Handicappers' Racing Form
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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
BAQ-1   09/15/2022 12540ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MEAN QUEEN (IRE)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158 0.50 35% 1.80    
2  PROVEN INNOCENT Aug31 Jul27 May14 Apr30   (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 149 10.00 6% 15.40    
3  BOOBY TRAP         (young lesl)TWISTON-DAVIES SAM 153 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) Aug17 Aug03 May14     (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 153 6.00 ★    
SCR  BANDUA Aug31 Aug15 Jul26     (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 12.00    
6  HOWYABUD (IRE) Aug03         (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 156 4.00 35% 1.90    
7  STATE OF AFFAIR Aug10 Jul27       (wyatt j)GARNER THOMAS 153 20.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/15/2022 13200ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNAP DECISION Aug17 Jul27 May14     (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 168 0.40 48% 1.10    
2  IRANISTAN Jul20 May14       (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 5.00 26% 2.90    
3  BELFAST BANTER (IRE) Aug17         (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 144 20.00    
4  NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE)         (mckenna todd)BESWICK HARRISON 140 30.00    
5  ASK PADDINGTON (IRE) May28         (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 146 8.00 ★    
6  SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER) Aug17         (young f)GARNER THOMAS 150 10.00    
7  REDICEAN (GB) Aug17 Jul20       (young lesl)TWISTON-DAVIES SAM 140 15.00 ★    
8  AMSCHEL (GB) May14         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 142 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO MAMA Aug17 Jul24       (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  EXTESSA Sep01 Aug05       (chichakly )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 20.00    
3  WELCOMETOMYWORLD         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 ★    
4  UNIFYING         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 ★    
5  RISK FREE Aug17         (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
6  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Jul04   (chichakly )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
7  OH DONNA Aug17         (handal raymond)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
BAQ-4   09/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Jul15 Jun19       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
2  FRONT LINE DANCER Aug10 Jul16 Jun24 May30   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
3  RUSE Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 May20 Apr07 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 ★    
4  BARRAGE Aug11 Jul15 May28     (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 8% 11.30    
5  REGAL SPEAKER Jul15 Jun03 Mar02 Jan05   (gargan dan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00    
6  BARLEEWON Jul30 Jun24 May01 Apr16 Feb26 (camejo m)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
7  SHUTTERS Jul16         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
8  GHOST GIANT Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 May28 Apr15 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  BINGO JOHN May29 May14 Apr28 Mar31 Feb20 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 10.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER Aug27 Jul14 Apr30 Mar12   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN Aug12 Jul10 May29 Apr28 Mar26 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Aug06 Jun26 May14 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
 
BAQ-5   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUL PHAROAH Aug03 Jun26 Jan30     (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
2  ATLANTIC DANCER         (zito nicho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 ★    
SCR  PAPI ON ICE Aug10 Jul15 Jul01 Jun19 Jun02 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00    
4  ACTUALIZE Jun02 Apr01 Feb26 Feb03   (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 10% 8.70    
5  LUPO'S LEGACY Aug28         (englehart jeremi)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 ★    
6  JESTER'S SONG Jun02 Apr16 Feb26 Jan13   (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.60 66% 0.50    
7  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 ★    
 
