The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Friday - August 19, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at www.tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
SAR-1   08/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:242 :472 1:122     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MINISTERIAL 5 4 31 3½ 3½ 2nk 1¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 ★ 4.60  
3  NORTH POLE 3 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 2¾ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 ★ 4.80 P
1  STRONG LIGHT 1 5 56 56½ 45 44 33¼ (romans dale)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 18% 4.70 1.85 S
2  PSYCHIC INCOME 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 3½ 46¾ (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 52% 0.90 1.55  
4  NO CODE 4 2 41½ 42½ 58 58½ 511¾ (pletcher a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.50 8.30  
SCR  CHEEKY TICO               (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 118 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-2   08/19/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
:232 :472 1:12     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISS BONNIE T 5 1 75 85 74½ 42½ 11½ (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 29% 2.40 4.20 W
3  DIAMOND STATUS 3 7 12 11½ 12 12 21½ (martin f)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 ★ 12.90 P
1  BEACHFRONT BID 1 5 64½ 74½ 54 32½ 31½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 35% 1.90 1.45 S
2  BIRTHDAY TIME 2 2 33 32 32½ 22 44¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★ 13.80  
6  FREE CHICKENS 6 3 43½ 53½ 64 75 54¾ (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 16.70  
8  LADY FIREFOOT 8 8 85½ 43 43½ 53½ 65¼ (reynolds j)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 4.70  
7  GATHER THE FACTS 7 4 54½ 64 86½ 811 714¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 9% 9.50 4.00  
4  DEVILLY 4 6 22 21½ 22 64½ 815½ (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 30.50  
 
SAR-3   08/19/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
:243 :484 1:13 1:38   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THE REDS 3 4 21 2½ 2½ 11 11 (joseph a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.80 ★ 1.05  
3  SHOOGER RAY TOO 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 21 21 (servis tyler)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90 P
2  ALEJANDRO 1 6 42½ 41½ 42½ 31½ 32 (asmussen m)CASTELLANO J 126 4.00 11% 7.90 3.55 S
6  BOURBON CALLING 6 3 63 62½ 31½ 42 44½ (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 12% 7.50 3.25  
5  TWO THIRTY FIVE 4 5 52½ 52 52½ 55½ 57¾ (klesaris steve)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 7.20  
1A  GIGGING 5 2 32 31 63½ 69½ 613½ (cash l)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 51% 1.00 20.40  
SCR  GALERIO               (cash l)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 ★    
 
SAR-4   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
:244 :482 1:121 1:361   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANSACTIONAL (GB) 1 5 32 32 32 2½ 1½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 0.20 72% 0.40 0.30 W
1A  INDEMNIFY (FR) 5 2 21 21 2½ 1½ 2½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 0.20 ★ 0.30 P
4  WHISKEY LULLABY 4 1 11 11 1½ 31 31¾ (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 113 8.00 ★ 4.70 S
2  OUTPERFORM 2 4 66 66½ 66½ 55½ 41¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 ★ 5.00  
6  TRIUMPHANT ROAD 6 6 42½ 42½ 44½ 44½ 52¾ (barker r)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 ★ 16.20  
3  BALI RIDDIM 3 3 54½ 55½ 56 610 611½ (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00 ★ 24.75  
SCR  LOGAN'S RUNNER               (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
 
