Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD SAM         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 ★    
2  SEDUCTION         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  RISK FREE Sep15 Aug17       (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 20% 4.10    
4  SPELTERINI Aug21 Jul14       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 1.60 35% 1.80    
5  FIRELINE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
6  MAGIC MISS         (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
7  RELAY         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 ★    
 
BAQ-2   10/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Aug07 Jul03       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
1A  DUBYUHNELL Sep03         (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 ★    
2  SCAT TU TAP Aug27         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
2B  PLEASE BABY Sep03 Jul23 May27     (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  KID AMERICA         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
4  ENZO'S WORLD Aug25         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 50.00    
5  CONVERSING Aug20         (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  WIDERIGHT Aug20 Jul23       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
SCR  SCRAMBLE Sep03         (tagg barclay)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  AMERICAN HALITE Sep03         (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
9  ARI GOLD Sep03         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
10  KAON Sep03         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALL ME HARRY Aug28 Jul24 Jul04 Jun03   (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
2  ROYAL PRINCE         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
3  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Sep03 Aug06 May20     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 7% 13.90    
SCR  SOULMATE Sep23 Jul31 Jul09 Jun09 May13 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00    
SCR  KINENOS Aug21 Jul31 Jul01 May05   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
SCR  EASY TIME Jun12 May13 Mar18     (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOMINATE THEMOMENT Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 May21 Apr23 (brown howar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
8  NATHAN DETROIT Sep25 Aug22 Aug13 Jul27 Jul16 (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
9  WILL SING FOR WINE         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00    
10  NO BURN Sep03 Jul21 Jun16 May29 May21 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.40 37% 1.70    
11  WAR STOPPER Sep05 Jul17 Apr15 Mar13 Feb05 (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 122 5.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCOTTO Sep17 Sep01 Aug21 Aug14 Jul16 (parke)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 30.00    
SCR  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Sep03 Aug07 Jul09 Jun17 May29 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
3  BLU GROTTO Apr07 Feb26 Feb04 Jan13   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 7% 14.00    
4  MISBEHAVED Aug27 Jul01 Jun05     (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 25% 3.10    
5  JAY'STALKER Aug05         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  SOUTHERN PASSAGE Aug12 Jul30 Jul02 Jun19 May30 (rodriguez gus)CASTILLO AMIN 122 6.00 8% 11.50    
7  EMINENCY Aug19 Jul10 May28 May14 Apr16 (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
8  ALITE Sep17 Jul24 Jul08 Jun19 May28 (pri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
9  IRON LION IN ZION Sep03 Aug03       (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAWLESS CAT         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 10.00 ★    
SCR  FLASHY ALEX Sep18 Sep05 Aug26     (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
3  CARA'S PRINCE Aug06 Jul21 Jul01 Jun09   (friedman mitchel)SALVADOR F 119 30.00    
4  SECOND AND REED         (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
5  SECRET THUNDER Aug25         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  CHURRO         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 11% 8.00    
SCR  MR BOB Aug25         (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
8  WINNING CONNECTION         (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
9  BLAME D RULE MAKER Sep08 Aug12 Jul23     (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.50 39% 1.60    
 
BAQ-6   10/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JANE GREY Sep05 Jul23 Jun10     (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
2  WASP Aug26 Jul10 Jun12 Mar13 Feb06 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 16% 5.20    
3  FROST ME Jul29 Jul10 Mar27 Feb18 Jan20 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 ★    
4  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Aug24 Jul20 Jun11 Apr29 Apr02 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
SCR  MASHNEE GIRL Sep05 Aug12 Jul10 May30 Apr08 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 6% 15.90    
6  MISSY GREER Aug25 Jul30 May20 Mar23 Feb13 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
7  SPIKED Jul29 Jun09 Mar12     (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
8  HOP PICKER Aug05 Jul04 May13 Feb12   (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/02/2022 7260ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPITAL STRUCTURE (GB) Sep10 Jul31 Jun12     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of MOI MEME by TEOFILO (PER))
SCR  FLIRTING BRIDGE (IRE) Aug21 Jul12 May29     (walsh brendan )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by CAMELOT (GB) out of RACHEVIE by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
3  GLADYS Sep10 Aug16 Jul09 Jun14 May19 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LOTTA KIM by ROAR)
4  LOVELY LUCKY Jun10 May07 Mar12     (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DYNAFFAIR by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  FLYING FORTRESS Aug30 Jul12 Apr24     (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DAKOTA QUEEN by WAR FRONT)
6  COASTANA Sep03 Jul31       (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 7% 12.80    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of REACHFORTHEHEAVENS by PULPIT)
7  TASS (GB) Sep24 Sep07 Jul27 Jun24 Jun10 (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MASASI by MORE THAN READY)
8  ROCKY SKY (IRE) Aug25 Aug03 May30 Mar12   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ROAD TOSKY by ELUSIVE CITY)
 
