Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLI MICHAEL Apr22 Apr07 Mar11 Feb18 Feb02 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
2  VISION OF ANGELS Mar27 Mar06 Jan23     (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 122 8.00    
3  CH BERN Feb23         (lara jorge)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00 ★    
4  MUFFIN NUTS         (klanfer alan)COTTO L 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  GRIEF Mar13 Feb20 Feb04 Jan09   (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50    
6  OH MY ACHING ARCH         (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 49% 1.00    
7  BASSETT Mar05 Feb11 Jan20     (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 ★    
 
LAD-2   05/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I LIKE DREAMING May07 Mar18 Mar05 Jan21   (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 111 5.00 30% 2.40    
2  PLEASANT VISION Apr28 Apr14 Feb11     (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 1.40 ★    
3  I DON'T FLY COACH Mar18 Feb28 Jan06     (gomez jorge)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 20.00 5% 18.30    
4  THISGUYCANFLY Apr22 Apr08 Mar05 Feb04 Jan20 (maller)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 ★    
5  DOUBLE PRIORITY Mar05 Feb02 Jan13     (beavin judy)VARGAS P 122 10.00    
6  JOEBOY May07 Mar20 Mar11 Mar03 Feb12 (hatcher nathan)GUZMAN JORGE 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
LAD-3   05/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACHCOMBING Jan14         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.20 ★    
2  HARD ATTACK May01 Apr09 Mar12 Feb16 Jan21 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.40 41% 1.50    
3  EAST LEX Mar18 Feb25 Jan08     (cuccia j)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
4  AWE SHACKLE Jan29 Jan02       (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
5  CHANGI May01 Mar05 Jan09     (dolan m)BACA L 119 12.00    
6  BISTRAYA Feb18 Feb05 Jan14 Jan01   (gomez david )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 20.00 7% 14.30    
 
LAD-4   05/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT FLIRTY Feb25 Jan19 Jan01     (ward ronnie)COTTO L 120 4.50 10% 9.50    
2  SHOP AROUND         (faucheux ron)ROSENDO J 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  BEAUX TOX Mar05 Feb12 Jan19     (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  EM'S MISS PRADO Mar04 Feb09       (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  PARTY WITH KASSIDY         (rosier charles)BACA L 119 15.00    
6  ALBERTA MOON Mar05 Feb12 Jan19     (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
7  LIL HOT TODDY Feb03         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
8  STAR'S DREAM Mar04 Feb14       (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 5.00    
SCR  SABER QUEEN Apr16 Mar03 Feb09     (shamsie mike)CULP BRIANNE 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   05/15/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOONSHINE SURFER Apr30 Apr01 Mar11 Feb13 Jan16 (deathe)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 30.00    
2  MIDNIGHT OIL         (faucheux ro)MORALES ROBERTO 118 8.00    
3  WHITAKER Mar31 Mar17 Feb12     (pish danny)GILLIGAN JACK 124 8.00    
4  CAIRO SKY Jan15         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
5  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Mar27 Mar19 Mar03 Jan30   (gomez c)VARGAS P 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNIFIED ASSETS         (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 118 15.00    
7  C. F. CONGRESS Apr09 Feb26 Jan15     (coats t)BOREL H 115 20.00    
8  GOLDEN PEGASUS Mar05         (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 118 6.00 ★    
9  HUDSON'S TURN Mar06 Feb20       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 5.00 11% 7.90    
10  WORDS OF WISDOM Apr08 Feb26 Jan22     (diodoro robert)BACA L 118 4.50 8% 11.00    
11  CANTILLATE Mar03         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 54% 0.90    
12  PUBLIC RECORD Apr22 Mar05 Feb11     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL D D Apr30         (williams bla)CULP BRIANNE 113 50.00    
 
LAD-6   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TO SINGH Mar02         (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 122 10.00 ★    
2  GRAND PRIORITY Apr22 Apr06 Mar18 Feb28 Jan29 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00 7% 14.20    
3  FOOLISH DREAMS Mar27 Feb20 Jan08     (faucheux ro)MORALES ROBERTO 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
4  SABER RUN Feb20         (pedigo randy)CULP BRIANNE 117 6.00    
5  DIABLO CAT Mar02 Feb17 Feb02 Jan14   (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
SCR  NO QUARTER Mar02 Feb03       (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
7  SAMMY DANSEUR JR.         (dunn hen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
8  OUR BLUE JAY Apr15 Mar18 Mar01 Feb12   (antwine mic)FLORES S 122 4.50    
 
LAD-7   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON Mar25 Mar05 Feb05 Jan22   (antwine mich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  CUTE DINERO QUEEN Mar22         (ramirez julio)BOREL H 118 6.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  AZTEC VISION         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
4  BOSTON MILLIE Apr16 Jan22 Jan01     (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 118 10.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  TRUE BLONDE AUNTIE         (ingram steve)CULP BRIANNE 113 20.00    
6  DON'T LOOK ETHEL         (ward ronnie)GILLIGAN JACK 124 15.00    
7  ISN'T IT TIME Mar12 Feb19 Feb03 Jan01   (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 118 10.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  T W N LETSGOGIRL Feb24         (nixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 30.00    
9  ROSE OF CIMARRON (FR) Feb26         (dunn ray)COTTO L 118 20.00    
10  BETT THE LIMIT         (mouton patric)VARGAS P 118 4.00    
11  VALE MALE Mar23         (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.