Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Thursday - August 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINNY TWO CENTS Jun02 May08 Apr29 Apr10 Mar05 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 119 15.00 ★    
2  NECROMANCER Jul04 May22 Apr21 Feb25 Jan16 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  NAKED AND FAMOUS Jul20 Jun26       (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 ★    
4  SUPERSONIC         (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 2.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  MOON WARRIOR Feb25         (hemingway michell)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
6  MONTEREY PENINSULA         (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
SAR-2   08/25/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELYSIAN FIELD         (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
2  ESSAOUIRA         (motion graha)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
3  HAT CHECK GIRL         (summers c)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
4  LEXI'S SPIRIT         (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
5  CANT KEEP ME DOWN         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 7% 12.40    
6  LADY CARAGGIO (IRE)         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 18% 4.70    
7  ROCKET CITY         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
8  DONTLOOKBACKATALL         (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
SCR  LEMON BOMB         (pugh d)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
10  PLAYLIST         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
11  REFLEXIVITY (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  BELLA MICHELLE         (martin carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  GEORGEES SPIRIT Jul21         (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  TELL ME WHEN Jul21 Jun23       (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  ILLICIT Aug04         (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  LA VITA SOFIA         (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOP THE SPREAD Jul21 Jun13 May28     (caramori)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
1A  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Aug10 Jul15 Jun09 May12 Mar31 (caramori eduard)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00    
2  FAST GORDON         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 20.00    
3  ICARUS Jun18 Apr29 Mar05 Feb10   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
4  ROYAL SPIRIT Jul16 Jun12 Apr02 Feb05 Jan02 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 ★    
5  HARD RYE GUY Jun30 Apr24 Mar17 Feb19 Jan15 (wilkes ian )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 5% 18.50    
6  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) Jun25 Apr15 Feb27 Jan14   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.50 57% 0.80    
7  MERCI Aug07 Jun18 Apr16 Feb11   (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  CALLOWAY PEAK Aug13 Jul10 Jul02 Apr10 Mar26 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  ANCIENT TIMES Jul27 Jul11 Apr30     (kingsley ar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE Aug10 Jul02 May21 Apr23 Mar20 (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50    
SCR  CRYO Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 May30 Apr02 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 123 1.60 13% 6.60    
SCR  MUST BE LOVE Aug03 Jun25 Jun09 May26 May13 (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
 
SAR-4   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENZO'S WORLD         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 ★    
2  MR BOB         (zito nicholas)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  WARMAN ROAD         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
4  WESTERN GHENT Aug06 Jul23 Jun19     (lukas d )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00    
5  SECRET THUNDER         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 ★    
6  ROYAL MOVER Jul23 Jun04       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
7  EE YAH Jun04         (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
8  STAR ATTITUDE Aug14 Jul03       (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-5   08/25/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIRECT ORDER Aug05 Jun24 Jun03 May12 Mar26 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 ★    
2  GIOCARE Jul14 Jun03 May06 Mar26 Feb23 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 7% 12.50    
3  AMOUNT Jul22 Jun16 May08 Mar31 Feb24 (morey william )ORTIZ L 125 6.00    
SCR  PARSIMONY Jul28 Jul14 May24 May06 Feb07 (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 ★    
5  DUST DEVIL Jul23 May28 Apr28 Mar19 Feb05 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 60% 0.70    
6  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Jul14 Jun19 May06 Apr21 Mar24 (clarke d)DAVIS A 125 20.00    
7  KUMAR Jul21 Jun03 May06 Apr09 Mar05 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  LOCALLY OWNED Jul17 Jun11 May06     (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50    
 
