Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:14 1:261   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY GEM 2 1 11 11 1½ 1 1 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 36% 1.80 1.81 W
WHAT AN HONOR 3 6 32 32 2½ 2 2 (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.00 39% 1.50 1.80 P
BELLA MAKER 7 8 8 7 5 3 3 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 6.96  
BECK AND CALL 6 5 6 5 4 45 4 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 8.56  
BASILICA D ORO 5 4 5 4 6 67 514½ (orantes r)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 48.28  
KILLING TIME 8 2 21 21 31 55 614½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 11.64  
KEY TO SUCCESS 1 3 7 6 7 79 716¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 7.63  
GRAY FROST 4 9 9 8 812¼ 821 865¾ (reed r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 25.20  
10  MORIARTY 9 7 43 914 9100 9100 9100 (bogle fergus)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 56.78  
SCR  CATHERINE BLAZE               (leonard g)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
 
ELP-2   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:24 :463 1:113 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANKSTER 2 3 3.2 3.2 2nk 1½ 1½ (lukas wayne)COURT K 120 6.00 24% 3.20 4.93 W
ELUSIVE TARGET 1 1 6 4 5 32 2½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 33% 2.00 6.27 P
AIR COMBAT 3 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 2½ 3 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 3.06 S
GUNTON ROE 4 4 5 5 41 54 4 (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00 13.24  
GLACIAL 6 6 1nk 1nk 3½ 44 510½ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 1.43  
VOLCANIC 5 5 4 6 64 67 619 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 4.59  
SCR  CAN'T HUSH THIS               (holsapple hutch)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 13% 6.60    
 
ELP-3   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:142 1:264   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOP CHOP 4 2 3 2 22 1½ 1 (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 29% 2.40 2.10 W
BEL ROSSO 5 7 5 6 33 2½ 2 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 10.98  
DON'T GO CHANGING 6 10 108 9 7 43 3 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 11.99  
10  GUNS N' LILIES 9 4 1 1 12 3½ 4 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 4.24  
MARMO MOON 3 6 7 8 8 6 56 (walden will)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 14.02  
11  SAVE YOUR TEARS 10 8 4 4 5 55 6 (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 119 2.00 45% 1.20 7.47  
BEA FLATTERED 2 5 9 10 10 910¼ 714½ (romans dale)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 12.19  
NAVY FLEET 1 1 64 5 6 8 814¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.00 5% 19.00 6.05  
AHA MOMENT 7 3 2 3 43 7 914¾ (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 10.00  
SURE ENOUGH 8 9 8 7 9 1012¾ 1021¼ (lynch a)LANERIE J 119 6.00 20.72  
SCR  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF               (leonard g)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
 
ELP-4   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY PRINCESS 4 2 43 5 3½ 1½ 1¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LEBRON VICTOR 118 5.00 13% 6.80 1.71 W
QUALITY STAR 6 9 7 6 4 2½ 2¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 18% 4.70 2.31 P
GUN MOLL 7 5 2nk 2½ 52 3 3 (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00 25.07  
11  ARROBLUE 9 10 1013¾ 10 9 44 4 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 10.02  
SMUGNESS 1 1 6 7 6 65 5 (devaux cherie)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 7.83  
10  MY LILY MAE 8 8 8 9 8 55 610 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 8.00 5% 19.00 7.83  
CANDY KICK 5 6 911¼ 8 7 78 713 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 12.61  
12  ALEATORY 10 7 31 3½ 2nk 810 820½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 15.10  
LITTLE GIA 2 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 911½ 923¼ (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 37.36  
ISABEL DE CLARE 3 4 5 4 10 1016½ 1028¾ (wojczynski j)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 30.00 38.96  
SCR  FASCINATION               (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  IRISH KITTEN               (platt noah)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 30.00    
SCR  SHA GIRL               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
SCR  SIGNADORA               (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.50    
SCR  SPARE CASH               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  SUPER WEST               (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
 
ELP-5   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:11     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP RECRUIT 6 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 1nk (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 41% 1.40 6.88 W
CURLY JACK 2 5 53 4   1nk 2nk (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.00 22% 3.50 1.20 P
ROMAN GIANT 3 4 64 6   5 314¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 4.12 S
FROSTED DEPARTURE 5 2 3½ 2nk   35 417¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 5.00 2.22  
ZAICI 1 6 42 5   48 520½ (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00 12.29  
ELI'S PROMISE 4 3 1½ 31   618¼ 637¼ (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 9% 10.20 18.67  
 
