Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY GEM   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 36% 1.80 1.81 W
WHAT AN HONOR   (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.00 39% 1.50 1.80 P
BELLA MAKER   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 6.96  
BECK AND CALL   (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 8.56  
BASILICA D ORO   (orantes yoni )MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 48.28  
KILLING TIME   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 11.64  
KEY TO SUCCESS   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 7.63  
GRAY FROST   (reed r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 25.20  
10  MORIARTY   (bogle fergus)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 56.78  
SCR  CATHERINE BLAZE   (leonard)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
 
ELP-2   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANKSTER   (lukas wayne)COURT K 120 6.00 24% 3.20 4.93 W
ELUSIVE TARGET   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 33% 2.00 6.27 P
AIR COMBAT   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 3.06 S
GUNTON ROE   (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00 13.24  
GLACIAL   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 1.43  
VOLCANIC   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 4.59  
SCR  CAN'T HUSH THIS   (holsapple hut)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 13% 6.60    
 
ELP-3   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOP CHOP   (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 29% 2.40 2.10 W
BEL ROSSO   (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 10.98  
DON'T GO CHANGING   (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 11.99  
10  GUNS N' LILIES   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 4.24  
MARMO MOON   (walden wi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 14.02  
11  SAVE YOUR TEARS   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 2.00 45% 1.20 7.47  
BEA FLATTERED   (romans dal)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 12.19  
NAVY FLEET   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.00 5% 19.00 6.05  
AHA MOMENT   (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 10.00  
SURE ENOUGH   (lynch a)LANERIE J 119 6.00 20.72  
SCR  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF   (leonard)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
 
ELP-4   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY PRINCESS   (mcpeek kennet)LEBRON VICTOR 118 5.00 13% 6.80 1.71 W
QUALITY STAR   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 18% 4.70 2.31 P
GUN MOLL   (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00 25.07  
11  ARROBLUE   (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 10.02  
SMUGNESS   (devaux cheri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 7.83  
10  MY LILY MAE   (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 8.00 5% 19.00 7.83  
CANDY KICK   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 12.61  
12  ALEATORY   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 15.10  
LITTLE GIA   (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 37.36  
ISABEL DE CLARE   (wojczynski)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 30.00 38.96  
SCR  FASCINATION   (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  IRISH KITTEN   (platt noah)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 30.00    
SCR  SHA GIRL   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
SCR  SIGNADORA   (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.50    
SCR  SPARE CASH   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  SUPER WEST   (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
 
ELP-5   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP RECRUIT   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 41% 1.40 6.88 W
CURLY JACK   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 2.00 22% 3.50 1.20 P
ROMAN GIANT   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 4.12 S
FROSTED DEPARTURE   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 5.00 2.22  
ZAICI   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00 12.29  
ELI'S PROMISE   (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 9% 10.20 18.67  
 
ELP-6   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 4:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  JUSTA WARRIOR   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 24% 3.20 2.51 W
13  PACHUCA   (gutierrez fau)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 9.46  
TAP'ER LIGHT   (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 120 20.00 23.90  
MOR LIVELY   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 10.22  
SHOPLIFTER   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 3.95  
10  HOLIDAY DECISION   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 18% 4.60 14.09  
CRACKALACKING   (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 32.02  
11  KISS ME ON OCONEE   (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 31.30  
C C CRUISE CONTROL   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 12.00 16.02  
CHIQUITA MOSCA   (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00 53.54  
ZAPPLE   (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 6.66  
EMPIRE OF MY OWN   (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 120 3.00 26% 2.90 5.01  
SCR  KARMA GHIA   (lucas wayn)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY LOTTIE   (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
SCR  PACHANGA LOCA   (gutierrez fau)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
 
ELP-7   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST LEAF   (spatz b)BEJARANO R 120 2.00 37% 1.70 3.37 W
TAKE A STAND   (oliver )DE CRUZ 118 10.00 20.58  
GUNNING   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 4.50 19% 4.20 1.31 S
OPTIONALITY   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 10% 9.00 11.27  
PATNA   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 12% 7.40 5.41  
10  VALENTINA DAY   (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 11.59  
GATA RUNZ   (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 118 20.00 ######  
QUEENS UP   (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 42.02  
DAME JOVIALE   (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 11.13  
RING ME DARLING   (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 12.58  
 
ELP-8   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LI'L TOOTSIE   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 7% 12.90 13.45 W
JILTED BRIDE   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 7% 14.20 9.46 P
RECODED   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 37.41  
SUPER QUICK   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.11  
FOUR GRACES   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 4.50 39% 1.60 2.19  
10  SALUTE THE FLAG   (jones la)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00 9.30  
ROC'S PRINCESS   (gowan william)LANERIE J 122 20.00 48.89  
TEMPER TIME   (romans dale)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 41.59  
XTREMA   (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 20.00 82.92  
GRAYSONSMACHO GAL   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 10.84  
SCR  TAKE CHARGE LORIN   (lukas wayne)COURT K 122 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEAL SUNSHINE   (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 118 8.00 5.99  
ROME   (condon sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 57.50  
STRAVA   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 32% 2.20 2.80 S
CHASING TIME   (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 118 8.00 4.93  
TRADEMARK   (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 9.32  
KNOCKER DOWN   (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00 55.38  
FRIAR LAURENCE   (colebrook )MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00 12% 7.40 9.46  
TOP OF THE CHARTS   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 30% 2.30 1.70  
WE ALL SEE IT   (cano mun)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 23.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.