The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Kentucky Downs
Saturday - September 03, 2022
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KD-1   09/03/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 1:25
:233 :482 1:13 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHAT AN HONOR 2 5 1nk 2½ 2nk 12½ 12 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 23% 3.40 3.26 W
7  STRAND OF GOLD 7 9 96¼ 74½ 65½ 43½ 22 (joseph a)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 6.17  
10  BEL ROSSO 10 4 42 31½ 42½ 22½ 33¾ (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 19% 4.20 3.89 S
9  COTTON CANDY ANNIE 9 2 2nk 1½ 1nk 32½ 44 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 13.86  
3  WEEHAWKEN 3 6 62¾ 52½ 31½ 64¾ 54¾ (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 20.35  
1  VALIANT PRAISE 1 7 52½ 42½ 54½ 54½ 65¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 10.14  
12  IT WASN'T ME 12 12 106¼ 84¾ 76½ 76¾ 77¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 7.25  
4  BOTANICAL 4 10 118¼ 117¼ 810 88¾ 88½ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 13.44  
6  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 6 11 128½ 128¼ 1215¼ 914¾ 913 (leonard iii)HERRFORTH ERICA 109 30.00 98.73  
8  YANIRA 8 8 73¾ 96¼ 1115 1018¾ 1023¼ (ward a)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 15% 5.70 8.70  
11  SHEZA SHINING STAR 11 1 84¾ 106¾ 912 1119¾ 1124½ (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00 14.91  
5  LADY EVA 5 3 3½ 63½ 1013½ 1227¾ 1258 (casse mark)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 22.58  
SCR  BEAT THE ESTIMATES               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  MO TOWN MADISON               (joseph a)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
SCR  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY               (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  PERFECT ROSE               (vasquez sr)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00    
 
KD-2   09/03/2022 4290ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
:22 :451 1:091     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RUM 'N TONIC 1 5 21 21½   2nk 1nk (maker j)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 20% 3.90 7.87 W
5  NASHOBA'S JOY 4 11 910 77   52 2nk (morey e)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 5.64  
3  SHIPMAN 2 10 66½ 54   31 3.15 (green troy)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 3.07  
11  BUCKY BIK COIN 10 2 11 11½   1nk 41½ (desormeaux keith)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 54.21  
9  ABSOLUTE COURAGE 8 6 32 43   62½ 52¼ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 7.10  
4  MONJID 3 9 42½ 31½   41½ 62¼ (mckeever andrew)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 19.76  
10  DERIVATIVE 9 4 53½ 65   73½ 74¼ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 23% 3.30 4.11  
8  STAND FOR FREEDOM 7 7 1217 1113   86½ 88 (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 13.94  
13  MY GRASS IS BLUE 12 3 1010 88½   96¾ 98¼ (pitts c)PETERSON FERRIN 121 20.00 82.83  
12  LIAM THE BRAVE 11 1 89 1011½   108¼ 1010 (ewing ann)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 20.30  
6  TRULY MISCHIEF 5 8 77 911   1116¼ 1120 (beckman whitworth)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 5% 19.00 5.45  
7  ROARING GAP 6 12 1115 1214½   12100 12100 (miller darrin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 59.85  
SCR  CLEAT               (mott i)GRAHAM J 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  MOUNT KISCO               (howell jessica)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
SCR  UPTOWN HUSTLER               (ward a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
SCR  VERITABLE               (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
KD-3   09/03/2022 4620ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
:214 :452 1:09     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOMINICAN PIONEER 6 5 1½ 1nk   12½ 1¼ (ward a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 6.28  
7  MARTINI'NMOONSHINE 7 9 76 62¾   22½ 2¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 9.45  
8  POLICY OPTION 8 12 1110¼ 105¾   43½ 3¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 58% 0.70 3.70 S
1  MINNESOTA READY 1 8 1212¾ 128¾   96½ 45¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 10.00 16.38  
12  RIGHT TONE 12 11 97½ 84¼   107 55¾ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 5% 18.50 8.29  
9  BUTTON BOY 9 10 87½ 74¼   76 66 (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00 6% 14.80 14.96  
2  FENWICK 2 2 107¾ 117¼   86 76 (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00 9.33  
11  ZIPPIN GIGI 11 6 31½ 2nk   33 87 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 14.11  
10  OF THE MOMENT 10 7 65 42   65½ 97½ (williamson brian)LOPEZ E 121 12.00 5% 19.00 25.73  
5  SENSE SHINES 5 4 2½ 31½   55 108¾ (ward a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 10.40  
4  ROMANCER 4 3 54 94¾   1210½ 1113 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 7% 13.10 5.11  
3  APACHE TEARS 3 1 42½ 52½   119 1216½ (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 121 4.00 14.12  
SCR  ROUGHIN THE CITY               (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
SCR  SWISHAWISH               (coontz a)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
SCR  SWITZER               (moquett e)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50    
SCR  TRUST DADDY               (o'dwyer jeremiah)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
 
