Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/15/2022 12540ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
4:251         4:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVEN INNOCENT 2 6 65 5 5 21 1nk (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 149 10.00 6% 15.40 8.50 W
THE MEAN QUEEN (IRE) 1 3 4 1nk 1nk 11 2nk (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158 0.50 35% 1.80 0.35 P
HOWYABUD (IRE) 5 5 53 31 4¾ 36 3 (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 156 4.00 35% 1.90 4.50 S
GOING COUNTRY (IRE) 4 2nk 2 4 6 511½ 412 (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 153 6.00 10.50  
BOOBY TRAP 3 4 3 6 2nk 48 512¾ (young lesl)TWISTON-DAVIES SAM 153 20.00 5% 19.00 33.25  
STATE OF AFFAIR 6 1nk 1 2nk 3.2 613½ 616½ (wyatt j)GARNER THOMAS 153 20.00 18.40  
SCR  BANDUA               (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 12.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/15/2022 13200ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
4:344         4:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) 4 65 66 3 32 1 19 (mckenna todd)BESWICK HARRISON 140 30.00 41.25  
SNAP DECISION 1 1 13 1½ 1 2 29 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 168 0.40 48% 1.10 0.30 P
ASK PADDINGTON (IRE) 5 76 7 7 5 38 3 (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 146 8.00 7.70 S
SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER) 6 32 23 2½ 2 4 4 (young f)GARNER THOMAS 150 10.00 20.40  
AMSCHEL (GB) 8 54 34 4 4 514½ 518¾ (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 142 15.00 5% 19.00 53.75  
REDICEAN (GB) 7 44 5 87 8 618½ 625 (young lesl)TWISTON-DAVIES SAM 140 15.00 10.50  
BELFAST BANTER (IRE) 3 8 89 5 6 849 760¾ (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 144 20.00 40.25  
IRANISTAN 2 2 4 66 77 748½ 863¾ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 5.00 26% 2.90 7.80  
 
BAQ-3   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:143     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPTO MAMA 1 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 1 (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 40% 1.50 3.20 W
UNIFYING 3 6 3 31   2½ 2 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 3.90 P
OH DONNA 6 3 4 4   44 3 (handal raymond)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 24% 3.10 1.55 S
RISK FREE 4 2 2½ 2nk   3 4 (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 119 3.50 14% 6.00 2.85  
OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS 5 4 5 6   6 512 (chichakly )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 28.00  
WELCOMETOMYWORLD 2 5 63 5   5 612 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 13.70  
SCR  EXTESSA               (chichakly )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:132 1:363   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUTTERS 7 8 8 86 86 4 1½ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 3.25  
GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR 1 7 5 53 5 1nk 2½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 46% 1.20 3.25 P
RUSE 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 3 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 2.00 S
GHOST GIANT 8 4 42 42 42 5 43 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 7.40  
REGAL SPEAKER 5 5 65 7 75 83 5 (gargan dan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 38.75  
FRONT LINE DANCER 2 6 7 64 6 6 6 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 13.20  
BARRAGE 4 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 3 7 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 8% 11.30 6.50  
BARLEEWON 6 3 32 3 31 7 8 (camejo m)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 19.10  
SCR  BINGO JOHN               (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 10.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:23 :471       1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JESTER'S SONG 5 1 31 2nk   1nk 12 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.60 66% 0.50 2.30 W
LUPO'S LEGACY 4 3 2½ 3.2   2nk 22 (englehart jeremi)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 1.45 P
ATLANTIC DANCER 2 6 614 6   5 32 (zito nicho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 22.90 S
ACTUALIZE 3 4 1½ 1nk   3½ 43 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 10% 8.70 5.70  
SUL PHAROAH 1 5 5 4   44 5 (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 3.75  
STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR 6 2 48 5   6 6 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 10.50  
SCR  PAPI ON ICE               (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:23 :493 1:141 1:383   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLABORATION 3 7 9 9 64 21 1¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 3.65  
SMOKIE EYES 7 1 3 53 3 11 2¼ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 49% 1.00 1.70 P
SWEETEST PRINCESS 4 8 64 4 5 6 3 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 6.60  
ORANGE FREEZE 8 2 5 74 75 5 4 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 25% 3.00 5.40  
10  SWEET BLUSH 10 9 7 85 8 74 55 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 8.90  
BERNT AGAIN 5 3 86 10 119 8 66 (schettino domini)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 39.75  
12  HERE WE GO AGAIN 12 6 11 12 11 3 76 (o'connor br)LUZZI J 119 50.00 81.00  
11  AMANDA'S FOLLY 11 5 21 22 21 42 89 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 19.50  
QUEENPIN 1 12 118 119 9 9 913 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 31.75  
MAGGIE 6 10 107 6 108 11 1017¾ (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 42.00  
LOVE MY CANDY 9 4 4 32 4 107 1120¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 14.40  
FRANCA 2 11 1211½ 1211½ 1214½ 1212½ 1221¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 55.50  
SCR  DREAM ON CARA               (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  JOEY THE FISH               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUNA LOCA               (schosberg ric)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN               (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:232 :471       1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER LOVE (GB) 6 7 8 64   4 1¼ (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 8.40  
MISS TAPIRADO 8 8 10 9   7 2¼ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 4.80  
MRS. GREEN 3 6 31 2   1nk 3½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 27% 2.60 1.70 S
RUNAWAY ROCKETTE 5 10 9 7   31 41 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00 40.50  
JOIN THE DOTS 4 9 7 5   5 52 (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 10.00  
10  GET THE CANDY 10 1 11 1   2nk 62 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 10.30  
SILKY BLUE 2 5 4 4   63 7 (duarte jor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 23.70  
ICY STARE DOWN 9 2 6 10   98 8 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 21% 3.80 10.40  
TUSCAN QUEEN 1 4 21 3   8 9 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 4.10  
SEDUCE 7 3 5 8   1014 1020½ (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 52.25  
SCR  AWESOME INDRA               (joseph a)RIDER TBA 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BABA               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  CHASING CARA               (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
SCR  FIGHT ON LUCY               (kelly j)RIDER TBA 123 12.00    
SCR  SNICKET               (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 8% 11.80    
 
