Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:111 1:231   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  INDICIA 5 4 45 53 41 3.2 1½ (reavis l)EMIGH A 123 8.00 3.95  
10  PRINCESS NINA 7 5 76¾ 64 62½ 41¾ 2½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 2.50 50% 1.00 1.63 P
2  LEA RO 2 1 22 21½ 1nk 1nk 31½ (cox e)ORTIZ ALVIN 123 12.00 11% 7.70 16.88 S
4  UNDECODED 3 3 33½ 31½ 2nk 2nk 43¾ (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.50 12% 7.10 2.03  
6  SARIAH SARIAH 4 7 65¼ 75 74½ 64¾ 56 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 4.50 14.74  
9  SEAWARD 6 6 55 42 3½ 53¼ 67½ (hernandez jav)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 6.00 ★ 9.18  
1  AVENIDA MANANA 1 2 12 11½ 52 76¾ 711¼ (larue ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 116 30.00 5% 19.00 11.07  
SCR  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN               (casse w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
SCR  LUCKY CARLENE               (toye kara)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
SCR  ZANDREA'S               (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 123 8.00    
 
ELP-2   07/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:58
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:122 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HORSE DADDY 3 1 22½ 32 1½ 12½ 18 (asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 113 2.00 34% 1.90 2.28 W
7  TRIPLE CHROME 5 4 33½ 21½ 2½ 22½ 28 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 2.50 ★ 1.99 P
2  FLAGSTONE 2 2 12½ 11½ 32½ 34 39 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 12.33  
6  BEL ARIA 4 5 55 55½ 54 47 413¼ (parker donald)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 6.00 ★ 12.67  
1  CABANA TIME 1 3 43½ 44 44 59 519¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 30% 2.40 1.34  
SCR  ATOMIC TONE               (gutierrez f)PETERSON FERRIN 118 8.00    
SCR  MISSOURI GENT               (manley steve)LOPEZ E 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
 
ELP-3   07/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($62K) 3 F PT-12:26
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:093 1:334   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SURPRISINGLY 5 5 66 53¾ 41¾ 2nk 13¼ (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 8% 11.80 2.14 W
5  ROUGHLY A DIAMOND 4 4 55 63¾ 62 3½ 23¼ (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.00 18% 4.70 9.67 P
7  VALENTINA DAY 6 6 2½ 2nk 1nk 1nk 33¼ (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 19.38  
3  BESIDE HERSELF 2 3 43 41¾ 51¾ 62¾ 44½ (pletcher a)LANERIE J 118 0.80 47% 1.10 1.28  
4  PRINCESS PAULINE 3 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 41 56 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★ 17.31  
2  ZAWISH 1 2 32 31½ 3.2 52½ 66½ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 ★ 2.85  
SCR  PISTOL               (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00    
 
ELP-4   07/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:54
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BONUS APPRECIATION 5 1 51¾ 62¼   3½ 11 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5.81  
7  THE PENINSULA 6 2 41¼ 41¼   2½ 21 (meah m)DIAZ RENE 113 12.00 17% 4.90 14.32 P
4  PATH TO SUCCESS 2 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 31 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 6.00 ★ 5.19 S
1A  NINETIES COUNTRY 4 6 62¼ 51¼   42½ 43¼ (gut)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 2.00 57% 0.70 2.43  
3  READTHETRANSCRIPT 1 3 2nk 2nk   52¾ 57½ (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 12.00 31.08  
5  OFFICIAL BUSINESS 3 5 31 31   66¾ 623¼ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 ★ 0.93  
SCR  ARROW STRIKE               (gutierrez fausti)BEJARANO R 120 2.00 ★    
SCR  BABY QUINN               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 ★    
 
ELP-5   07/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:112 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MY BROTHER CAM 5 2 11 11½ 11 11½ 1nk (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 15.00 5% 19.00 3.48 W
8  UNLEASH THE POWER 8 9 74¼ 64 42½ 21½ 1nk (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 29.85 DH
4  TOLKIEN 4 5 85¾ 85¼ 63½ 32½ 3nk (vaccarezza car)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 74% 0.40 7.10 S
2  SAILOR'S RETURN 2 11 118¼ 95¾ 73¾ 52¾ 4½ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 ★ 2.34  
1  ALYANAABI 1 1 31 42 21 42½ 53¾ (peitz dan )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 ★ 2.84  
3  SPUNS SON 3 4 42 53 53 64¼ 65¾ (taylor br)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 31.62  
6  LAWMAKER 6 3 21 21½ 31 75¾ 76¾ (manley steve)LOPEZ E 120 6.00 15.93  
10  MR BOLDACIOUS 10 8 63¼ 74¼ 95¾ 98¼ 810¼ (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 ★ 10.19  
9  STRINGS 9 7 52¼ 32 85¼ 87¾ 910½ (demeritte lar)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 17.19  
7  CHARLIE'S BEACH 7 6 96¾ 107¾ 109¼ 1013¼ 1018¼ (thurman r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 50.00 71.51  
11  CRYPTIC CODE 11 10 108¼ 119¾ 1114¾ 1122¾ 1149 (ricker c)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00 36.21  
 
