Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - August 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:151     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UNCLE WATER FLOW 3 4 44½ 53½ 42 11½ 14 (persaud eddi)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 ★ 1.05  
2  LUCKY MUCHO MAN 2 3 34 32 31 21½ 24 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 19% 4.30 4.90 P
1  SENSIBLECONCLUSION 1 2 21 21 1½ 31½ 38 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 26% 2.90 1.85 S
4  UNCLE BRUCE 4 1 11 11 2½ 45 416¼ (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 7.00  
5  REUNION TOUR 5 5 55 43 55½ 512 532½ (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 124 12.00 16% 5.10 12.50  
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS               (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 ★    
 
SAR-2   08/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:13     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BUSTIN BAY 6 4 32 42 2nk 13 15¾ (arriaga anton)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 38% 1.60 5.10 W
4  CARAGATE 4 3 21 2½ 3½ 23 25¾ (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 120 1.60 0.95  
3  EPONA'S DREAM 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 33 36¼ (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 ★ 6.90 S
1  OK HONEY 1 2 52½ 32 45 412 419¾ (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 11% 7.80 11.60  
2  A BIT O'IRISH SASS 2 5 63 62¾ 56 512¼ 519¾ (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 ★ 3.00  
5  IFIHADACHANCE 5 6 42½ 52½ 610 620¼ 639 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 12% 7.10 13.40  
 
SAR-3   08/18/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:232 :464 :581     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GET THE CANDY 4 4 11 1½   1½ 1½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 3.05  
6  JILL'S A HOT MESS 7 6 21 2½   2½ 2½ (lucas bonnie)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 ★ 2.30 P
1A  SASSY MELISSA 5 7 53½ 62¼   42 31¼ (englehart jere)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00 28% 2.50 2.85 DQ↓4
5  FONTANAFREDDA 6 5 63½ 52   32 41½ (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 14% 6.30 3.70 S
1  SHESAWILDJOKER 1 1 75½ 73¾   73¼ 53¼ (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 2.85  
2  ITSAKEYPER 2 2 31½ 31   53 63½ (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 23.40  
3  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 3 3 42½ 41   63¼ 73¾ (jones eduardo )LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 12% 7.20 6.30  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 17% 4.90    
 
SAR-4   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Handicap ($25K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:221 :45 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MEXICAN WONDER BOY 2 1 11 12½   15 15¼ (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 9% 9.90 2.50 W
5  FLAMINGO HAWK 4 3 21 22½   25 25¼ (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 ★ 2.60 P
1  ALCOOLS 1 2 42 43½   36½ 37½ (englehart jere)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 5.30  
4  STAGE LEFT 3 5 53 53½   47 49½ (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 125 3.00 47% 1.10 1.70  
7  ABSENTEE 6 6 64 69   513½ 521¼ (ramirez silvin)LEZCANO JOSE 117 15.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
6  REJECTED AGAIN 5 4 31 33   614 626 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 12.90  
SCR  LONG TERM THINKING               (avila c)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 8% 11.70    
 
SAR-5   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:221 1:113         1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CLEAR THE DECK 4 1 31½ 31½   2nk 1½ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 3.00 42% 1.40 2.65 W
6  FORBIDDEN SECRET 5 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 2½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 1.80  
2  CHILDERS 2 3 1½ 1nk   32 39¼ (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 34% 1.90 2.35 S
1  TSURIS 1 5 68½ 610½   511½ 418½ (stewart dal)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 ★ 8.50  
4  UNCLE DAN 3 6 55½ 46½   410½ 519¼ (martin carlos)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 7.60  
7  RAKA RAKA CRUZ 6 2 42 58   618½ 643¼ (cruz lenin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 ★ 19.20  
SCR  HEY EUGENE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-6   08/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:241 :501 1:154 1:393   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RECOGNIZE 4 3 11 1½ 1½ 14½ 15¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 11% 7.80 2.40 W
1  BERNING HONOR 1 5 31½ 42 42 24½ 25¼ (schettino domi)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 8.10  
8  ORANGE FREEZE 8 8 74½ 75¼ 75 67½ 35¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 49% 1.00 2.95 S
3  DREAM ON CARA 3 1 63 53 63½ 57 47¾ (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 ★ 11.80  
5  SARAH'S DIALED IN 5 6 21 2½ 2½ 35½ 58¼ (dini mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 11% 7.80 8.00  
7  BERNT AGAIN 7 4 42 32 31½ 46½ 69¼ (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5.60  
6  LUNA LOCA 6 7 53 63¼ 53 78½ 711¾ (schosberg ric)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 15.80  
2  APRIL FIRST 2 2 86½ 86¼ 88 816½ 823 (donk david)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 8% 11.40 6.20  
 
