The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 30, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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ELP-1   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($62K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
:261 :514 1:163 1:401   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PLAY ACTION PASS 2 4 11 11½ 1½ 13½ 13¾ (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00 45% 1.20 1.73 W
3  ICE BLAST 3 2 52½ 53 52½ 34½ 23¾ (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 9.24  
4  RED RUN 4 1 21 21½ 2½ 23½ 34¼ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.20 ★ 1.91 S
1  AMERICAN HERO 1 3 42 42½ 42 45 44½ (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 8% 11.00 1.73  
5  PINEDALE 5 5 32 32½ 32 510 513 (bahena fernando)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 ★ 24.79  
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE               (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 113 1.80 17% 4.80    
 
ELP-2   07/30/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
:23 :463 1:111     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AMERICAN BLAZE 3 6 31½ 31   17 117 (colebrook ben)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 8% 12.10 3.61 W
6  DREAMFACTOR 6 3 2½ 2nk   27 217 (stinson jr)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 19.57  
5  MIDNIGHT DREAMING 5 1 52½ 55½   411½ 317½ (amoss m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 3.13  
2  HUASTECO 2 2 1½ 1nk   38½ 419¼ (gutierrez faustio)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 5.00 ★ 16.65  
1  TOP NOTE 1 5 42 43½   512½ 520¾ (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 9% 10.30 5.56  
7  CONNECT ME 7 4 64 76¼   614½ 621¼ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 8% 12.10 4.34  
4  NOBLE CONNECTION 4 7 75 66   717½ 736½ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 49% 1.00 2.23  
 
ELP-3   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:46
:222 :462 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRIVATE CREED 2 1 34½ 33½   11 11¼ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 ★ 6.79  
1  SIX MISSIONS 3 6 56½ 57½   43 21¼ (brisset rodolphe)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 15% 5.90 4.15 P
2  URGENT FURY 1 2 44½ 44½   53¼ 32 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 ★ 3.83 S
6  IRONSIDES 5 4 2½ 21   31 45¼ (oliver victoria)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 8% 11.10 2.29  
4  GOLDEN REIGN 4 3 1½ 11   21 55¼ (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 5.26  
10  THE BOOKKEEPER 7 7 711 712   67¾ 65½ (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5.07  
8  FITZEA 6 5 68 69½   710¼ 711 (drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 17.11  
SCR  BERRETTINI               (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
SCR  DUST STORM               (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
SCR  RETAINED               (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  SUNDANCE               (brisset rodolphe)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP               (alessi james)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00    
 
ELP-4   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
:223 :452 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MR SIPPI 6 6 73¼ 4¾   2nk 1¾ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 24% 3.20 1.17 W
8  SILK TRADE 7 3 31 2½   1nk 2¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 11% 8.00 6.90 P
5  COMISKEY PARK 4 2 2nk 1½   3.2 32¼ (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 6.00 ★ 11.52 S
6  LET MY PEOPLE GO 5 1 41½ 52¼   42¼ 43 (oliver victoria)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 20% 4.10 4.67  
3  LAMUTANAATTY 2 4 1nk 3½   53¾ 58¾ (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 117 8.00 11.63  
4  FLINT RIDGE 3 7 62¼ 75¼   66¾ 610¾ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 13% 7.00 2.79  
2  LIVINGONTULSATIME 1 5 51¾ 64¾   77¼ 713¾ (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 35.80  
SCR  TITLE SHOT               (contreras cipriano)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
 
ELP-5   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
:251 :501 1:14 1:39   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DYNABLUE 7 3 33 63¼ 62¾ 21 1½ (poulos dee)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 9.45  
1  BULLSEYE BUN 1 1 11 11½ 12 11 2½ (mckeever andrew)GARCIA MARTIN 122 1.80 73% 0.40 1.89 P
3  ABSAM 3 6 66½ 74¾ 73¼ 43 31½ (cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 ★ 5.87 S
2  PROTONIC POWER 2 7 89½ 86¼ 84¼ 55 43½ (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 10.00 31.74  
4  HIGHESTDISTINCTION 4 2 43½ 32½ 32 33 56½ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 ★ 3.44  
6  CRIMINAL DEFENSE 6 5 56 42½ 52¾ 65½ 68 (barnett c)COURT K 122 15.00 21.01  
8  PALACE KITTEN 8 4 21 21½ 22 76 79½ (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 10.00 ★ 18.94  
5  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) 5 8 77½ 52¾ 42½ 88½ 817½ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 ★ 2.63  
 
