Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MTH-1   08/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
See original race card.
:214 :451 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHACKLEFORD COUNTY 2 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 14 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.50 34% 2.00 1.00 W
5  CATANIA 5 5 42¾ 44½   42½ 24 (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.90 P
4  NOTHINS FREE 4 3 2nk 1nk   2½ 34¾ (zerpa gilberto)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.00 ★ 3.40 S
3  R LOVE ON THE RUN 3 1 3.2 32   31½ 46½ (tapsas elia)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 6.00 12% 7.20 12.60  
6  SOUTHERN CENTS 6 4 64¾ 68   66½ 58¼ (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 10.00 ★ 18.90  
1  SALSA RITA 1 6 52¾ 55½   55 68¾ (king clare)LUCIA ALEXANDRIA 117 15.00 27.10  
 
MTH-2   08/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:122 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EL DE CHIMI 2 3 42 42 31 12½ 17¼ (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 3.00 44% 1.30 0.80 W
5  NO CONFESSION 4 2 2½ 21 21 33½ 27¼ (schis)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 6.00 11% 8.30 9.80 P
7  ICY INTENT 6 5 31 31 43½ 46½ 37¾ (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 19% 4.20 2.20 S
6  SPOUTY'S GIRL 5 1 1½ 11 11 22½ 412¼ (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 114 4.00 5% 18.50 6.60  
4  MODERN ERA (AUS) 3 6 68½ 59 59½ 512½ 512½ (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 117 8.00 9.30  
2  FREAKY FRESH 1 4 56½ 611 619½ 621½ 622½ (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 15.00 ★ 20.50  
SCR  FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL               (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 5.00    
 
MTH-3   08/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:22 :444 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RISK VS REWARD 2 4 42½ 31½   2½ 11 (skelton dawn)CARDENAS LUIS 117 8.00 5.40  
5  ISLE OF SKYE 3 1 1½ 1½   1½ 21 (bennett g)VARGAS A 117 4.50 ★ 2.80 P
2  WE READY 1 5 32½ 42½   43 32¾ (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00 ★ 7.90 S
6  MACH ONE 4 3 53½ 53½   53 42¾ (lucas bonnie)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.00 52% 0.90 4.20  
7  MUGSY MALONE 5 2 2½ 2½   32½ 53¼ (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 2.50 18% 4.50 1.00  
SCR  IT'S GRAVY               (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  KURT'S A KEEPER               (russo j)PARISH R 121 6.00    
 
MTH-4   08/21/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:214 :45 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOCIETY BOY 2 4 45 43   3½ 1¾ (o'connell kath)MORENO ANGEL 121 6.00 8% 10.80 10.20 W
1  TAP EM 1 5 11½ 11   1nk 2¾ (nunn d)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 3.50 57% 0.70 1.40 P
5  UNCLE ROAMIE 5 1 21½ 21   2nk 3¾ (smith lawr)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 10.00 20.20  
3  GRUMLEY 3 3 32½ 32½   42 42¾ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00 9.60  
7  MOGALU 7 7 78¼ 76   55 55½ (barboza vict)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 ★ 8.80  
6  LINDROS 6 8 814¼ 811   89 66¼ (lynch cathal)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.00 14.40  
8  LOVED AGAIN 8 2 65¼ 66   66 76¼ (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.50 ★ 3.80  
4  UNCAPTURED LYON 4 6 55 55½   78 811¼ (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00 9% 9.80 4.10  
 
MTH-5   08/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:221 :46       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DANCE STEP 3 4 56 56   32½ 1¾ (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.50 ★ 7.30  
8  ALWAYS ANGELS 8 1 1½ 11   11 2¾ (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 59% 0.70 1.90 P
6  MAJESTIC CREED 6 5 77¼ 67   55 31½ (servis c)RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00 ★ 15.40 S
2  WHATCHAMACALL 2 8 3½ 31   21 43 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 14% 6.20 0.80  
4  MADELINE'S GROGU 4 2 2½ 21   43 54¾ (spina cha)VARGAS A 117 6.00 ★ 18.20  
1  BABY CAKES 1 3 43 43½   65 64¾ (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 20.00 44.90  
5  RAW POWER 5 7 67 78   79 77¼ (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 15.00 62.90  
7  APRILS LUCK 7 6 88¾ 810   812 810½ (lucas bonnie)JIMENEZ MANNY 117 8.00 17.80  
 
