Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Friday - July 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/08/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HAY SPORT 2 3 2½ 2nk   21½ 1¾ (thompson michael)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00 10% 9.30 11.40 W
1  BRUCE ON THE LOOSE 1 2 1½ 1nk   11½ 2¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 ★ 3.50 P
3  KEEP ON 3 7 77½ 77¼   64½ 31¾ (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 7% 12.50 14.80 S
7  TRIPLE CHROME 7 6 53½ 53½   43 42½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 2.00 12% 7.20 3.00  
5  A P BLAZING GREEN 5 5 65 67   75½ 54¼ (sanchez o)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 28.60  
4  ARTIE AND JESSIE 4 4 42 43   33 66½ (horvath fra)PETERSON FERRIN 124 50.00 65.30  
6  MR. CUNNINGHAM 6 1 31½ 31   54 79½ (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 0.60 50% 1.00 0.80  
 
ELP-2   07/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:24 :464 1:102 1:223   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THIRSTY BETRAYAL 4 3 31½ 42 2½ 1½ 11½ (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 2.50 13% 6.70 1.80 W
6  UNDECODED 5 2 52¾ 53½ 31½ 3½ 21½ (divito )DE CRUZ 115 5.00 4.60  
1  SOMETHING NATURAL 2 4 42½ 32 42 42 32¼ (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 19% 4.40 1.90  
2  KHOZAN'S VALENTINE 1 1 2nk 11 1½ 2½ 42½ (mosier harol)TAVARES JAVIER 123 3.50 47% 1.10 2.60  
4  FIGHTVILLE 3 5 1nk 21 53 54½ 519½ (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 ★ 13.70  
SCR  GO FOR SHERRIE               (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 ★    
SCR  MAKE NOISE               (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00 ★    
 
ELP-3   07/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 :57     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MEAN JAKEY 3 2 21 2nk   2nk 1hd (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 17% 4.80 3.00 W
7  COURTHOUSE COVE 6 1 11 1nk   1nk 2hd (plasters lori)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00 16% 5.30 33.80 P
1  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 1 5 66 52¼   41¼ 31 (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 8.00 ★ 10.40 S
5  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR 4 3 43½ 42   31 42½ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 3.00 ★ 3.10  
6  MASTER OF ARMS 5 6 32 31½   52¾ 54¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 2.00 36% 1.80 1.10  
2  BONUS APPRECIATION 2 4 54½ 65¼   68¾ 621¼ (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 6.40  
SCR  RESPECT THE CODE               (miller pe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
 
ELP-4   07/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:113 1:231   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NECK ON THE NILE 1 7 76½ 43 1½ 11½ 11 (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00 ★ 5.30  
6  HIGHLY DEVAUXTED 4 6 44½ 63½ 42 21½ 21 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.40 36% 1.80 1.40 P
7  SPRING MAGIC 5 2 33 32 2½ 33 35¾ (walsh p)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 11% 8.10 2.20 S
4  CLASSIC COYNE 3 3 11 1½ 31 43½ 47 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 25% 2.90 3.60  
9  A KITTEN FOR KATIE 7 5 65½ 73¾ 65 58 511½ (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00 38.60  
8  SAINT SISTA 6 1 21 2½ 54½ 610 620¼ (toye kara)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 18.50  
2  BROADBAND 2 4 54½ 53 76 712 720¼ (taylor )DE CRUZ 118 20.00 20.20  
SCR  APPLE EVER AFTER               (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  TAKE CARE               (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-5   07/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:222 :451       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ELI'S PROMISE 3 2 2nk 2nk   11½ 1½ (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 2.70  
2  MERAJ 2 1 1nk 1nk   32½ 2½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.80 36% 1.70 2.50 P
7  RETAINED 7 5 31½ 31½   21½ 31 (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 22% 3.50 2.10 S
1  ACCIDENT 1 6 66 56   44½ 41¾ (short thomas)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 8.00  
5  COLLECTORATE 5 3 42 43½   56½ 510 (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 ★ 18.30  
8  SILENT VOTE 8 7 78 711   711½ 612 (stinson w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00 6% 16.70 21.20  
4  GIANT AWAKENING 4 4 54½ 68½   611½ 715½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 7.90  
6  TIZWOW 6 8 816 821   824 828¼ (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 20.00 6% 16.70 36.80  
 