ELP-6   07/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BOSS LADY BAILEY 8 1 31 2nk   2nk 1¼ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 37% 1.70 1.69 W
6  FUN AND FEISTY 6 5 72½ 53   1nk 2¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 33% 2.00 1.59 P
1  BOLTED 1 7 62½ 42   42 31 (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 ★ 6.43 S
7  EAST SHORE 7 4 52 3½   31 44½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 45.33  
2  KILLING TIME 2 3 1½ 1nk   53½ 59¾ (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00 ★ 6.51  
3  DOT MARIE 3 6 41½ 74   66½ 69¾ (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 6% 15.20 9.53  
5  WICKED FLIGHT 5 8 85 86   711½ 721 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 119 8.00 16.35  
4  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN 4 2 2½ 63½   826½ 876½ (reec)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 68.51  
 
ELP-7   07/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:213 :432 :544     1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FORE LEFT 3 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 1¾ (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00 6.04  
2  BAD BEAT BRIAN 2 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2¾ (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 122 1.20 28% 2.60 0.98 P
1  IAN GLASS 1 3 31½ 31   32 34¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00 ★ 10.79 S
6  SHACKLEFORD'S JOY 6 7 76½ 76½   75¼ 45 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 23.79  
5  SIEM RIEP 5 5 51¾ 41¼   43½ 56¼ (brennan t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.50 24% 3.30 6.92  
7  RACE DRIVER 7 6 62 61½   64¼ 66¾ (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 10% 9.40 5.35  
4  CITY DRIFTER 4 4 41¾ 51¼   53¾ 76¾ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 10.00 14% 6.10 5.30  
SCR  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT               (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00    
SCR  WILD POPIT               (morse l)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
 
ELP-8   07/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:11 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TAKE A STAND 7 7 42½ 51¾ 41 1½ 12¾ (oliver )DE CRUZ 118 6.00 19% 4.40 2.95 W
4  TAKE CHARGE LORIN 4 3 11½ 1½ 1nk 3½ 22¾ (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 118 3.00 ★ 3.37 P
1  OUTLINING 1 2 21½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 34 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 8% 11.00 4.14 S
3  LADY TRAVELER 3 6 62¾ 41½ 53½ 43 46 (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 123 3.50 13% 6.70 2.41  
2  CAPTAIRE 2 1 52¾ 62¾ 65½ 76¾ 57 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 10.32  
5  DIVINE HOPE 5 4 74¼ 73¾ 77½ 65¼ 68½ (taylor br)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 8.79  
7  SHOSHONI MOON 6 5 31½ 3½ 3½ 53¼ 79¼ (lyster step)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 8.00 17.74  
SCR  TRAVERSE               (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 31% 2.30    
 
ELP-9   07/23/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:111 1:351   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDER ONE SKY 1 1 31½ 32 31½ 2nk 11 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 ★ 3.73  
6  LOVELY PRINCESS 6 4 1½ 2nk 1nk 1nk 21 (mcpeek kennet)LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00 8.30  
5  SHADY ROAD 5 5 52½ 53½ 53½ 63½ 33½ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 3.97  
8  MEJTHAAM 8 7 84¾ 85¼ 85¼ 53 44 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 124 20.00 27.06  
9  MISS EVERYTHING 9 9 74¼ 75¼ 95¼ 85¼ 55 (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 13.10  
2  WHAT'S TO DO 2 2 95¾ 95½ 63¾ 31½ 65¾ (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 118 8.00 6.11  
3  LANTERN'S CANDY 3 3 117¼ 117½ 117¼ 73¾ 75¾ (glyshaw t)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 ★ 53.78  
11  ENGLISH TREASURE 11 10 2½ 1nk 2nk 42½ 87¾ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 ★ 2.38  
7  SEIVER 7 11 105¾ 106½ 105¾ 97¾ 910¼ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 31% 2.20 17.62  
10  SPARTINA 10 8 62¾ 63¾ 74¼ 109¼ 1013¼ (medina robe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 22.57  
4  TIMETABLE 4 6 41½ 42½ 42½ 1119¼ 1138½ (mckeever )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 20.00 27.38  
SCR  CINQ SOUERS               (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  JOYFUL APPLAUSE               (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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