SAR-5   08/19/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:224 :454 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TOP OF THE MINT 5 3 32½ 31½   13 15¾ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 ★ 4.50  
2  HANG TIGHT 2 6 78 78¼   45 25¾ (meyers shane)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 16.80  
7  EMINENCY 6 1 54½ 41½   33 37¾ (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 14% 6.20 3.85 S
1  NICHOLAS JAMES 1 5 1½ 1½   23 48¼ (reynolds j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 3.95  
4  INSPIRATION POINT 4 7 65½ 64¼   57½ 510¾ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
8  GOT THE GOLD 7 2 43 54   68 611¾ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 4.00  
3  JOEY LOOSE LIPS 3 4 2½ 2½   711 719 (giangiulio michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 25% 3.10 2.85  
SCR  PERFECT SILENT CAT               (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
SAR-6   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
:231 :482 1:131 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LET'S GO BIG BLUE 6 9 96¾ 106¼ 84¼ 31½ 11¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50 ★ 4.60  
9  PROVISION 9 3 54 42 21 2½ 21¾ (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 26% 2.90 2.05 P
10  BARRY THE BUILDER 10 10 107¼ 84¾ 42½ 42 33¼ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 15.00  
2  SECRETARY OF WAR 2 2 11½ 11½ 11 1½ 44 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 24% 3.20 2.10  
4  THETHRILLOFVICTORY 4 7 85¼ 64 74 64 56 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 9.60  
7  ULUMALU 7 5 43½ 53 63 53½ 69¾ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 11.20  
5  LIOTTA 5 6 33 21½ 32 75½ 713¾ (hills a)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00 37.50  
1  WIDMARK 1 4 65 95¾ 1010¾ 1012 814 (schettino a)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 ★ 34.75  
8  EL QUEMADO 8 8 75 74½ 97¼ 99 915¼ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 27.25  
3  MASTER SERGEANT 3 1 21½ 32 53 88½ 1017½ (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 23.70  
SCR  CHULLIGAN               (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.40 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-7   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
:212 :442 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM SPEAKS 1 6 43½ 42½   21 11¾ (englehart c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 20% 4.00 3.20 W
2  AMERICAN STARLET 2 1 1½ 11   11 21¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 7.80  
6  TUSCAN QUEEN 6 5 87¼ 86½   33½ 31¾ (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 6.10  
9  NAY SAY (IRE) 8 8 75¾ 75   65½ 46¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 12.00  
7  CAIRONI 7 9 99¾ 99   87 57¼ (miceli michael)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 16.20  
4  AMERICAN HEROINE 4 7 65½ 64½   55½ 67½ (clement christophe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 7.70  
5  CROWDING OUT 5 2 53½ 52½   44½ 78½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 15% 5.80 2.85  
3  NEON SUMMER 3 3 2½ 21   76½ 812 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 29.25  
10  OSIRIA 9 4 31 32   99½ 917½ (clement christophe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 5.20  
SCR  A LITTLE FAITH               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  AWESOME INDRA               (morey e)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
SCR  BABA               (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  CHLOE ROSE               (rodriguez gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
SCR  RUVIES IN TIME               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 4.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   08/19/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
:234 :474 1:114 1:364   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LEADER OF THE BAND 4 6 32 31½ 31 1nk 1¾ (servis c)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 14% 6.20 6.80 W
5  FIRST TO ACT 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 2¾ (mcgaughey iii)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 3.25  
3  ENVOUTANTE 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 34½ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 ★ 5.60 S
7  BONNY SOUTH 7 7 74 73½ 41½ 43¾ 46½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 49% 1.00 2.70  
1  ARMY WIFE 1 4 42½ 42 51¾ 54¼ 56¾ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 10% 8.90 2.60  
2  MISTY VEIL 2 5 63½ 63½ 73¼ 64¼ 69 (amoss m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 ★ 11.50  
6  EXOTIC WEST 6 3 52½ 52½ 62¼ 79¼ 717 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 18.10  
 
SAR-9   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 5:39
:243 :492 1:131 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 7 1 12 11½ 1½ 13 12¼ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★ 11.10  
3  HATARI 3 6 76½ 76 65 34½ 22¼ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 8% 12.10 3.30 P
8  JUDGE JUDITH 8 7 22 21½ 2½ 23 33¼ (o'connell kathleen)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 8% 12.00 3.40 S
5  ROSEMARY POTATOES 5 4 32½ 32½ 32 46 45¾ (arenas marcelo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.20  
1  FISH MOONEY 1 3 54½ 54 54½ 69½ 58½ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 9.80  
4  VINTAGE GIRL 4 8 88½ 88 88¾ 710 69 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 13.90  
2  RADIANT GEM 2 2 65½ 64½ 75¼ 811½ 712¼ (klesaris steve)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 6.20  
6  DIVA READY 6 5 44 43 42 59½ 812½ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 56% 0.80 3.05  
SCR  MARIAH'S FORTUNE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 1.00 ★    
 
SAR-10   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 6:13
:214 :444 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OXYMORE 3 1 1½ 1½   2nk 11¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 33% 2.00 1.25 W
4  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 4 5 31½ 2½   1nk 21¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 16% 5.10 3.85 P
5  PRIVATE CREED 5 3 53½ 42   31½ 32 (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 15.60  
8  APPRAISE (IRE) 8 4 67 66½   44 42½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 17% 5.00 5.40  
6  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 6 6 89 88   64¾ 53¼ (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 11.30  
2  FADETHENOISE 2 7 43½ 52½   54¼ 64¼ (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 ★ 12.70  
7  PROVE RIGHT 7 9 911 99   77¼ 79¾ (chapman k)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 30.50  
10  CADILLAC CANDY 9 8 78 77   98¾ 814 (arnold r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 12% 7.20 7.70  
1  JEREMY'S JET 1 2 2½ 31½   87¾ 919¼ (mcentee paul)LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00 30.75  
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.