SAR-6   08/25/2022 7920ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPAGNE IVY Jun05 Apr02 Feb10 Jan13   (joseph saffi)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
2  BESIDE HERSELF Jul23 Jun04 Apr28 Mar05 Jan30 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 8% 11.20    
3  QUEEN BOURBON Jul31 Jul10 May26 May07 Apr15 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 ★    
4  GOOD MEASURE Aug05 Jun24 May26 Apr01 Feb25 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00    
5  MIA MARTINA Jul03 Jun05 Mar27     (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
6  CREATIVE CAIRO Jul31 Jun25 May08     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
7  LIGHT STARS (FR) Jul03         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
8  ROCKY SKY (IRE) Aug03 May30 Mar12     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
SAR-7   08/25/2022 6270ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMES JONES Jul02 Jun04 May05 Feb25   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
SCR  SEARCH FOR TRUTH         (dickinson m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 7% 13.10    
3  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Jul15 Jun19 May20 Apr16   (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
4  DAUNT Aug13 Jul16 Jun04 May05   (ribaudo )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
5  DRIPPING GOLD Jul16 Jun18       (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
6  SNOW'S ISLAND Jul14 May20 Mar09     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 125 12.00    
7  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) Jun26         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
8  IMPULSIVENESS Jul22 Jun26       (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
9  MODERN SCIENCE (IRE) Jul13 Jun20 Feb27     (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00 9% 9.80    
10  DANTE'S FIRE Jul27 Jun30 May29     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 20.00    
11  CARLOUN (IRE) Aug08 Jul18 Jun29     (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00    
12  C FALLS Jul30 Jul02 May15 Apr29 Mar19 (casse w)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00    
13  SARANAC (FR) Jul31         (hodsdon daniel)ORTIZ L 125 12.00    
SCR  JARREAU Jul27 Jun18 May22 Apr24 Mar10 (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
SCR  ORCHESTRATION Jul30         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  TIWANAKU Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 Apr22 Mar18 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 22% 3.60    
 
SAR-8   08/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDBELLE         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
2  ALESSIA (GB) Apr28         (zito nichola)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 10% 9.00    
3  MS. SOLVEIG Jul27         (antonacc)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUTE PLAYER         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
5  TIZZY IN THE SKY Jul01         (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
6  DOVER DREAMS Jul27         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
7  LIQUIDITY PROVIDER Jul27         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
8  PRECURSORY Jul04 Jun09 May07     (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-9   08/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSY GREER Jul30 May20 Mar23 Feb13   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
2  REPUBLIQUE Jul02 May29 Apr14     (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 120 12.00 12% 7.10    
3  SKIMS (GB) Jul22 Jun09 Apr09 Feb16   (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 ★    
4  LINDA'S GIFT Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 Apr24 Mar27 (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
5  CANISY Jul14 Jun16 May01     (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  CUSTOMER LIST (FR) Jul14 Jun03       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 22% 3.60    
7  GINA ROMANTICA Jul14 May07 Apr10 Mar12   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) Jul22 Jun16       (falcone )SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
9  FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) Jul24         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
10  A MO REAY Jul14 Jun10 Apr08     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
11  WONKA May28 Mar27 Jan30     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
 
SAR-10   08/25/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPETTRO Jul16 Jun18 May28     (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
2  AFTER FIVE Jul09 Apr23       (falcone )SANTANA JR 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  HUDSON OVERPASS Jul09 Jun12       (grossman bru)SAMUEL L 122 30.00    
4  MILANO Jun12 May01       (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SANDRONE May21 Apr23       (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
6  DIGITAL FUTURE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
7  UNCLE GEORGE Jun18 May21 Apr23     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 16% 5.10    
8  HEZASTONECOLDFOX Jul09 Jan18       (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00    
9  FOMO Aug07 Jun26 Jun04 May20 Apr28 (hendriks mclane)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
10  BIG BOSS BEN Jul28 Jul11 May29 Apr15 Feb27 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 ★    
11  CIVIL SERVICE May13 Mar31       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
12  NAPA SPIRIT (IRE)         (walsh brend)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
SCR  HATCH (GB) Aug14 Jul21 May29 Apr23 Feb11 (martin carlos)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  GHOSTLYPRINCE Aug14 Jun25 May27     (hemingway m)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
SCR  STAINLESS STEEL Aug10 May28 May06 Apr09 Mar17 (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER Jul28 May27 May21 May05 Mar13 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.