BAQ-8   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:124     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMETOWN 5 3 3½ 3½ 1½ 1 1 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 12% 7.30 0.95 W
EMPEROR'S CAUSE 3 5 66 5 5 3 2 (giangiulio mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 7% 13.80 5.30 P
UNCLE WATER FLOW 1 4 5 6 67 4 3 (persaud eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00 11.70  
STORIED FELLA 4 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 2 4 (boniface c)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 32.25  
MAJOR SPIN 2 2 2nk 2nk 3 5 511¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 1.90  
ZUZUDINI 6 6 4 43 4 6 611¼ (barker edw)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 11.70  
SCR  HANG TIGHT               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
SCR  MONEY SUPPLY               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 60% 0.70    
 
BAQ-9   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:132     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUANCY 5 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 1 13 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 31% 2.20 0.75 W
SWEET MYSTERY 1 7 6 4 31 2 23 (quick j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 22% 3.60 5.20 P
CARAMOCHA 6 6 5 53 45 4 311 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 11.90  
GRINGOTTS 9 2 42 6 57 5 411 (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 124 15.00 67.00  
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 7 3 3½ 3 2½ 36 516¼ (cash russell )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 13.20  
MIA BEA STAR 2 9 9 89 69 611 616½ (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 16.30  
SHADOLAMO 3 8 8 7 710 714½ 719¼ (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 24.00  
PONCHO SONG 4 5 7 910½ 916½ 921 835¾ (lucas bonn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00 92.00  
FORTY SMOOTH 8 1 1½ 1½ 810½ 814½ 941¾ (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 23% 3.30 4.20  
 
BAQ-10   09/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:231 :462 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUGGED UNION 5 1 1 12   1 12 (sciacca gary)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00 7% 13.20 2.95 W
THEREGOESMYMIRACLE 8 3 33 22   2 22 (seyler douglas )CARDENAS LUIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.90 P
EMPIRE RIDGE 7 4 5 44   35 35 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 3.05  
IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 4 2 7 6   47 47 (summers chad)HARKIE K 121 15.00 39.75  
SOUTHERN CIVILITY 2 7 9 9   9 58 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 31.00  
ISLANDMAN 6 6 65 76   7 6 (williams a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 18.60  
SMART JOKER 1 8 10 87   8 7 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 4.60  
FELICIANO 3 9 87 108   1010¾ 810¾ (zito nicholas )SAMUEL L 124 6.00 8.30  
10  KIMBO DANCER 10 5 2 33   58 912 (ferraro w)CASTILLO AMIN 121 10.00 6.00  
DISENGAGE 9 10 44 55   69 1012½ (parker joseph)RICHARDS G 121 30.00 57.25  
SCR  GENESIS ONE               (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NECROMANCER               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  RECLUSE               (preciado guadalupe)CASTILLO A 121 12.00    
SCR  TRULY MISCHIEF               (beckman whitw)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  UPPER LEVEL               (jerkens a)RIDER TBA 121 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.