SAR-7   08/18/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  IMMORTALIZATION 7 5 11 11½   12½ 12¾ (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 2.50 1.30  
4  TRUEBELIEVE 4 2 54 77¾   45½ 22¾ (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00 7% 14.20 45.25 P
2  VETERANS BEACH 2 1 21 31½   22½ 34¾ (dini mike)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 18% 4.70 3.10 S
6  BOOM BOOM KABOOM 6 7 77½ 65¼   56½ 46 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00 ★ 7.30  
1  STEELERSFANFORLIFE 1 6 67½ 55   67 58 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 122 12.00 17.40  
3  CHARLES CHROME 3 3 31½ 21½   34½ 68½ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 43% 1.30 2.55  
5  LOADED JOE 5 4 42 43   77 710¾ (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00 24.50  
SCR  CATHEDRAL BEACH               (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80    
SCR  LEDDY               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 120 2.00 11% 8.40    
 
SAR-8   08/18/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:113 1:361   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WARRIOR JOHNY 5 4 2½ 1nk 11 17 18½ (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50 32% 2.10 2.80 W
1  PERCEIVED 1 1 78 76½ 79½ 38½ 28½ (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 21% 3.80 7.50 P
2  COMPLETE AGENDA 2 2 43½ 43 55½ 27 39 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 4.40  
6  UNBRIDLED BOMBER 6 6 33 53½ 45 511 414¾ (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 120 15.00 23.20  
3  NABOKOV 3 5 1½ 31½ 34 411 518 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 9% 9.90 2.60 DQ↓6
4  WINIT 4 7 54½ 2nk 21 611¼ 618 (kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 16% 5.30 2.50  
7  VASARIANO 7 3 67½ 65½ 69½ 716¼ 721½ (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 20.00 ★ 35.00  
 
SAR-9   08/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:121     1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ROCKET 1 2 59½ 612¼ 56 42½ 1½ (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 33.25  
3  ROYAL DANCER 3 1 36½ 49 34 2nk 2½ (nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 4.30  
6  BUSY MORNING 6 4 25½ 27 22 1nk 31¾ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 39% 1.50 1.85 S
4  DREAM CENTRAL 4 6 610½ 512 46 53½ 42¼ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50 21% 3.80 4.00  
2  ROBYN AND ELI 2 8 710½ 713¾ 77¼ 66 55½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 ★ 6.90  
5  HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY 5 3 15½ 17 12 3½ 66 (trombetta mich)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 14% 6.40 4.60  
8  EROS'S GIRL 8 7 812 813¾ 810¼ 810½ 711¾ (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 20.00 27.50  
7  TARA DANCER 7 5 47 39 66¼ 710 816½ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 ★ 10.00  
 
SAR-10   08/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:14 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SELL SOMETHING 4 9 53½ 74¼ 54 31½ 11 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 26.25  
1  URAGANO 1 3 1nk 3½ 21½ 1½ 21 (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 28% 2.60 1.70 P
2  ABLETON 2 8 64 1½ 11½ 2½ 32¼ (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 ★ 6.30 S
7  TOGA DANCER 7 6 87½ 85¼ 85½ 73¼ 42¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 17.60  
8  LOZ 8 5 32 41½ 32½ 42 53¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 16% 5.10 3.00  
9  CASH BAIL 9 10 1010 98¼ 95¾ 63 64 (meadow e)USKE S 118 50.00 47.50  
5  RUSH TO HONOR 5 4 43 51¾ 43 53 710¾ (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 15% 5.60 9.30  
6  LOOKIN GRAND 6 1 74½ 63¾ 65 87¼ 819¾ (baker charlto)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 20% 4.00 4.90  
3  PHOEBE'S FROSTY 3 2 2nk 2½ 75 911¼ 921¾ (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 21.90  
10  MARIE'S TUFF SON 10 7 99½ 1012¼ 1023¾ 1040¼ 1072 (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 118 50.00 42.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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