Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Friday - July 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   07/08/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUCE ON THE LOOSE Jun19 May10 Apr20     (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 ★    
2  HAY SPORT         (thompson michael)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00 10% 9.30    
3  KEEP ON May13 Apr30       (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 7% 12.50    
4  ARTIE AND JESSIE         (horvath fra)PETERSON FERRIN 124 50.00    
5  A P BLAZING GREEN Jun24         (sanchez o)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00    
6  MR. CUNNINGHAM Mar03 Feb10 Jan22     (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 0.60 50% 1.00    
7  TRIPLE CHROME Jun11         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 2.00 12% 7.20    
 
ELP-2   07/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETHING NATURAL May08 Apr10 Mar06 Jan23 Jan01 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  GO FOR SHERRIE Jun21 May30 May10 Apr08 Mar17 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 ★    
2  KHOZAN'S VALENTINE Jun17 May24 May07     (mosier harol)TAVARES JAVIER 123 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  MAKE NOISE May28 Apr16 Mar17 Feb19   (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00 ★    
4  FIGHTVILLE May30 May14 Apr20 Mar23 Feb21 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 ★    
5  THIRSTY BETRAYAL Jun18 May27 Apr14 Mar10 Jan09 (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 2.50 13% 6.70    
6  UNDECODED Jun11 May27 Apr24 Mar24 Feb25 (divito )DE CRUZ 115 5.00    
 
ELP-3   07/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Jun17 Jun09 May22 Apr16 Apr02 (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 8.00 ★    
2  BONUS APPRECIATION         (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00    
SCR  RESPECT THE CODE Jun25 May29       (miller pe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
4  MEAN JAKEY Jun19 May07 Apr23 Apr02 Mar13 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 17% 4.80    
5  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Jun19 May29 Mar26     (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 3.00 ★    
6  MASTER OF ARMS Jun18 Jun05 May07 Apr09 Mar05 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  COURTHOUSE COVE Jun03 May03 Apr19 Apr03 Mar05 (plasters lori)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00 16% 5.30    
 
ELP-4   07/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NECK ON THE NILE Jun19 May15       (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00 ★    
2  BROADBAND Jun18         (taylor )DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
SCR  TAKE CARE         (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLASSIC COYNE Jun18 Jun04 May06 Apr08   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  APPLE EVER AFTER         (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
6  HIGHLY DEVAUXTED         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.40 36% 1.80    
7  SPRING MAGIC May30 May15 Mar26 Feb12 Jan15 (walsh p)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 11% 8.10    
8  SAINT SISTA Jun03         (toye li)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 12.00    
9  A KITTEN FOR KATIE         (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
 
ELP-5   07/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACCIDENT Jun26         (short thomas)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
2  MERAJ         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.80 36% 1.70    
3  ELI'S PROMISE Jun19         (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00    
4  GIANT AWAKENING         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
5  COLLECTORATE         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 ★    
6  TIZWOW         (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 20.00 6% 16.70    
7  RETAINED         (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  SILENT VOTE         (stinson w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00 6% 16.70    
 
ELP-6   07/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBIN'S FANTASY May14 Apr27 Mar31 Feb11   (kelley a)BEJARANO R 123 15.00    
2  CHIONE May25 Feb21 Jan21     (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00    
3  RED HOT MAMA May14 Apr02 Feb21     (stewart da)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00 ★    
4  CANDACE O Feb25         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 123 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  CHAMPAGNE SISTER May26         (beckman d)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00    
6  BERATE May29         (mcgaughey cla)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 20.00    
7  DUPLICITOUS Jun23 Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 Feb20 (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 15.00    
SCR  MORE ROMANCE May13         (scherer m)HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00    
9  LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH Jun02 May03 Apr15     (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 123 6.00 ★    
10  FINAL BELLE May07 Apr15 Jan29     (mott i)GRAHAM J 123 1.80 45% 1.20    
11  HAT TIP May12 Apr20       (williamson bri)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 20.00 ★    
12  PRINTER'S ROW May29 Apr09 Feb11     (devaux cherie)PARKER L 123 10.00    
13  CUZZYWUZZY Jun09 May12 Apr20 Mar17 Feb17 (guer)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY DATE May27 Apr30 Mar18     (contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 122 5.00    
2  VIOLENT CITY Jun12 May15 Apr16 Feb05 Jan07 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.50 ★    
3  HERE MI SONG Apr16 Mar12 Jan01     (stinson w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
4  THERIDEOFALIFETIME Jun12 May15 Apr16     (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
5  CYRIL'S BOY Jun17 May27 May06     (poulos dee)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 20.00 10% 9.10    
6  EDGEMONT ROAD Jun12 May17       (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 ★    
7  AGGRESSIVITY Jun11 May28 May07 Apr17 Jan01 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
 
ELP-8   07/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AALIYAH EZRI May27 Apr13       (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
2  GHOST BAYOU         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  LITTLE GIA         (vaccarezza)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00    
4  LOVE PERFECTION         (caramori caio)DIAZ RENE 113 20.00    
5  SIGNADORA         (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.50 ★    
6  OVERCOOKED Jun04 Apr24       (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
7  LADY PELE Jun18 Apr22       (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 ★    
8  RED BEE         (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 20.00 ★    
9  VERY WEALTHY May20 Apr22 Mar10 Feb17   (lucas wayne)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
10  ROSALITA         (harrigan wi)PETERSON FERRIN 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.