BAQ-8   10/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 2 F PT- 4:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAVE NO TRACE Sep04 Jul20       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 11% 8.30    
  (by OUTWORK out of TANQUERRAY by GOOD JOURNEY)
2  AMERICAN ROCKETTE Sep04 Jul21       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  RAGING SEA Aug07         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of STORMY WELCOME by STORM CAT)
4  CHOCOLATE GELATO Aug14 Jul14       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 28% 2.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SPECIAL TREAT by FAST PLAY)
5  VEDAREO Aug21 Jul14 Jun14     (reid e)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 ★    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of VERO AMORE by MINESHAFT)
6  THE GREAT MAYBE Aug28         (devaux cheri)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by UPSTART out of PURE LEGACY by SIMON PURE)
7  YOU'RE MY GIRL Sep02         (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 ★    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of PEACE QUEEN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
BAQ-9   10/02/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY RIGHT Sep03         (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
  (by ASTERN out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
2  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Aug31 Aug19 Jul27     (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of MY CARA MIA by COLONEL JOHN)
3  MAJOR DUDE Aug27 Jul16 Jun18     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MARY RITA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  BRAMBLE BLAZE Sep17 Aug14       (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of REGAL ROSE by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  BATTLE OF NORMANDY Aug31 Aug06       (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ADORABLE MISS by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  DATAMAN Aug22 Jul22       (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of SOLDATA by MARIA'S MON)
7  RAMBLIN' WRECK Sep16 Aug11       (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of DAKOTA KID by CONFIDE)
SCR  VACATION DANCE Sep04         (kimmel c)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00 6% 15.40    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of MATINEE EXPRESS by ZENSATIONAL)
9  LACHAISE Aug04         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
10  I'M VERY BUSY Aug13         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 25% 3.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of TWO KISSES by KISSIN KRIS)
11  TORIGO Aug13         (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
12  MOVISITOR Sep13 Aug23       (agnew naois)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RISTRETTO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
BAQ-10   10/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAGNEY (BRZ) Aug17 Jun23 May20 Apr01 Feb25 (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
2  I AM THE LAW Sep05 Aug12 Jul21 Jun12 May15 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  RELATE Aug14 Jun19 Feb24 Feb05 Jan01 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  SHINSUN Aug17 Jul23 Jun17     (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  BRICCO Jul22 Jun23       (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50    
6  HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR Mar18 Feb20       (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00    
SCR  INFLATION ADJUSTED Sep05 Aug10 Jul02     (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
8  JAKE ROCKS Aug24 Jun30 Jun04 May12 Apr15 (pearce penny)ADORNO ABNER 122 15.00 6% 14.90    
9  PATIENT CAPITAL Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 May07 Apr01 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
10  FRENCHBORO         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE Aug25 Jun18 May21 Apr23   (morey william )ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  HATCH (GB) Sep03 Aug14 Jul21 May29 Apr23 (martin f)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
13  ROYAL TRYST Jul30 Jul14 Jun04 May08 Feb04 (arenas m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00    
14  TOP OF THE MINT Aug19 Jun16 May05     (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
15  GREAT WORKOUT Sep18 Aug27 Jul28 Jul04 May05 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50    
16  CORKMAN Sep24 Sep05 Aug24 Jul15 May29 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.