Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($62K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:261 :514 1:163 1:401   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY ACTION PASS 2 4 11 1 1½ 1 1 (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00 45% 1.20 1.73 W
ICE BLAST 3 2 5 53 5 3 2 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 9.24  
RED RUN 4 1 21 2 2½ 2 3 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.20 1.91 S
AMERICAN HERO 1 3 42 4 42 45 4 (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 8% 11.00 1.73  
PINEDALE 5 5 32 3 32 510 513 (bahena ferna)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 24.79  
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE               (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 113 1.80 17% 4.80    
 
ELP-2   07/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:111     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN BLAZE 3 6 3 31   17 117 (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 8% 12.10 3.61 W
DREAMFACTOR 6 3 2½ 2nk   27 217 (stinson w)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 19.57  
MIDNIGHT DREAMING 5 1 5 5   411½ 317½ (amoss thoma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 3.13  
HUASTECO 2 2 1½ 1nk   3 419¼ (gutie)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 5.00 16.65  
TOP NOTE 1 5 42 4   512½ 520¾ (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 9% 10.30 5.56  
CONNECT ME 7 4 64 7   614½ 621¼ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 8% 12.10 4.34  
NOBLE CONNECTION 4 7 75 66   717½ 736½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 49% 1.00 2.23  
 
ELP-3   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:222 :462 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE CREED 2 1 3 3   11 1 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 6.79  
SIX MISSIONS 3 6 5 5   43 2 (brisset rodolphe)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 15% 5.90 4.15 P
URGENT FURY 1 2 4 4   5 32 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 3.83 S
IRONSIDES 5 4 2½ 21   31 4 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 8% 11.10 2.29  
GOLDEN REIGN 4 3 1½ 11   21 5 (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 5.26  
10  THE BOOKKEEPER 7 7 711 712   6 6 (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5.07  
FITZEA 6 5 68 6   710¼ 711 (drury thoma)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 17.11  
SCR  BERRETTINI               (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
SCR  DUST STORM               (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
SCR  RETAINED               (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  SUNDANCE               (brisset rodolph)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP               (alessi james)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00    
 
ELP-4   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR SIPPI 6 6 7 4¾   2nk 1¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 24% 3.20 1.17 W
SILK TRADE 7 3 31 2½   1nk 2¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 11% 8.00 6.90 P
COMISKEY PARK 4 2 2nk 1½   3.2 3 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 6.00 11.52 S
LET MY PEOPLE GO 5 1 4 5   4 43 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 20% 4.10 4.67  
LAMUTANAATTY 2 4 1nk 3½   5 5 (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 117 8.00 11.63  
FLINT RIDGE 3 7 6 7   6 610¾ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 13% 7.00 2.79  
LIVINGONTULSATIME 1 5 5 6   7 713¾ (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 35.80  
SCR  TITLE SHOT               (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
 
ELP-5   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:14 1:39   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNABLUE 7 3 33 6 6 21 1½ (poulos dee)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 9.45  
BULLSEYE BUN 1 1 11 1 12 11 2½ (mckeever andrew)GARCIA MARTIN 122 1.80 73% 0.40 1.89 P
ABSAM 3 6 6 7 7 43 3 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 5.87 S
PROTONIC POWER 2 7 8 8 8 55 4 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 10.00 31.74  
HIGHESTDISTINCTION 4 2 4 3 32 33 5 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 3.44  
CRIMINAL DEFENSE 6 5 56 4 5 6 68 (barnett c)COURT K 122 15.00 21.01  
PALACE KITTEN 8 4 21 2 22 76 7 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 10.00 18.94  
SHADY MCGEE (IRE) 5 8 7 5 4 8 817½ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 2.63  
 
