Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - September 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   09/01/2022 12540ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
4:434         4:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THEOCRAT (IRE) 3 63¾ 64¼ 62¾ 42½ 1½ 1½ (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 159 8.00 9% 10.60 12.50 W
2  FREDDY FLINTSHIRE 2 42½ 42½ 31 21 2½ 2½ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 149 2.50 25% 3.00 1.20 P
6  SCORPION'S REVENGE (IRE) 5 76¼ 76¾ 74¾ 55 32 36¾ (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 153 3.00 31% 2.20 2.60 S
5  DECISIVE TRIUMPH 4 11½ 11½ 11 11 45 413¾ (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 153 5.00 12% 7.70 3.80  
7  FAST VISION (FR) 6 53½ 54 52½ 66 515 526 (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 152 8.00 20.30  
1  LYDFORD (GB) 1 32½ 32½ 41½ 31 615 628¾ (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 153 10.00 11.10  
8  PERFECT TAPATINO (FR) 7 21½ 21½ 21 710½ 729 777¼ (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 153 8.00 ★ 15.40  
SCR  WHO'S COUNTING               (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 149 6.00    
 
SAR-2   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGTIME BLUES 1 3 2nk 2½   2½ 11¼ (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 19% 4.20 2.45 W
2  BRONX BOMBER 2 1 1nk 1½   1½ 21¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 37% 1.70 2.20 P
6  IN SKY WE TRUST 6 4 42 41   32½ 32½ (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 ★ 7.20 S
4  LONG TERM THINKING 4 6 54 52   45 44 (avila c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
3  LOST IN ROME 3 7 66 63½   66 54¾ (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 8% 12.00 4.90  
7  CASALSA 7 2 31 3½   55 612½ (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 3.70  
5  MUSICAL AMERICA 5 5 76½ 78½   713 717¾ (jones eduard)SAMUEL L 121 20.00 44.50  
 
SAR-3   09/01/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :47 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NUMERO SEIS 4 1 1½ 11   11½ 12 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 8% 11.40 5.70 W
7  RUN FOR COVER 6 3 31½ 41½   32 22 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 ★ 3.35 P
4  SIRIUS LIGHT 3 2 52½ 31   21½ 34¼ (moquett ronal)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 36% 1.80 0.85 S
6  INFLUENTIALOUS 5 4 2½ 21   45 49¾ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 5.10  
9  EXTESSA 7 5 42½ 52½   67 511 (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
3  MRS. CASH MAN 2 6 63½ 63   55 611¾ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 25.00  
2  SLY SLOANE 1 7 74½ 73½   79 715¼ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 23.10  
SCR  BOURBON AND HONEY               (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  OCEAN HONEY               (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
 
SAR-4   09/01/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:231 :501 1:162 1:40   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BYE BYE MELVIN 5 4 11½ 13 11 11½ 13½ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 ★ 1.60  
6  STREET READY 6 3 21½ 23 21 21½ 23½ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 5.10  
3  GLYNN COUNTY 3 6 67 68½ 53 44½ 33¾ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 6.20  
2  FLOP SHOT (IRE) 2 1 43½ 35 42½ 34 44 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 15% 5.50 3.95  
4  VALUE ENGINEERING 4 5 55½ 57 31½ 55½ 54 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 35% 1.90 2.70  
1  IT'S A GAMBLE 1 2 33½ 45 64½ 68 64¾ (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 24.00  
SCR  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART               (bauer a)RIDER TBA 122 1.20 25% 3.00    
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 124 1.60 ★    
 
SAR-5   09/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:12 1:37   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  W W FITZY 6 2 2½ 2½ 11½ 12½ 12¾ (diodoro roberti)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 28% 2.60 1.55 W
4  BEES AND HONEY 4 1 42½ 32 21½ 22½ 22¾ (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 32% 2.10 1.85 P
3  SWEET WILLEMINA 3 3 1½ 1½ 31½ 34½ 37¾ (lake a)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 ★ 4.00 S
2  FAMILY TIME 2 4 32 42½ 43½ 47 411½ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.50 7.30  
5  LIKE A PRO 5 6 54 55 67¼ 515 521¾ (st uriah)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 ★ 23.00  
1  LUCKY PERIDOT 1 5 64 65½ 57 620½ 640¾ (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 17% 4.90 9.30  
 
