The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Thursday - August 25, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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SAR-1   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:224 :47 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SUPERSONIC 4 3 21 1½   11½ 12¾ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 33% 2.10 1.60 W
2  NECROMANCER 2 4 54 31   21½ 22¾ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 29% 2.40 2.55 P
6  MONTEREY PENINSULA 5 1 32½ 42   38½ 315 (ward a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 18% 4.60 3.30 S
1  VINNY TWO CENTS 1 2 11 2½   410 419¾ (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 119 15.00 ★ 11.80  
3  NAKED AND FAMOUS 3 5 42½ 52½   512 520¼ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 ★ 3.60  
SCR  MOON WARRIOR               (hemingway michelle)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
 
SAR-2   08/25/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:39
:221 :454 :573     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DONTLOOKBACKATALL 8 9 63½ 63½   11½ 12 (clement christophe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 11.60  
1  ELYSIAN FIELD 1 10 1011½ 109¾   83¾ 22 (brown r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 47.50  
2  ESSAOUIRA 2 6 74 73¾   52½ 32 (motion graham)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 14.10  
4  LEXI'S SPIRIT 4 8 85½ 84¾   32 43 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 15.20  
11  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) 10 2 31½ 32   62¾ 54¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 11.50  
10  PLAYLIST 9 1 2½ 2½   21½ 65¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 17% 4.90 0.85  
5  CANT KEEP ME DOWN 5 4 42 42   73¼ 78¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 7% 12.40 6.80  
7  ROCKET CITY 7 3 52 52½   95¼ 89 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 11.50  
3  HAT CHECK GIRL 3 7 96½ 97¼   106¾ 910¾ (summers chad)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 33.75  
6  LADY CARAGGIO (IRE) 6 5 1½ 1½   42½ 1013½ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 18% 4.70 7.40  
SCR  BELLA MICHELLE               (martin f)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  GEORGEES SPIRIT               (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  ILLICIT               (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  LA VITA SOFIA               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  LEMON BOMB               (pugh d)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  TELL ME WHEN               (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
 
SAR-3   08/25/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
:241 :49 1:141 1:381   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ROYAL SPIRIT 5 7 76 88 84¼ 61 11 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 ★ 3.80  
6  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) 7 3 52½ 55½ 62¾ 71½ 21 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.50 57% 0.80 2.55 P
7  MERCI 8 6 42 44½ 41½ 4¼ 31½ (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 ★ 6.40 S
1A  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) 4 5 64½ 66½ 73¾ 82½ 41½ (caramori eduardo)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 16.30  
3  ICARUS 3 4 32 34 31½ 1nk 51¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 2.70  
2  FAST GORDON 2 2 21 23 21 3.2 62¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 20.00 15.00  
5  HARD RYE GUY 6 8 87½ 77 52½ 5¾ 73¼ (wilkes r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 5% 18.50 4.50  
1  STOP THE SPREAD 1 1 11 13 11 2nk 86¼ (caramori eduardo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 16.30  
SCR  ANCIENT TIMES               (kingsley j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
SCR  CALLOWAY PEAK               (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  CRYO               (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 123 1.60 13% 6.60    
SCR  MUST BE LOVE               (rodriguez gustavo)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE               (amoss m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50    
 
SAR-4   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:49
:222 :46 :584     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WESTERN GHENT 3 1 11 2½   21½ 1nk (lukas wayne)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 13.40  
7  EE YAH 6 2 21 1½   11½ 2nk (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 41% 1.40 1.40 P
2  MR BOB 2 3 31½ 32   43½ 33¼ (zito p)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 8.10  
8  STAR ATTITUDE 7 6 55 55½   55 43¾ (martin f)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 ★ 5.30  
6  ROYAL MOVER 5 4 65 67   66½ 54½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 35% 1.80 5.10  
5  SECRET THUNDER 4 5 42½ 42   32½ 64¾ (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 ★ 3.35  
1  ENZO'S WORLD 1 7 711 711½   711½ 714¼ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 ★ 18.30  
SCR  WARMAN ROAD               (atras rob)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/25/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:242 :49 1:134 1:39   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LOCALLY OWNED 7 2 31½ 3½ 1nk 15 15½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 2.90  
5  DUST DEVIL 4 6 43 42 41½ 25 25½ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 60% 0.70 3.30 P
3  AMOUNT 3 7 65½ 56 52½ 39½ 310½ (morey e)ORTIZ L 125 6.00 7.40  
1  DIRECT ORDER 1 4 77 78 65 510½ 411¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 ★ 4.40  
2  GIOCARE 2 5 55 66½ 75¼ 612 515 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 7% 12.50 3.45  
7  KUMAR 6 3 11 1nk 31 410 615½ (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 125 5.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
6  WARRIOR IN CHIEF 5 1 21 2nk 2nk 714½ 726 (clarke dylan)DAVIS A 125 20.00 17.40  
SCR  PARSIMONY               (kantarmaci mertkan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 ★    
 
SAR-6   08/25/2022 7920ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
:234 :49 1:144 1:40 2:042 2:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BESIDE HERSELF 2 12½ 12 11 11 12½ 13¼ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 8% 11.20 8.40 W
8  ROCKY SKY (IRE) 8 66½ 66½ 66 55 43½ 23¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 29% 2.50 1.55 P
3  QUEEN BOURBON 3 34 34 32½ 32 33 34 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 ★ 6.40 S
6  CREATIVE CAIRO 6 22½ 22 21 21 22½ 44¾ (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 24.75  
4  GOOD MEASURE 4 88½ 87½ 87½ 87 66 56¾ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00 5.10  
5  MIA MARTINA 5 78 77 76½ 66 55 66¾ (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 13% 6.50 11.00  
7  LIGHT STARS (FR) 7 45 55½ 55 76 76 78 (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 28% 2.50 3.75  
1  CHAMPAGNE IVY 1 56 45 44 44½ 86¼ 811½ (joseph a)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00 13.90  
 