ELP-6   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN VOWS 8 2 11 11   1 12 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00 15% 5.70 2.68 W
BEAUTIFUL FAREWELL 5 3 53 6   34 22 (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.00 11% 8.10 6.50 P
AMARYLLIS KISS 6 7 4 21   2 32 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 16.60  
MISSED OPPORTUNITY 3 6 7 5   44 4 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 6% 15.90 4.97  
CANDY ISLAND 7 1 32 7   5 5 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 23.85  
DREAMALOT 4 5 9 9   8 6 (walsh p)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 20% 4.10 4.13  
JAG WARRIOR 2 8 85 10   7 7 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 7.10  
LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 1 10 10 8   1010¼ 8 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 28.46  
10  CAMI CAT 9 4 21 31   6 910¼ (foster eric)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00 22.89  
12  SAVE GRACE 10 9 6 43   910¼ 1014¼ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 28% 2.50 5.69  
SCR  INTRIGUE               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
SCR  TAYLOR B               (stinson w)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
 
ELP-7   07/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:162 1:29   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGLOPHILE 7 1 27 25 21 1nk 1 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 3.50 15% 5.60 2.50 W
SALUTE THE STARS 5 10 914½ 910½ 8 5 2 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 8% 11.30 4.65 P
10  PADDOCK BOSS 10 5 813½ 89 7 4 3 (brisset rodolp)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 5.32  
HEZMORETHANREADY 2 2 17 15 11 2nk 4 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 4.50 3.57  
SOLOMON VANDY 6 8 5 4 3 3 5 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 9.16  
DRAMA CRITIC 3 9 711½ 67 53 7 6 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 11.04  
DETECTIVE STEPHAN 4 7 1017½ 1013½ 99 9 7 (leitch)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 50.84  
REDEEMER 1 4 49 57 6 8 86 (brisset rodolph)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 10.76  
AUGUSTUS BLUE 9 3 3 3 4 6 9 (pierce lacy)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 29.19  
LED TASSO 8 6 610½ 7 1011 1018¼ 1043 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 17.38  
SCR  CRAFTY KING               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
SCR  DEER DISTRICT               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
SCR  RUNGIUS               (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
ELP-8   07/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS UP 7 6 43 4   2½ 1 (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 2.21  
LADY DEMAREE 2 4 2½ 1nk   1½ 2 (paquette )DE CRUZ 120 8.00 22.18  
SONADOR 5 1 76 76   44 3 (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 30.00 43.30  
COMEDY ACT 3 5 31 2nk   3 4 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 8% 11.00 2.08  
SOCIAL MANDATE 4 7 5 6   6 5 (hancock a)COURT K 120 20.00 23.34  
TAIGA 6 3 6 54   77 611 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 6.46  
SOLAR REIGN 1 2 1½ 3½   56 718 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 31% 2.20 1.97  
SCR  FAMED               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  ZMUDA               (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
 
ELP-9   07/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:143 1:273   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEL ARIA 7 4 3 32 2 1nk 1nk (parker r)BECKMAN ALICE 111 15.00 26.57  
12  HUSH HUSH 10 6 5 69 32 2nk 2nk (williamson brian)EMIGH A 124 10.00 6% 16.10 13.69 P
NO COMMENT 2 2 1012¾ 1013¼ 6 54 3 (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 35% 1.90 2.08 S
MAYSVILLE MISS 8 5 11 11 1 3½ 43 (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 118 8.00 5.60  
MADRE DI GRANDEZZA 3 1 710½ 710½ 43 43 5 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 17% 4.80 4.26  
DILMUNIA 1 10 912¼ 810¾ 8 7 6 (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00 22.99  
SURE WASN'T ME 5 7 47 47 5 6 7 (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 113 4.00 7% 13.80 9.14  
11  BRIE'S LIL' BIT 9 9 812 911¼ 9 89 8 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 15% 5.90 5.05  
SILK ADIEUX 6 8 610½ 59 7 911½ 912¾ (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 24.35  
SENORITA KARLITA 4 3 21 21 1011 1017½ 1039¾ (drury thoma)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 9.24  
SCR  AMARI S.               (hernandez javi)TAVARES JAVIER 124 20.00    
SCR  ARCTIC TEARS               (hernandez javi)TAVARES JAVIER 124 20.00    
SCR  ARNEIS               (hancock a)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00    
SCR  GIDDY GOOTZ               (luce nich)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.