Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - August 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUN AND FEISTY   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 17% 4.80 8.37 W
9  BABY GOT BACKSPIN   (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 28% 2.60 2.71 P
6  EYES OF GOLD   (demeritte)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 ★ 8.72 S
2  ADIVA   (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 14.24  
8  MALAWNIA   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 12.00 6% 16.80 5.76  
4  PERFECT ROSE   (vas)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00 53.89  
7  ALWAYS SMILING   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 4.29  
10  SHE HAS THE LOOK   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 30.12  
5  KENTUCKY REIGN   (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 29% 2.40 7.11  
3  CONVERSATIONAL   (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5.32  
 
CD-2   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROMANCE NOVEL   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 25% 3.00 3.71 W
1  LUV DRAGON   (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 27% 2.80 3.95 P
7  JAG WARRIOR   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 17.46  
2  SCARLET STRIPE   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 ★ 2.21  
6  INTRIGUE   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 7.69  
8  BROADBAND   (taylor br)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 65.15  
9  TEXAS LUCKY   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 ★ 8.55  
4  CALM INSPIRATION   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 26% 2.90 4.88  
5  NOVEMBER ROSE   (cash l)BEJARANO R 124 30.00 34.13  
 
CD-3   08/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MEISTER   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 123 10.00 ★ 10.95  
3  TEPEU   (walsh brendan)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 ★ 1.24 P
4  GULFSTREAM WAY   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.50 49% 1.00 3.66 S
8  LEGIONNAIRE   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 6% 17.00 5.68  
7  JELLY NOUGAT   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 23% 3.30 3.21  
1  HIPPODROME   (cash l)COURT K 120 8.00 21.56  
6  KISS PRINCIPAL   (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 30.00 48.49  
2  DEFIED   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00 56.31  
 
CD-4   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KEY OF LIFE (IRE)   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 38% 1.60 0.66 W
6  BLACK FOREST   (gutierrez fau)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 37% 1.70 7.46 P
5  VALIANT PRAISE   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 8.00 29.99  
10  MOODY   (brisset rodolphe)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 ★ 6.35  
4  REVENUE TRAIN   (maker michael)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 ★ 11.25  
2  WILLOW BEND   (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 24.08  
8  DRE ME LESS   (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 44.84  
9  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 9.79  
3  ZOOM ERIN   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 31.83  
1  ZEITLOS   (asmussen stev)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 15.82  
 
CD-5   08/13/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DALIKA (GER)   (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 ★ 7.51  
  (by PASTORIUS (GER) out of DRAWN TO RUN (IRE) by HURRICANE RUN (IRE))
3  PRINCESS GRACE   (stidham mich)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.00 39% 1.60 3.68 P
  (by KARAKONTIE (JPN) out of MASQUERADE by PIRATE'S BOUNTY)
2  FAMILY WAY   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 16% 5.10 2.25 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUSIE'S BABY (GB) by BALIDAR)
5  LILY POND (IRE)   (o'brien aidan)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 16% 5.10 3.78  
  (by GALILEO (ARG) out of ALLURINGLY by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
4  ROUGIR (FR)   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 ★ 1.73  
  (by TERRITORIES out of SUMMER MOON (FR) by UNKNOWN)
 
CD-6   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CONFIDENCE GAME   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 8% 11.10 2.02 W
11  SIMOVIC   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 17.64  
2  FRANK'S HONOR   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 19.70  
7  TSHIEBWE   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 7.64  
13  FATHER DELAY   (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 ★ 15.66  
12  ACCIDENT   (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 10.00 5% 19.00 34.31  
1  CALIFORNIA TWIRL   (walsh brendan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 27.84  
10  STORMIN ARMY   (van)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 5.00 44% 1.30 3.69  
6  GASLIGHT DANCER   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 22% 3.60 3.94  
9  AMERICAN DOLLARS   (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 18.01  
5  AUGUSTUS BLUE   (pierce lac)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 67.97  
8  TEXCOCO   (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 16.04  
SCR  MAKING MOVES   (barkley jason)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
 
CD-7   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELL'S THE ONE   (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 1.40 18% 4.60 1.41 W
3  JOYFUL CADENCE   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 18% 4.60 5.89 P
4  LOVEMESOMEME   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★ 9.29 S
2  SCONSIN   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 42% 1.40 0.93  
5  MUSIC CITY STAR   (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 20.00 ★ 24.72  
 
CD-8   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PRO OXIDANT   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 3.24  
8  ENGRAVE   (lobo paulo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 35% 1.80 2.25 P
10  BOURBON ON FIRE   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 18.33  
2  CALL ME FAST   (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 32.04  
4  NORGAY   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 ★ 27.55  
1  SCRATCHOFF   (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 5.00 9% 9.60 3.40  
7  ORDER OF MERIT   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 7.06  
3  VINCO   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 26% 2.80 7.78  
1A  APPEAL DENIED   (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 3.40  
6  VALE   (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 7% 13.30 15.75  
5  CHA CHA LOCO   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 34.80  
 
CD-9   08/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DIGITAL   (hiles rick)LANERIE J 121 10.00 6% 15.90 20.84 W
2  ELEVEN CENTRAL   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 11% 7.90 3.52 P
1  SCARLET FUSION   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 4.77  
8  BUSINESS MODEL   (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.50 4.72  
3  SECOND OF JULY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 ★ 5.20  
6  GIGGING   (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 21% 3.80 7.05  
5  JENNINGS   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 29% 2.50 2.20  
SCR  AMERICAN HERO   (flint s)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
 
CD-10   08/13/2022 6270ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TWILIGHT BLUE   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 21% 3.80 1.38 W
6  INTREPID HEART   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 54% 0.90 3.58 P
2  KING FURY   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 2.00 ★ 1.94 S
3  MR. WIRELESS   (calhoun william )PARKER L 121 3.00 ★ 4.67  
4  TREASURE TROVE   (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 24.63  
1  ARTEMUS EAGLE   (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 121 30.00 47.08  
SCR  KEYSTONE FIELD   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00 ★    
 
CD-11   08/13/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SANTIN   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 ★ 2.45  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SENTIERO ITALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT   (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.50 32% 2.20 2.32 P
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SMOOTH AS USUAL by FLOWER ALLEY)
2  SACRED LIFE (FR)   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 15% 5.70 6.44 S
  (by SIYOUNI (FR) out of KNYAZHNA (IRE) by MONTJEU (IRE))
1  SET PIECE (GB)   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 4.00 27% 2.80 2.16  
  (by UNKNOWN out of PORTODORA by KINGMAMBO)
8  CAVALRY CHARGE   (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 125 20.00 5% 19.00 30.22  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SWEET TALKIN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  ADMISSION OFFICE   (lynch bria)HERNANDEZ J 125 10.00 18.48  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of MISS CHAPIN by ROYAL ACADEMY)
9  CELLIST   (arnold r)LANERIE J 125 15.00 27.74  
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of CELLO by STROLLING ALONG)
3  FIELD PASS   (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 8.00 17.67  
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of ONLY ME by RUNAWAY GROOM)
SCR  MEGACITY   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 125 15.00    
  (by CITY ZIP out of COZY GAIN by COZZENE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.