BAQ-6   09/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 3:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENPIN         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 ★    
2  FRANCA         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
3  COLLABORATION Aug03         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★    
4  SWEETEST PRINCESS Aug03         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
5  BERNT AGAIN Aug18 Aug03       (schettino domini)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
6  MAGGIE Aug01 Jul05       (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
7  SMOKIE EYES Aug03         (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 49% 1.00    
8  ORANGE FREEZE Aug18         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
9  LOVE MY CANDY Aug10         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
10  SWEET BLUSH Aug24         (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
11  AMANDA'S FOLLY Aug03 Jun25       (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
12  HERE WE GO AGAIN Aug10         (o'connor br)LUZZI J 119 50.00    
SCR  LUNA LOCA Aug18 Jul27       (schosberg ric)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  DREAM ON CARA Aug18 Aug03 Jul04     (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN Aug18         (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  JOEY THE FISH Aug10         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUSCAN QUEEN Aug19 Jul24 Jul02     (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
2  SILKY BLUE Jul30 Jul02 May30     (duarte jor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
3  MRS. GREEN Aug14 Jul20 Jun24 May27   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 27% 2.60    
4  JOIN THE DOTS Aug27 Jul29 Jun11 May22 Mar18 (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
5  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE Aug27 Jul29 Jun12 Apr29 Apr20 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00    
6  THUNDER LOVE (GB) Aug15 Jun29 May29 Apr15   (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
7  SEDUCE Aug13 Jun15 May26     (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
8  MISS TAPIRADO Aug27 Jul08 Jun17 Apr09   (mott i)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50    
9  ICY STARE DOWN Mar24 Feb26       (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
10  GET THE CANDY Aug18 Jul22 Jun26 May27   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
SCR  SNICKET Aug12 Jun26 May07 Apr23 Mar18 (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 8% 11.80    
SCR  FIGHT ON LUCY Jul09 Jun10 May07 Apr09 Mar18 (kelly j)RIDER TBA 123 12.00    
SCR  CHASING CARA Aug12 Jul09 May19 Apr23 Mar25 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
SCR  BABA Aug21 Jul09 Jun10 May27 Apr15 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  AWESOME INDRA Aug21 Jul23 Jun19 Apr23 Mar26 (joseph a)RIDER TBA 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HANG TIGHT Aug19 Jul25 Jul06 Feb06   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 ★    
2  UNCLE WATER FLOW Aug18 Jul10 May20 Apr07 Mar11 (persaud eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
3  MAJOR SPIN Aug10 Jul08 May30 May06 Mar31 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 ★    
4  EMPEROR'S CAUSE Jun16 May01 Apr07 Mar18 Feb05 (giangiulio mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 7% 13.80    
5  STORIED FELLA Aug26 Jul06 Jun18 Apr22 Apr09 (boniface c)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
6  HOMETOWN Aug06         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
7  ZUZUDINI Aug12 Jul01 Apr21 Mar18   (barker edw)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  MONEY SUPPLY Aug06 Jun19 May07 Apr08 Feb12 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 60% 0.70    
 
BAQ-9   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MYSTERY Aug13 Jul09 Jun16     (quick j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
2  MIA BEA STAR Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 Jun18 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
3  SHADOLAMO Aug14 Aug03 Jun02 May13 Apr29 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 ★    
4  PONCHO SONG Aug11 Jun25 Jun03 Apr30   (lucas bonn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00    
5  TRUANCY Jul31 Jun16       (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 31% 2.20    
6  CARAMOCHA Aug17 Jul22       (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
7  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Aug13 Jul21 Jul03 May30 May14 (cash russell )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 ★    
8  FORTY SMOOTH Aug21 Jan02       (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
9  GRINGOTTS Aug17 Jul22 Jun25 May27 Apr29 (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-10   09/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART JOKER Aug13 Jul10 Jun12 May08 Apr10 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 121 4.00    
2  SOUTHERN CIVILITY Aug31 Jul22 Jul08 May13 Jan16 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
3  FELICIANO Jun26 May28 Apr23     (zito nicholas )SAMUEL L 124 6.00    
4  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Aug11         (summers)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 15.00    
5  RUGGED UNION Jul20 Jun18 May01     (sciacca gary)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00 7% 13.20    
6  ISLANDMAN Aug24 Jul10 Jun12 May01 Apr10 (williams a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
7  EMPIRE RIDGE Aug13 Jul04 May22 Jan19   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
8  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Aug13 Aug03 Jul10 Jun12 May22 (seyler douglas )CARDENAS LUIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  DISENGAGE Jul31 Jun23 May22 May05 Mar31 (parker joseph)RICHARDS G 121 30.00    
10  KIMBO DANCER Jul30 Jul09 Jun02     (ferraro w)CASTILLO AMIN 121 10.00    
SCR  RECLUSE Aug22 Aug02       (preciado guadalupe)CASTILLO A 121 12.00    
SCR  TRULY MISCHIEF Sep03 Jul22 Jun30 Apr16   (beckman whitw)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  GENESIS ONE         (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UPPER LEVEL Aug28 Aug03 Jun26     (jerkens a)RIDER TBA 121 1.60    
SCR  NECROMANCER Aug25 Jul04 May22 Apr21 Feb25 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.