Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:112     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD SAM 1 1 1½ 1½   14 1 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 4.10  
SEDUCTION 2 6 3 4   24 2 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 21% 3.70 3.15 P
SPELTERINI 4 4 2½ 2½   3 310 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 1.60 35% 1.80 1.90 S
RISK FREE 3 2 5 3   4 410¾ (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 20% 4.10 23.00  
FIRELINE 5 7 64 6   510 517¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 3.60  
RELAY 7 5 42 52   610½ 619¾ (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 7.00  
MAGIC MISS 6 3 75 715½   735½ 739½ (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 15.00 28.50  
 
BAQ-2   10/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:131     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DUBYUHNELL 9 5 6 5 5 42 1 (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 1.65  
CONVERSING 5 4 4¾ 3.2 2nk 2nk 2 (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 30% 2.40 3.35 P
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 3 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 1.65  
ARI GOLD 7 2 3.2 2nk 3.2 31 4 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 30% 2.40 2.35  
2B  PLEASE BABY 6 8 9 8 4 5 5 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
10  KAON 8 3 8 9 7 6 6 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 7.20  
SCAT TU TAP 4 7 7 6 8 7 7 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 14.20  
KID AMERICA 2 9 5 4 6 811½ 821 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 10.60  
ENZO'S WORLD 3 6 2nk 7 923¾ 938½ 961¾ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 50.00 50.00  
SCR  AMERICAN HALITE               (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
SCR  SCRAMBLE               (tagg barclay)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  WIDERIGHT               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:122     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WAR STOPPER 6 5 3 42 3 3 1 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 6.70  
10  NO BURN 5 3 2½ 21 1nk 11 2 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.40 37% 1.70 0.70 P
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 2 4 1½ 11 2nk 21 33 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 7% 13.90 4.90 S
ROYAL PRINCE 1 1 4 3 4 47 414¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 17% 5.00 9.60  
WILL SING FOR WINE 4 2 52 52 53 57 515 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 5.20  
NATHAN DETROIT 3 6 63 6 6 68 616¼ (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 16.00  
SCR  CALL ME HARRY               (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  DOMINATE THEMOMENT               (brown howar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
SCR  EASY TIME               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  KINENOS               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
SCR  SOULMATE               (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:122     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLU GROTTO 1 7 7 5 21 1 1 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 7% 14.00 5.80 W
MISBEHAVED 2 4 1nk 1 11 2 2 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 25% 3.10 1.90 P
IRON LION IN ZION 7 3 5 69 4 36 36 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 6.10  
SOUTHERN PASSAGE 4 6 68 710½ 79 512 416¼ (rodriguez gus)CASTILLO AMIN 122 6.00 8% 11.50 2.95  
EMINENCY 5 2 3 3 3 48 517¾ (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 15% 5.60 4.60  
ALITE 6 1 43 45 6 715½ 625 (pri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00 40.25  
JAY'STALKER 3 5 2nk 2 57 615 725 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 21% 3.70 7.90  
SCR  KONG LOVES A FIGHT               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
SCR  SCOTTO               (parke)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 30.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:232 :472 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAWLESS CAT 1 1 1 13   1 1 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 10.00 12.40  
BLAME D RULE MAKER 7 5 3 33   2 2 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.50 39% 1.60 2.75 P
WINNING CONNECTION 6 7 7 710¾   511½ 3 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 15.50  
SECRET THUNDER 4 3 2 23   35 4 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 5% 19.00 2.10  
CHURRO 5 4 64 45   4 5 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 11% 8.00 2.20  
SECOND AND REED 3 2 5 5   612 617 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 7.30  
CARA'S PRINCE 2 6 43 6   715½ 730¼ (friedman mitchel)SALVADOR F 119 30.00 24.00  
SCR  FLASHY ALEX               (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
SCR  MR BOB               (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
BAQ-6   10/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:122     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSY GREER 5 1 1½ 1 12 1½ 1 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 14.10  
WASP 2 6 74 64 5 4 2 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 16% 5.20 3.25 P
JANE GREY 1 3 42 32 22 2½ 3 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 35% 1.80 1.90 S
FROST ME 3 5 5 5 35 34 4 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 15.50  
SPIKED 6 2 2½ 2 4 5 511 (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.00 22% 3.50 2.20  
MARIAH'S FORTUNE 4 7 6 7 69 6 612½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 11.80  
HOP PICKER 7 4 31 43 717 726½ 743½ (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 9.00  
SCR  MASHNEE GIRL               (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 6% 15.90    
 
