Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - August 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:213 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUN AND FEISTY 1 5 44 32   1nk 13 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 17% 4.80 8.37 W
BABY GOT BACKSPIN 9 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 23 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 28% 2.60 2.71 P
EYES OF GOLD 6 6 66 46   4 3 (demeritte l)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 8.72 S
ADIVA 2 7 9 8   5 414¾ (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 14.24  
MALAWNIA 8 8 87 7   6 517¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 12.00 6% 16.80 5.76  
PERFECT ROSE 4 10 1014½ 1013½   912¼ 618 (vasqu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00 53.89  
ALWAYS SMILING 7 9 7 911½   812 719¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 4.29  
10  SHE HAS THE LOOK 10 4 55 6   1014¼ 823½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 30.12  
KENTUCKY REIGN 5 2 32 57   711 9100 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 29% 2.40 7.11  
CONVERSATIONAL 3 3 2nk 1nk   31 10100 (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5.32  
 
CD-2   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANCE NOVEL 3 1 2nk 2½   1½ 1½ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 25% 3.00 3.71 W
LUV DRAGON 1 2 41 52   31 2½ (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 27% 2.80 3.95 P
JAG WARRIOR 7 3 5 3   43 34 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 17.46  
SCARLET STRIPE 2 5 1nk 1½   2½ 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 2.21  
INTRIGUE 6 7 6 66   57 5 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 7.69  
BROADBAND 8 8 89 812½   6 613 (taylor bren)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 65.15  
TEXAS LUCKY 9 4 75 7   812 719¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 8.55  
CALM INSPIRATION 4 6 3½ 4   711½ 821 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 26% 2.90 4.88  
NOVEMBER ROSE 5 9 914 915½   917 925½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 124 30.00 34.13  
 
CD-3   08/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEISTER 5 6 7 7 5 31 1¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 123 10.00 10.95  
TEPEU 3 5 55 53 4¾ 2nk 2¼ (walsh p)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 1.24 P
GULFSTREAM WAY 4 1 3 42 2nk 1nk 3¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.50 49% 1.00 3.66 S
LEGIONNAIRE 8 7 6 6 6 45 4 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 6% 17.00 5.68  
JELLY NOUGAT 7 2 44 3 3½ 56 59 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 23% 3.30 3.21  
HIPPODROME 1 4 1nk 1½ 1nk 611 615¼ (cash l)COURT K 120 8.00 21.56  
KISS PRINCIPAL 6 8 8 86 8 714 717¾ (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 30.00 48.49  
DEFIED 2 3 2nk 2½ 7 824 836½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00 56.31  
 
CD-4   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:214 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEY OF LIFE (IRE) 7 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 38% 1.60 0.66 W
BLACK FOREST 6 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2 (gutierrez faust)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 37% 1.70 7.46 P
VALIANT PRAISE 5 7 7 4   46 3 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 29.99  
10  MOODY 10 8 8 6   35 47 (brisset rodolphe)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 6.35  
REVENUE TRAIN 4 6 5 8   79 5 (maker j)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 11.25  
WILLOW BEND 2 9 9 7   6 6 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 24.08  
DRE ME LESS 8 4 6 5   810½ 713¾ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 44.84  
MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 9 3 42 3   58 814½ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 9.79  
ZOOM ERIN 3 5 3 9   913½ 918¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 31.83  
ZEITLOS 1 10 10100 10100   10100 10100 (asmussen steven)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 15.82  
 
CD-5   08/13/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:101 1:334   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DALIKA (GER) 1 3 11 1 1½ 2nk 1½ (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 7.51  
PRINCESS GRACE 3 1 21 2 2½ 1nk 2½ (stidham michae)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.00 39% 1.60 3.68 P
FAMILY WAY 2 4 4 44 42 3 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 16% 5.10 2.25 S
LILY POND (IRE) 5 5 3 3 32 4 4 (o'brien p)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 16% 5.10 3.78  
ROUGIR (FR) 4 2 54 55 54 57 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 1.73  
 
