Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/15/2022 12540ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MEAN QUEEN (IRE)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158 0.50 35% 1.80    
2  PROVEN INNOCENT Aug31 Jul27 May14 Apr30   (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 149 10.00 6% 15.40    
3  BOOBY TRAP         (young le)TWISTON-DAVIES SAM 153 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) Aug17 Aug03 May14     (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 153 6.00 ★    
SCR  BANDUA Aug31 Aug15 Jul26     (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 12.00    
6  HOWYABUD (IRE) Aug03         (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 156 4.00 35% 1.90    
7  STATE OF AFFAIR Aug10 Jul27       (wyatt j)GARNER THOMAS 153 20.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/15/2022 13200ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNAP DECISION Aug17 Jul27 May14     (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 168 0.40 48% 1.10    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SALUTE by UNBRIDLED)
2  IRANISTAN Jul20 May14       (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
3  BELFAST BANTER (IRE) Aug17         (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 144 20.00    
  (by JEREMY out of SUMTIN NICE by SIMPLY GREAT)
4  NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE)         (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 140 30.00    
  (by VINNIE ROE out of WELL WATER by ILLINOIS STORM)
5  ASK PADDINGTON (IRE) May28         (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 146 8.00 ★    
  (by ASK out of DUAL OBSESSION by SADDLERS' HALL (IRE))
6  SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER) Aug17         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150 10.00    
  (by MEDICEAN (GB) out of SWENI HILL by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
7  REDICEAN (GB) Aug17 Jul20       (young le)TWISTON-DAVIES SAM 140 15.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of RED HALO (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
8  AMSCHEL (GB) May14         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 142 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATHANIEL (IRE) out of DARINZA (FR) by DALAKHANI (IRE))
 
BAQ-3   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO MAMA Aug17 Jul24       (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  EXTESSA Sep01 Aug05       (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 20.00    
3  WELCOMETOMYWORLD         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 ★    
4  UNIFYING         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 ★    
5  RISK FREE Aug17         (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
6  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Jul04   (chichakl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
7  OH DONNA Aug17         (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
BAQ-4   09/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Jul15 Jun19       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
2  FRONT LINE DANCER Aug10 Jul16 Jun24 May30   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
3  RUSE Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 May20 Apr07 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 ★    
4  BARRAGE Aug11 Jul15 May28     (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 8% 11.30    
5  REGAL SPEAKER Jul15 Jun03 Mar02 Jan05   (gargan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00    
6  BARLEEWON Jul30 Jun24 May01 Apr16 Feb26 (camejo jose )CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
7  SHUTTERS Jul16         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
8  GHOST GIANT Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 May28 Apr15 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  BINGO JOHN May29 May14 Apr28 Mar31 Feb20 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 10.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER Aug27 Jul14 Apr30 Mar12   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN Aug12 Jul10 May29 Apr28 Mar26 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Aug06 Jun26 May14 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
 
BAQ-5   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUL PHAROAH Aug03 Jun26 Jan30     (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
2  ATLANTIC DANCER         (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 ★    
SCR  PAPI ON ICE Aug10 Jul15 Jul01 Jun19 Jun02 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00    
4  ACTUALIZE Jun02 Apr01 Feb26 Feb03   (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 10% 8.70    
5  LUPO'S LEGACY Aug28         (englehart jere)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 ★    
6  JESTER'S SONG Jun02 Apr16 Feb26 Jan13   (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.60 66% 0.50    
7  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 ★    
 
