Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ellis Park
Friday - July 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELP-1   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHEROKEE SONG Jun08         (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 122 15.00    
BALLYKEEN May22 Apr02       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 13% 6.50    
PISTOL Jun29 Jun02 Apr21 Mar16 Feb19 (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 113 2.50    
BELIEVING Jun17 Jun02 May26 Apr16 Feb12 (shorter aaron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50    
SCR  AVENIDA MANANA Jul23 Jun27 Jun14 Jun12 Jun07 (larue steve)EMIGH A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
CUZZYWUZZY Jul08 Jun09 May12 Apr20 Mar17 (guerrero sal)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00    
GARDENLY Jul07 May30       (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  CONDIMENT GIRL May22 Apr29       (medina robert)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
 
ELP-2   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAL A BAE BEE Jun11         (hill f)DIAZ RENE 113 25.00    
TIZMISSBETTY Jul03 Mar12 Feb18     (brennan terry)MILLER CHASE 118 12.00    
STUPENDOUS Jul15 Jun12 Mar18 Feb06   (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 53% 0.90    
MCMANSION Jul01 Jun19 May19 Mar20 Feb27 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.00    
LET'S DUET Apr27         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
COASTAL CHARM Apr15         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.80 17% 5.00    
 
ELP-3   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUNDER Jul11 Jun19       (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 113 1.20 50% 1.00    
SCR  AQUACAT Jun24 Apr28       (beckman whitworth)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
OUT WORK'N Jun19 Jun02 May13 Apr30 Mar06 (ramos o)AYALA ISAIAS 124 4.00    
COMMAND CENTRAL Jun24 Mar12 Feb23 Jan16   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 12% 7.60    
XKUZ         (michael brian)COURT K 118 12.00    
SCR  BEOCCA         (minnock g)LANERIE J 124 12.00    
SCR  BUCKEYE JIMMY Jun22         (beckman whitwor)COHEN DAVID 124 15.00    
SCR  MISSOURI GENT Jul08 Jun03 May13     (manley steve)LOPEZ E 118 15.00    
SCR  GET US ONE Jul08 May25 Apr24 Apr02   (meah m)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  STAVANGER Jun24 Apr24 Feb21 Feb03   (hamilton sara)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 15.00    
11  BICKELL Jun17 Jan08       (demeritte l)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  KING OF STING Jul02 Jun18 May19 Apr15 Mar03 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50    
SCR  BOONE'S SPIRIT Jul11 Jun20 Apr01 Mar12 Feb23 (hughes byron )PETERSON FERRIN 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
 
ELP-4   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ESTARDO         (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
TETON THAI Jun17 Apr16 Mar27 Feb05 Jan08 (house gary)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00    
FIELD DAISEY Jun30 Jun11 May12 Jan28 Jan13 (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.50    
JOY ENAMORADA Jun25 Jun10 May14 Apr30 Apr09 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 5.00    
MARCIE'S CANDY Jul13 Jun18 Jun03 May14 Feb16 (cano mu)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
JILLS PASSION May26 Apr26       (stinson w)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
I LOVE TO RACE Jun18 Jun04 May21 May13 May07 (rodriguez eduardo)HOLMES GAGE 115 12.00 18% 4.50    
SENORITA AURORA Jun25 May28 May07 Apr17 Apr02 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 122 10.00    
 
ELP-5   07/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  COSME Jun17         (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 10.00    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE Jun25 Jun03 May08 Apr17 Apr03 (rodriguez e)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
MO BETTA Jun23 Apr22 Mar18 Feb25 Jan16 (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 116 20.00    
SCR  STOCKPILER Jun10 May19 Mar23 Feb28 Feb10 (margolis ste)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
SCR  CHISHOLM TRAIL Jul09 May27 Apr03 Mar11 Feb18 (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.50    
SCR  HIGH DEFF (FR) Jun23 May28 Apr24 Mar18 Jan21 (kenneally ed)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 3.50 59% 0.70    
FED MONEY Jun23 May30 May12 Mar20 Feb25 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 123 8.00    
LAND REMEMBERED         (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 5.00    
NOMADIC FIGHTER Jul10 Jun20       (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 2.50 15% 5.70    
 
ELP-6   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PADDY GAL         (wilkes ian )HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 May20 Apr21 (leonard g)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
WEEHAWKEN         (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
LIKE FINE WINE         (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
MISS RIDDLER         (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00    
MENDED WE STAND         (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00    
SCR  SABALENKA         (beckman wh)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
SCR  BONITA D'ORO         (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
SCR  MARMO MOON         (walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  DESERT TEMPEST         (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50    
SCR  COTTON CANDY ANNIE Jun29 Jun08       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  SOUTHLAWN Jun03         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 1.60 19% 4.30    
SCR  BOUDICA         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 15.00    
SCR  CHIQUITA MOSCA Jul04 Jun19 May26     (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00 5% 18.40    
 
ELP-7   07/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE NORTHER Apr16 Feb20 Jan15     (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
SCR  BUREAU Jul09 Jun18 May14 Apr27 Apr01 (watkins m)EMIGH A 120 15.00    
IGNITIS Jun25 Jun12 May07 Apr08 Mar25 (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 115 12.00    
HOLIDAY HOUSE Apr23 Feb28 Feb05     (morrison mike)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
OPEN ROAD Jun19 May20       (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
COURTHOUSE COVE Jul08 Jun03 May03 Apr19 Apr03 (plasters lori)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
KUNSHAN BRIDGE Jul08 Jun17 Jun09 May22 Apr16 (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
B DAWK Jun19 May21 Apr24 Mar26 Feb21 (o'neill doug)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
RAYMOND Jun19 May29 Apr23     (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
10  LEVEE PROUD Jun02 Apr30 Mar17 Feb11 Jan10 (michael brian)COURT K 120 20.00    
 
ELP-8   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALI KUTA         (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
HEDY LAMARR Jun30 Jun03 Jan02     (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
LITTLE GIA         (vaccarezza c)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00    
EIVISSA Jun19 May19       (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 20% 4.00    
BELLA MORNING Apr15 Apr02       (pittman bonnie)HOLMES GAGE 111 20.00    
SCR  SPARE CASH Jun30 May15 Apr27 Mar24 Feb11 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
NOT SO CLOSE         (casse w)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SACRED KITTEN Jun30 Jun04 May15 Apr22   (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
TIFFANY'S MO Jun30 Jun03 Apr21 Mar05   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 9% 10.70    
10  MY LILY MAE Jul02 May14 Apr22 Apr02 Mar19 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 8.00 6% 14.40    
SCR  ROSALITA Jul08         (harrigan will)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
12  LIAM'S NESSY Jun24         (calhoun willia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00    
13  SHA GIRL May26         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00    
SCR  RED BEE Jul08         (cundiff waylo)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.