The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Sunday - August 28, 2022
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SAR-1   08/28/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:05
:242 :484 1:14 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  XIGERA 2 1 22 22½ 21 13½ 15¾ (bauer a)LEPAROUX R 119 3.00 23% 3.30 1.15 W
1  JUSTIFIABLE BELLE 1 6 46½ 44½ 32 23½ 25¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 13.20  
6  CLEVER JOKE 6 10 1017½ 1019¾ 1011¼ 77 39 (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 25.25  
5  MO SHIRO 5 4 57 57 53½ 44½ 49¼ (mcpeek g)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 15.60  
8  LA VITA SOFIA 8 5 68½ 69 65 66½ 59¾ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 33.00  
3  CANDLE 3 3 34½ 34½ 42 34 610¼ (mcgaughey iii)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 12.00  
4  WAND 4 9 812½ 914¾ 98¾ 88 710¾ (pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 20.70  
9  MADEMOISELLEJACKIE 9 7 711 713 77½ 98½ 810¾ (clement christophe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 5.20  
7  AKAYLA (IRE) 7 8 913 814½ 88½ 1010 913¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 5.70  
10  FOREVER DIXIE 10 2 12 12½ 11 55½ 1014¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6% 15.50 9.20  
SCR  FREYDIS THE RED (FR)               (mcpeek g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  MISINTENTION               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  MY BETSY               (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-2   08/28/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
:241 :483 1:122 1:372   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CRYO 3 1 11½ 11 1½ 13½ 15½ (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 123 3.00 38% 1.60 2.55 W
1  ENDOWED 1 5 21½ 21 2½ 23½ 25½ (clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 36% 1.80 2.10 P
4  BOLD VICTORY 4 2 32½ 53½ 53½ 57½ 35½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 ★ 2.75 S
2  NEVER CHANGE 2 4 53½ 32 32 35 46¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 ★ 10.30  
6  ELOQUIST 6 6 64 42½ 43 45½ 57 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 8.30  
5  HIGHER QUALITY 5 3 43½ 69 611½ 622½ 641½ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 125 4.00 ★ 6.50  
 
SAR-3   08/28/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
:22 :453 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  STUCK ON KITTEN 5 6 75½ 75   73¼ 1¼ (d'angelo francisco)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 68% 0.50 2.10 W
3  ABUSE OF POWER 3 3 21 21   2nk 2¼ (de horacio)SANTANA JR 124 1.60 6% 15.70 2.80 P
1  MISPELLED MOOON 2 1 11 11   1nk 3½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 ★ 2.10 S
5  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 6 5 54 53   32 42 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 13.10  
4  THISMIGHTBETHEONE 4 8 86 64½   62¾ 52 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 6.30  
7  BUSTIN BULLET 8 2 31½ 31½   42¼ 63 (miceli michael)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 5.50  
2  TWEAQUED 1 4 42 42   52¼ 74¼ (handal raymond)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 ★ 3.80  
6  JASMINESQUE 7 7 65 85½   86¾ 88½ (sciacca gary)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 ★ 24.75  
SCR  NEW YORK BANKER               (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 124 2.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-4   08/28/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
:234 :482 1:124 1:373   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GASOLINE 2 1 1½ 11 11 13½ 16¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 27% 2.70 1.70 W
6  BOLD LOOKER 6 3 2½ 21 31½ 35½ 26¼ (lynch a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★ 9.20 P
5  SIDEKICK 5 2 41½ 42½ 21 23½ 39 (mcgaughey iii)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.40 34% 1.90 1.10 S
3  CLOUD FOREST 3 5 74¾ 75½ 43 49 414¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 15.80  
4  AFJAN 4 7 63¼ 54 63½ 511½ 514¾ (maker j)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 17% 4.80 26.00  
7  ORDER OF MAGNITUDE 7 4 31½ 32½ 53½ 614 619¼ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 16.60  
1  ABUNDANT HONOR 1 6 53 64½ 74½ 717 724 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★ 8.30  
 
SAR-5   08/28/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:251 :494 1:134     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CALL ME HARRY 7 1 11½ 11½ 11½ 13 12¼ (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 11.50  
9  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY 9 5 43 43 42½ 34½ 22¼ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00 2.80  
3  HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE) 2 4 53¼ 64 53½ 55 34 (asmussen m)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00 14.60  
7  COLOSSEO 6 2 31½ 32 31½ 23 44 (catalano m)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00 18.20  
4  MICROPHONE (IRE) 3 7 63¾ 53½ 63¾ 76¼ 54½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 125 2.00 40% 1.50 2.45  
6  IRWIN (IRE) 5 6 85¾ 75 74¼ 66 65 (antonacci philip)SANTANA JR 125 6.00 6.00  
1  FUNNY JOKE 8 3 21½ 21½ 21½ 45 76¾ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 19.40  
5  EXULT 4 9 98¼ 97 86¼ 87¾ 87 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 12.00 ★ 9.30  
2  DEVIL'S OUTLAW 1 8 75¾ 85½ 96¾ 99¾ 912½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 7% 13.50 5.30  
SCR  PERCEIVED               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 125 12.00 ★    
SCR  TIWANAKU               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 123 1.40 28% 2.60    
 