BAQ-6   09/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENPIN         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 ★    
2  FRANCA         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
3  COLLABORATION Aug03         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★    
4  SWEETEST PRINCESS Aug03         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
5  BERNT AGAIN Aug18 Aug03       (schettino domi)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
6  MAGGIE Aug01 Jul05       (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
7  SMOKIE EYES Aug03         (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 49% 1.00    
8  ORANGE FREEZE Aug18         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
9  LOVE MY CANDY Aug10         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
10  SWEET BLUSH Aug24         (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
11  AMANDA'S FOLLY Aug03 Jun25       (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
12  HERE WE GO AGAIN Aug10         (o'connor matthew )LUZZI J 119 50.00    
SCR  LUNA LOCA Aug18 Jul27       (schosberg r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  DREAM ON CARA Aug18 Aug03 Jul04     (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN Aug18         (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  JOEY THE FISH Aug10         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUSCAN QUEEN Aug19 Jul24 Jul02     (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
2  SILKY BLUE Jul30 Jul02 May30     (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
3  MRS. GREEN Aug14 Jul20 Jun24 May27   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 27% 2.60    
4  JOIN THE DOTS Aug27 Jul29 Jun11 May22 Mar18 (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
5  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE Aug27 Jul29 Jun12 Apr29 Apr20 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00    
6  THUNDER LOVE (GB) Aug15 Jun29 May29 Apr15   (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
7  SEDUCE Aug13 Jun15 May26     (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
8  MISS TAPIRADO Aug27 Jul08 Jun17 Apr09   (mott william )ORTIZ JR 123 4.50    
9  ICY STARE DOWN Mar24 Feb26       (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
10  GET THE CANDY Aug18 Jul22 Jun26 May27   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
SCR  SNICKET Aug12 Jun26 May07 Apr23 Mar18 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 8% 11.80    
SCR  FIGHT ON LUCY Jul09 Jun10 May07 Apr09 Mar18 (kelly j)RIDER TBA 123 12.00    
SCR  CHASING CARA Aug12 Jul09 May19 Apr23 Mar25 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
SCR  BABA Aug21 Jul09 Jun10 May27 Apr15 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  AWESOME INDRA Aug21 Jul23 Jun19 Apr23 Mar26 (joseph a)RIDER TBA 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HANG TIGHT Aug19 Jul25 Jul06 Feb06   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 ★    
2  UNCLE WATER FLOW Aug18 Jul10 May20 Apr07 Mar11 (persaud eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
3  MAJOR SPIN Aug10 Jul08 May30 May06 Mar31 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 ★    
4  EMPEROR'S CAUSE Jun16 May01 Apr07 Mar18 Feb05 (giangiulio )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 7% 13.80    
5  STORIED FELLA Aug26 Jul06 Jun18 Apr22 Apr09 (boniface kevin )CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
6  HOMETOWN Aug06         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
7  ZUZUDINI Aug12 Jul01 Apr21 Mar18   (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  MONEY SUPPLY Aug06 Jun19 May07 Apr08 Feb12 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 60% 0.70    
 
BAQ-9   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MYSTERY Aug13 Jul09 Jun16     (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
2  MIA BEA STAR Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 Jun18 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
3  SHADOLAMO Aug14 Aug03 Jun02 May13 Apr29 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 ★    
4  PONCHO SONG Aug11 Jun25 Jun03 Apr30   (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00    
5  TRUANCY Jul31 Jun16       (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 31% 2.20    
6  CARAMOCHA Aug17 Jul22       (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
7  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Aug13 Jul21 Jul03 May30 May14 (cash russel)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 ★    
8  FORTY SMOOTH Aug21 Jan02       (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
9  GRINGOTTS Aug17 Jul22 Jun25 May27 Apr29 (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-10   09/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART JOKER Aug13 Jul10 Jun12 May08 Apr10 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 121 4.00    
2  SOUTHERN CIVILITY Aug31 Jul22 Jul08 May13 Jan16 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
3  FELICIANO Jun26 May28 Apr23     (zito nichola)SAMUEL L 124 6.00    
4  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Aug11         (summe)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 15.00    
5  RUGGED UNION Jul20 Jun18 May01     (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00 7% 13.20    
6  ISLANDMAN Aug24 Jul10 Jun12 May01 Apr10 (williams)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
7  EMPIRE RIDGE Aug13 Jul04 May22 Jan19   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
8  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Aug13 Aug03 Jul10 Jun12 May22 (seyler dougla)CARDENAS LUIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  DISENGAGE Jul31 Jun23 May22 May05 Mar31 (parker joseph)RICHARDS G 121 30.00    
10  KIMBO DANCER Jul30 Jul09 Jun02     (ferraro james)CASTILLO AMIN 121 10.00    
SCR  RECLUSE Aug22 Aug02       (preciado guadalu)CASTILLO A 121 12.00    
SCR  TRULY MISCHIEF Sep03 Jul22 Jun30 Apr16   (beckman whi)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  GENESIS ONE         (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UPPER LEVEL Aug28 Aug03 Jun26     (jerkens a)RIDER TBA 121 1.60    
SCR  NECROMANCER Aug25 Jul04 May22 Apr21 Feb25 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.