Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Friday - July 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GARDENLY 5 5 42½ 41½ 41 1nk 12 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 58% 0.70 1.66 W
3  PISTOL 2 1 2nk 2nk 1½ 2nk 22 (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 113 2.50 ★ 1.46 P
6  CUZZYWUZZY 4 4 52¾ 52 52½ 46 314½ (guerrero sal)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 ★ 12.70 S
2  BALLYKEEN 1 2 1nk 1nk 2½ 35 416 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 13% 6.50 3.78  
4  BELIEVING 3 3 31 31 31 56½ 517 (shorter aaron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 5.69  
SCR  AVENIDA MANANA               (larue steve)EMIGH A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHEROKEE SONG               (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 122 15.00    
SCR  CONDIMENT GIRL               (medina robert)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
 
ELP-2   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:124 1:25   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LET'S DUET 5 6 3½ 3½ 2nk 1½ 12¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.17 W
6  COASTAL CHARM 6 3 2½ 1nk 1nk 2½ 22¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.80 17% 5.00 1.59 P
4  MCMANSION 4 5 62¼ 52 32 43½ 34½ (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.00 ★ 1.99 S
3  STUPENDOUS 3 2 52 41½ 52¼ 33 45¾ (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 53% 0.90 4.13  
1  BAL A BAE BEE 1 1 1½ 2nk 42¼ 55½ 513 (hill f)DIAZ RENE 113 25.00 29.23  
2  TIZMISSBETTY 2 4 41½ 62½ 66¾ 611½ 624 (brennan terry)MILLER CHASE 118 12.00 ★ 38.63  
 
ELP-3   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:104 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OUT WORK'N 2 2 11 12½ 13½ 13½ 16¾ (ramos o)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 3.38  
1  BLUNDER 1 4 44 33½ 23½ 23½ 26¾ (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 113 1.20 50% 1.00 0.38 P
4  COMMAND CENTRAL 3 1 21 22½ 35½ 36½ 38¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 12% 7.60 7.07 S
11  BICKELL 6 5 54 44 48½ 410 414 (demeritte l)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 13.38  
10  STAVANGER 5 6 611 611½ 514½ 515½ 520½ (hamilton sara)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 15.00 26.08  
5  XKUZ 4 3 32 56½ 617 623½ 640¼ (michael brian)COURT K 118 12.00 29.30  
SCR  KING OF STING               (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 ★    
SCR  GET US ONE               (meah m)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUCKEYE JIMMY               (beckman whitwor)COHEN DAVID 124 15.00    
SCR  BOONE'S SPIRIT               (hughes byron )PETERSON FERRIN 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
SCR  BEOCCA               (minnock g)LANERIE J 124 12.00    
SCR  MISSOURI GENT               (manley steve)LOPEZ E 118 15.00    
SCR  AQUACAT               (beckman whitworth)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
 
ELP-4   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:224 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JILLS PASSION 5 2 21 2½   2nk 13 (stinson w)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 4.10  
4  JOY ENAMORADA 3 1 11 1½   1nk 23 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 5.00 ★ 4.09 P
8  SENORITA AURORA 7 5 79 711½   57½ 34¼ (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 122 10.00 24.78  
2  TETON THAI 1 3 32½ 33½   32½ 45¾ (house gary)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 16.46  
7  I LOVE TO RACE 6 7 45 44   44½ 55¾ (rodriguez eduardo)HOLMES GAGE 115 12.00 18% 4.50 11.45  
3  FIELD DAISEY 2 4 56½ 610   610 68 (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.50 ★ 1.51  
5  MARCIE'S CANDY 4 6 67 58½   710¼ 78½ (cano mu)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 27% 2.70 3.06  
SCR  ESTARDO               (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
ELP-5   07/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:121 1:374   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FED MONEY 2 2 1nk 12½ 12½ 13½ 16½ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 123 8.00 ★ 2.59  
7  LAND REMEMBERED 4 5 58 512 57½ 23½ 26½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 5.00 ★ 2.79 P
8  NOMADIC FIGHTER 5 4 45½ 44 34½ 37½ 315¾ (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 2.50 15% 5.70 1.32 S
2  MO BETTA 1 1 2nk 22½ 45 511 419½ (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 116 20.00 8.03  
1A  COSME 3 3 34½ 32½ 22½ 49 520¼ (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 10.00 6.76  
SCR  CHISHOLM TRAIL               (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.50 ★    
SCR  HIGH DEFF (FR)               (kenneally ed)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 3.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE               (rodriguez e)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
SCR  STOCKPILER               (margolis ste)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
 
