Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   09/15/2022 12540ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
4:251         4:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PROVEN INNOCENT 2 64¼ 65 51¾ 51¾ 21 1nk (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 149 10.00 6% 15.40 8.50 W
1  THE MEAN QUEEN (IRE) 1 31½ 42½ 1nk 1nk 11 2nk (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158 0.50 35% 1.80 0.35 P
6  HOWYABUD (IRE) 5 52¼ 53 31 4¾ 36 36¾ (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 156 4.00 35% 1.90 4.50 S
4  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) 4 2nk 21½ 41½ 65¾ 511½ 412 (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 153 6.00 ★ 10.50  
3  BOOBY TRAP 3 41¾ 31½ 61¾ 2nk 48 512¾ (young le)TWISTON-DAVIES SAM 153 20.00 5% 19.00 33.25  
7  STATE OF AFFAIR 6 1nk 11½ 2nk 3.2 613½ 616½ (wyatt j)GARNER THOMAS 153 20.00 18.40  
SCR  BANDUA               (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 12.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/15/2022 13200ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
4:344         4:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) 4 65 66 31½ 32 16½ 19 (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 140 30.00 41.25  
  (by VINNIE ROE out of WELL WATER by ILLINOIS STORM)
1  SNAP DECISION 1 11½ 13 1½ 11½ 26½ 29 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 168 0.40 48% 1.10 0.30 P
  (by HARD SPUN out of SALUTE by UNBRIDLED)
5  ASK PADDINGTON (IRE) 5 76 77½ 76½ 55½ 38 39¾ (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 146 8.00 ★ 7.70 S
  (by ASK out of DUAL OBSESSION by SADDLERS' HALL (IRE))
6  SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER) 6 32 23 2½ 21½ 48½ 49¾ (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150 10.00 20.40  
  (by MEDICEAN (GB) out of SWENI HILL by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
8  AMSCHEL (GB) 8 54 34 43½ 44½ 514½ 518¾ (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 142 15.00 5% 19.00 53.75  
  (by NATHANIEL (IRE) out of DARINZA (FR) by DALAKHANI (IRE))
7  REDICEAN (GB) 7 44 55½ 87 87½ 618½ 625 (young le)TWISTON-DAVIES SAM 140 15.00 ★ 10.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of RED HALO (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
3  BELFAST BANTER (IRE) 3 88½ 89 55½ 66½ 849 760¾ (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 144 20.00 40.25  
  (by JEREMY out of SUMTIN NICE by SIMPLY GREAT)
2  IRANISTAN 2 21½ 44½ 66 77 748½ 863¾ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 5.00 26% 2.90 7.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
BAQ-3   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:143     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO MAMA 1 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 11½ (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 40% 1.50 3.20 W
4  UNIFYING 3 6 31½ 31   2½ 21½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 ★ 3.90 P
7  OH DONNA 6 3 42½ 41¼   44 35¼ (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 24% 3.10 1.55 S
5  RISK FREE 4 2 2½ 2nk   32½ 45¾ (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 119 3.50 14% 6.00 2.85  
6  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS 5 4 52½ 62¾   68½ 512 (chichakl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 28.00  
3  WELCOMETOMYWORLD 2 5 63 52¾   58½ 612 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 ★ 13.70  
SCR  EXTESSA               (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:132 1:363   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHUTTERS 7 8 86¾ 86 86 41¾ 1½ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 3.25  
1  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR 1 7 53½ 53 52½ 1nk 2½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 46% 1.20 3.25 P
3  RUSE 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 31½ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 ★ 2.00 S
8  GHOST GIANT 8 4 42 42 42 51¾ 43 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 ★ 7.40  
5  REGAL SPEAKER 5 5 65 74½ 75 83 55¼ (gargan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 38.75  
2  FRONT LINE DANCER 2 6 75¼ 64 64½ 62¼ 65¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 13.20  
4  BARRAGE 4 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 31½ 76¼ (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 8% 11.30 6.50  
6  BARLEEWON 6 3 32 31½ 31 72½ 87½ (camejo jose )CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 19.10  
SCR  BINGO JOHN               (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 10.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:23 :471       1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JESTER'S SONG 5 1 31 2nk   1nk 12 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.60 66% 0.50 2.30 W
5  LUPO'S LEGACY 4 3 2½ 3.2   2nk 22 (englehart jere)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 ★ 1.45 P
2  ATLANTIC DANCER 2 6 614 68¼   54¼ 32 (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 ★ 22.90 S
4  ACTUALIZE 3 4 1½ 1nk   3½ 43 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 10% 8.70 5.70  
1  SUL PHAROAH 1 5 58½ 44¼   44 55¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 3.75  
7  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR 6 2 48 55¾   66¼ 67½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 ★ 10.50  
SCR  PAPI ON ICE               (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:23 :493 1:141 1:383   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COLLABORATION 3 7 96½ 95½ 64 21 1¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★ 3.65  
7  SMOKIE EYES 7 1 31½ 53 32½ 11 2¼ (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 49% 1.00 1.70 P
4  SWEETEST PRINCESS 4 8 64 42½ 53½ 63½ 34¼ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 6.60  
8  ORANGE FREEZE 8 2 52½ 74 75 53½ 44¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 25% 3.00 5.40  
10  SWEET BLUSH 10 9 75½ 85 85½ 74 55 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 8.90  
5  BERNT AGAIN 5 3 86 107½ 119 84½ 66 (schettino domi)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 39.75  
12  HERE WE GO AGAIN 12 6 11 12 11 31½ 76 (o'connor matthew )LUZZI J 119 50.00 81.00  
11  AMANDA'S FOLLY 11 5 21 22 21 42 89 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 19.50  
1  QUEENPIN 1 12 118 119 97½ 95½ 913 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 ★ 31.75  
6  MAGGIE 6 10 107 63½ 108 117½ 1017¾ (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 42.00  
9  LOVE MY CANDY 9 4 41½ 32 42½ 107 1120¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 14.40  
2  FRANCA 2 11 1211½ 1211½ 1214½ 1212½ 1221¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 55.50  
SCR  DREAM ON CARA               (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  JOEY THE FISH               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUNA LOCA               (schosberg r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN               (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:232 :471       1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THUNDER LOVE (GB) 6 7 83¼ 64   41½ 1¼ (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 8.40  
8  MISS TAPIRADO 8 8 104¾ 95¾   73½ 2¼ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 4.80  
3  MRS. GREEN 3 6 31 21½   1nk 3½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 27% 2.60 1.70 S
5  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE 5 10 93¾ 74¼   31 41 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00 40.50  
4  JOIN THE DOTS 4 9 72¾ 53½   52½ 52 (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 10.00  
10  GET THE CANDY 10 1 11 11½   2nk 62 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 10.30  
2  SILKY BLUE 2 5 41¼ 42½   63 72¾ (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 23.70  
9  ICY STARE DOWN 9 2 62¾ 106¼   98 86¾ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 21% 3.80 10.40  
1  TUSCAN QUEEN 1 4 21 32½   86½ 99½ (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 4.10  
7  SEDUCE 7 3 51¾ 85¼   1014 1020½ (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 52.25  
SCR  AWESOME INDRA               (joseph a)RIDER TBA 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BABA               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  CHASING CARA               (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
SCR  FIGHT ON LUCY               (kelly j)RIDER TBA 123 12.00    
SCR  SNICKET               (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 8% 11.80    
 
