Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   05/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:132 1:26   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OH MY ACHING ARCH 5 2 21½ 21 21 2nk 13½ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 49% 1.00 1.50 W
4  MUFFIN NUTS 4 3 31½ 32 34 33 23½ (klanfer alan)COTTO L 122 3.00 ★ 3.20 P
1  CHARLI MICHAEL 1 1 11½ 11 11 1nk 33¾ (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 24% 3.20 2.30 S
7  BASSETT 6 4 42 42½ 46 46 47½ (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 ★ 13.80  
3  CH BERN 3 6 54 53½ 57 58 59½ (lara jorge)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00 ★ 14.20  
2  VISION OF ANGELS 2 5 65 65½ 69 610 611¾ (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 122 8.00 5.50  
SCR  GRIEF               (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50    
 
LAD-2   05/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:144 1:412   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PLEASANT VISION 1 3 12 11½ 1nk 1nk 12 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 1.40 ★ 0.70  
6  JOEBOY 5 4 43½ 32 31½ 31 22 (hatcher nathan)GUZMAN JORGE 122 2.00 30% 2.30 2.40 P
5  DOUBLE PRIORITY 4 1 22 21½ 2nk 2nk 32¼ (beavin judy)VARGAS P 122 10.00 5.50  
4  THISGUYCANFLY 3 2 32½ 43 43 42½ 44¼ (maller)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 ★ 6.20  
3  I DON'T FLY COACH 2 5 55½ 56 56 55½ 512¾ (gomez jorge)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 20.00 5% 18.30 18.30  
SCR  I LIKE DREAMING               (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 111 5.00 30% 2.40    
 
LAD-3   05/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:12 1:25   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HARD ATTACK 2 2 53½ 52 4¼ 1nk 1nk (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.40 41% 1.50 1.30 W
1  BEACHCOMBING 1 3 43 42 3.2 2nk 2nk (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.20 ★ 1.20 P
4  AWE SHACKLE 4 1 1nk 31½ 51¼ 32 35½ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 ★ 6.00 S
5  CHANGI 5 4 2nk 1½ 1nk 42¼ 47¼ (dolan m)BACA L 119 12.00 25.20  
3  EAST LEX 3 6 65 65 63¼ 64¾ 58 (cuccia j)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 13% 6.60 12.30  
6  BISTRAYA 6 5 31 2½ 2nk 53¼ 69¼ (gomez david )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 20.00 7% 14.30 10.80  
 
LAD-4   05/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:121     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALBERTA MOON 5 1 11 11   13 13½ (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00 6.20  
3  BEAUX TOX 3 5 43 33   33½ 23½ (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.00 27% 2.70 3.00 P
7  LIL HOT TODDY 6 2 21 21   23 34¾ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00 1.50  
2  SHOP AROUND 2 3 32 43½   46½ 411½ (faucheux ron)ROSENDO J 119 2.50 34% 1.90 7.40  
8  STAR'S DREAM 7 4 54 55½   58 513¾ (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 5.00 22.10  
1  FLAT OUT FLIRTY 1 7 64 67   610 620¼ (ward ronnie)COTTO L 120 4.50 10% 9.50 3.90  
4  EM'S MISS PRADO 4 6 74½ 78½   712 724¼ (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 119 8.00 ★ 15.40  
SCR  PARTY WITH KASSIDY               (rosier charles)BACA L 119 15.00    
SCR  SABER QUEEN               (shamsie mike)CULP BRIANNE 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   05/15/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:132     1:314   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WHITAKER 2 1 11½ 1nk   1½ 1¾ (pish danny)SINGH R 124 8.00 4.50  
9  HUDSON'S TURN 8 5 54 53¼   2½ 2¾ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 5.00 11% 7.90 4.10 P
11  CANTILLATE 10 9 85¾ 64¾   31½ 31¾ (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 54% 0.90 2.60 S
5  GUITARTUITION PLZZ 4 2 64½ 74¾   42½ 43 (gomez c)VARGAS P 115 10.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
7  C. F. CONGRESS 6 6 42 2nk   63½ 56½ (coats t)GUZMAN JORGE 115 20.00 44.30  
2  MIDNIGHT OIL 1 4 32 41¼   53 67¼ (faucheux ro)MORALES ROBERTO 118 8.00 10.90  
6  UNIFIED ASSETS 5 3 21½ 31   75 78¾ (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 118 15.00 35.50  
10  WORDS OF WISDOM 9 11 96¾ 95½   85½ 89¾ (diodoro robert)BACA L 118 4.50 8% 11.00 8.10  
8  GOLDEN PEGASUS 7 7 1110¾ 119½   109½ 910 (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 118 6.00 ★ 15.60  
4  CAIRO SKY 3 8 108¾ 107½   98½ 1011 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 9.50  
12  PUBLIC RECORD 11 10 75½ 85¼   1114½ 1124¾ (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 20.00 16.00  
SCR  MOONSHINE SURFER               (deathe)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 30.00    
SCR  ROYAL D D               (williams bla)CULP BRIANNE 113 50.00    
 
LAD-6   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:23 :46 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. 6 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 1¾ (dunn hen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.00 15% 5.60 5.70 W
8  OUR BLUE JAY 7 4 41¼ 2nk   2½ 2¾ (antwine mic)FLORES S 122 4.50 3.00  
2  GRAND PRIORITY 2 7 76¾ 74¾   63¾ 34¼ (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00 7% 14.20 18.90 S
3  FOOLISH DREAMS 3 6 63¾ 52¾   33½ 46¼ (faucheux ro)MORALES ROBERTO 122 2.50 33% 2.10 0.70 DH
4  SABER RUN 4 5 53¼ 62¾   43½ 46¼ (pedigo randy)CULP BRIANNE 117 6.00 13.20 DH
5  DIABLO CAT 5 1 1nk 3½   53¾ 66¾ (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 9.90  
1  LOVE TO SINGH 1 3 31 42½   74¾ 78½ (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 122 10.00 ★ 22.00  
SCR  NO QUARTER               (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
 
LAD-7   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:232 :47 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  VALE MALE 8 1 21½ 1nk   11 11 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.50 18% 4.50 3.00 W
2  CUTE DINERO QUEEN 2 3 11½ 2nk   21 21 (ramirez julio)GUZMAN JORGE 118 6.00 20% 3.90 14.80 P
7  ISN'T IT TIME 5 6 32 3.2   32½ 35½ (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 118 10.00 6% 16.50 3.20 S
4  BOSTON MILLIE 3 4 65½ 43¼   45½ 410¾ (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 118 10.00 11% 8.00 3.30  
1  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON 1 7 713½ 68¼   57½ 511¼ (antwine mich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 23% 3.30 5.70  
6  DON'T LOOK ETHEL 4 5 54½ 54¼   68 613¼ (ward ronnie)FLORES S 124 15.00 26.00  
9  ROSE OF CIMARRON (FR) 6 2 43 79¼   716 726 (dunn ray)COTTO L 118 20.00 23.60  
10  BETT THE LIMIT 7 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 118 4.00 3.90  
SCR  AZTEC VISION               (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
SCR  T W N LETSGOGIRL               (nixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 30.00    
SCR  TRUE BLONDE AUNTIE               (ingram steve)CULP BRIANNE 113 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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