The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 21, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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MTH-1   08/21/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
:214 :451 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHACKLEFORD COUNTY 2 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 14 (delgado h)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.50 34% 2.00 1.00 W
CATANIA 5 5 4 4   424 (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.90 P
NOTHINS FREE 4 3 2nk 1nk   2½ 3(zerpa gilberto)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.00 3.40 S
R LOVE ON THE RUN 3 1 3.2 32   34(tapsas elias)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 6.00 12% 7.20 12.60  
SOUTHERN CENTS 6 4 6 68   65(king b)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 10.00 18.90  
SALSA RITA 1 6 5 5   55 6(king b)LUCIA ALEXANDRIA 117 15.00 27.10  
 
MTH-2   08/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
:24 :474 1:122 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DE CHIMI 2 3 42 42 31 11(avila carlos)OLIVERO A 117 3.00 44% 1.30 0.80 W
NO CONFESSION 4 2 2½ 21 21 32(schistl rafael)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 6.00 11% 8.30 9.80 P
ICY INTENT 6 5 31 31 4 43(breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 19% 4.20 2.20 S
SPOUTY'S GIRL 5 1 1½ 11 11 2412¼ (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 114 4.00 5% 18.50 6.60  
MODERN ERA 3 6 6 59 5 512½ 512½ (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 117 8.00 9.30  
FREAKY FRESH 1 4 5 611 619½ 621½ 622½ (hogan j)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 15.00 20.50  
SCR  FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL               (gonzalez a)TORRES JOMAR 117 5.00    
 
MTH-3   08/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
:22 :444 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISK VS REWARD 2 4 4 3   2½ 11 (skelton dawn)CARDENAS LUIS 117 8.00 5.40  
ISLE OF SKYE 3 1 1½ 1½   1½ 21 (bennett s)VARGAS A 117 4.50 2.80 P
WE READY 1 5 3 4   43 3(tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00 7.90 S
MACH ONE 4 3 5 5   53 4(lucas bonnie)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.00 52% 0.90 4.20  
MUGSY MALONE 5 2 2½ 2½   35(gonzalez a)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 2.50 18% 4.50 1.00  
SCR  IT'S GRAVY               (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00    
SCR  KURT'S A KEEPER               (russo j)PARISH R 121 6.00    
 
MTH-4   08/21/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
:214 :45 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIETY BOY 2 4 45 43   3½ 1¾ (o'connell kathleen)MORENO ANGEL 121 6.00 8% 10.80 10.20 W
TAP EM 1 5 1 11   1nk 2¾ (nunn douglas)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 3.50 57% 0.70 1.40 P
UNCLE ROAMIE 5 1 2 21   2nk 3¾ (smith m)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 10.00 20.20  
GRUMLEY 3 3 3 3   42 4(bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00 9.60  
MOGALU 7 7 7 76   55 5(barboza jr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 8.80  
LINDROS 6 8 814¼ 811   89 6(lynch cathal)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.00 14.40  
LOVED AGAIN 8 2 6 66   66 7(hemingway michelle)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.50 3.80  
UNCAPTURED LYON 4 6 55 5   78 811¼ (o'connell kathleen)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00 9% 9.80 4.10  
 
MTH-5   08/21/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:15
:221 :46       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE STEP 3 4 56 56   31¾ (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.50 7.30  
ALWAYS ANGELS 8 1 1½ 11   11 2¾ (hollendorfer jerry)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 59% 0.70 1.90 P
MAJESTIC CREED 6 5 7 67   55 3(servis c)RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00 15.40 S
WHATCHAMACALL 2 8 3½ 31   21 43 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 14% 6.20 0.80  
MADELINE'S GROGU 4 2 2½ 21   43 5(spina charles)VARGAS A 117 6.00 18.20  
BABY CAKES 1 3 43 4   65 6(ortega m)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 20.00 44.90  
RAW POWER 5 7 67 78   79 7(spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 15.00 62.90  
APRILS LUCK 7 6 8 810   812 810½ (lucas bonnie)JIMENEZ MANNY 117 8.00 17.80  
 