CD-6   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:213 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFIDENCE GAME 3 4 1nk 1   12 15 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 8% 11.10 2.02 W
11  SIMOVIC 10 1 4 5   22 25 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 17.64  
FRANK'S HONOR 2 12 86 65   34 36 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 19.70  
TSHIEBWE 6 7 9 911½   7 4 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 7.64  
13  FATHER DELAY 12 8 1110 1012   8 5 (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 15.66  
12  ACCIDENT 11 10 76 7   6 6 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 10.00 5% 19.00 34.31  
CALIFORNIA TWIRL 1 11 63 4   4 7 (walsh p)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 27.84  
10  STORMIN ARMY 9 3 3.2 2   5 813¼ (vance)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 5.00 44% 1.30 3.69  
GASLIGHT DANCER 5 5 2nk 32   9 914¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 22% 3.60 3.94  
AMERICAN DOLLARS 8 6 1211½ 1218   1113¾ 1017¾ (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 18.01  
AUGUSTUS BLUE 4 2 5 810   1010¾ 1118¼ (pierce lacy)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 67.97  
TEXCOCO 7 9 109 1117   1215¼ 1220¾ (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 16.04  
SCR  MAKING MOVES               (barkley jason)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
 
CD-7   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:222 :452 :571     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELL'S THE ONE 1 5 5 4   31 1 (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 1.40 18% 4.60 1.41 W
JOYFUL CADENCE 3 1 11 1   1½ 2 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 18% 4.60 5.89 P
LOVEMESOMEME 4 2 21 2   2½ 32 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 9.29 S
SCONSIN 2 4 43 3   42 4 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 42% 1.40 0.93  
MUSIC CITY STAR 5 3 3 5   58 516 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 20.00 24.72  
 
CD-8   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:103     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRO OXIDANT 10 2 8 7   3 17 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 3.24  
ENGRAVE 8 1 1½ 1½   1 27 (lobo h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 35% 1.80 2.25 P
10  BOURBON ON FIRE 11 9 32 2½   2 3 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 18.33  
CALL ME FAST 1 3 6 8   55 4 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 32.04  
NORGAY 3 8 10 10   88 5 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 27.55  
SCRATCHOFF 5 5 42 32   4 6 (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 5.00 9% 9.60 3.40  
ORDER OF MERIT 7 10 7 5   6 7 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 7.06  
VINCO 2 4 9 9   98 812 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 26% 2.80 7.78  
1A  APPEAL DENIED 9 6 2½ 42   7 915½ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 3.40  
VALE 6 7 5 6   1016 1022¾ (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 7% 13.30 15.75  
CHA CHA LOCO 4 11 1113¼ 1116¾   1132 1152¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 34.80  
 
CD-9   08/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:13 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGITAL 6 3 4 43 31 2nk 1¾ (hiles rick)LANERIE J 121 10.00 6% 15.90 20.84 W
ELEVEN CENTRAL 2 4 2 21 2nk 1nk 2¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 11% 7.90 3.52 P
SCARLET FUSION 1 2 3 32 4 32 3 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 4.77  
BUSINESS MODEL 7 6 54 5 5 5 45 (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.50 4.72  
SECOND OF JULY 3 1 1 11 1nk 4 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 5.20  
GIGGING 5 7 7 7 7 6 69 (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 21% 3.80 7.05  
JENNINGS 4 5 6 6 6 712¼ 724¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 29% 2.50 2.20  
SCR  AMERICAN HERO               (flint s)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
 
CD-10   08/13/2022 6270ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:134 1:382   1:57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWILIGHT BLUE 5 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 21% 3.80 1.38 W
INTREPID HEART 6 1 32 3 2½ 2nk 2nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 54% 0.90 3.58 P
KING FURY 2 4 43 42 42 3 3 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 2.00 1.94 S
MR. WIRELESS 3 5 5 53 52 43 43 (calhoun br)PARKER L 121 3.00 4.67  
TREASURE TROVE 4 6 6 6 63 5 5 (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 24.63  
ARTEMUS EAGLE 1 3 1½ 2nk 31 615 625¼ (cundiff waylo)HERRFORTH ERICA 121 30.00 47.08  
SCR  KEYSTONE FIELD               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00    
 
CD-11   08/13/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:103 1:343   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTIN 5 3 21 21 2½ 1½ 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 2.45  
SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT 4 2 11 11 1½ 2½ 2 (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.50 32% 2.20 2.32 P
SACRED LIFE (FR) 2 4 56 58 58 5 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 15% 5.70 6.44 S
SET PIECE (GB) 1 8 810 812 68 6 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 4.00 27% 2.80 2.16  
CAVALRY CHARGE 7 5 4 4 42 33 58 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 125 20.00 5% 19.00 30.22  
ADMISSION OFFICE 6 6 6 610½ 79 78 6 (lynch brian )HERNANDEZ J 125 10.00 18.48  
CELLIST 8 7 7 710½ 811½ 88 710¾ (arnold r)LANERIE J 125 15.00 27.74  
FIELD PASS 3 1 3 3 3 4 811 (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 8.00 17.67  
SCR  MEGACITY               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 125 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.