Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Friday - July 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARDENLY   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 58% 0.70 1.66 W
PISTOL   (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 113 2.50 1.46 P
CUZZYWUZZY   (guerrero sal)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 12.70 S
BALLYKEEN   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 13% 6.50 3.78  
BELIEVING (IRE)   (shorter aaro)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 5.69  
SCR  AVENIDA MANANA   (larue steve)EMIGH A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHEROKEE SONG   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 15.00    
SCR  CONDIMENT GIRL   (medina robe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
 
ELP-2   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S DUET   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.17 W
COASTAL CHARM   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.80 17% 5.00 1.59 P
MCMANSION   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.00 1.99 S
STUPENDOUS   (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 53% 0.90 4.13  
BAL A BAE BEE   (hill f)DIAZ RENE 113 25.00 29.23  
TIZMISSBETTY   (brennan terry)MILLER CHASE 118 12.00 38.63  
 
ELP-3   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT WORK'N   (ramos juan)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 3.38  
BLUNDER   (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 113 1.20 50% 1.00 0.38 P
COMMAND CENTRAL   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 12% 7.60 7.07 S
11  BICKELL   (demeritte)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 13.38  
10  STAVANGER   (hamilton sa)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 15.00 26.08  
XKUZ   (michael brian)COURT K 118 12.00 29.30  
SCR  KING OF STING   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50    
SCR  GET US ONE   (meah m)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUCKEYE JIMMY   (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 124 15.00    
SCR  BOONE'S SPIRIT   (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
SCR  BEOCCA   (minnock g)LANERIE J 124 12.00    
SCR  MISSOURI GENT   (manley steve)LOPEZ E 118 15.00    
SCR  AQUACAT   (beckman whitwort)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
 
ELP-4   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JILLS PASSION   (stinson)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 4.10  
JOY ENAMORADA   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 5.00 4.09 P
SENORITA AURORA   (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 122 10.00 24.78  
TETON THAI   (house gary)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 16.46  
I LOVE TO RACE   (rodriguez eduar)HOLMES GAGE 115 12.00 18% 4.50 11.45  
FIELD DAISEY   (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.50 1.51  
MARCIE'S CANDY   (cano juan )HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 27% 2.70 3.06  
SCR  ESTARDO   (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
ELP-5   07/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FED MONEY   (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 123 8.00 2.59  
LAND REMEMBERED   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 5.00 2.79 P
NOMADIC FIGHTER   (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 2.50 15% 5.70 1.32 S
MO BETTA   (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 116 20.00 8.03  
1A  COSME   (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 10.00 6.76  
SCR  CHISHOLM TRAIL   (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.50    
SCR  HIGH DEFF (FR)   (kenneally )MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 3.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE   (rodriguez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
SCR  STOCKPILER   (margolis s)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
 
ELP-6   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS RIDDLER   (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 4.09  
MENDED WE STAND   (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 2.58  
WEEHAWKEN   (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 18% 4.60 1.23 S
LIKE FINE WINE   (wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 7.58  
PADDY GAL   (wilkes ia)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 8.30  
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF   (leonard)DE CRUZ 119 30.00 14.48  
SCR  SABALENKA   (beckman d )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
SCR  MARMO MOON   (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  DESERT TEMPEST   (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50    
SCR  COTTON CANDY ANNIE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  CHIQUITA MOSCA   (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  BOUDICA   (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 15.00    
SCR  SOUTHLAWN   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 1.60 19% 4.30    
SCR  BONITA D'ORO   (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
 
ELP-7   07/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B DAWK   (o'neill do)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 24% 3.20 2.18 W
OPEN ROAD   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 37% 1.70 2.42 P
RAYMOND   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 5.77 S
IGNITIS   (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 115 12.00 6.97  
KUNSHAN BRIDGE   (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 8.62  
COURTHOUSE COVE   (plasters lori)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00 11% 8.30 27.90  
BLUE NORTHER   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 5.16  
HOLIDAY HOUSE   (morrison mik)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00 57.46  
10  LEVEE PROUD   (michael brian)COURT K 120 20.00 64.43  
SCR  BUREAU   (watkins m)EMIGH A 120 15.00    
 
ELP-8   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT SO CLOSE   (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 12.82  
SACRED KITTEN   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 15.00 8.60  
10  MY LILY MAE   (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 8.00 6% 14.40 3.17 S
HEDY LAMARR   (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 3.76  
13  SHA GIRL   (romans dal)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 18.74  
EIVISSA   (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 20% 4.00 3.51  
LITTLE GIA   (vaccarezza)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00 64.09  
TIFFANY'S MO   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 9% 10.70 3.59  
BALI KUTA   (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 18.94  
BELLA MORNING   (pittman bonnie)HOLMES GAGE 111 20.00 94.42  
12  LIAM'S NESSY   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 48.50  
SCR  RED BEE   (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 30.00    
SCR  ROSALITA   (harrigan wi)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
SCR  SPARE CASH   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.