KD-4   09/03/2022 4620ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
:22 :46 1:094     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  GASLIGHT DANCER 12 11 11½ 11½   12½ 15 (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 4.82  
5  MIRANDA RIGHTS 5 4 55 33   34 25 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 ★ 6.40 P
11  WORTHINGTON 11 10 21½ 21½   22½ 35 (maker j)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 18.93  
3  BERRETTINI 3 1 87¾ 87¼   57 47½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 22.81  
10  HUNTER'S DRIVE 10 7 33 43   45½ 59 (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 11.81  
9  PAPPY WOLFE 9 12 1217¾ 1214¾   910 610 (von donnie)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 14.94  
6  B MINOR 6 8 98¾ 99¾   67½ 710¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 37% 1.70 4.45  
2  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 2 2 77½ 75¼   78 810¼ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 20.00 7% 12.60 24.17  
8  SIX MISSIONS 8 6 65½ 54½   810 911¾ (brisset rodolphe)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 17% 4.70 3.25  
7  SWISS GUARD 7 5 45 64¾   1012½ 1018 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 16% 5.10 8.96  
4  AS ONE DOES 4 9 1012¾ 1011¾   1216½ 1120 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 29.96  
1  UNCLE HEADLEY 1 3 1114¾ 1111¾   1115 1221¼ (ward a)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00 15.65  
SCR  CURLINS INCHARGE               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED               (mason ingrid)MORALES JOSHUA 119 30.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER               (lynch a)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS PHAROAH               (brennan terry)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
 
KD-5   09/03/2022 6930ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($160K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
:233 :474 1:131 1:383   2:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SHAD NATION 9 65½ 74½ 52½ 3.2 1½ 1¼ (clement christophe)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 3.28  
2  BRAVO KITTEN 2 54½ 53½ 63 41¼ 2½ 2¼ (joseph a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 14% 6.20 6.61 P
3  PEARL EARRING 3 32 32½ 32 62¼ 32 3¾ (stidham michael)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 12.52  
5  LOVELY PRINCESS 5 76 63½ 73¼ 104 43½ 41¼ (mcpeek g)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50 23% 3.30 6.80  
4  GIMME MO BABY 4 42½ 43 42½ 51¾ 53½ 52¾ (papaprodromou george)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 5.00 14% 5.90 7.47  
10  CHATON ROUGE 10 1011½ 1110 116¼ 83¼ 64½ 63¾ (glover tracey)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 92.14  
6  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) 6 1213 1211 126¼ 93¾ 96½ 74 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 6% 17.10 29.22  
11  ELLE EST FORTE 11 99½ 108½ 105¼ 124 75½ 84¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 17% 4.70 5.53  
12  UNDER ONE SKY 12 2½ 21 21 2nk 86 98¼ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7.57  
8  HATARI 8 1112½ 98 94¾ 72¼ 108½ 1014¾ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 9.40  
7  LAVISH HABITS 7 86½ 85½ 83¾ 114 1212½ 1115 (hiles a)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 26.87  
1  LOVE TO RUN 1 1½ 11 11 1nk 1111½ 1215 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 15.55  
SCR  BOW DRAW               (platt noah)GILLIGAN JACK 122 30.00    
SCR  LIVY B               (leonard iii)COHEN DAVID 122 30.00    
SCR  MY SWEET STORY               (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00    
SCR  SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT               (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
 
KD-6   09/03/2022 4290ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
:214 :454 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ABOUKIR BAY 12 11 1211¾ 119½   65¾ 1¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 12.83  
1  CINDYLOUWHO 1 1 11 12½   12½ 2¾ (palmer nicholas)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 13% 7.00 7.60 P
9  STRIKINGLY 9 9 96½ 86½   45 33 (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 121 20.00 20.21  
5  MACADAMIA (FR) 5 5 53½ 65½   22½ 44¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 4.00 6.51  
10  ANKYRAH 10 8 64½ 55   87¾ 54¾ (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00 26.14  
3  GHOST BAYOU 3 4 43 44   55¼ 65 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 42.43 DH
7  RAMADHAAN (IRE) 7 7 85½ 76   76¼ 65 (meah m)PARKER L 121 15.00 45.17 DH
6  BODIEFUL 6 6 32½ 33½   35 85¼ (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 54.96  
11  MARINA'S GOLD 11 10 1111½ 1211½   1110¾ 98¼ (ortiz alexander)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 20.00 40.56  
2  AMERICAN PYRAMID 2 3 74½ 97½   99¾ 1010¼ (catalano m)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.05  
4  PARENTS PRIDE 4 2 21 22½   1010¼ 1112½ (joseph a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.20 34% 1.90 0.76  
8  PARIS PARAMOUR 8 12 1010½ 108   1212¾ 1214½ (murphy conor)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 15.51  
SCR  MINT EDITION               (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 124 10.00    
SCR  POINT WELL TAKEN               (mcgaughey iii)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  THE GANG THAT SANG               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00    
SCR  TROUBLE MAKING               (meah m)DIAZ RENE 119 10.00 ★    
 
KD-7   09/03/2022 5280ft TURF YIELDING nongraded Stake   Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 4:48
:241 :50 1:164 1:294   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHOP CHOP 5 1 31½ 32 2nk 1nk 1hd (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 33% 2.10 4.11 W
5  TOWHEAD 4 2 11½ 2½ 1nk 2nk 2hd (maker j)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 17% 5.00 5.61 P
3  C C CRUISE CONTROL 2 6 21½ 1½ 43 46 39 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 5.00 ★ 7.86 S
4  KNOCKYOURSOCKSOFF 3 8 89½ 89 31½ 35 49¾ (block chris)LEPAROUX R 120 3.00 26% 2.80 3.16  
9  MUSTANG LADY 8 4 54 66½ 813 612 512 (newton troy)DIAZ RENE 118 12.00 25.93  
7  CHIQUITA MOSCA 6 3 77 79 55½ 59½ 612¾ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00 59.78  
2  JANIS JOPLIN 1 7 65½ 56 711 718 733¾ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 4.77  
8  CALLIE'S GRIT 7 5 43 44½ 68 820½ 841¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★ 2.78  
SCR  UP TO SOMETHING               (oliver victoria)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.