ELP-6   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:14 1:261   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISS RIDDLER 5 2 21 2½ 2nk 11 12½ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 4.09  
6  MENDED WE STAND 6 5 32 32 31 33½ 22½ (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 2.58  
3  WEEHAWKEN 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 21 34 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 18% 4.60 1.23 S
4  LIKE FINE WINE 4 6 53½ 53½ 42 44 45¾ (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 7.58  
1  PADDY GAL 1 4 42 42 52¼ 54½ 57½ (wilkes ian )HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 8.30  
2  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 2 3 64½ 64½ 63¾ 66½ 68¼ (leonard g)DE CRUZ 119 30.00 14.48  
SCR  SABALENKA               (beckman wh)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
SCR  MARMO MOON               (walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  DESERT TEMPEST               (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  COTTON CANDY ANNIE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  CHIQUITA MOSCA               (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  BOUDICA               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 15.00    
SCR  SOUTHLAWN               (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 1.60 19% 4.30    
SCR  BONITA D'ORO               (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
 
ELP-7   07/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:10     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  B DAWK 7 2 3½ 3.2   11 11½ (o'neill doug)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 24% 3.20 2.18 W
5  OPEN ROAD 4 9 96 85   33 21½ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 37% 1.70 2.42 P
9  RAYMOND 8 1 52½ 42¼   21 32¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 ★ 5.77 S
3  IGNITIS 2 5 42 62½   45 44 (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 115 12.00 6.97  
7  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 6 7 75 74½   65½ 54 (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 8.62  
6  COURTHOUSE COVE 5 3 2½ 2nk   55½ 610¾ (plasters lori)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00 11% 8.30 27.90  
1  BLUE NORTHER 1 4 1½ 1nk   78 713 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 5.16  
4  HOLIDAY HOUSE 3 8 63 52¼   89 816½ (morrison mike)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00 57.46  
10  LEVEE PROUD 9 6 85½ 99½   916 926 (michael brian)COURT K 120 20.00 64.43  
SCR  BUREAU               (watkins m)EMIGH A 120 15.00    
 
ELP-8   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:101 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NOT SO CLOSE 6 1 1½ 12 13 16 114 (casse w)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 12.82  
8  SACRED KITTEN 7 4 35 34½ 23 26 214 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 15.00 8.60  
10  MY LILY MAE 9 8 78½ 810½ 68½ 38½ 317½ (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 8.00 6% 14.40 3.17 S
2  HEDY LAMARR 2 2 46 44½ 35 48½ 419½ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 3.76  
13  SHA GIRL 11 11 1014½ 914 913 715 520¾ (romans dale)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 18.74  
4  EIVISSA 4 6 56½ 56½ 57½ 511 622¼ (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 20% 4.00 3.51  
3  LITTLE GIA 3 9 1116 1118½ 1015 918½ 723¾ (vaccarezza c)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00 64.09  
9  TIFFANY'S MO 8 10 89½ 78½ 46½ 613 826 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 9% 10.70 3.59  
1  BALI KUTA 1 3 66½ 67½ 710½ 817½ 928¼ (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 18.94  
5  BELLA MORNING 5 5 911 1017 1119 1126½ 1039¾ (pittman bonnie)HOLMES GAGE 111 20.00 94.42  
12  LIAM'S NESSY 10 7 2½ 22 812½ 1022½ 1153¼ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 48.50  
SCR  RED BEE               (cundiff waylo)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 30.00    
SCR  ROSALITA               (harrigan will)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
SCR  SPARE CASH               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.