Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HAPPY CLOUDS   (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.00 27% 2.70 2.53 W
2  MAGIC BEAUTY   (cha)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 1.40 ★ 1.59 P
4  FLAG TO FLAG   (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 17% 4.90 2.68 S
3  MACI'S GEMSTONE   (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00 7% 13.00 25.86  
1  BLESSED ANGEL   (chapman james)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 10.00 ★ 10.93  
6  LADY ENVOY   (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 5.00 5.61  
 
ELP-2   07/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STAYED IN FOR HALF   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 22% 3.50 6.76 W
1A  TWIRLING ROSES   (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 14% 6.30 11.36 P
2  COMISKEY PARK   (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.50 23% 3.30 5.11 S
5  RESPECT THE CODE   (miller pe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 13.42  
1  KENNESAW   (rodriguez eduardo)DIAZ RENE 117 6.00 11.36  
3  B D VALESKI   (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 2.00 ★ 0.73  
4  CIRCLE BACK JACK   (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 118 4.50 13% 6.60 4.20  
 
ELP-3   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TITLE SHOT   (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 119 1.60 33% 2.00 2.79 W
2  WORDS OF WISDOM   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 4.00 29% 2.40 2.10 P
5  RIKIO   (beckman d )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 7.76  
8  PRIVATE CONNIE   (hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 ★ 6.57  
6  INDIAN SPRINGS   (campbell do)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00 46.72  
3  MOUNTAIN GHOST   (wiggins lon)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 ★ 11.72  
7  OFFICER NICK   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 11% 8.00 2.55  
SCR  SECRET EDGE   (hancock jack )BAILEY CHEL-C 113 20.00    
 
ELP-4   07/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FADETHENOISE   (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 6.10  
3  SAILOR'S CHANCE   (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00 6.58  
2  SPANISH DOUBLOON   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 29% 2.40 3.25 S
1  COACHES MEETING   (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.50 25% 2.90 5.37  
8  ST. NEOTS   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 6% 15.20 3.54  
9  LORD GRANTHAM   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 18.82  
6  SIVAKO   (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 8.00 4.39  
4  LUCKY'S SECRET   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 13.68  
7  LOOKA LOOKA   (pierce lac)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 40.73  
SCR  GO LITTLE ROCKSTAR   (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-5   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOURBON SPIRIT   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 31% 2.20 1.57 W
6  ACCIDENT   (short thomas)EMIGH A 119 4.00 15% 5.70 9.15 P
5  MIRANDA RIGHTS   (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 4.05  
7  MEMPHIS PHAROAH   (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 ★ 4.09  
3  BLUFF CITY   (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 33% 2.00 2.53  
2  MYSTIC MINISTER   (fletcher kev)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00 40.21  
1  DREAMFACTOR   (stinson willi)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 12.00 ★ 40.05  
 
ELP-6   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 F PT- 4:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FANCY MARTINI   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 20% 4.10 5.81 W
3  QUEROBIN DOURADA   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 6.58  
6  AMANI'S IMAGE   (gutierrez fau)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 5.63  
2  MAMA RINA   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 3.17  
1  CARIBBEAN NIGHT   (drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 21.27  
10  LAVISH HABITS   (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 ★ 3.71  
8  LADY ARSINOE   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 52% 0.90 5.65  
4  WICKED WONDER   (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 40.88  
9  BALI DREAMIN   (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00 8.84  
5  HARD LIKE HOLLY   (hughes w)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 94.77  
SCR  LAVENDAR LANE   (lyster ste)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
 
ELP-7   07/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LEGIONNAIRE   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 40% 1.50 1.21 W
3  WHAT'S UP DOC   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 22% 3.50 1.55 P
4  BOLD MEDICATION   (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 35.70  
1  INEXORABLE   (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 ★ 12.34  
5  YORK TAVERN   (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 25.44  
7  PORT ROYAL   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 27.94  
8  BLOW TORCH   (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00 14% 5.90 9.29  
6  UNCLE BERLEY   (asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 ★ 17.12  
10  CALL ME FAST   (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 12.00 21.95  
SCR  KINGMAKER   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
ELP-8   07/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CURRENT   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 31% 2.20 6.79 W
3  TEMPER TANTRUM   (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00 11.78 P
4  WHISKEY DOUBLE   (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 11.18  
5  NEXT   (cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 9% 9.80 2.32  
1  CELERITY   (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 117 20.00 45.30  
1A  ARTEMUS EAGLE   (cundiff waylon)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00 45.30  
7  ATTORNEY TIM   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 ★ 12.26  
8  BAMA BREEZE   (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 1.80 33% 2.00 1.15  
2  INTRADAY (BRZ)   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00 15.05  
 
ELP-9   07/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLA TERESA   (wojczynski ju)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.50 44% 1.30 7.01 W
6  BALL GOWN   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 6% 15.40 4.63 P
5  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX   (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00 7.29  
4  CAUSE CELEBRE   (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 10.46  
10  GET BY   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 ★ 4.37  
8  BELPERRON   (manley steve)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 27.71  
7  ALEATORY   (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 17.21  
2  MAHOMEBRED   (williamson brian)EMIGH A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 24.65  
3  RATHER BE LUCKY   (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 23% 3.40 1.68  
9  MISS NUCKOLS   (godsey mars)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 64.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.