Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:14 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XIGERA 2 1 22 2 21 1 1 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 119 3.00 23% 3.30 1.15 W
JUSTIFIABLE BELLE 1 6 4 4 32 2 2 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 13.20  
CLEVER JOKE 6 10 1017½ 1019¾ 1011¼ 77 39 (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 25.25  
MO SHIRO 5 4 57 57 5 4 4 (mcpeek g)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 15.60  
LA VITA SOFIA 8 5 6 69 65 6 5 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 33.00  
CANDLE 3 3 3 3 42 34 610¼ (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 12.00  
WAND 4 9 812½ 914¾ 9 88 710¾ (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 20.70  
MADEMOISELLEJACKIE 9 7 711 713 7 9 810¾ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 5.20  
AKAYLA (IRE) 7 8 913 814½ 8 1010 913¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 5.70  
10  FOREVER DIXIE 10 2 12 1 11 5 1014¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6% 15.50 9.20  
SCR  FREYDIS THE RED (FR)               (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  MISINTENTION               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  MY BETSY               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-2   08/28/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:122 1:372   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYO 3 1 1 11 1½ 1 1 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 123 3.00 38% 1.60 2.55 W
ENDOWED 1 5 2 21 2½ 2 2 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 36% 1.80 2.10 P
BOLD VICTORY 4 2 3 5 5 5 3 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 2.75 S
NEVER CHANGE 2 4 5 32 32 35 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 10.30  
ELOQUIST 6 6 64 4 43 4 57 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 8.30  
HIGHER QUALITY 5 3 4 69 611½ 622½ 641½ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 125 4.00 6.50  
 
SAR-3   08/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:22 :453 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  STUCK ON KITTEN 5 6 7 75   7 1¼ (d'angelo jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 68% 0.50 2.10 W
ABUSE OF POWER 3 3 21 21   2nk 2¼ (de hor)SANTANA JR 124 1.60 6% 15.70 2.80 P
MISPELLED MOOON 2 1 11 11   1nk 3½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 2.10 S
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 6 5 54 53   32 42 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 13.10  
THISMIGHTBETHEONE 4 8 86 6   6 52 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 6.30  
BUSTIN BULLET 8 2 3 3   4 63 (miceli michael)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 5.50  
TWEAQUED 1 4 42 42   5 7 (handal raymond)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 3.80  
JASMINESQUE 7 7 65 8   8 8 (sciacca gary)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 24.75  
SCR  NEW YORK BANKER               (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 124 2.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-4   08/28/2022 5940ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:124 1:373   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GASOLINE 2 1 1½ 11 11 1 1 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 27% 2.70 1.70 W
BOLD LOOKER 6 3 2½ 21 3 3 2 (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 9.20 P
SIDEKICK 5 2 4 4 21 2 39 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.40 34% 1.90 1.10 S
CLOUD FOREST 3 5 7 7 43 49 414¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 15.80  
AFJAN 4 7 6 54 6 511½ 514¾ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 17% 4.80 26.00  
ORDER OF MAGNITUDE 7 4 3 3 5 614 619¼ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 16.60  
ABUNDANT HONOR 1 6 53 6 7 717 724 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 8.30  
 
SAR-5   08/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:134     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME HARRY 7 1 1 1 1 13 1 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 11.50  
SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY 9 5 43 43 4 3 2 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00 2.80  
HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE) 2 4 5 64 5 55 34 (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00 14.60  
COLOSSEO 6 2 3 32 3 23 44 (catalano m)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00 18.20  
MICROPHONE (IRE) 3 7 6 5 6 7 5 (brown c)ORTIZ L 125 2.00 40% 1.50 2.45  
IRWIN (IRE) 5 6 8 75 7 66 65 (antonacci )SANTANA JR 125 6.00 6.00  
FUNNY JOKE 8 3 2 2 2 45 7 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 19.40  
EXULT 4 9 9 97 8 8 87 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 12.00 9.30  
DEVIL'S OUTLAW 1 8 7 8 9 9 912½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 7% 13.50 5.30  
SCR  PERCEIVED               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 125 12.00    
SCR  TIWANAKU               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 123 1.40 28% 2.60    
 