MTH-6   08/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:121 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPPLY CHAIN 1 7 73¼ 73¼ 52 2nk 1hd (englehart je)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50 42% 1.40 3.30 W
3  FATIMA'S BLESSING 2 9 94¾ 84¼ 75 52¼ 2hd (milne joan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 12% 7.40 2.10 P
4  BOARD CERTIFIED 3 4 41½ 31½ 41½ 3½ 32¼ (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 16% 5.20 2.50 S
7  SHIMMERING LEROID 6 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 44 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 8.00 23.90  
5  REINER 4 6 63 53 62½ 42 55 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 8.00 6% 17.00 6.90  
8  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 7 2 21 21 2½ 73¼ 67½ (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 121 12.00 20.20  
9  MORETHANICANHANDLE 8 5 31½ 41½ 31½ 63¼ 710¼ (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00 9.20  
10  MR. BANYAN 9 8 84¾ 94½ 99½ 811¼ 816¼ (d'amodi)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 30.00 5% 19.00 64.20  
6  LORD JAXSTON 5 3 52 63¼ 87½ 912¼ 923¼ (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 117 10.00 20.30  
SCR  GUN FOR SUCCESS               (lucas bonnie)ADORNO ABNER 117 5.00    
 
MTH-7   08/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:122 1:39   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RUNABOUT 2 2 41½ 31 2nk 1nk 11¾ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 23% 3.40 3.10 W
4  FLAT BILL 4 3 51¾ 52 41¾ 31 21¾ (englehart jeffre)JUAREZ NIK 124 3.50 ★ 7.00 P
1  BLOOD MOON 1 5 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 31¾ (barre)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 6.00 3.20  
5  DEVOTED KITTEN 5 6 64¾ 65 55¾ 58 48 (d'angelo jose )RENDON JAIRO 124 3.00 34% 2.00 2.80  
7  RELISHMENT 7 7 77¾ 78 79¾ 610 58½ (hogan william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 4.50 5.00  
3  STRONG BREEZE 3 1 2nk 2nk 31½ 44 68¾ (abrams jack)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 4.00 ★ 5.90  
6  IMA COALMAN 6 4 31 41½ 68¾ 716 728 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 124 15.00 13% 6.80 30.20  
 
MTH-8   08/21/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:222 :444 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TEEN DRAMA 6 2 52¼ 53¼   32 11¼ (sanchez loz)JUAREZ NIK 115 3.00 16% 5.20 3.50 W
2  PRUDENT SONG 2 4 1nk 1½   11 21¼ (carvajal )RODRIGUEZ A 124 5.00 37% 1.70 3.00 P
3  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 3 5 42¼ 43   43 31¾ (o'connor rober)RENDON JAIRO 115 10.00 4.50  
8  TAPIT'S GIRL 7 1 3.2 2½   21 41¾ (nunn douglas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50 ★ 6.10  
6  INSATIABLE 5 6 75½ 74¾   65 52½ (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 2.50 14% 6.40 2.50  
9  HAZARDOUS HUMOR 8 8 65¼ 64¾   55 62¾ (russo j)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00 11% 8.20 10.00  
1  TIZ HER WAY 1 7 87½ 87¼   78 75 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 52.40  
5  DAHGO 4 3 2nk 33   813 823¾ (pimental john )TORRES JOMAR 115 20.00 34.60  
SCR  SHE BROKE MY HEART               (catalano l)FERRER C 120 6.00    
 
MTH-9   08/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:114 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VEDAREO 3 4 1½ 12½ 13 14 16 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 117 5.00 9.30  
4  ALMA ROSA 4 1 31½ 34½ 23 24 26 (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 24% 3.20 5.20 P
8  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL 7 6 64½ 55 43½ 37 38¾ (diodor)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 10.00 25.50  
1  SHINY SLAM 1 3 43½ 45 54½ 410 414¼ (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 6.00 14% 6.00 8.10  
5  SEA MAIDEN 5 2 2½ 22½ 33½ 510 520 (huston ro)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00 10% 9.30 14.40  
6  DEVIOUS DAME 6 5 75 66 79¾ 620 649¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 2.00 30% 2.40 0.50  
2  RIDING PRETTY 2 7 54 76¼ 69½ 721 750¾ (owens eddie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 8.00 11.90  
SCR  BORN DAPPER               (thoma)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 4.00 ★    
 
MTH-10   08/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:104 1:354   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO VALLA 1 4 1nk 13 11 12½ 1½ (sweezey j)VARGAS A 124 2.50 20% 4.10 1.20 W
9  KITTEN WITH A WHIP 8 3 33 34½ 32½ 22½ 2½ (nunn douglas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 8% 11.60 8.20 P
2  CONUNDRUM QUEEN 2 7 65¾ 57 55½ 35 33 (d'angelo jose )RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00 4.40  
5  SHE FLED THE SCENE 5 8 87¾ 78 76½ 55¼ 43 (o'connell kath)MORENO ANGEL 120 10.00 ★ 8.80  
8  EMPIRES FIRST LADY 7 5 76¾ 88½ 88½ 75¾ 54¼ (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 120 15.00 34.20  
7  CHAMPAGNE HORIZON 6 2 55½ 67 66½ 86 64½ (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.50 ★ 12.80  
4  PUGILIST 4 1 2nk 23 21 65¼ 74¾ (david a)FERRER C 124 3.00 45% 1.20 3.30  
3  PANOTTI 3 6 44½ 45 43 45 84¾ (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00 27.80  
SCR  READY TO FILM               (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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