Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :47 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPERSONIC 4 3 21 1½   1 1 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 33% 2.10 1.60 W
NECROMANCER 2 4 54 31   2 2 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 29% 2.40 2.55 P
MONTEREY PENINSULA 5 1 3 42   3 315 (ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 18% 4.60 3.30 S
VINNY TWO CENTS 1 2 11 2½   410 419¾ (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 119 15.00 11.80  
NAKED AND FAMOUS 3 5 4 5   512 520¼ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 3.60  
SCR  MOON WARRIOR               (hemingway michelle)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
 
SAR-2   08/25/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:221 :454 :573     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTLOOKBACKATALL 8 9 6 6   1 12 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 11.60  
ELYSIAN FIELD 1 10 1011½ 10   8 22 (brown bruc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 47.50  
ESSAOUIRA 2 6 74 7   5 32 (motion graham)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 14.10  
LEXI'S SPIRIT 4 8 8 8   32 43 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 15.20  
11  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) 10 2 3 32   6 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 11.50  
10  PLAYLIST 9 1 2½ 2½   2 6 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 17% 4.90 0.85  
CANT KEEP ME DOWN 5 4 42 42   7 7 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 7% 12.40 6.80  
ROCKET CITY 7 3 52 5   9 89 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 11.50  
HAT CHECK GIRL 3 7 9 9   10 910¾ (summers cha)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 33.75  
LADY CARAGGIO (IRE) 6 5 1½ 1½   4 1013½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 18% 4.70 7.40  
SCR  BELLA MICHELLE               (martin carlos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  GEORGEES SPIRIT               (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  ILLICIT               (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  LA VITA SOFIA               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  LEMON BOMB               (pugh d)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  TELL ME WHEN               (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
 
SAR-3   08/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:141 1:381   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL SPIRIT 5 7 76 88 8 61 11 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 3.80  
ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) 7 3 5 5 6 7 21 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.50 57% 0.80 2.55 P
MERCI 8 6 42 4 4 4¼ 3 (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 6.40 S
1A  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) 4 5 6 6 7 8 4 (caramori eduar)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 16.30  
ICARUS 3 4 32 34 3 1nk 5 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 2.70  
FAST GORDON 2 2 21 23 21 3.2 6 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 20.00 15.00  
HARD RYE GUY 6 8 8 77 5 5¾ 7 (wilkes r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 5% 18.50 4.50  
STOP THE SPREAD 1 1 11 13 11 2nk 8 (caramori e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 16.30  
SCR  ANCIENT TIMES               (kingsley arch)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
SCR  CALLOWAY PEAK               (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  CRYO               (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 123 1.60 13% 6.60    
SCR  MUST BE LOVE               (rodriguez gustav)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE               (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50    
 
SAR-4   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERN GHENT 3 1 11 2½   2 1nk (lukas wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 13.40  
EE YAH 6 2 21 1½   1 2nk (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 41% 1.40 1.40 P
MR BOB 2 3 3 32   4 3 (zito p)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 8.10  
STAR ATTITUDE 7 6 55 5   55 4 (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 5.30  
ROYAL MOVER 5 4 65 67   6 5 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 35% 1.80 5.10  
SECRET THUNDER 4 5 4 42   3 6 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 3.35  
ENZO'S WORLD 1 7 711 711½   711½ 714¼ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 18.30  
SCR  WARMAN ROAD               (atras rob)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/25/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:134 1:39   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCALLY OWNED 7 2 3 3½ 1nk 15 1 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 2.90  
DUST DEVIL 4 6 43 42 4 25 2 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 60% 0.70 3.30 P
AMOUNT 3 7 6 56 5 3 310½ (morey e)ORTIZ L 125 6.00 7.40  
DIRECT ORDER 1 4 77 78 65 510½ 411¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 4.40  
GIOCARE 2 5 55 6 7 612 515 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 7% 12.50 3.45  
KUMAR 6 3 11 1nk 31 410 615½ (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 125 5.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
WARRIOR IN CHIEF 5 1 21 2nk 2nk 714½ 726 (clarke dyl)DAVIS A 125 20.00 17.40  
SCR  PARSIMONY               (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
 
SAR-6   08/25/2022 7920ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:144 1:40 2:042 2:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BESIDE HERSELF 2 1 12 11 11 1 1 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 8% 11.20 8.40 W
ROCKY SKY (IRE) 8 6 6 66 55 4 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 29% 2.50 1.55 P
QUEEN BOURBON 3 34 34 3 32 33 34 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 6.40 S
CREATIVE CAIRO 6 2 22 21 21 2 4 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 24.75  
GOOD MEASURE 4 8 8 8 87 66 5 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00 5.10  
MIA MARTINA 5 78 77 7 66 55 6 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 13% 6.50 11.00  
LIGHT STARS (FR) 7 45 5 55 76 76 78 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 28% 2.50 3.75  
CHAMPAGNE IVY 1 56 45 44 4 8 811½ (joseph saffie )CASTELLANO J 124 12.00 13.90  
 