BAQ-7   10/02/2022 7260ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:252 :511 1:183 1:434 2:091 2:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY SKY (IRE) 6 43 4 32 32 12 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 3.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ROAD TOSKY by ELUSIVE CITY)
CAPITAL STRUCTURE (GB) 1 66 6 64 53 22 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 25% 3.00 1.60 P
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of MOI MEME by TEOFILO (PER))
COASTANA 4 2 2 2 2 4 3 (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 7% 12.80 2.00 S
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of REACHFORTHEHEAVENS by PULPIT)
TASS (GB) 5 1 1 1 1 3 410¼ (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 14.00  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MASASI by MORE THAN READY)
GLADYS 2 3 3 4 4 57 514 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 6.70  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LOTTA KIM by ROAR)
LOVELY LUCKY 3 5 53 53 64 611 618 (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00 13.40  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DYNAFFAIR by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  FLIRTING BRIDGE (IRE)               (walsh brendan )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by CAMELOT (GB) out of RACHEVIE by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
SCR  FLYING FORTRESS               (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DAKOTA QUEEN by WAR FRONT)
 
BAQ-8   10/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 2 F PT- 4:41
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:123     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCOLATE GELATO 3 5 53 53 1nk 11 11 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 28% 2.50 1.65 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SPECIAL TREAT by FAST PLAY)
YOU'RE MY GIRL 6 1 11 11 2nk 21 21 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 3.90 P
  (by OVERANALYZE out of PEACE QUEEN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
LEAVE NO TRACE 1 4 21 3 31 33 3 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 11% 8.30 7.90 S
  (by OUTWORK out of TANQUERRAY by GOOD JOURNEY)
AMERICAN ROCKETTE 2 6 6 6 64 4 4 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 3.45  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
VEDAREO 4 2 31 21 43 5 513¼ (reid e)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 18.20  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of VERO AMORE by MINESHAFT)
THE GREAT MAYBE 5 3 4 4 5 610½ 620 (devaux cheri)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 39% 1.60 3.35  
  (by UPSTART out of PURE LEGACY by SIMON PURE)
SCR  RAGING SEA               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of STORMY WELCOME by STORM CAT)
 
BAQ-9   10/02/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:154 1:402   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR DUDE 3 3 34 3 3½ 1nk 11 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 11% 8.30 10.20 W
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MARY RITA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  I'M VERY BUSY 9 7 8 86 8 2nk 21 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 25% 3.00 0.75 P
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of TWO KISSES by KISSIN KRIS)
LACHAISE 8 4 9 10 9 5 3 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 20% 4.00 14.00 S
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 2 6 44 44 41 33 4 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 38.75  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of MY CARA MIA by COLONEL JOHN)
RAMBLIN' WRECK 7 8 7 5 6 4 5 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00 29.25  
  (by REDESDALE out of DAKOTA KID by CONFIDE)
DATAMAN 6 9 6 75 7 8 6 (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 21.60  
  (by TAPIT out of SOLDATA by MARIA'S MON)
BATTLE OF NORMANDY 5 2 55 6 5 7 710¾ (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 16% 5.20 3.80  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ADORABLE MISS by KITTEN'S JOY)
12  MOVISITOR 11 1 2½ 2 1nk 6 812 (agnew naois)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00 74.00  
  (by UNCLE MO out of RISTRETTO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BRAMBLE BLAZE 4 10 10 9 10 10 913½ (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 30.00 66.25  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of REGAL ROSE by EMPIRE MAKER)
FLY RIGHT 1 11 1½ 1 2nk 9 1020 (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 8.00  
  (by ASTERN out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
11  TORIGO 10 5 11 11 11 1118¾ 1136½ (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 43.25  
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  VACATION DANCE               (kimmel c)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00 6% 15.40    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of MATINEE EXPRESS by ZENSATIONAL)
 
BAQ-10   10/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:13     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM THE LAW 1 7 42 42 32 3½ 1 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00 7% 13.70 2.15 W
PATIENT CAPITAL 4 4 2½ 2 2½ 1nk 2 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 9.60  
JAKE ROCKS 3 5 1½ 1 1½ 2nk 3 (pearce penny)ADORNO ABNER 122 15.00 6% 14.90 18.90 S
13  ROYAL TRYST 6 8 84 9 9 55 4 (arenas marcelo)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 3.55  
15  GREAT WORKOUT 8 3 6 53 5 6 5 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 6.00  
HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR 2 9 9 8 42 4 6 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 23.10  
10  FRENCHBORO 5 6 52 6 6 711¼ 716¾ (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 16% 5.40 6.60  
16  CORKMAN 9 2 73 7 7 812¾ 819¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 6.40  
14  TOP OF THE MINT 7 1 31 3 85 913¼ 920¾ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 14.10  
SCR  BRICCO               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50    
SCR  CAGNEY (BRZ)               (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
SCR  HATCH (GB)               (martin f)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  INFLATION ADJUSTED               (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  RELATE               (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  SHINSUN               (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE               (morey william )ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.