MTH-6   08/21/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:232 :48 1:121 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPPLY CHAIN 1 7 7 7 52 2nk 1hd (englehart s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50 42% 1.40 3.30 W
FATIMA'S BLESSING 2 9 9 8 75 52hd (milne joan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 12% 7.40 2.10 P
BOARD CERTIFIED 3 4 4 3 4 3½ 3(duarte jr)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 16% 5.20 2.50 S
SHIMMERING LEROID 6 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 44 (mccarthy d)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 8.00 23.90  
REINER 4 6 63 53 6 42 55 (lerman s)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 8.00 6% 17.00 6.90  
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 7 2 21 21 2½ 76(foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 121 12.00 20.20  
MORETHANICANHANDLE 8 5 3 4 3 6710¼ (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00 9.20  
10  MR. BANYAN 9 8 8 9 9 811¼ 816¼ (d'amodio charley)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 30.00 5% 19.00 64.20  
LORD JAXSTON 5 3 52 6 8 912¼ 923¼ (hills a)RENDON JAIRO 117 10.00 20.30  
SCR  GUN FOR SUCCESS               (lucas bonnie)ADORNO ABNER 117 5.00    
 
MTH-7   08/21/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
:241 :48 1:122 1:39   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNABOUT 2 2 4 31 2nk 1nk 1(englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 23% 3.40 3.10 W
FLAT BILL 4 3 5 52 4 31 2(englehart s)JUAREZ NIK 124 3.50 7.00 P
BLOOD MOON 1 5 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 3(barrera s)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 6.00 3.20  
DEVOTED KITTEN 5 6 6 65 5 58 48 (d'angelo francisco)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.00 34% 2.00 2.80  
RELISHMENT 7 7 7 78 7 610 5(hogan j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 4.50 5.00  
STRONG BREEZE 3 1 2nk 2nk 3 44 6(abrams jack)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 4.00 5.90  
IMA COALMAN 6 4 31 4 6 716 728 (ortega m)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 15.00 13% 6.80 30.20  
 
MTH-8   08/21/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
:222 :444 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEEN DRAMA 6 2 5 5   32 1(sanchez lozano)JUAREZ NIK 115 3.00 16% 5.20 3.50 W
PRUDENT SONG 2 4 1nk 1½   11 2(carvajal jr)RODRIGUEZ A 124 5.00 37% 1.70 3.00 P
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 3 5 4 43   43 3(o'connor r)RENDON JAIRO 115 10.00 4.50  
TAPIT'S GIRL 7 1 3.2 2½   21 4(nunn douglas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50 6.10  
INSATIABLE 5 6 7 7   65 5(sacco d)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 2.50 14% 6.40 2.50  
HAZARDOUS HUMOR 8 8 6 6   55 6(russo j)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00 11% 8.20 10.00  
TIZ HER WAY 1 7 8 8   78 75 (king b)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 52.40  
DAHGO 4 3 2nk 33   813 823¾ (pimental i)TORRES JOMAR 115 20.00 34.60  
SCR  SHE BROKE MY HEART               (catalano l)FERRER C 120 6.00    
 
MTH-9   08/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:15
:233 :471 1:114 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEDAREO 3 4 1½ 1 13 14 16 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 117 5.00 9.30  
ALMA ROSA 4 1 3 3 23 24 26 (lopez g)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 24% 3.20 5.20 P
OUTOFNOTHINGATALL 7 6 6 55 4 37 3(diodoro robertino)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 10.00 25.50  
SHINY SLAM 1 3 4 45 5 410 414¼ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 117 6.00 14% 6.00 8.10  
SEA MAIDEN 5 2 2½ 2 3 510 520 (huston k)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00 10% 9.30 14.40  
DEVIOUS DAME 6 5 75 66 7 620 649¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 2.00 30% 2.40 0.50  
RIDING PRETTY 2 7 54 7 6 721 750¾ (owens jr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 8.00 11.90  
SCR  BORN DAPPER               (thomas jonathan)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 4.00    
 
MTH-10   08/21/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
:233 :472 1:104 1:354   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO VALLA 1 4 1nk 13 11 11½ (sweezey kent)VARGAS A 124 2.50 20% 4.10 1.20 W
KITTEN WITH A WHIP 8 3 33 3 3 22½ (nunn douglas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 8% 11.60 8.20 P
CONUNDRUM QUEEN 2 7 6 57 5 35 33 (d'angelo francisco)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00 4.40  
SHE FLED THE SCENE 5 8 8 78 7 543 (o'connell kathleen)MORENO ANGEL 120 10.00 8.80  
EMPIRES FIRST LADY 7 5 7 8 8 75(cash j)PANAIJO JORGE 120 15.00 34.20  
CHAMPAGNE HORIZON 6 2 5 67 6 86 6(hollendorfer jerry)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.50 12.80  
PUGILIST 4 1 2nk 23 21 67(david a)FERRER C 124 3.00 45% 1.20 3.30  
PANOTTI 3 6 4 45 43 45 8(o'connell kathleen)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00 27.80  
SCR  READY TO FILM               (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 115 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.