BAQ-8   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:124     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HOMETOWN 5 3 3½ 3½ 1½ 12½ 12¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 12% 7.30 0.95 W
4  EMPEROR'S CAUSE 3 5 66 57½ 56½ 35½ 22¼ (giangiulio )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 7% 13.80 5.30 P
2  UNCLE WATER FLOW 1 4 55½ 67¾ 67 45½ 35½ (persaud eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00 11.70  
5  STORIED FELLA 4 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 22½ 46¼ (boniface kevin )CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 32.25  
3  MAJOR SPIN 2 2 2nk 2nk 32½ 56½ 511¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 ★ 1.90  
7  ZUZUDINI 6 6 43½ 43 45½ 67½ 611¼ (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 11.70  
SCR  HANG TIGHT               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  MONEY SUPPLY               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 60% 0.70    
 
BAQ-9   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:132     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TRUANCY 5 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 12½ 13 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 31% 2.20 0.75 W
1  SWEET MYSTERY 1 7 62¾ 42½ 31 22½ 23 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 22% 3.60 5.20 P
6  CARAMOCHA 6 6 52½ 53 45 47½ 311 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 11.90  
9  GRINGOTTS 9 2 42 63½ 57 59½ 411 (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 124 15.00 67.00  
7  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 7 3 3½ 32½ 2½ 36 516¼ (cash russel)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 ★ 13.20  
2  MIA BEA STAR 2 9 97¾ 89 69 611 616½ (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 16.30  
3  SHADOLAMO 3 8 86¾ 76½ 710 714½ 719¼ (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 ★ 24.00  
4  PONCHO SONG 4 5 75¾ 910½ 916½ 921 835¾ (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00 92.00  
8  FORTY SMOOTH 8 1 1½ 1½ 810½ 814½ 941¾ (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 23% 3.30 4.20  
 
BAQ-10   09/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:231 :462 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RUGGED UNION 5 1 11½ 12   12½ 12 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00 7% 13.20 2.95 W
8  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE 8 3 33 22   22½ 22 (seyler dougla)CARDENAS LUIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.90 P
7  EMPIRE RIDGE 7 4 54½ 44   35 35 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 3.05  
4  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 4 2 75½ 65½   47 47 (summers chad)HARKIE K 121 15.00 39.75  
2  SOUTHERN CIVILITY 2 7 97½ 97½   99¾ 58 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 31.00  
6  ISLANDMAN 6 6 65 76   79½ 68¾ (williams)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 18.60  
1  SMART JOKER 1 8 107½ 87   89½ 79½ (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 4.60  
3  FELICIANO 3 9 87 108   1010¾ 810¾ (zito nichola)SAMUEL L 124 6.00 8.30  
10  KIMBO DANCER 10 5 21½ 33   58 912 (ferraro james)CASTILLO AMIN 121 10.00 6.00  
9  DISENGAGE 9 10 44 55   69 1012½ (parker joseph)RICHARDS G 121 30.00 57.25  
SCR  GENESIS ONE               (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NECROMANCER               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  RECLUSE               (preciado guadalu)CASTILLO A 121 12.00    
SCR  TRULY MISCHIEF               (beckman whi)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  UPPER LEVEL               (jerkens a)RIDER TBA 121 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.