Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Friday - August 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG LIGHT Jun26 Jun09 Apr30 Mar19 Feb05 (romans dale)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 18% 4.70    
2  PSYCHIC INCOME Jul16         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
3  NORTH POLE Jul16 Jul01 Jun05 May08   (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 ★    
4  NO CODE Jul01 Jun05 Apr23     (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.50    
5  MINISTERIAL Jun30         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  CHEEKY TICO Jul29 Jul01 Jun11 May07 Apr21 (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 118 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-2   08/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACHFRONT BID Jun25 May14 Apr08 Feb27   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 35% 1.90    
2  BIRTHDAY TIME (GER) Jul28 Jun04 Apr10 Mar12   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★    
3  DIAMOND STATUS Jun30 May15       (martin carlos )ORTIZ L 118 12.00 ★    
4  DEVILLY Jul30 Jun24 May27 Apr22 Mar16 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
5  MISS BONNIE T Jul22 Jun04 May01     (antonacci phil)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
6  FREE CHICKENS Jun05         (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
7  GATHER THE FACTS Jun24 Apr30       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 9% 9.50    
8  LADY FIREFOOT Jul30         (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
 
SAR-3   08/19/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GIGGING Aug13 Jul27 Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 (cash l)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  GALERIO Apr21 Mar19 Feb19 Jan29   (cash l)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 ★    
2  ALEJANDRO Jul02 Jun09 May12 Apr02 Mar04 (asmussen ste)CASTELLANO J 126 4.00 11% 7.90    
3  SHOOGER RAY TOO Jul28 Jun28 May21 Mar29 Jan19 (servis tyler)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE REDS Jul23 May28 Apr30 Mar25   (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.80 ★    
5  TWO THIRTY FIVE Jul17 Jun18 May07 Apr08 Mar20 (klesaris steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
6  BOURBON CALLING Jul03         (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 12% 7.50    
 
SAR-4   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANSACTIONAL (GB)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 0.20 72% 0.40    
1A  INDEMNIFY (FR) Jul22         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 0.20 ★    
2  OUTPERFORM Jul08         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 5.00 ★    
3  BALI RIDDIM Jul10 Jun11 Jun03 May20 May07 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00 ★    
4  WHISKEY LULLABY Jul22 Jun04 Apr09     (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 113 8.00 ★    
SCR  LOGAN'S RUNNER         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
6  TRIUMPHANT ROAD Aug03         (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 ★    
 
SAR-5   08/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICHOLAS JAMES Jul29 Jul01 Jun05 May08 Apr14 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50    
2  HANG TIGHT Jul25 Jul06 Feb06     (meyers sha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
3  JOEY LOOSE LIPS         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
4  INSPIRATION POINT Jul04 May29 Apr10 Mar13 Feb16 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PERFECT SILENT CAT Jun20 May18 Apr09 Mar12 Jan05 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
6  TOP OF THE MINT Jun16 May05       (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 ★    
7  EMINENCY Jul10 May28 May14 Apr16 Mar19 (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
8  GOT THE GOLD Jul24 Jul08 May15 Apr16 Feb27 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
 
SAR-6   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIDMARK         (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 ★    
2  SECRETARY OF WAR Aug04         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  MASTER SERGEANT Jul15         (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
4  THETHRILLOFVICTORY         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
5  LIOTTA Jul29         (hil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
6  LET'S GO BIG BLUE         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50 ★    
7  ULUMALU         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
8  EL QUEMADO Aug04         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
9  PROVISION Aug04         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
10  BARRY THE BUILDER Jul17         (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
SCR  CHULLIGAN         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.40 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-7   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM SPEAKS Jun18 May12       (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 20% 4.00    
2  AMERICAN STARLET Jun05 Apr28 Mar26 Feb23 Jan07 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50    
3  NEON SUMMER Jul24 Jul04 May22 May01 Mar23 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
4  AMERICAN HEROINE Mar16 Feb13 Jan02     (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
5  CROWDING OUT Jul20         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
6  TUSCAN QUEEN Jul24 Jul02       (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 5.00    
7  CAIRONI Jul24 Jun16 May14     (miceli michael)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  A LITTLE FAITH Jul24 Jul02       (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
9  NAY SAY (IRE) Jul04 Feb26       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
10  OSIRIA Jul24 May27 Apr09 Feb06   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50    
SCR  RUVIES IN TIME Jul09 Jun10 Mar18 Feb06 Jan08 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  CHLOE ROSE Jul16 Jun18 May27 Apr28 Mar04 (rodriguez gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
SCR  AWESOME INDRA Jul23 Jun19 Apr23 Mar26 Feb27 (morey william)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
SCR  BABA Jul09 Jun10 May27 Apr15 Mar18 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
SAR-8   08/19/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY WIFE Jul23 Jun25 Jun04     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 10% 8.90    
2  MISTY VEIL Jul09 Jun12 May06 Feb27 Jan29 (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 ★    
3  ENVOUTANTE Mar05         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 ★    
4  LEADER OF THE BAND Jul23 Jun11 May08 Mar29 Feb23 (servis c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
5  FIRST TO ACT Jul10 Jun12 Apr15 Mar10   (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
6  EXOTIC WEST Jul24 May20 Apr10 Feb25 Jan16 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
7  BONNY SOUTH Jul23 Jun11 Apr22     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
SAR-9   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FISH MOONEY Jul27 Jun11 May06 Apr08 Mar12 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
2  RADIANT GEM Jul29 Jun30 Jun10 May15 Mar16 (klesaris stev)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
3  HATARI Jul27 Jun08 May12 Apr08 Mar12 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 8% 12.10    
4  VINTAGE GIRL Jul27 Jun30 Jun12 May22 Apr15 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
5  ROSEMARY POTATOES Jul29 Jun30 Jun19 May21 Apr24 (arenas marc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
6  DIVA READY Jul16 Jul03 May25 Apr27   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 56% 0.80    
7  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Jul27 Jun16 May25 Apr13 Mar09 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★    
8  JUDGE JUDITH Jul13 Jun03 Apr23 Apr06 Mar11 (o'connell kath)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 8% 12.00    
SCR  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Jul20 Jun11 Apr29 Apr02 Feb18 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 1.00 ★    
 
SAR-10   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEREMY'S JET Jul30 Jul21 Jun26 Jun09 May20 (mcentee paul)LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00    
2  FADETHENOISE Jul16 Jun09       (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 ★    
3  OXYMORE Jul01         (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
4  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) Jun09 Apr28       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 16% 5.10    
5  PRIVATE CREED Jul30         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
6  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Jul27         (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
7  PROVE RIGHT Jul16 Jun26 Jun08     (chapman jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
8  APPRAISE (IRE) Jul22         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY Jun27 May30 Apr28     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
10  CADILLAC CANDY May19 Apr28       (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 12% 7.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.