ELP-6   07/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:111 1:23   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CANDACE O 4 3 11½ 1½ 11 12 11¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 123 4.00 31% 2.20 2.80 W
9  LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH 8 12 1210 128¼ 75 22 21¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 123 6.00 ★ 12.40 P
6  BERATE 6 10 118½ 116¼ 108½ 75 31½ (mcgaughey cla)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 20.00 8.00  
10  FINAL BELLE 9 8 107 105¼ 86½ 65 42 (mott i)GRAHAM J 123 1.80 45% 1.20 2.60  
2  CHIONE 2 4 64½ 54 53 33½ 52 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 6.40  
7  DUPLICITOUS 7 2 32 42½ 42 44 62½ (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 15.00 27.40  
1  ROBIN'S FANTASY 1 1 42½ 32 31½ 54½ 75¾ (kelley a)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 7.10  
13  CUZZYWUZZY 12 11 21½ 2½ 21 86½ 86¼ (guer)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 30.00 45.00  
3  RED HOT MAMA 3 5 97 95¼ 97 97 96¾ (stewart da)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00 ★ 26.70  
12  PRINTER'S ROW 11 7 85½ 84¾ 1110 108½ 108½ (devaux cherie)PARKER L 123 10.00 11.40  
11  HAT TIP 10 6 75 74¼ 63½ 119½ 1110½ (williamson bri)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 20.00 ★ 30.90  
5  CHAMPAGNE SISTER 5 9 53½ 64 1218 1224½ 1235¼ (beckman d)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00 30.90  
SCR  MORE ROMANCE               (scherer m)HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:224 :444 :563     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EDGEMONT ROAD 6 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 1hd (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 ★ 12.40  
3  HERE MI SONG 3 6 41½ 3½   31 2hd (stinson w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.80 47% 1.10 1.40 P
4  THERIDEOFALIFETIME 4 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 32¼ (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.00 21% 3.70 2.30 S
7  AGGRESSIVITY 7 2 51¾ 64¼   52¾ 44 (poulos de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 19.10  
2  VIOLENT CITY 2 7 61¾ 74¼   74¼ 56¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.50 ★ 3.00  
1  DERBY DATE 1 5 72 52¾   42½ 66¾ (contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 122 5.00 10.30  
5  CYRIL'S BOY 5 3 31 4¾   62¾ 77 (poulos dee)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 20.00 10% 9.10 27.80  
 
ELP-8   07/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:104 1:224   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AALIYAH EZRI 1 1 21 22½ 11½ 13 13¾ (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 11.10  
5  SIGNADORA 4 5 43½ 43½ 33 23 23¾ (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.50 ★ 4.50 P
7  LADY PELE 6 7 96¼ 65 44½ 45½ 36¼ (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 ★ 3.40 S
10  ROSALITA 9 8 84¾ 33 21½ 34 48¾ (harrigan wi)PETERSON FERRIN 124 10.00 9.90  
6  OVERCOOKED 5 6 64½ 85¼ 66 68 511½ (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50 48% 1.10 3.20  
2  GHOST BAYOU 2 2 32 54 79½ 811½ 613½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 28% 2.50 2.20  
8  RED BEE 7 9 54½ 75 811½ 711 713½ (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 20.00 ★ 29.10  
9  VERY WEALTHY 8 4 74¾ 97¼ 55 58 814½ (lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 26.80  
4  LOVE PERFECTION 3 3 11 12½ 915 926½ 946¾ (caramori caio)DIAZ RENE 113 20.00 44.70  
SCR  LITTLE GIA               (vaccarezza)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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