The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Saturday - August 13, 2022
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CD-1   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT-12:45
:213 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUN AND FEISTY 1 5 44 32   1nk 13 (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 17% 4.80 8.37 W
9  BABY GOT BACKSPIN 9 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 23 (arnold r)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 28% 2.60 2.71 P
6  EYES OF GOLD 6 6 66 46   44½ 36¾ (demeritte larry)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 ★ 8.72 S
2  ADIVA 2 7 98½ 89½   58½ 414¾ (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 14.24  
8  MALAWNIA 8 8 87 78½   69½ 517¼ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 119 12.00 6% 16.80 5.76  
4  PERFECT ROSE 4 10 1014½ 1013½   912¼ 618 (vasquez sr)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00 53.89  
7  ALWAYS SMILING 7 9 76½ 911½   812 719¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 4.29  
10  SHE HAS THE LOOK 10 4 55 67½   1014¼ 823½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 30.12  
5  KENTUCKY REIGN 5 2 32 57   711 9100 (colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 29% 2.40 7.11  
3  CONVERSATIONAL 3 3 2nk 1nk   31 10100 (mccarthy w)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5.32  
 
CD-2   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
:223 :454 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROMANCE NOVEL 3 1 2nk 2½   1½ 1½ (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 25% 3.00 3.71 W
1  LUV DRAGON 1 2 41 52   31 2½ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 27% 2.80 3.95 P
7  JAG WARRIOR 7 3 51½ 31½   43 34 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 17.46  
2  SCARLET STRIPE 2 5 1nk 1½   2½ 44¼ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 ★ 2.21  
6  INTRIGUE 6 7 63½ 66   57 58½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 7.69  
8  BROADBAND 8 8 89 812½   69½ 613 (taylor brent)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 65.15  
9  TEXAS LUCKY 9 4 75 77½   812 719¾ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 ★ 8.55  
4  CALM INSPIRATION 4 6 3½ 41½   711½ 821 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 26% 2.90 4.88  
5  NOVEMBER ROSE 5 9 914 915½   917 925½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 124 30.00 34.13  
 
CD-3   08/13/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
:233 :473 1:123 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MEISTER 5 6 77½ 74½ 51¾ 31 1¼ (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 123 10.00 ★ 10.95  
3  TEPEU 3 5 55 53 4¾ 2nk 2¼ (walsh p)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 ★ 1.24 P
4  GULFSTREAM WAY 4 1 33½ 42 2nk 1nk 3¾ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.50 49% 1.00 3.66 S
8  LEGIONNAIRE 8 7 66½ 64½ 61¾ 45 46½ (drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 6% 17.00 5.68  
7  JELLY NOUGAT 7 2 44 31½ 3½ 56 59 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 23% 3.30 3.21  
1  HIPPODROME 1 4 1nk 1½ 1nk 611 615¼ (cash l)COURT K 120 8.00 21.56  
6  KISS PRINCIPAL 6 8 89½ 86 84¼ 714 717¾ (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 30.00 48.49  
2  DEFIED 2 3 2nk 2½ 72¼ 824 836½ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00 56.31  
 
CD-4   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:27
:214 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KEY OF LIFE 7 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 12½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 38% 1.60 0.66 W
6  BLACK FOREST 6 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 22½ (gutierrez faustio)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 37% 1.70 7.46 P
5  VALIANT PRAISE 5 7 75½ 46½   46 36¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 29.99  
10  MOODY 10 8 87½ 67¼   35 47 (brisset rodolphe)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 ★ 6.35  
4  REVENUE TRAIN 4 6 53½ 88¾   79 58¼ (maker j)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 ★ 11.25  
2  WILLOW BEND 2 9 98½ 78¼   68½ 69½ (colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 24.08  
8  DRE ME LESS 8 4 64½ 56¾   810½ 713¾ (arnold r)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 44.84  
9  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 9 3 42 32½   58 814½ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 9.79  
3  ZOOM ERIN 3 5 31½ 99¼   913½ 918¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 31.83  
1  ZEITLOS 1 10 10100 10100   10100 10100 (asmussen m)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 15.82  
 
CD-5   08/13/2022 5940ft TURF GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($500K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
:231 :462 1:101 1:334   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DALIKA (GER) 1 3 11 12½ 1½ 2nk 1½ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 ★ 7.51  
3  PRINCESS GRACE 3 1 21 22½ 2½ 1nk 2½ (stidham michael)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.00 39% 1.60 3.68 P
2  FAMILY WAY 2 4 43½ 44 42 32½ 32½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 16% 5.10 2.25 S
5  LILY POND (IRE) 5 5 32½ 33½ 32 44½ 44¼ (o'brien p)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 16% 5.10 3.78  
4  ROUGIR (FR) 4 2 54 55 54 57 55¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 ★ 1.73  
 