SAR-7   08/25/2022 6270ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:241 :502 1:15 1:391   1:564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMES JONES 1 1 5 6 6 3 1¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 4.00  
DRIPPING GOLD 4 2 2 32 3 1nk 2¾ (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 8.50  
12  C FALLS 11 5 1 11 1 2nk 3 (casse w)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 27.00  
THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 6 12 1211¼ 12 12 43 4 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 3.35  
DAUNT 3 4 8 8 8 7 5 (ribaudo ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 25.50  
DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 2 3 64 7 7 5 6 (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 3.75  
MODERN SCIENCE (IRE) 8 8 43 42 42 6 75 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 125 8.00 9% 9.80 7.80  
IMPULSIVENESS 7 6 3 21 2 8 8 (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 15% 5.90 9.90  
13  SARANAC (FR) 12 10 10 11 11 10 9 (hodsdon danielle)ORTIZ L 125 12.00 14.10  
10  DANTE'S FIRE 9 11 11 10 10 11 10 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 20.00 29.25  
11  CARLOUN (IRE) 10 7 7 53 53 9 119 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 26.75  
SNOW'S ISLAND 5 9 9 9 9 12 1210½ (gargan danny)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00 24.50  
SCR  JARREAU               (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
SCR  ORCHESTRATION               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SEARCH FOR TRUTH               (dickinson mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  TIWANAKU               (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 22% 3.60    
 
SAR-8   08/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRECURSORY 8 7 3½ 3½   1nk 1¼ (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 6.00  
TIZZY IN THE SKY 5 8 6 6   3 2¼ (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 29% 2.50 0.90 P
LIQUIDITY PROVIDER 7 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 32 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 35% 1.80 3.80 S
ALESSIA (GB) 2 4 41 4   4 4 (zito nicholas )CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 10% 9.00 10.40  
MS. SOLVEIG 3 2 2nk 2nk   5 510 (antonacci )SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
LUTE PLAYER 4 5 5 5   6 614¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 10.00  
DOVER DREAMS 6 6 7 8   711¾ 720½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 22.30  
HANDBELLE 1 3 8 7   812¾ 822¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 15.70  
 
SAR-9   08/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:132     1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINA ROMANTICA 7 8 88 810 7 7 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 5% 17.30 14.00 W
FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) 8 2 3 35 2 1 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 19.70  
10  A MO REAY 9 7 77 710 8 8 3 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8.90  
CUSTOMER LIST (FR) 6 6 6 6 64 4 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 22% 3.60 6.00  
11  WONKA 10 4 4 4 43 3 5 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.60  
CANISY 5 1 55 5 54 5 6 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 38% 1.60 2.90  
SKIMS (GB) 3 9 10 1012½ 97 94 7 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 2.55  
REPUBLIQUE 2 3 21 2 32 2 8 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 12% 7.10 17.60  
LINDA'S GIFT 4 10 9 911 10 105 9 (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 9.70  
MISSY GREER 1 5 11 1 1 6 1010 (gargan dan)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 19.20  
SCR  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE)               (falcone ro)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
 
SAR-10   08/25/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:214 :45 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGITAL FUTURE 5 8 73 6   43 1hd (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 55% 0.80 1.70 W
SANDRONE 4 6 1½ 1½   1½ 2hd (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 8.70  
AFTER FIVE 2 7 9 8   64 31 (falcone ro)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 13.70 S
UNCLE GEORGE 6 10 85 96   76 4 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 16% 5.10 4.70  
12  NAPA SPIRIT (IRE) 11 5 31 2½   2½ 5 (walsh brendan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 8.00  
SPETTRO 1 1 52 32   3 6 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5.40  
FOMO 8 4 42 53   54 7 (hendriks mclane)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 20.00  
MILANO 3 9 11 1110½   910 85 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
10  BIG BOSS BEN 9 3 6 74   8 9 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 18.70  
11  CIVIL SERVICE 10 11 10 108   1112½ 1012 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 21.40  
HEZASTONECOLDFOX 7 2 2½ 4   1012 1114½ (brown bruc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00 48.25  
SCR  GHOSTLYPRINCE               (hemingway mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
SCR  HATCH (GB)               (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  HUDSON OVERPASS               (grossman bruce)SAMUEL L 122 30.00    
SCR  STAINLESS STEEL               (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.