SAR-6   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:55
:221 :451 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GREAT MAYBE 1 6 2nk 11½   16 18 (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 8.20  
9  LOVE TO SHOP 8 3 53 35½   36½ 28 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 45% 1.20 1.80 P
7  QUIESCENT 6 2 42 45½   26 38¼ (ribaudo j)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.90 S
2  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 2 7 84¾ 67   48 411½ (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 11.40  
11  ALPHA BELLA 10 4 73¾ 97¾   89¼ 512 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 9% 9.70 3.10  
3  SOLEDAD 3 10 94¾ 77¼   69 613½ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 4.40  
5  LOVIN' ON THE RUN 4 8 63½ 87¾   910¼ 716¼ (stall m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.50  
6  BELLA MICHELLE 5 9 107¼ 1010¾   1013¾ 817 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 5% 19.00 39.00  
10  MARIA FROM MIAMI 9 1 31½ 56   79¼ 918¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 21.60  
8  I'M A COUNTRY GIRL 7 5 1nk 21½   59 1024¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 14.60  
SCR  HIGH CLASS               (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
 
SAR-7   08/28/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
:22 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 3 2 11 11   16 13 (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 ★ 2.35  
5  TOWERING ORBIT 5 10 106¾ 108   47½ 23 (baker charlton)SANTANA JR 124 12.00 18.00  
8  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 8 7 95¼ 96   99¼ 36½ (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 37.75  
6  SUMMER AT THE SPA 6 5 73¾ 74½   67¾ 47 (nevin michelle)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 16% 5.20 4.10  
7  LUCKY LATKES 7 6 84¾ 85½   57½ 57 (antonucci m)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 8% 11.40 18.90  
2  FREEDOMOFTHEPRESS 2 4 21 21   26 67½ (ferraro w)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 33% 2.00 2.00  
1  O'GOTTEN GIRL 1 3 32 32   36½ 78 (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 8.10  
9  WEEKEND FUN 9 8 53½ 64   78¼ 812 (begg bentley)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 14.20  
4  BASTET 4 9 63½ 53½   88¾ 913¼ (rodriguez gustavo)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00 63.75  
10  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 10 1 42½ 43   1010¾ 1018¼ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00 18.60  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
SAR-8   08/28/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
:23 :47 1:121     1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WIT 3 3 39 310 33 13 12¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 33% 2.00 0.65 W
9  OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE 6 6 612 612½ 65 33 22¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 25.25  
7  NAPOLEONIC WAR 5 5 410 512 54½ 43½ 36¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 19% 4.30 2.85 S
1  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 1 1 25 28 22 23 48¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 3.65  
5  EMBOITE (IRE) 4 4 510½ 410 43½ 54½ 510¼ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 24.75  
3  FLUID SITUATION 2 2 15 18 12 66½ 617¼ (terranova p)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
SCR  CAMP DAVID               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  RIOT HOUSE               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  SEAL BEACH               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  SERIFOS               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00    
 
SAR-9   08/28/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($500K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
:22 :443 1:083     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOODNIGHT OLIVE 7 3 31½ 21   12 12¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 5.80  
3  CARAMEL SWIRL 3 5 54 43   22 22¾ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 ★ 15.30 P
2  OBLIGATORY 2 7 75¼ 77½   56 34¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 24% 3.20 2.75 S
6  TRAVEL COLUMN 6 1 1nk 11   32½ 48 (mott i)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 14.40  
1  CE CE 1 6 65 63½   45½ 511¼ (mccarthy w)ESPINOZA V 125 2.00 34% 1.90 1.55  
4  LADY ROCKET 4 4 43½ 53½   67½ 613 (cox h)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 12% 7.10 7.90  
5  BELLA SOFIA 5 2 2nk 31½   77½ 716¼ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 8% 11.90 5.30  
 
SAR-10   08/28/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
:214 :453 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OUTLAW KID 3 4 31½ 31½   2½ 11¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 25.00  
2  ROCKET'S RED GLARE 2 9 73¼ 63   3½ 21¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★ 3.45 P
12  JAVA BUZZ 12 1 21 2½   1½ 34½ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 8% 11.60 3.05 S
8  LUPO'S LEGACY 8 6 63 52½   42 44¾ (englehart c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 16.50  
1  CHUCKA MOON 1 10 96¼ 95¼   75 55¼ (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 30.00 26.00  
11  MATT DOYLE 11 7 85¼ 84¾   64 65½ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 8.20  
4  STEADY ON 4 5 52 73¼   86 78 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★ 5.00  
5  BE THERE 5 8 106¾ 106¾   97 88 (zito p)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 19.50  
7  SAINTHOODFORBRIAN 7 11 1110¼ 118¾   108½ 912 (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 30.50  
9  UPPER LEVEL 9 2 11 1½   53½ 1012¾ (jerkens a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 10.30  
6  SUPER QUALITY 6 3 41½ 41½   1111½ 1120¾ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 9% 9.90 6.90  
10  BROADWAY JIMMY 10 12 1215¾ 1217¼   1222½ 1222¼ (clarke dylan)DAVIS A 119 50.00 45.00  
SCR  ATLANTIC DANCER               (zito p)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
SCR  JESTER'S SONG               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  JURKOVEC               (albertrani thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE               (seyler j)CARDENAS LUIS 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.