SAR-7   08/25/2022 6270ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:241 :502 1:15 1:391   1:564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMES JONES 1 1 53½ 63¼ 63¼ 31½ 1¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 4.00  
5  DRIPPING GOLD 4 2 21½ 32 31½ 1nk 2¾ (mcgaughey iii)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 8.50  
12  C FALLS 11 5 11½ 11 11½ 2nk 31¼ (casse w)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 27.00  
7  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 6 12 1211¼ 129¾ 129¼ 43 42¼ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 3.35  
4  DAUNT 3 4 84¾ 84¾ 84¾ 74¾ 52¼ (ribaudo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 25.50  
3  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 2 3 64 74¼ 74¼ 53¼ 63¼ (schettino a)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 3.75  
9  MODERN SCIENCE (IRE) 8 8 43 42 42 64¾ 75 (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00 9% 9.80 7.80  
8  IMPULSIVENESS 7 6 31½ 21 21½ 85¼ 85¼ (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 15% 5.90 9.90  
13  SARANAC (FR) 12 10 107¼ 117¾ 117¾ 106¾ 95¾ (hodsdon danielle)ORTIZ L 125 12.00 14.10  
10  DANTE'S FIRE 9 11 117¼ 106¼ 105¾ 117¾ 106¾ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 20.00 29.25  
11  CARLOUN (IRE) 10 7 74½ 53 53 95¾ 119 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 26.75  
6  SNOW'S ISLAND 5 9 95¾ 94¾ 94¾ 128¾ 1210½ (gargan danny)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00 24.50  
SCR  JARREAU               (maker j)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
SCR  ORCHESTRATION               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SEARCH FOR TRUTH               (dickinson w)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  TIWANAKU               (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 22% 3.60    
 
SAR-8   08/25/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:231 :462 1:111     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PRECURSORY 8 7 3½ 3½   1nk 1¼ (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 ★ 6.00  
5  TIZZY IN THE SKY 5 8 64½ 62¾   31½ 2¼ (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 29% 2.50 0.90 P
7  LIQUIDITY PROVIDER 7 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 32 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 35% 1.80 3.80 S
2  ALESSIA 2 4 41 41½   41¾ 43¾ (zito p)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 10% 9.00 10.40  
3  MS. SOLVEIG 3 2 2nk 2nk   53¾ 510 (antonacci philip)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
4  LUTE PLAYER 4 5 51½ 51¾   66¾ 614¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 10.00  
6  DOVER DREAMS 6 6 76½ 86¾   711¾ 720½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 22.30  
1  HANDBELLE 1 3 87½ 76¾   812¾ 822¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 15.70  
 
SAR-9   08/25/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 5:39
:233 :472 1:132     1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GINA ROMANTICA 7 8 88 810 75½ 73¾ 11¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 5% 17.30 14.00 W
9  FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) 8 2 33½ 35 21½ 11½ 21¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 19.70  
10  A MO REAY 9 7 77 710 86½ 83¾ 31¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8.90  
6  CUSTOMER LIST (FR) 6 6 65½ 68½ 64 41¾ 41½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 22% 3.60 6.00  
11  WONKA 10 4 44½ 46½ 43 31½ 51¾ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.60  
5  CANISY 5 1 55 57½ 54 52¼ 62¼ (clement christophe)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 38% 1.60 2.90  
3  SKIMS (GB) 3 9 109½ 1012½ 97 94 72½ (mcgaughey iii)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 ★ 2.55  
2  REPUBLIQUE 2 3 21 22½ 32 21½ 84¾ (joseph a)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 12% 7.10 17.60  
4  LINDA'S GIFT 4 10 98½ 911 107½ 105 95¼ (weaver george)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 9.70  
1  MISSY GREER 1 5 11 12½ 11½ 63¼ 1010 (gargan danny)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 19.20  
SCR  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE)               (falcone n)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
 
SAR-10   08/25/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
:214 :45 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DIGITAL FUTURE 5 8 73 63½   43 1hd (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 55% 0.80 1.70 W
5  SANDRONE 4 6 1½ 1½   1½ 2hd (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 8.70  
2  AFTER FIVE 2 7 95¼ 85½   64 31 (falcone n)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 ★ 13.70 S
7  UNCLE GEORGE 6 10 85 96   76 41½ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 16% 5.10 4.70  
12  NAPA SPIRIT (IRE) 11 5 31 2½   2½ 51½ (walsh p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 8.00  
1  SPETTRO 1 1 52 32   32½ 61¾ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5.40  
9  FOMO 8 4 42 53   54 74¼ (hendriks mclane)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 20.00  
4  MILANO 3 9 117¾ 1110½   910 85 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
10  BIG BOSS BEN 9 3 62½ 74   87½ 97½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 ★ 18.70  
11  CIVIL SERVICE 10 11 105¾ 108   1112½ 1012 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 21.40  
8  HEZASTONECOLDFOX 7 2 2½ 42½   1012 1114½ (brown r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00 48.25  
SCR  GHOSTLYPRINCE               (hemingway michelle)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
SCR  HATCH               (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  HUDSON OVERPASS               (grossman r)SAMUEL L 122 30.00    
SCR  STAINLESS STEEL               (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.