Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:13 1:26   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONED 4 4 3 36 2½ 2nk 1nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 18% 4.60 1.50 W
CAJUN BLAST 1 1 14 16 1½ 1nk 2nk (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 2.70  
ANGLOPHILE 2 2 24 26 32 3 3¼ (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 3.50 1.10  
STATE CHAMP 3 3 48 49 4 410½ 420¼ (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
SCR  CABALLO FELIZ               (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRAMA CRITIC               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00    
SCR  HEZMORETHANREADY               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
ELP-2   07/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:231 :463 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL OPERATOR 5 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 12 (desormeaux ke)CANNON DECLAN 119 2.50 30% 2.40 2.60 W
EL RAYO (ARG) 4 5 42 42   3 22 (manley steve)EMIGH A 119 4.00 2.20  
TWIST OF FAITH 3 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 3 (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 2.00 21% 3.70 2.10 S
CAMBIASO 2 1 5 5   4 47 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5.10  
1A  MAMAS HOME COOKING 6 4 3½ 3   5 516¼ (martin dawn)DIEGO JAVIER 119 12.00 6% 15.10 5.40  
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 1 6 610 611¼   614¾ 624¼ (martin dawn)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5.40  
SCR  WEST JET               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 10% 9.50    
 
ELP-3   07/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:11 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALRISSIAN 4 5 3 2 31 31 1nk (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00 6% 15.20 6.30 W
SILVER BLUR 1 4 21 3 1nk 1nk 2nk (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 11% 8.10 2.90 DQ↓3
BUEHLER'S DAY OFF 5 1 11 1 2nk 2nk 3¼ (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 6.00 15% 5.80 3.40 P
URBAN RECOVERY 3 2 53 5 5 4 43 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 2.50  
FLYING FRED 2 3 4 42 4 5 5 (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.50 6.00  
LEVY 6 6 6 64 6 6 6 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 4.90  
SCR  BLUEGRASS ROYALE               (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
SCR  DOUBLE SPUN               (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  KANSAS COMET               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
ELP-4   07/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:084     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JENNINGS 1 4 67 68   43 1 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 18% 4.70 3.30 W
GULFSTREAM WAY 2 1 1½ 1nk   1 2 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 1.20 43% 1.30 0.40 P
STELLAR TAP 4 5 55 55   3 3 (hawley wesley)LANERIE J 120 4.50 13% 6.70 7.30 S
LAMUTANAATTY 3 2 2½ 2nk   2 4 (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 117 15.00 24.00  
TRASHTALKINYANKEE 6 3 3 3   53 5 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 14.20  
BELFAST BOY 5 6 4 4   6 69 (hiles rick)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 20.40  
 
ELP-5   07/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:224 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL IN SYNC 2 4 42 31   1½ 1nk (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 29% 2.50 0.70 W
CALL ME MIDNIGHT 1 3 31 2nk   2½ 2nk (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 1.40  
SHELTOWEE'S BALI 4 2 21 4   43 3 (larue steve)EMIGH A 118 12.00 13% 6.90 13.00 S
EMPEROROFTHEDARK 3 1 11 1nk   31 4 (douaih)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 10.00 5.20  
SCR  B D VALESKI               (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 1.60    
SCR  CIRCLE BACK JACK               (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
ELP-6   07/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:23 :461 :581     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLAR REIGN 6 1 11 1   1 1 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 19.50  
YOUR SO SILLEA 4 5 42 33   2 2 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 119 3.50 29% 2.50 6.20 P
10  SOMEBODY LOVES ME 9 4 7 54   5 33 (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 14.20  
SMUGNESS 8 3 5 7   6 4 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 7% 14.30 1.10  
TAKE CARE 1 7 8 9   7 56 (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 9.40  
ROLLESTON 5 9 64 4   42 66 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 31.60  
POWER TO PLAY 2 6 31 2   3 77 (calhoun br)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 5.00  
MADELYN'S MAGIC 3 8 10 87   9 8 (jones larry)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 20.00 13.40  
CANDY ISLAND 7 2 21 6   8 911½ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 13.50  
12  TAYLOR B 10 11 11 1111   10 1015 (stinson wil)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 20.00 20.00  
13  EMOJI PRINCESS 11 10 9 10   1112¼ 1121 (schlenk jada )STILLION BROOKE 119 30.00 52.10  
SCR  MI CRESCENDO               (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MORE THAN VOWS               (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 5.00 39% 1.50    
 
ELP-7   07/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:234 :462 1:103 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTREMA 1 2 32 3 2 1½ 1 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00 2.50  
SISTER ANNIE 2 1 1 1 1 2½ 2 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.00 24% 3.20 0.30 P
TAKNTOTHECLEANERS 3 3 2 2 33 35 3 (west w)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 4.40  
SCR  SOUTHERN SKY               (royal madelyn)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00    
SCR  UNDISTURBED               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  FAIR GAME               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
SCR  VEZPA (BRZ)               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00    
SCR  CAROLINE'S STORY               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  DEMODOG               (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
 
ELP-8   07/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:113 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREATY 4 2 3 32 4 3½ 1 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 3.40  
SCOTCH NO ROCKS 2 1 1½ 11 1nk 1nk 2 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 4.20  
JOLLY TOMMY 5 5 2½ 21 2nk 2nk 3 (york keith)LANERIE J 118 4.00 31% 2.20 3.30 S
MUCHO MOJO 6 3 4 42 3.2 41 46 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 23% 3.30 2.10  
NO LIMITATION 3 4 5 54 5 54 511½ (morey william )LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 9.80  
HOUDINI'S AWESOME 1 6 6100 6100 6100 6100 6100 (west w)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 12% 7.20 5.00  
SCR  AQUACAT               (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00    
SCR  BRIGHT SPARK               (flint berna)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 30.00    
SCR  COMMAND CENTRAL               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 30.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  DAISY'S DOC               (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00    
SCR  SAILOR'S RETURN               (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.