SAR-6   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GREAT MAYBE 1 6 2nk 1   16 18 (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 8.20  
LOVE TO SHOP 8 3 53 3   3 28 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 45% 1.20 1.80 P
QUIESCENT 6 2 42 4   26 3 (ribaudo j)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.90 S
NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 2 7 8 67   48 411½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 11.40  
11  ALPHA BELLA 10 4 7 9   8 512 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 9% 9.70 3.10  
SOLEDAD 3 10 9 7   69 613½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 4.40  
LOVIN' ON THE RUN 4 8 6 8   910¼ 716¼ (stall m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.50  
BELLA MICHELLE 5 9 10 1010¾   1013¾ 817 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 5% 19.00 39.00  
10  MARIA FROM MIAMI 9 1 3 56   7 918¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 21.60  
I'M A COUNTRY GIRL 7 5 1nk 2   59 1024¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 14.60  
SCR  HIGH CLASS               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
 
SAR-7   08/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:22 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 3 2 11 11   16 13 (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 2.35  
TOWERING ORBIT 5 10 10 108   4 23 (baker char)SANTANA JR 124 12.00 18.00  
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 8 7 9 96   9 3 (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 37.75  
SUMMER AT THE SPA 6 5 7 7   6 47 (nevin michelle)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 16% 5.20 4.10  
LUCKY LATKES 7 6 8 8   5 57 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 8% 11.40 18.90  
FREEDOMOFTHEPRESS 2 4 21 21   26 6 (ferraro w)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 33% 2.00 2.00  
O'GOTTEN GIRL 1 3 32 32   3 78 (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 8.10  
WEEKEND FUN 9 8 5 64   7 812 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 14.20  
BASTET 4 9 6 5   8 913¼ (rodriguez gusta)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00 63.75  
10  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 10 1 4 43   1010¾ 1018¼ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00 18.60  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
SAR-8   08/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:121     1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIT 3 3 39 310 33 13 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 33% 2.00 0.65 W
OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE 6 6 612 612½ 65 33 2 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 25.25  
NAPOLEONIC WAR 5 5 410 512 5 4 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 19% 4.30 2.85 S
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 1 1 25 28 22 23 4 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 3.65  
EMBOITE (IRE) 4 4 510½ 410 4 5 510¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 24.75  
FLUID SITUATION 2 2 15 18 12 6 617¼ (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
SCR  CAMP DAVID               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  RIOT HOUSE               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  SEAL BEACH               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  SERIFOS               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00    
 
SAR-9   08/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:22 :443 1:083     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODNIGHT OLIVE 7 3 3 21   12 1 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 5.80  
CARAMEL SWIRL 3 5 54 43   22 2 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 15.30 P
OBLIGATORY 2 7 7 7   56 3 (mott i)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 24% 3.20 2.75 S
TRAVEL COLUMN 6 1 1nk 11   3 48 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 14.40  
CE CE 1 6 65 6   4 511¼ (mccarthy w)ESPINOZA V 125 2.00 34% 1.90 1.55  
LADY ROCKET 4 4 4 5   6 613 (cox h)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 12% 7.10 7.90  
BELLA SOFIA 5 2 2nk 3   7 716¼ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 8% 11.90 5.30  
 
SAR-10   08/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:214 :453 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTLAW KID 3 4 3 3   2½ 1 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 25.00  
ROCKET'S RED GLARE 2 9 7 63   3½ 2 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 3.45 P
12  JAVA BUZZ 12 1 21 2½   1½ 3 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 8% 11.60 3.05 S
LUPO'S LEGACY 8 6 63 5   42 4 (englehart jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 16.50  
CHUCKA MOON 1 10 9 9   75 5 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 30.00 26.00  
11  MATT DOYLE 11 7 8 8   64 6 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 8.20  
STEADY ON 4 5 52 7   86 78 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 5.00  
BE THERE 5 8 10 10   97 88 (zito p)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 19.50  
SAINTHOODFORBRIAN 7 11 1110¼ 11   10 912 (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 30.50  
UPPER LEVEL 9 2 11 1½   5 1012¾ (jerkens jame)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 10.30  
SUPER QUALITY 6 3 4 4   1111½ 1120¾ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 9% 9.90 6.90  
10  BROADWAY JIMMY 10 12 1215¾ 1217¼   1222½ 1222¼ (clarke dyl)DAVIS A 119 50.00 45.00  
SCR  ATLANTIC DANCER               (zito p)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
SCR  JESTER'S SONG               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  JURKOVEC               (albertrani t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE               (seyler douglas )CARDENAS LUIS 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.