Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Thursday - September 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   09/01/2022 12540ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LYDFORD (GB) Aug03         (young f)GARNER THOMAS 153 10.00    
FREDDY FLINTSHIRE Jul27 Apr30       (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 149 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  WHO'S COUNTING Aug31 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26   (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 149 6.00    
THEOCRAT (IRE) Jul18         (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 159 8.00 9% 10.60    
DECISIVE TRIUMPH Aug03 May14 Apr30     (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 153 5.00 12% 7.70    
SCORPION'S REVENGE (IRE) May14         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 153 3.00 31% 2.20    
FAST VISION (FR) May14         (young leslie)BESWICK HARRISON 152 8.00    
PERFECT TAPATINO (FR) Aug03 Apr30       (young leslie )PROCTER FREDDIE 153 8.00    
 
SAR-2   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGTIME BLUES Aug05 May15 Apr28 Mar18 Feb20 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
BRONX BOMBER Jul30 Jul04 Jun16 May14 Mar31 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
LOST IN ROME Jul28 Jun30 May29 Apr09 Mar26 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 8% 12.00    
LONG TERM THINKING Jul22 Jul16 Jul01 Jun05 May08 (avila c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
MUSICAL AMERICA Aug24 Aug14 Jul16 Jun30 Jun18 (jones eduardo )SAMUEL L 121 20.00    
IN SKY WE TRUST Jul16 Jun11 May21 Mar01 Feb05 (dipri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
CASALSA Aug17 Jul10 May19 Apr08 Feb06 (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50    
 
SAR-3   09/01/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OCEAN HONEY Aug04 Jul18       (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
SLY SLOANE         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
MRS. CASH MAN         (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
SIRIUS LIGHT Aug05 Jun29       (moquett ronald )VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
NUMERO SEIS Jul20 Jun19       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 8% 11.40    
INFLUENTIALOUS Aug05 Jun05       (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
RUN FOR COVER Aug05         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  BOURBON AND HONEY Jul19         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
EXTESSA Aug05         (chichakly )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-4   09/01/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S A GAMBLE Jul21 Jul03 Jun02 May05 Apr09 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00    
FLOP SHOT (IRE) Jul31 Apr14 Feb27     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
GLYNN COUNTY Jul23 Jun18 Jun02 May07 Apr20 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
VALUE ENGINEERING Jul31         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
BYE BYE MELVIN Aug04         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50    
STREET READY Jul31 Jun22 May21 Apr20 Mar13 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00    
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE Jul23 Jul09 Jun26 Jun04 May21 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 124 1.60    
SCR  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART Aug11 Jun30 Jun05     (bauer a)RIDER TBA 122 1.20 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-5   09/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PERIDOT Jul01 Jun17 May08 Apr16 Feb27 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
FAMILY TIME Jun04 May06 Apr09 Mar09 Jan29 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.50    
SWEET WILLEMINA Aug14 Aug01 Jun27 Jun10 May03 (lake a)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
BEES AND HONEY Jul09 Jun04 Apr15     (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
LIKE A PRO Jul04 Jun06 May03 Jan26   (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
W W FITZY Aug04 Jun12 May06 Apr01 Feb27 (diodoro robertino)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
SAR-6   09/01/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBHOUSE Jul22         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
SCR  SIPPICAN SHOP         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
GUCCI BOY         (diodoro robertino)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
LISTENTOTHEMUSIC         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
BALSA Jul23         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
INFLATION NATION (IRE) Jul22         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
MO SATURDAYS         (stall m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
BOLT ABOVE         (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
TEXAS PRIDE         (lukas wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
10  ANTARES         (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  BERNARDO'S LEGACY Jul31 Jul15 Jul02     (hemingway michelle)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
12  SUSTENANCE Aug03         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  KEEP LEFT         (ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 10.00    
SCR  SURPRISE PAYOFF Aug13         (weaver george)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
SCR  TSURIS Aug18         (stewart dallas)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   09/01/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CLASSIC LYNNE Aug12 Jul20       (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHAOLIN Jul29 Jul01 May29 Apr27   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
BELLA CONCHITA Jul16 Apr27 Mar24 Feb24   (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
ROSEMARY POTATOES Aug19 Jul29 Jun30 Jun19 May21 (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
COMMAND POINT Aug05         (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00    
MAYBE LATER Aug24 Aug11 Jul02 Jun12 May22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 9% 9.70    
MASABEEH Aug05 Jun19 May20 Apr14 Jan14 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
OUR JESSICA Aug05 Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 Apr28 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00    
TAPPLE CIDER Aug12 Jul17       (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
DREAM OF CHANGE (IRE) Jul01 Apr09 Jan02     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
10  I'M BUZZY Aug17 Jul22 Jun10 Apr27 Apr02 (friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00    
SCR  MONSHUN Jul09 May30 Apr09 Mar19   (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
SCR  DAZZY Aug12 Jun12 May15 Mar26   (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
 