CD-6   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:35
:213 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CONFIDENCE GAME 3 4 1nk 11½   12 15 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 8% 11.10 2.02 W
11  SIMOVIC 10 1 42¾ 53½   22 25 (von donnie)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 17.64  
2  FRANK'S HONOR 2 12 86 65   34 36 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 19.70  
7  TSHIEBWE 6 7 98½ 911½   76¾ 46¾ (brisset rodolphe)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 7.64  
13  FATHER DELAY 12 8 1110 1012   87¼ 58½ (maker j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 ★ 15.66  
12  ACCIDENT 11 10 76 77½   66½ 68½ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 10.00 5% 19.00 34.31  
1  CALIFORNIA TWIRL 1 11 63 42½   44½ 78¾ (walsh p)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 27.84  
10  STORMIN ARMY 9 3 3.2 21½   56½ 813¼ (vance r)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 5.00 44% 1.30 3.69  
6  GASLIGHT DANCER 5 5 2nk 32   98¼ 914¾ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 22% 3.60 3.94  
9  AMERICAN DOLLARS 8 6 1211½ 1218   1113¾ 1017¾ (stewart dallas)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 18.01  
5  AUGUSTUS BLUE 4 2 52¾ 810   1010¾ 1118¼ (pierce lacy)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 67.97  
8  TEXCOCO 7 9 109 1117   1215¼ 1220¾ (asmussen m)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 16.04  
SCR  MAKING MOVES               (barkley jason)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
 
CD-7   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
:222 :452 :571     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELL'S THE ONE 1 5 54½ 43½   31 11½ (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 1.40 18% 4.60 1.41 W
3  JOYFUL CADENCE 3 1 11 11½   1½ 21½ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 18% 4.60 5.89 P
4  LOVEMESOMEME 4 2 21 21½   2½ 32 (drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★ 9.29 S
2  SCONSIN 2 4 43 33½   42 42½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 42% 1.40 0.93  
5  MUSIC CITY STAR 5 3 32½ 54½   58 516 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 20.00 ★ 24.72  
 
CD-8   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
:231 :461 1:103     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PRO OXIDANT 10 2 84¼ 73¾   32½ 17 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 3.24  
8  ENGRAVE 8 1 1½ 1½   11½ 27 (lobo h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 35% 1.80 2.25 P
10  BOURBON ON FIRE 11 9 32 2½   21½ 37½ (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 18.33  
2  CALL ME FAST 1 3 63¼ 84¼   55 47½ (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 32.04  
4  NORGAY 3 8 107¾ 107¾   88 57¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 ★ 27.55  
1  SCRATCHOFF 5 5 42 32   43½ 69½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 5.00 9% 9.60 3.40  
7  ORDER OF MERIT 7 10 73¾ 52¼   66½ 79¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 7.06  
3  VINCO 2 4 96¼ 96¼   98 812 (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 26% 2.80 7.78  
1A  APPEAL DENIED 9 6 2½ 42   77½ 915½ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 3.40  
6  VALE 6 7 52¼ 63¼   1016 1022¾ (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 7% 13.30 15.75  
5  CHA CHA LOCO 4 11 1113¼ 1116¾   1132 1152¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 34.80  
 
CD-9   08/13/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
:241 :482 1:13 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DIGITAL 6 3 42½ 43 31 2nk 1¾ (hiles rick)LANERIE J 121 10.00 6% 15.90 20.84 W
2  ELEVEN CENTRAL 2 4 21½ 21 2nk 1nk 2¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 11% 7.90 3.52 P
1  SCARLET FUSION 1 2 32½ 32 41¼ 32 32½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 4.77  
8  BUSINESS MODEL 7 6 54 54½ 52¼ 53¾ 45 (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.50 4.72  
3  SECOND OF JULY 3 1 11½ 11 1nk 42¼ 57¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 ★ 5.20  
6  GIGGING 5 7 75¾ 76½ 74¾ 66¼ 69 (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 21% 3.80 7.05  
5  JENNINGS 4 5 64¼ 65½ 64¾ 712¼ 724¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 29% 2.50 2.20  
SCR  AMERICAN HERO               (flint s)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
 
CD-10   08/13/2022 6270ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
:241 :492 1:134 1:382   1:57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TWILIGHT BLUE 5 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 21% 3.80 1.38 W
6  INTREPID HEART 6 1 32 31½ 2½ 2nk 2nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 54% 0.90 3.58 P
2  KING FURY 2 4 43 42 42 31½ 31¼ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 121 2.00 ★ 1.94 S
3  MR. WIRELESS 3 5 53½ 53 52 43 43 (calhoun bret)PARKER L 121 3.00 ★ 4.67  
4  TREASURE TROVE 4 6 64½ 63½ 63 54½ 53¼ (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 24.63  
1  ARTEMUS EAGLE 1 3 1½ 2nk 31 615 625¼ (cundiff waylon)HERRFORTH ERICA 121 30.00 47.08  
SCR  KEYSTONE FIELD               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00 ★    
 
CD-11   08/13/2022 5940ft TURF GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
:234 :472 1:103 1:343   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SANTIN 5 3 21 21 2½ 1½ 11¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 ★ 2.45  
4  SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT 4 2 11 11 1½ 2½ 21¾ (mccarthy w)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.50 32% 2.20 2.32 P
2  SACRED LIFE (FR) 2 4 56 58 58 54½ 37½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 15% 5.70 6.44 S
1  SET PIECE (GB) 1 8 810 812 68 65½ 47½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 4.00 27% 2.80 2.16  
8  CAVALRY CHARGE 7 5 42½ 42½ 42 33 58 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 125 20.00 5% 19.00 30.22  
7  ADMISSION OFFICE 6 6 68½ 610½ 79 78 69¼ (lynch a)HERNANDEZ J 125 10.00 18.48  
9  CELLIST 8 7 79½ 710½ 811½ 88 710¾ (arnold r)LANERIE J 125 15.00 27.74  
3  FIELD PASS 3 1 31½ 31½ 31½ 43½ 811 (maker j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 8.00 17.67  
SCR  MEGACITY               (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.