Handicappers' Race Results

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Kentucky Downs
Saturday - September 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KD-1   09/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:13 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT AN HONOR 2 5 1nk 2½ 2nk 1 12 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 23% 3.40 3.26 W
STRAND OF GOLD 7 9 9 7 6 4 22 (joseph saf)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 6.17  
10  BEL ROSSO 10 4 42 3 4 2 3 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 19% 4.20 3.89 S
COTTON CANDY ANNIE 9 2 2nk 1½ 1nk 3 44 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 13.86  
WEEHAWKEN 3 6 6 5 3 6 5 (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 20.35  
VALIANT PRAISE 1 7 5 4 5 5 6 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 10.14  
12  IT WASN'T ME 12 12 10 8 7 7 7 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 7.25  
BOTANICAL 4 10 11 11 810 8 8 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 13.44  
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 6 11 12 12 1215¼ 914¾ 913 (leonard georg)HERRFORTH ERICA 109 30.00 98.73  
YANIRA 8 8 7 9 1115 1018¾ 1023¼ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 15% 5.70 8.70  
11  SHEZA SHINING STAR 11 1 8 10 912 1119¾ 1124½ (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00 14.91  
LADY EVA 5 3 3½ 6 1013½ 1227¾ 1258 (casse mark)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 22.58  
SCR  BEAT THE ESTIMATES               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  MO TOWN MADISON               (joseph saf)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
SCR  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY               (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  PERFECT ROSE               (vasqu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00    
 
KD-2   09/03/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:091     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUM 'N TONIC 1 5 21 2   2nk 1nk (maker mich)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 20% 3.90 7.87 W
NASHOBA'S JOY 4 11 910 77   52 2nk (morey e)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 5.64  
SHIPMAN 2 10 6 54   31 3.15 (green troy)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 3.07  
11  BUCKY BIK COIN 10 2 11 1   1nk 4 (desormeaux kei)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 54.21  
ABSOLUTE COURAGE 8 6 32 43   6 5 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 7.10  
MONJID 3 9 4 3   4 6 (mckeever an)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 19.76  
10  DERIVATIVE 9 4 5 65   7 7 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 23% 3.30 4.11  
STAND FOR FREEDOM 7 7 1217 1113   8 88 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 13.94  
13  MY GRASS IS BLUE 12 3 1010 8   9 9 (pitts c)PETERSON FERRIN 121 20.00 82.83  
12  LIAM THE BRAVE 11 1 89 1011½   10 1010 (ewing a)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 20.30  
TRULY MISCHIEF 5 8 77 911   1116¼ 1120 (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 5% 19.00 5.45  
ROARING GAP 6 12 1115 1214½   12100 12100 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 59.85  
SCR  CLEAT               (mott i)GRAHAM J 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  MOUNT KISCO               (howell jessic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
SCR  UPTOWN HUSTLER               (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
SCR  VERITABLE               (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
KD-3   09/03/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:214 :452 1:09     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINICAN PIONEER 6 5 1½ 1nk   1 1¼ (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 6.28  
MARTINI'NMOONSHINE 7 9 76 6   2 2¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 9.45  
POLICY OPTION 8 12 1110¼ 10   4 3¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 58% 0.70 3.70 S
MINNESOTA READY 1 8 1212¾ 12   9 4 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 10.00 16.38  
12  RIGHT TONE 12 11 9 8   107 5 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 5% 18.50 8.29  
BUTTON BOY 9 10 8 7   76 66 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00 6% 14.80 14.96  
FENWICK 2 2 10 11   86 76 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00 9.33  
11  ZIPPIN GIGI 11 6 3 2nk   33 87 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 14.11  
10  OF THE MOMENT 10 7 65 42   6 9 (williamson brian)LOPEZ E 121 12.00 5% 19.00 25.73  
SENSE SHINES 5 4 2½ 3   55 10 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 10.40  
ROMANCER 4 3 54 9   1210½ 1113 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 7% 13.10 5.11  
APACHE TEARS 3 1 4 5   119 1216½ (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 121 4.00 14.12  
SCR  ROUGHIN THE CITY               (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
SCR  SWISHAWISH               (coontz arth)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
SCR  SWITZER               (moquett ronald)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50    
SCR  TRUST DADDY               (o'dwyer jeremiah)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
 
