Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Friday - August 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:122     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTERIAL 5 4 31 3½ 3½ 2nk 1¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 4.60  
NORTH POLE 3 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 2¾ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 4.80 P
STRONG LIGHT 1 5 56 5 45 44 3 (romans dale)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 18% 4.70 1.85 S
PSYCHIC INCOME 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 3½ 4 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 52% 0.90 1.55  
NO CODE 4 2 4 4 58 5 511¾ (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.50 8.30  
SCR  CHEEKY TICO               (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 118 5.00    
 
SAR-2   08/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:12     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS BONNIE T 5 1 75 85 7 4 1 (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 29% 2.40 4.20 W
DIAMOND STATUS 3 7 12 1 12 12 2 (martin f)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 12.90 P
BEACHFRONT BID 1 5 6 7 54 3 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 35% 1.90 1.45 S
BIRTHDAY TIME (GER) 2 2 33 32 3 22 4 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 13.80  
FREE CHICKENS 6 3 4 5 64 75 5 (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 16.70  
LADY FIREFOOT 8 8 8 43 4 5 6 (reynolds patri)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 4.70  
GATHER THE FACTS 7 4 5 64 8 811 714¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 9% 9.50 4.00  
DEVILLY 4 6 22 2 22 6 815½ (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 30.50  
 
SAR-3   08/19/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:13 1:38   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE REDS 3 4 21 2½ 2½ 11 11 (joseph saffie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.80 1.05  
SHOOGER RAY TOO 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 21 21 (servis tyler)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90 P
ALEJANDRO 1 6 4 4 4 3 32 (asmussen steve)CASTELLANO J 126 4.00 11% 7.90 3.55 S
BOURBON CALLING 6 3 63 6 3 42 4 (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 12% 7.50 3.25  
TWO THIRTY FIVE 4 5 5 52 5 5 5 (klesaris stev)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 7.20  
1A  GIGGING 5 2 32 31 6 6 613½ (cash l)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 51% 1.00 20.40  
SCR  GALERIO               (cash l)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
 
SAR-4   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:121 1:361   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRANSACTIONAL (GB) 1 5 32 32 32 2½ 1½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 0.20 72% 0.40 0.30 W
1A  INDEMNIFY (FR) 5 2 21 21 2½ 1½ 2½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 0.20 0.30 P
WHISKEY LULLABY 4 1 11 11 1½ 31 3 (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 113 8.00 4.70 S
OUTPERFORM 2 4 66 6 6 5 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 5.00  
TRIUMPHANT ROAD 6 6 4 4 4 4 5 (barker edward )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 16.20  
BALI RIDDIM 3 3 5 5 56 610 611½ (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00 24.75  
SCR  LOGAN'S RUNNER               (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
 
SAR-5   08/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP OF THE MINT 5 3 3 3   13 1 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 4.50  
HANG TIGHT 2 6 78 7   45 2 (meyers shane)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 16.80  
EMINENCY 6 1 5 4   33 3 (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 14% 6.20 3.85 S
NICHOLAS JAMES 1 5 1½ 1½   23 4 (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 3.95  
INSPIRATION POINT 4 7 6 6   5 510¾ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
GOT THE GOLD 7 2 43 54   68 611¾ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 4.00  
JOEY LOOSE LIPS 3 4 2½ 2½   711 719 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 25% 3.10 2.85  
SCR  PERFECT SILENT CAT               (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
SAR-6   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:131 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S GO BIG BLUE 6 9 9 10 8 3 1 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50 4.60  
PROVISION 9 3 54 42 21 2½ 2 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 26% 2.90 2.05 P
10  BARRY THE BUILDER 10 10 10 8 4 42 3 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 15.00  
SECRETARY OF WAR 2 2 1 1 11 1½ 44 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 24% 3.20 2.10  
THETHRILLOFVICTORY 4 7 8 64 74 64 56 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 9.60  
ULUMALU 7 5 4 53 63 5 6 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 11.20  
LIOTTA 5 6 33 2 32 7 713¾ (hills)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00 37.50  
WIDMARK 1 4 65 9 1010¾ 1012 814 (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 34.75  
EL QUEMADO 8 8 75 7 9 99 915¼ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 27.25  
MASTER SERGEANT 3 1 2 32 53 8 1017½ (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 23.70  
SCR  CHULLIGAN               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.40 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-7   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:212 :442 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM SPEAKS 1 6 4 4   21 1 (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 20% 4.00 3.20 W
AMERICAN STARLET 2 1 1½ 11   11 2 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 7.80  
TUSCAN QUEEN 6 5 8 8   3 3 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 6.10  
NAY SAY (IRE) 8 8 7 75   6 4 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 12.00  
CAIRONI 7 9 9 99   87 5 (miceli michael)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 16.20  
AMERICAN HEROINE 4 7 6 6   5 6 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 7.70  
CROWDING OUT 5 2 5 5   4 7 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 15% 5.80 2.85  
NEON SUMMER 3 3 2½ 21   7 812 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 29.25  
10  OSIRIA 9 4 31 32   9 917½ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 5.20  
SCR  A LITTLE FAITH               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  AWESOME INDRA               (morey e)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
SCR  BABA               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  CHLOE ROSE               (rodriguez gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
SCR  RUVIES IN TIME               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
 
SAR-8   08/19/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:114 1:364   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEADER OF THE BAND 4 6 32 3 31 1nk 1¾ (servis c)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 14% 6.20 6.80 W
FIRST TO ACT 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 2¾ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 3.25  
ENVOUTANTE 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 3 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 5.60 S
BONNY SOUTH 7 7 74 7 4 4 4 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 49% 1.00 2.70  
ARMY WIFE 1 4 4 42 5 5 5 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 10% 8.90 2.60  
MISTY VEIL 2 5 6 6 7 6 69 (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 11.50  
EXOTIC WEST 6 3 5 5 6 7 717 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 18.10  
 
SAR-9   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:131 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 7 1 12 1 1½ 13 1 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 11.10  
HATARI 3 6 7 76 65 3 2 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 8% 12.10 3.30 P
JUDGE JUDITH 8 7 22 2 2½ 23 3 (o'connell kathle)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 8% 12.00 3.40 S
ROSEMARY POTATOES 5 4 3 3 32 46 4 (arenas marcel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.20  
FISH MOONEY 1 3 5 54 5 6 5 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 9.80  
VINTAGE GIRL 4 8 8 88 8 710 69 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 13.90  
RADIANT GEM 2 2 6 6 7 811½ 712¼ (klesaris steve)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 6.20  
DIVA READY 6 5 44 43 42 5 812½ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 56% 0.80 3.05  
SCR  MARIAH'S FORTUNE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 1.00    
 
SAR-10   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:214 :444 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OXYMORE 3 1 1½ 1½   2nk 1 (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 33% 2.00 1.25 W
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 4 5 3 2½   1nk 2 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 16% 5.10 3.85 P
PRIVATE CREED 5 3 5 42   3 32 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 15.60  
APPRAISE (IRE) 8 4 67 6   44 4 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 17% 5.00 5.40  
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 6 6 89 88   6 5 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 11.30  
FADETHENOISE 2 7 4 5   5 6 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 12.70  
PROVE RIGHT 7 9 911 99   7 7 (chapman james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 30.50  
10  CADILLAC CANDY 9 8 78 77   9 814 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 12% 7.20 7.70  
JEREMY'S JET 1 2 2½ 3   8 919¼ (mcentee paul)LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00 30.75  
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.