Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:151     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE WATER FLOW 3 4 4 5 42 1 14 (persaud eddie)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 1.05  
LUCKY MUCHO MAN 2 3 34 32 31 2 24 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 19% 4.30 4.90 P
SENSIBLECONCLUSION 1 2 21 21 1½ 3 38 (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 26% 2.90 1.85 S
UNCLE BRUCE 4 1 11 11 2½ 45 416¼ (brown bruc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 7.00  
REUNION TOUR 5 5 55 43 5 512 532½ (ferraro james )SAMUEL L 124 12.00 16% 5.10 12.50  
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS               (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00    
 
SAR-2   08/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:13     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN BAY 6 4 32 42 2nk 13 1 (arriaga antonio)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 38% 1.60 5.10 W
CARAGATE 4 3 21 2½ 3½ 23 2 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 120 1.60 0.95  
EPONA'S DREAM 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 33 3 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 6.90 S
OK HONEY 1 2 5 32 45 412 419¾ (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 11% 7.80 11.60  
A BIT O'IRISH SASS 2 5 63 6 56 512¼ 519¾ (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 3.00  
IFIHADACHANCE 5 6 4 5 610 620¼ 639 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 12% 7.10 13.40  
 
SAR-3   08/18/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:232 :464 :581     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET THE CANDY 4 4 11 1½   1½ 1½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 3.05  
JILL'S A HOT MESS 7 6 21 2½   2½ 2½ (lucas bonnie)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 2.30 P
1A  SASSY MELISSA 5 7 5 6   42 3 (englehart jeremi)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00 28% 2.50 2.85 DQ↓4
FONTANAFREDDA 6 5 6 52   32 4 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 14% 6.30 3.70 S
SHESAWILDJOKER 1 1 7 7   7 5 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 2.85  
ITSAKEYPER 2 2 3 31   53 6 (albertrani)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 23.40  
DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 3 3 4 41   6 7 (jones e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 12% 7.20 6.30  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 17% 4.90    
 
SAR-4   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Handicap ($25K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:221 :45 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEXICAN WONDER BOY 2 1 11 1   15 1 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 9% 9.90 2.50 W
FLAMINGO HAWK 4 3 21 2   25 2 (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 2.60 P
ALCOOLS 1 2 42 4   3 3 (englehart jeremi)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 5.30  
STAGE LEFT 3 5 53 5   47 4 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 125 3.00 47% 1.10 1.70  
ABSENTEE 6 6 64 69   513½ 521¼ (ramirez silvino)LEZCANO JOSE 117 15.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
REJECTED AGAIN 5 4 31 33   614 626 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 12.90  
SCR  LONG TERM THINKING               (avila c)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 8% 11.70    
 
SAR-5   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:221 1:113         1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR THE DECK 4 1 3 3   2nk 1½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 3.00 42% 1.40 2.65 W
FORBIDDEN SECRET 5 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 2½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 1.80  
CHILDERS 2 3 1½ 1nk   32 3 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 34% 1.90 2.35 S
TSURIS 1 5 6 610½   511½ 418½ (stewart dalla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 8.50  
UNCLE DAN 3 6 5 4   410½ 519¼ (martin f)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 7.60  
RAKA RAKA CRUZ 6 2 42 58   618½ 643¼ (cruz lenin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 19.20  
SCR  HEY EUGENE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
 
SAR-6   08/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:241 :501 1:154 1:393   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECOGNIZE 4 3 11 1½ 1½ 1 1 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 11% 7.80 2.40 W
BERNING HONOR 1 5 3 42 42 2 2 (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 8.10  
ORANGE FREEZE 8 8 7 7 75 6 3 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 49% 1.00 2.95 S
DREAM ON CARA 3 1 63 53 6 57 4 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 11.80  
SARAH'S DIALED IN 5 6 21 2½ 2½ 3 5 (dini mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 11% 7.80 8.00  
BERNT AGAIN 7 4 42 32 3 4 6 (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5.60  
LUNA LOCA 6 7 53 6 53 7 711¾ (schosberg richa)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 15.80  
APRIL FIRST 2 2 8 8 88 816½ 823 (donk david)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 8% 11.40 6.20  
 
SAR-7   08/18/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMMORTALIZATION 7 5 11 1   1 1 (hemingw)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 2.50 1.30  
TRUEBELIEVE 4 2 54 7   4 2 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00 7% 14.20 45.25 P
VETERANS BEACH 2 1 21 3   2 3 (dini mike)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 18% 4.70 3.10 S
BOOM BOOM KABOOM 6 7 7 6   5 46 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00 7.30  
STEELERSFANFORLIFE 1 6 6 55   67 58 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 122 12.00 17.40  
CHARLES CHROME 3 3 3 2   3 6 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 43% 1.30 2.55  
LOADED JOE 5 4 42 43   77 710¾ (dipri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00 24.50  
SCR  CATHEDRAL BEACH               (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80    
SCR  LEDDY               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 120 2.00 11% 8.40    
 
SAR-8   08/18/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:113 1:361   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR JOHNY 5 4 2½ 1nk 11 17 1 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50 32% 2.10 2.80 W
PERCEIVED 1 1 78 7 7 3 2 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 21% 3.80 7.50 P
COMPLETE AGENDA 2 2 4 43 5 27 39 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 4.40  
UNBRIDLED BOMBER 6 6 33 5 45 511 414¾ (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 23.20  
NABOKOV 3 5 1½ 3 34 411 518 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 9% 9.90 2.60 DQ↓6
WINIT 4 7 5 2nk 21 611¼ 618 (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 16% 5.30 2.50  
VASARIANO 7 3 6 6 6 716¼ 721½ (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 20.00 35.00  
 
SAR-9   08/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:121     1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ROCKET 1 2 5 612¼ 56 4 1½ (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 33.25  
ROYAL DANCER 3 1 3 49 34 2nk 2½ (nevin michelle)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 4.30  
BUSY MORNING 6 4 2 27 22 1nk 3 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 39% 1.50 1.85 S
DREAM CENTRAL 4 6 610½ 512 46 5 4 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50 21% 3.80 4.00  
ROBYN AND ELI 2 8 710½ 713¾ 7 66 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 6.90  
HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY 5 3 1 17 12 3½ 66 (trombetta michae)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 14% 6.40 4.60  
EROS'S GIRL 8 7 812 813¾ 810¼ 810½ 711¾ (ferraro antho)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 20.00 27.50  
TARA DANCER 7 5 47 39 6 710 816½ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 10.00  
 
SAR-10   08/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:14 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SELL SOMETHING 4 9 5 7 54 3 11 (sciacca gary)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 26.25  
URAGANO 1 3 1nk 3½ 2 1½ 21 (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 28% 2.60 1.70 P
ABLETON 2 8 64 1½ 1 2½ 3 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 6.30 S
TOGA DANCER 7 6 8 8 8 7 4 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 17.60  
LOZ 8 5 32 4 3 42 5 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 16% 5.10 3.00  
CASH BAIL 9 10 1010 9 9 63 64 (meadow e)USKE S 118 50.00 47.50  
RUSH TO HONOR 5 4 43 5 43 53 710¾ (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 15% 5.60 9.30  
LOOKIN GRAND 6 1 7 6 65 8 819¾ (baker charlton)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 20% 4.00 4.90  
PHOEBE'S FROSTY 3 2 2nk 2½ 75 911¼ 921¾ (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 21.90  
10  MARIE'S TUFF SON 10 7 9 1012¼ 1023¾ 1040¼ 1072 (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 118 50.00 42.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.