Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Thursday - August 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :47 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPERSONIC 4 3 21 1½   1 1 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 2.00 33% 2.10 1.60 W
NECROMANCER 2 4 54 31   2 2 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 29% 2.40 2.55 P
MONTEREY PENINSULA 5 1 3 42   3 315 (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 18% 4.60 3.30 S
VINNY TWO CENTS 1 2 11 2½   410 419¾ (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 119 15.00 11.80  
NAKED AND FAMOUS 3 5 4 5   512 520¼ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 3.60  
SCR  MOON WARRIOR               (hemingway michell)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
 
SAR-2   08/25/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:221 :454 :573     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTLOOKBACKATALL 8 9 6 6   1 12 (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 11.60  
ELYSIAN FIELD 1 10 1011½ 10   8 22 (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 47.50  
ESSAOUIRA 2 6 74 7   5 32 (motion graha)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 14.10  
LEXI'S SPIRIT 4 8 8 8   32 43 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 15.20  
11  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) 10 2 3 32   6 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 11.50  
10  PLAYLIST 9 1 2½ 2½   2 6 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 17% 4.90 0.85  
CANT KEEP ME DOWN 5 4 42 42   7 7 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 7% 12.40 6.80  
ROCKET CITY 7 3 52 5   9 89 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 11.50  
HAT CHECK GIRL 3 7 9 9   10 910¾ (summers c)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 33.75  
LADY CARAGGIO (IRE) 6 5 1½ 1½   4 1013½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 18% 4.70 7.40  
SCR  BELLA MICHELLE               (martin carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  GEORGEES SPIRIT               (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  ILLICIT               (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  LA VITA SOFIA               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  LEMON BOMB               (pugh d)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  TELL ME WHEN               (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
 
SAR-3   08/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:141 1:381   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL SPIRIT 5 7 76 88 8 61 11 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 3.80  
ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) 7 3 5 5 6 7 21 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.50 57% 0.80 2.55 P
MERCI 8 6 42 4 4 4¼ 3 (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 6.40 S
1A  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) 4 5 6 6 7 8 4 (caramori edu)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 16.30  
ICARUS 3 4 32 34 3 1nk 5 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 2.70  
FAST GORDON 2 2 21 23 21 3.2 6 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 20.00 15.00  
HARD RYE GUY 6 8 8 77 5 5¾ 7 (wilkes ian )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 5% 18.50 4.50  
STOP THE SPREAD 1 1 11 13 11 2nk 8 (caramori)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 16.30  
SCR  ANCIENT TIMES               (kingsley ar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
SCR  CALLOWAY PEAK               (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  CRYO               (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 123 1.60 13% 6.60    
SCR  MUST BE LOVE               (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE               (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50    
 
SAR-4   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERN GHENT 3 1 11 2½   2 1nk (lukas d )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 13.40  
EE YAH 6 2 21 1½   1 2nk (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 41% 1.40 1.40 P
MR BOB 2 3 3 32   4 3 (zito nicholas)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 8.10  
STAR ATTITUDE 7 6 55 5   55 4 (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 5.30  
ROYAL MOVER 5 4 65 67   6 5 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 35% 1.80 5.10  
SECRET THUNDER 4 5 4 42   3 6 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 3.35  
ENZO'S WORLD 1 7 711 711½   711½ 714¼ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 18.30  
SCR  WARMAN ROAD               (atras ro)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/25/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:134 1:39   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCALLY OWNED 7 2 3 3½ 1nk 15 1 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 2.90  
DUST DEVIL 4 6 43 42 4 25 2 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 60% 0.70 3.30 P
AMOUNT 3 7 6 56 5 3 310½ (morey william )ORTIZ L 125 6.00 7.40  
DIRECT ORDER 1 4 77 78 65 510½ 411¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 4.40  
GIOCARE 2 5 55 6 7 612 515 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 7% 12.50 3.45  
KUMAR 6 3 11 1nk 31 410 615½ (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 125 5.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
WARRIOR IN CHIEF 5 1 21 2nk 2nk 714½ 726 (clarke d)DAVIS A 125 20.00 17.40  
SCR  PARSIMONY               (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
 
SAR-6   08/25/2022 7920ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:144 1:40 2:042 2:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BESIDE HERSELF 2 1 12 11 11 1 1 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 8% 11.20 8.40 W
ROCKY SKY (IRE) 8 6 6 66 55 4 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 29% 2.50 1.55 P
QUEEN BOURBON 3 34 34 3 32 33 34 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 6.40 S
CREATIVE CAIRO 6 2 22 21 21 2 4 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 24.75  
GOOD MEASURE 4 8 8 8 87 66 5 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00 5.10  
MIA MARTINA 5 78 77 7 66 55 6 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 13% 6.50 11.00  
LIGHT STARS (FR) 7 45 5 55 76 76 78 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 28% 2.50 3.75  
CHAMPAGNE IVY 1 56 45 44 4 8 811½ (joseph saffi)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00 13.90  
 