ELP-6   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
:224 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MORE THAN VOWS 8 2 11 11   12½ 12 (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00 15% 5.70 2.68 W
5  BEAUTIFUL FAREWELL 5 3 53 63¾   34 22 (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.00 11% 8.10 6.50 P
6  AMARYLLIS KISS 6 7 42½ 21   22½ 32 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 16.60  
3  MISSED OPPORTUNITY 3 6 73½ 53½   44 42¼ (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 6% 15.90 4.97  
8  CANDY ISLAND 7 1 32 74¼   54½ 55¾ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 23.85  
4  DREAMALOT 4 5 95¼ 96¼   87¾ 66¼ (walsh p)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 20% 4.10 4.13  
2  JAG WARRIOR 2 8 85 106½   77½ 76¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 7.10  
1  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 1 10 106¼ 86¼   1010¼ 89¾ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 28.46  
10  CAMI CAT 9 4 21 31   66½ 910¼ (foster eric)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00 22.89  
12  SAVE GRACE 10 9 63½ 43   910¼ 1014¼ (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 28% 2.50 5.69  
SCR  INTRIGUE               (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
SCR  TAYLOR B               (stinson jr)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
 
ELP-7   07/30/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
:252 :502 1:162 1:29   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ANGLOPHILE 7 1 27 25 21 1nk 11¼ (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 3.50 15% 5.60 2.50 W
5  SALUTE THE STARS 5 10 914½ 910½ 86½ 53½ 21¼ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 8% 11.30 4.65 P
10  PADDOCK BOSS 10 5 813½ 89 75½ 42½ 32¾ (brisset rodolphe)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 5.32  
2  HEZMORETHANREADY 2 2 17 15 11 2nk 43½ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 4.50 3.57  
6  SOLOMON VANDY 6 8 59½ 46½ 31½ 31½ 53½ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 9.16  
3  DRAMA CRITIC 3 9 711½ 67 53 73¾ 64¼ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 11.04  
4  DETECTIVE STEPHAN 4 7 1017½ 1013½ 99 96¼ 74¾ (leitch daniel)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 50.84  
1  REDEEMER 1 4 49 57 63½ 84¼ 86 (brisset rodolphe)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 10.76  
9  AUGUSTUS BLUE 9 3 37½ 35½ 41½ 63¾ 96¼ (pierce lacy)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 29.19  
8  LED TASSO 8 6 610½ 78½ 1011 1018¼ 1043 (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 17.38  
SCR  CRAFTY KING               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
SCR  DEER DISTRICT               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
SCR  RUNGIUS               (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
ELP-8   07/30/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($61K) 3 F PT- 5:10
:221 :452 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  QUEENS UP 7 6 43 42½   2½ 12¼ (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 ★ 2.21  
3  LADY DEMAREE 2 4 2½ 1nk   1½ 22¼ (paquette iii)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 22.18  
7  SONADOR 5 1 76 76   44 34¼ (hernandez rey)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 30.00 43.30  
5  COMEDY ACT 3 5 31 2nk   31½ 44½ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 8% 11.00 2.08  
6  SOCIAL MANDATE 4 7 54½ 65½   66½ 58½ (hancock a)COURT K 120 20.00 ★ 23.34  
8  TAIGA 6 3 64½ 54   77 611 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 6.46  
1  SOLAR REIGN 1 2 1½ 3½   56 718 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 31% 2.20 1.97  
SCR  FAMED               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  ZMUDA               (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
 
ELP-9   07/30/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
:242 :481 1:143 1:273   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BEL ARIA 7 4 31½ 32 21½ 1nk 1nk (parker r)BECKMAN ALICE 111 15.00 26.57  
12  HUSH HUSH 10 6 59½ 69 32 2nk 2nk (williamson brian)EMIGH A 124 10.00 6% 16.10 13.69 P
3  NO COMMENT 2 2 1012¾ 1013¼ 65½ 54 31¼ (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 35% 1.90 2.08 S
9  MAYSVILLE MISS 8 5 11 11 11½ 3½ 43 (hamilton sarah)PETERSON FERRIN 118 8.00 5.60  
4  MADRE DI GRANDEZZA 3 1 710½ 710½ 43 43 53½ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 17% 4.80 4.26  
2  DILMUNIA 1 10 912¼ 810¾ 88½ 76½ 64¾ (catalano m)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00 22.99  
6  SURE WASN'T ME 5 7 47 47 53½ 64½ 76¾ (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 113 4.00 7% 13.80 9.14  
11  BRIE'S LIL' BIT 9 9 812 911¼ 99½ 89 87¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 15% 5.90 5.05  
7  SILK ADIEUX 6 8 610½ 59 76½ 911½ 912¾ (lukas wayne)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 24.35  
5  SENORITA KARLITA 4 3 21 21 1011 1017½ 1039¾ (drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 9.24  
SCR  AMARI S.               (hernandez javier)TAVARES JAVIER 124 20.00    
SCR  ARCTIC TEARS               (hernandez javier)TAVARES JAVIER 124 20.00    
SCR  ARNEIS               (hancock a)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00    
SCR  GIDDY GOOTZ               (luce nichole)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.