KD-4   09/03/2022 4620ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:22 :46 1:094     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  GASLIGHT DANCER 12 11 1 1   1 15 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 4.82  
MIRANDA RIGHTS 5 4 55 33   34 25 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 6.40 P
11  WORTHINGTON 11 10 2 2   2 35 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 18.93  
BERRETTINI 3 1 8 8   57 4 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 22.81  
10  HUNTER'S DRIVE 10 7 33 43   4 59 (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 11.81  
PAPPY WOLFE 9 12 1217¾ 1214¾   910 610 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 14.94  
B MINOR 6 8 9 9   6 710¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 37% 1.70 4.45  
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 2 2 7 7   78 810¼ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 20.00 7% 12.60 24.17  
SIX MISSIONS 8 6 6 5   810 911¾ (brisset rodolphe)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 17% 4.70 3.25  
SWISS GUARD 7 5 45 6   1012½ 1018 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 16% 5.10 8.96  
AS ONE DOES 4 9 1012¾ 1011¾   1216½ 1120 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 29.96  
UNCLE HEADLEY 1 3 1114¾ 1111¾   1115 1221¼ (ward a)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00 15.65  
SCR  CURLINS INCHARGE               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED               (mason ingrid)MORALES JOSHUA 119 30.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER               (lynch brian )CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS PHAROAH               (brennan terry)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
 
KD-5   09/03/2022 6930ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:131 1:383   2:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAD NATION 9 6 7 5 3.2 1½ 1¼ (clement chr)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 3.28  
BRAVO KITTEN 2 5 5 63 4 2½ 2¼ (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 14% 6.20 6.61 P
PEARL EARRING 3 32 3 32 6 32 3¾ (stidham michae)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 12.52  
LOVELY PRINCESS 5 76 6 7 104 4 4 (mcpeek kenneth )LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50 23% 3.30 6.80  
GIMME MO BABY 4 4 43 4 5 5 5 (papap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 5.00 14% 5.90 7.47  
10  CHATON ROUGE 10 1011½ 1110 11 8 6 6 (glover tracey)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 92.14  
SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) 6 1213 1211 12 9 9 74 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 6% 17.10 29.22  
11  ELLE EST FORTE 11 9 10 10 124 7 8 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 17% 4.70 5.53  
12  UNDER ONE SKY 12 2½ 21 21 2nk 86 9 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7.57  
HATARI 8 1112½ 98 9 7 10 1014¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 9.40  
LAVISH HABITS 7 8 8 8 114 1212½ 1115 (hiles a)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 26.87  
LOVE TO RUN 1 1½ 11 11 1nk 1111½ 1215 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 15.55  
SCR  BOW DRAW               (platt noah)GILLIGAN JACK 122 30.00    
SCR  LIVY B               (leonard ii)COHEN DAVID 122 30.00    
SCR  MY SWEET STORY               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00    
SCR  SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
 
KD-6   09/03/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
See original race card.
:214 :454 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ABOUKIR BAY 12 11 1211¾ 11   6 1¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 12.83  
CINDYLOUWHO 1 1 11 1   1 2¾ (palmer nichola)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 13% 7.00 7.60 P
STRIKINGLY 9 9 9 8   45 33 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 20.00 20.21  
MACADAMIA (FR) 5 5 5 6   2 4 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 4.00 6.51  
10  ANKYRAH 10 8 6 55   8 5 (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00 26.14  
GHOST BAYOU 3 4 43 44   5 65 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 42.43 DH
RAMADHAAN (IRE) 7 7 8 76   7 65 (meah m)PARKER L 121 15.00 45.17 DH
BODIEFUL 6 6 3 3   35 8 (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 54.96  
11  MARINA'S GOLD 11 10 1111½ 1211½   1110¾ 9 (ortiz a)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 20.00 40.56  
AMERICAN PYRAMID 2 3 7 9   9 1010¼ (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.05  
PARENTS PRIDE 4 2 21 2   1010¼ 1112½ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.20 34% 1.90 0.76  
PARIS PARAMOUR 8 12 1010½ 108   1212¾ 1214½ (murphy cono)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 15.51  
SCR  MINT EDITION               (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 124 10.00    
SCR  POINT WELL TAKEN               (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  THE GANG THAT SANG               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00    
SCR  TROUBLE MAKING               (meah m)DIAZ RENE 119 10.00    
 
KD-7   09/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:241 :50 1:164 1:294   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOP CHOP 5 1 3 32 2nk 1nk 1hd (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 33% 2.10 4.11 W
TOWHEAD 4 2 1 2½ 1nk 2nk 2hd (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 17% 5.00 5.61 P
C C CRUISE CONTROL 2 6 2 1½ 43 46 39 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 5.00 7.86 S
KNOCKYOURSOCKSOFF 3 8 8 89 3 35 4 (block chris)LEPAROUX R 120 3.00 26% 2.80 3.16  
MUSTANG LADY 8 4 54 6 813 612 512 (newton troy)DIAZ RENE 118 12.00 25.93  
CHIQUITA MOSCA 6 3 77 79 5 5 612¾ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00 59.78  
JANIS JOPLIN 1 7 6 56 711 718 733¾ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 4.77  
CALLIE'S GRIT 7 5 43 4 68 820½ 841¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 2.78  
SCR  UP TO SOMETHING               (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.