The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Saratoga
Thursday - September 01, 2022

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SAR-1   09/01/2022 12540ft TURF GOOD nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
4:434         4:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEOCRAT (IRE) 3 66 6 4 1½ 1½ (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 159 8.00 9% 10.60 12.50 W
FREDDY FLINTSHIRE 2 44 31 21 2½ 2½ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 149 2.50 25% 3.00 1.20 P
SCORPION'S REVENGE (IRE) 5 77 7 55 32 3(murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 153 3.00 31% 2.20 2.60 S
DECISIVE TRIUMPH 4 11 11 11 45 413¾ (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 153 5.00 12% 7.70 3.80  
FAST VISION (FR) 6 554 5 66 515 526 (young f)BESWICK HARRISON 152 8.00 20.30  
LYDFORD (GB) 1 33 4 31 615 628¾ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 153 10.00 11.10  
PERFECT TAPATINO (FR) 7 22 21 710½ 729 777¼ (young f)PROCTER FREDDIE 153 8.00 15.40  
SCR  WHO'S COUNTING               (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 149 6.00    
 
SAR-2   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
:221 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGTIME BLUES 1 3 2nk 2½   2½ 1(breen j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 19% 4.20 2.45 W
BRONX BOMBER 2 1 1nk 1½   1½ 2(rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 37% 1.70 2.20 P
IN SKY WE TRUST 6 4 42 41   33(diprima gregory)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 7.20 S
LONG TERM THINKING 4 6 54 52   45 44 (avila c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
LOST IN ROME 3 7 66 6   66 5(rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 8% 12.00 4.90  
CASALSA 7 2 31 3½   55 612½ (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 3.70  
MUSICAL AMERICA 5 5 7 7   713 717¾ (jones e)SAMUEL L 121 20.00 44.50  
 
SAR-3   09/01/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 2:13
:222 :47 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NUMERO SEIS 4 1 1½ 11   112 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 8% 11.40 5.70 W
RUN FOR COVER 6 3 3 4   32 22 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 3.35 P
SIRIUS LIGHT 3 2 5 31   23(moquett e)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 36% 1.80 0.85 S
INFLUENTIALOUS 5 4 2½ 21   45 4(gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 5.10  
EXTESSA 7 5 4 5   67 511 (chichakly amira)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
MRS. CASH MAN 2 6 6 63   55 611¾ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 25.00  
SLY SLOANE 1 7 7 7   79 715¼ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 23.10  
SCR  BOURBON AND HONEY               (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  OCEAN HONEY               (chapman k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
 
SAR-4   09/01/2022 5940ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
:231 :501 1:162 1:40   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BYE BYE MELVIN 5 4 1 13 11 11(motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 1.60  
STREET READY 6 3 2 23 21 22(wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 5.10  
GLYNN COUNTY 3 6 67 6 53 43(maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 6.20  
FLOP SHOT (IRE) 2 1 4 35 4 34 44 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 15% 5.50 3.95  
VALUE ENGINEERING 4 5 5 57 3 554 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 35% 1.90 2.70  
IT'S A GAMBLE 1 2 3 45 6 68 6(breen j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 24.00  
SCR  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART               (bauer a)RIDER TBA 122 1.20 25% 3.00    
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 124 1.60    
 
SAR-5   09/01/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
:243 :482 1:12 1:37   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
W W FITZY 6 2 2½ 2½ 1 11(diodoro robertino)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 28% 2.60 1.55 W
BEES AND HONEY 4 1 4 32 2 22(mcgaughey iii)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 32% 2.10 1.85 P
SWEET WILLEMINA 3 3 1½ 1½ 3 33(lake a)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 4.00 S
FAMILY TIME 2 4 32 4 4 47 411½ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.50 7.30  
LIKE A PRO 5 6 54 55 6 515 521¾ (st uriah)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 23.00  
LUCKY PERIDOT 1 5 64 6 57 620½ 640¾ (walder r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 17% 4.90 9.30  
 