SAR-8   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT SUMMER DRESS Jul20 May27 Apr16 Feb14 Jan15 (diodoro robertino)CARMOUCHE K 123 0.80 26% 2.90    
ROSSA VELOCE Jul15 May27 Apr22 Mar31 Mar04 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 14% 5.90    
INVALUABLE Jul15 Jun17 May26 May01 Apr01 (diodoro robertin)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
MELTING SNOW Jul15 Jun09 Apr24 Mar20 Feb19 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  HYDRA Apr23 Apr03 Feb10 Jan05   (englehart s)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
SCR  IT CAN Aug11 Jul20 May24 Apr12 Mar21 (rohena raf)DAVIS A 123 30.00    
SCR  SHE'S A BLACK BELT Aug08 Aug01 Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 (jones eduardo )SAMUEL L 121 20.00    
 
SAR-9   09/01/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 5:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELL ME WHEN Jul21 Jun23       (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 6% 15.10    
GUSTIAMO Aug04         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
STARS ON FIRE (IRE)         (ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 5.00    
TICKER TAPE HOME Jul31 Jul02       (casse mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
GEORGEES SPIRIT Jul21         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
MORE THAN A DIVA         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
UP AND DOWN         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
ILLICIT Aug04         (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
SWEETLOU'SGOTACES         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT Jul31         (abreu r)USKE S 119 12.00    
11  COWICHAN (IRE) Aug04 Jun30 May20     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  BINSKY Jul21         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
SAR-10   09/01/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 6:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY JASMINE Aug03         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
WHICHWAZE Aug13         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
PACHUCA Aug14 Jul16       (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
INDIAN SPIDEROO Aug10 Jul26       (kintz matthew)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 7% 12.40    
IDEA GENERATION (IRE) Jul24         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50    
BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Jul31         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 1.40 29% 2.50    
DAMASO Aug07 Jul16 Jun08     (hamm timothy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
RECOGNIZE Aug18 Jul27 Jun25     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  LEAVE NO TRACE Jul20         (serpe m)RIDER TBA 120 1.20 24% 3.20    
 
SAR-11   09/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDASWELLRUN Apr28 Apr10 Feb27 Jan28   (rodriguez rudy )CARDENAS LUIS 123 4.00    
STUD PUPPY Jul24 May30 May22 Apr08 Mar20 (zito nicholas )SAMUEL L 121 30.00    
GOT THE GOLD Aug19 Jul24 Jul08 May15 Apr16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
B C GLORY DAYS Aug10 Jul16 Jul09 May21 Apr22 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 123 15.00    
SCOTTO Aug21 Aug14 Jul16 Jun30 Jun16 (parker joseph)LUZZI J 121 20.00 5% 18.60    
BE THE BOSS Aug10 Jul17 Jun21 Jun06 May13 (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 45% 1.20    
LORD BROWNIE Jul24 May28 May13 Apr24 Mar31 (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
SCR  POWER AGENDA Jul24 Jun11 May05     (arriaga antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 8% 11.10    
ONCE A GIANT Jul24 Jun04 May08 Apr08 Feb05 (d'angelo fra)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 10% 9.30    
10  LUCKY BRODY Jul27 Jul02 May06 Apr01 Feb27 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 17.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.