ELP-6   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:114     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  JUSTA WARRIOR 11 3 4 31   1nk 11 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 24% 3.20 2.51 W
13  PACHUCA 12 4 10 8   6 21 (gutierrez faust)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 9.46  
TAP'ER LIGHT 7 6 5 4   4 3 (dibona s)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00 23.90  
MOR LIVELY 4 5 1½ 1nk   2nk 4 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 10.22  
SHOPLIFTER 1 11 6 6   7 5 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 3.95  
10  HOLIDAY DECISION 9 2 2½ 2nk   3.2 6 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 18% 4.60 14.09  
CRACKALACKING 2 8 31 5   5 7 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 32.02  
11  KISS ME ON OCONEE 10 12 1210¾ 1110½   84 87 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 31.30  
C C CRUISE CONTROL 6 9 73 7   10 98 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 12.00 16.02  
CHIQUITA MOSCA 5 10 11 9   95 10 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00 53.54  
ZAPPLE 3 7 9 1212   1117½ 1142½ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 6.66  
EMPIRE OF MY OWN 8 1 8 1010¼   1224½ 1258¾ (asmussen st)LEPAROUX R 120 3.00 26% 2.90 5.01  
SCR  KARMA GHIA               (lucas wayne)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY LOTTIE               (jeansonne justi)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL               (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
SCR  PACHANGA LOCA               (gutierrez faust)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
 
ELP-7   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST LEAF 5 10 8 42   1½ 1 (spatz b)BEJARANO R 120 2.00 37% 1.70 3.37 W
TAKE A STAND 3 9 9 7   42 2 (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 118 10.00 20.58  
GUNNING 7 4 3½ 1nk   2½ 34 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 4.50 19% 4.20 1.31 S
OPTIONALITY 4 5 4 5   54 4 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 10% 9.00 11.27  
PATNA 8 3 2nk 2nk   3 58 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 12% 7.40 5.41  
10  VALENTINA DAY 10 2 52 8   8 612½ (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 11.59  
GATA RUNZ 9 1 1nk 3½   6 713½ (murphy swa)ROMAN KEVIN 118 20.00 ######  
QUEENS UP 6 6 106 10   99 817¼ (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 42.02  
DAME JOVIALE 2 7 6 9   1011 917¾ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 11.13  
RING ME DARLING 1 8 7 6   78 1024 (garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 12.58  
 
ELP-8   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:231 :453 1:103 1:233   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LI'L TOOTSIE 8 6 55 43 1nk 1 1 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 7% 12.90 13.45 W
JILTED BRIDE 5 7 9 910¼ 5 4 2 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 7% 14.20 9.46 P
RECODED 9 5 32 31 3.2 3 3 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 37.41  
SUPER QUICK 2 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 2 43 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.11  
FOUR GRACES 1 2 6 67 6 5 54 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 4.50 39% 1.60 2.19  
10  SALUTE THE FLAG 10 10 88 7 7 6 67 (jones larr)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00 9.30  
ROC'S PRINCESS 7 8 1011½ 1016¼ 1010¼ 811 715½ (gowan william)LANERIE J 122 20.00 48.89  
TEMPER TIME 4 9 7 8 8 711 816 (romans dale)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 41.59  
XTREMA 6 3 43 5 9 1013½ 922½ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 20.00 82.92  
GRAYSONSMACHO GAL 3 4 2nk 2nk 4 913 1034 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 10.84  
SCR  TAKE CHARGE LORIN               (lukas wayne)COURT K 122 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:111 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEAL SUNSHINE 8 8 9 8 6 31 1 (dibona s)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00 5.99  
ROME 4 2 11 1 1 1½ 2 (condon schu)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 57.50  
STRAVA 2 4 7 7 7 4 3 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 32% 2.20 2.80 S
CHASING TIME 6 5 3 3 2 2½ 4 (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 4.93  
TRADEMARK 9 9 64 6 54 74 5 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 9.32  
KNOCKER DOWN 7 7 42 4 3 5 610 (murphy swa)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00 55.38  
FRIAR LAURENCE 1 1 53 5 42 6 714½ (colebrook be)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00 12% 7.40 9.46  
TOP OF THE CHARTS 3 3 21 2 8 813 833 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 30% 2.30 1.70  
WE ALL SEE IT 5 6 8 9 910¾ 913½ 934½ (cano munoz)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 23.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.