SAR-6   09/01/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
:221 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFLATION NATION (IRE) 5 3 42 4   11 1½ (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 37% 1.70 0.95 W
MO SATURDAYS 6 7 7 6   21 2½ (stall m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 5% 19.00 10.40 P
CLUBHOUSE 1 4 8 8   43 3(pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 7.80  
GUCCI BOY 2 10 9 9   86 4(diodoro robertino)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 40.25  
LISTENTOTHEMUSIC 3 6 21 21   64 59 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
BOLT ABOVE 7 5 53 5   56(casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 19.10  
BALSA 4 2 11 11   3710¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 6.00  
10  ANTARES 9 8 32 3   7813 (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 22% 3.50 8.30  
12  SUSTENANCE 10 1 64 7   97 913½ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 15% 5.70 16.00  
TEXAS PRIDE 8 9 1016½ 1020¼   1020 1021 (lukas wayne)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 52.25  
SCR  BERNARDO'S LEGACY               (hemingway michelle)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  KEEP LEFT               (ward a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 10.00    
SCR  SIPPICAN SHOP               (mcpeek g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
SCR  SURPRISE PAYOFF               (weaver george)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
SCR  TSURIS               (stewart dallas)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   09/01/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
:24 :482 1:134 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYBE LATER 4 6 53 5 75 43 1½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 9% 9.70 7.80 W
TAPPLE CIDER 7 8 7 75 54 32½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 22.80  
BELLA CONCHITA 1 9 108 10 10 833 (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 23.10  
10  I'M BUZZY 9 7 86 8 9 74 4(friedman mitchell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 21.80  
ROSEMARY POTATOES 2 1 3 3 2 21 54 (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 20.10  
1A  CLASSIC LYNNE 10 2 11 1 1 11 6(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.30  
DREAM OF CHANGE (IRE) 8 5 64 64 6 67(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 25% 3.00 2.45  
COMMAND POINT 3 10 96 9 86 987 (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 5.60  
OUR JESSICA 6 4 4 43 3 59(donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00 9.80  
MASABEEH 5 3 21 2 43 101011 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 6.10  
SCR  DAZZY               (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  MONSHUN               (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
SCR  SHAOLIN               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
 
SAR-8   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
:224 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVALUABLE 3 1 4 4   42 1½ (diodoro robertino)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 20% 3.90 4.40 W
MELTING SNOW 4 2 31 3   3½ 2½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 12% 7.70 5.30 P
SHORT SUMMER DRESS 1 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 3(diodoro robertino)CARMOUCHE K 123 0.80 26% 2.90 0.40 S
ROSSA VELOCE 2 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 4(nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 14% 5.90 6.40  
SCR  HYDRA               (englehart s)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
SCR  IT CAN               (rohena jose)DAVIS A 123 30.00    
SCR  SHE'S A BLACK BELT               (jones e)SAMUEL L 121 20.00    
 
SAR-9   09/01/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 5:39
:221 :463 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGEES SPIRIT 5 6 7 7   51½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 6.90  
SWEETLOU'SGOTACES 9 7 63 6   2nk 2½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 28.25  
11  COWICHAN (IRE) 10 3 3 31   1nk 31 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 30% 2.30 2.00 S
UP AND DOWN 7 8 9 9   74(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 11.00  
TICKER TAPE HOME 4 9 8 8   85(casse mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 19% 4.20 7.00  
GUSTIAMO 2 4 52 5   966 (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 119 10.00 20.40  
STARS ON FIRE (IRE) 3 5 2½ 2nk   3½ 76 (ward a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 5.00 19.00  
ILLICIT 8 2 42 4   68(sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
MORE THAN A DIVA 6 10 10 10   107 910½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 6.00  
TELL ME WHEN 1 1 1½ 1nk   41 1010¾ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 6% 15.10 7.80  
SCR  BINSKY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT               (abreu r)USKE S 119 12.00    
 
SAR-10   09/01/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 6:13
:241 :493 1:151 1:393   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE YOUR BEST (IRE) 6 6 33 3 3 1½ 1(de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 1.40 29% 2.50 1.35 W
WHICHWAZE 2 5 88 87 8 52(casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 19.20  
RECOGNIZE 8 8 1 11 1½ 2½ 3(mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 16% 5.30 10.90 S
IDEA GENERATION (IRE) 5 2 5 43 42 31 4(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 2.30  
PACHUCA 3 3 77 7 7 658 (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5.30  
DAMASO 7 7 2 21 2½ 46(hamm timothy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 30.25  
LADY JASMINE 1 1 6 6 53 76 7(donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 6.80  
INDIAN SPIDEROO 4 4 4 5 6 810 818¾ (kintz matthew)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 7% 12.40 54.50  
SCR  LEAVE NO TRACE               (serpe m)RIDER TBA 120 1.20 24% 3.20    
 
SAR-11   09/01/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
:23 :454 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE THE BOSS 6 4 1 13   15 1(trombetta j)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 45% 1.20 3.10 W
MIDASWELLRUN 1 6 32 33   25 2(rodriguez r)CARDENAS LUIS 123 4.00 3.70  
GOT THE GOLD 3 1 2 23   37 3(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 5.00  
ONCE A GIANT 8 3 75 7   49 4(d'angelo francisco)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 10% 9.30 2.55  
10  LUCKY BRODY 9 5 5 4   65(noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 17.90 6.10  
B C GLORY DAYS 4 7 6 55   59 612½ (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 123 15.00 14.10  
LORD BROWNIE 7 2 4 6   714¼ 719½ (sciacca gary)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00 31.00  
SCOTTO 5 9 911 9   818¾ 823½ (parker joseph)LUZZI J 121 20.00 5% 18.60 32.00  
STUD PUPPY 2 8 88 8   919¼ 933¾ (zito p)SAMUEL L 121 30.00 41.50  
SCR  POWER AGENDA               (arriaga antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 8% 11.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.