73½ 73¾ 64 65½ 42¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 3.17  
1  CARIBBEAN NIGHT 1 6 105¼ 105¼ 87 75¾ 52½ (drury jr)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 21.27  
10  LAVISH HABITS 10 7 42 31½ 31½ 42½ 63 (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 ★ 3.71  
8  LADY ARSINOE 8 8 63½ 53 52½ 54½ 73 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 52% 0.90 5.65  
4  WICKED WONDER 4 3 53 63¼ 76 88¼ 89¼ (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 40.88  
9  BALI DREAMIN 9 9 84 94¾ 97½ 99¼ 911 (puhich mike)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00 8.84  
5  HARD LIKE HOLLY 5 10 95 83¾ 109 1015¼ 1021½ (hughes w)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 94.77  
SCR  LAVENDAR LANE               (lyster s)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
 
ELP-7   07/16/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:234 :46 1:101 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LEGIONNAIRE 2 2 85¾ 66¼ 41 11½ 11 (drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 40% 1.50 1.21 W
3  WHAT'S UP DOC 3 8 96¾ 87¾ 64 32½ 21 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 22% 3.50 1.55 P
4  BOLD MEDICATION 4 3 4¾ 31½ 3½ 21½ 33¼ (calhoun bret)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 35.70  
1  INEXORABLE 1 1 75¼ 76¼ 75 64 44¾ (margolis r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 ★ 12.34  
5  YORK TAVERN 5 5 53¼ 53¾ 52½ 43 55 (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 25.44  
7  PORT ROYAL 7 7 64¾ 99¾ 98½ 98½ 69 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 27.94  
8  BLOW TORCH 8 6 3½ 43½ 86½ 87½ 79¼ (lukas wayne)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00 14% 5.90 9.29  
6  UNCLE BERLEY 6 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 54 811¼ (asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 ★ 17.12  
10  CALL ME FAST 9 9 1nk 2nk 2nk 76 912 (puhich mike)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 12.00 21.95  
SCR  KINGMAKER               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
ELP-8   07/16/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
:24 :49 1:124 1:371   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CURRENT 6 2 35 32 31 2½ 1nk (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 122 4.00 31% 2.20 6.79 W
3  TEMPER TANTRUM 2 3 11 1½ 2nk 1½ 2nk (hernandez armando)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00 11.78 P
4  WHISKEY DOUBLE 3 4 47 43½ 62¾ 3½ 3¼ (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 11.18  
5  NEXT 4 1 21 2½ 1nk 41 43½ (cowans d)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 9% 9.80 2.32  
1  CELERITY 5 6 711 77 74¾ 65 54¼ (cundiff waylon)HERRFORTH ERICA 117 20.00 45.30  
1A  ARTEMUS EAGLE 7 7 68½ 64½ 42 53½ 64½ (cundiff waylon)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00 45.30  
7  ATTORNEY TIM 8 8 813½ 99 97¾ 86 76½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 ★ 12.26  
8  BAMA BREEZE 9 9 914½ 89 86¾ 75½ 88¼ (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 1.80 33% 2.00 1.15  
2  INTRADAY (BRZ) 1 5 58½ 54 52¼ 97½ 910¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00 15.05  
 
ELP-9   07/16/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
:211 :442 :564     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLA TERESA 1 1 1½ 1½   14 11¾ (wojczynski justin)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.50 44% 1.30 7.01 W
6  BALL GOWN 6 2 55 56   46½ 21¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 6% 15.40 4.63 P
5  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX 5 5 77¼ 67½   57 32½ (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00 7.29  
4  CAUSE CELEBRE 4 10 910¼ 910   67½ 42½ (margolis r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 10.46  
10  GET BY 10 8 67 77½   78½ 53¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 ★ 4.37  
8  BELPERRON 8 9 1011¼ 1011½   810½ 67½ (manley steve)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 27.71  
7  ALEATORY 7 6 89¾ 89½   910½ 77¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 17.21  
2  MAHOMEBRED 2 4 32½ 32½   36 88 (williamson brian)EMIGH A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 24.65  
3  RATHER BE LUCKY 3 3 2½ 2½   24 99¾ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 23% 3.40 1.68  
9  MISS NUCKOLS 9 7 45 45½   1012½ 1014 (godsey marshall)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 64.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.