SAR-6   09/01/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:221 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  INFLATION NATION (IRE) 5 3 42 41½   11 1½ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 37% 1.70 0.95 W
7  MO SATURDAYS 6 7 75½ 63½   21 2½ (stall m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 5% 19.00 10.40 P
1  CLUBHOUSE 1 4 87½ 87¾   43 32½ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 7.80  
3  GUCCI BOY 2 10 99½ 98¼   86 47¼ (diodoro roberti)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 40.25  
4  LISTENTOTHEMUSIC 3 6 21 21   64 59 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
8  BOLT ABOVE 7 5 53 52½   53½ 69¾ (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 19.10  
5  BALSA 4 2 11 11   31½ 710¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 6.00  
10  ANTARES 9 8 32 31½   75½ 813 (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 22% 3.50 8.30  
12  SUSTENANCE 10 1 64 73¾   97 913½ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 15% 5.70 16.00  
9  TEXAS PRIDE 8 9 1016½ 1020¼   1020 1021 (lukas d )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 52.25  
SCR  BERNARDO'S LEGACY               (hemingway michell)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  KEEP LEFT               (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 10.00    
SCR  SIPPICAN SHOP               (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
SCR  SURPRISE PAYOFF               (weaver george)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
SCR  TSURIS               (stewart dallas)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   09/01/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:134 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAYBE LATER 4 6 53 53½ 75 43 1½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 9% 9.70 7.80 W
8  TAPPLE CIDER 7 8 74½ 75 54 31½ 2½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 22.80  
2  BELLA CONCHITA 1 9 108 109½ 107¼ 84¼ 33 (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 23.10  
10  I'M BUZZY 9 7 86 86½ 96¼ 74 43½ (friedman)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 21.80  
3  ROSEMARY POTATOES 2 1 31½ 32½ 22½ 21 54 (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 20.10  
1A  CLASSIC LYNNE 10 2 11 11½ 12½ 11 65¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.30  
9  DREAM OF CHANGE (IRE) 8 5 64 64 64½ 63½ 75¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 25% 3.00 2.45  
4  COMMAND POINT 3 10 96 96½ 86 94¾ 87 (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 5.60  
7  OUR JESSICA 6 4 42½ 43 32½ 53½ 99½ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00 ★ 9.80  
6  MASABEEH 5 3 21 21½ 43 107¼ 1011 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 6.10  
SCR  DAZZY               (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  MONSHUN               (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
SCR  SHAOLIN               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
 
SAR-8   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  INVALUABLE 3 1 44½ 44½   42 1½ (diodoro robert)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 20% 3.90 4.40 W
4  MELTING SNOW 4 2 31 31½   3½ 2½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 12% 7.70 5.30 P
1  SHORT SUMMER DRESS 1 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 31½ (diodoro roberti)CARMOUCHE K 123 0.80 26% 2.90 0.40 S
2  ROSSA VELOCE 2 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 41¾ (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 14% 5.90 6.40  
SCR  HYDRA               (englehart jeffrey)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
SCR  IT CAN               (rohena r)DAVIS A 123 30.00    
SCR  SHE'S A BLACK BELT               (jones eduard)SAMUEL L 121 20.00 ★    
 
SAR-9   09/01/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:221 :463 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GEORGEES SPIRIT 5 6 73¼ 72¾   51¼ 1½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 6.90  
9  SWEETLOU'SGOTACES 9 7 63 62¾   2nk 2½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 28.25  
11  COWICHAN (IRE) 10 3 31½ 31   1nk 31 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 30% 2.30 2.00 S
7  UP AND DOWN 7 8 95¼ 94¾   72¼ 42½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 11.00  
4  TICKER TAPE HOME 4 9 84¼ 83¾   82¼ 53¼ (casse mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 19% 4.20 7.00  
2  GUSTIAMO 2 4 52 51¾   92½ 66 (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 119 10.00 20.40  
3  STARS ON FIRE (IRE) 3 5 2½ 2nk   3½ 76 (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 5.00 19.00  
8  ILLICIT 8 2 42 41½   61¾ 86¼ (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
6  MORE THAN A DIVA 6 10 107¼ 106¾   107 910½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 6.00  
1  TELL ME WHEN 1 1 1½ 1nk   41 1010¾ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 6% 15.10 7.80  
SCR  BINSKY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT               (abreu r)USKE S 119 12.00    
 
SAR-10   09/01/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:151 1:393   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) 6 6 33 31½ 31½ 1½ 13¾ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 1.40 29% 2.50 1.35 W
2  WHICHWAZE 2 5 88 87 84½ 53½ 23¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 19.20  
8  RECOGNIZE 8 8 11½ 11 1½ 2½ 34¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 16% 5.30 10.90 S
5  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) 5 2 54½ 43 42 31 44¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 ★ 2.30  
3  PACHUCA 3 3 77 76½ 74½ 65½ 58 (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5.30  
7  DAMASO 7 7 21½ 21 2½ 42½ 68¼ (hamm timothy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 30.25  
1  LADY JASMINE 1 1 65½ 64½ 53 76 78¾ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 6.80  
4  INDIAN SPIDEROO 4 4 43½ 53½ 63½ 810 818¾ (kintz matthew)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 7% 12.40 54.50  
SCR  LEAVE NO TRACE               (serpe m)RIDER TBA 120 1.20 24% 3.20    
 
SAR-11   09/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BE THE BOSS 6 4 11½ 13   15 13¾ (trombetta mich)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 45% 1.20 3.10 W
1  MIDASWELLRUN 1 6 32 33   25 23¾ (rodriguez rud)CARDENAS LUIS 123 4.00 3.70  
3  GOT THE GOLD 3 1 21½ 23   37 38½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 5.00  
9  ONCE A GIANT 8 3 75 76½   49 49¼ (d'angelo f)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 10% 9.30 2.55  
10  LUCKY BRODY 9 5 53½ 43½   69¼ 59¾ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 17.90 6.10  
4  B C GLORY DAYS 4 7 64½ 55   59 612½ (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 123 15.00 14.10  
7  LORD BROWNIE 7 2 42½ 65½   714¼ 719½ (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00 31.00  
5  SCOTTO 5 9 911 99½   818¾ 823½ (parker joseph)LUZZI J 121 20.00 5% 18.60 32.00  
2  STUD PUPPY 2 8 88 87½   919¼ 933¾ (zito nichola)SAMUEL L 121 30.00 41.50  
SCR  POWER AGENDA               (arriaga antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 8% 11.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.