SAR-7   08/25/2022 6270ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:241 :502 1:15 1:391   1:564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMES JONES 1 1 5 6 6 3 1¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 4.00  
DRIPPING GOLD 4 2 2 32 3 1nk 2¾ (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 8.50  
12  C FALLS 11 5 1 11 1 2nk 3 (casse w)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 27.00  
THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 6 12 1211¼ 12 12 43 4 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 3.35  
DAUNT 3 4 8 8 8 7 5 (ribaudo )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 25.50  
DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 2 3 64 7 7 5 6 (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 3.75  
MODERN SCIENCE (IRE) 8 8 43 42 42 6 75 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00 9% 9.80 7.80  
IMPULSIVENESS 7 6 3 21 2 8 8 (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 15% 5.90 9.90  
13  SARANAC (FR) 12 10 10 11 11 10 9 (hodsdon daniel)ORTIZ L 125 12.00 14.10  
10  DANTE'S FIRE 9 11 11 10 10 11 10 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 20.00 29.25  
11  CARLOUN (IRE) 10 7 7 53 53 9 119 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 26.75  
SNOW'S ISLAND 5 9 9 9 9 12 1210½ (gargan danny)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00 24.50  
SCR  JARREAU               (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
SCR  ORCHESTRATION               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SEARCH FOR TRUTH               (dickinson m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  TIWANAKU               (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 22% 3.60    
 
SAR-8   08/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRECURSORY 8 7 3½ 3½   1nk 1¼ (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 6.00  
TIZZY IN THE SKY 5 8 6 6   3 2¼ (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 29% 2.50 0.90 P
LIQUIDITY PROVIDER 7 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 32 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 35% 1.80 3.80 S
ALESSIA (GB) 2 4 41 4   4 4 (zito nichola)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 10% 9.00 10.40  
MS. SOLVEIG 3 2 2nk 2nk   5 510 (antonacc)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
LUTE PLAYER 4 5 5 5   6 614¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 10.00  
DOVER DREAMS 6 6 7 8   711¾ 720½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 22.30  
HANDBELLE 1 3 8 7   812¾ 822¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 15.70  
 
SAR-9   08/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:132     1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINA ROMANTICA 7 8 88 810 7 7 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 5% 17.30 14.00 W
FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) 8 2 3 35 2 1 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 19.70  
10  A MO REAY 9 7 77 710 8 8 3 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8.90  
CUSTOMER LIST (FR) 6 6 6 6 64 4 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 22% 3.60 6.00  
11  WONKA 10 4 4 4 43 3 5 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.60  
CANISY 5 1 55 5 54 5 6 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 38% 1.60 2.90  
SKIMS (GB) 3 9 10 1012½ 97 94 7 (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 2.55  
REPUBLIQUE 2 3 21 2 32 2 8 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 120 12.00 12% 7.10 17.60  
LINDA'S GIFT 4 10 9 911 10 105 9 (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 9.70  
MISSY GREER 1 5 11 1 1 6 1010 (gargan d)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 19.20  
SCR  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE)               (falcone )SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
 
SAR-10   08/25/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:214 :45 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGITAL FUTURE 5 8 73 6   43 1hd (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 55% 0.80 1.70 W
SANDRONE 4 6 1½ 1½   1½ 2hd (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 8.70  
AFTER FIVE 2 7 9 8   64 31 (falcone )SANTANA JR 122 8.00 13.70 S
UNCLE GEORGE 6 10 85 96   76 4 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 16% 5.10 4.70  
12  NAPA SPIRIT (IRE) 11 5 31 2½   2½ 5 (walsh brend)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 8.00  
SPETTRO 1 1 52 32   3 6 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5.40  
FOMO 8 4 42 53   54 7 (hendriks mclan)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 20.00  
MILANO 3 9 11 1110½   910 85 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
10  BIG BOSS BEN 9 3 6 74   8 9 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 18.70  
11  CIVIL SERVICE 10 11 10 108   1112½ 1012 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 21.40  
HEZASTONECOLDFOX 7 2 2½ 4   1012 1114½ (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00 48.25  
SCR  GHOSTLYPRINCE               (hemingway m)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
SCR  HATCH (GB)               (martin carlos)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  HUDSON OVERPASS               (grossman bru)SAMUEL L 122 30.00    
SCR  STAINLESS STEEL               (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.