Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:14 1:261   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLASHY GEM 2 1 11 11 1½ 11½ 15½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 36% 1.80 1.81 W
4  WHAT AN HONOR 3 6 32 32 2½ 21½ 25½ (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.00 39% 1.50 1.80 P
8  BELLA MAKER 7 8 86½ 75½ 52½ 33½ 36½ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 6.96  
7  BECK AND CALL 6 5 64½ 54½ 42½ 45 48¾ (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 ★ 8.56  
6  BASILICA D ORO 5 4 53½ 43½ 62¾ 67 514½ (orantes yoni )MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 48.28  
9  KILLING TIME 8 2 21 21 31 55 614½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 11.64  
1  KEY TO SUCCESS 1 3 75½ 65½ 76¼ 79 716¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 ★ 7.63  
5  GRAY FROST 4 9 99½ 88½ 812¼ 821 865¾ (reed r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 ★ 25.20  
10  MORIARTY 9 7 43 914 9100 9100 9100 (bogle fergus)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 56.78  
SCR  CATHERINE BLAZE               (leonard)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
 
ELP-2   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:24 :463 1:113 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPANKSTER 2 3 3.2 3.2 2nk 1½ 1½ (lukas wayne)COURT K 120 6.00 24% 3.20 4.93 W
1  ELUSIVE TARGET 1 1 62¼ 41¼ 51½ 32 2½ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 33% 2.00 6.27 P
3  AIR COMBAT 3 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 2½ 32½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 ★ 3.06 S
5  GUNTON ROE 4 4 51¼ 51¼ 41 54 47¼ (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00 13.24  
7  GLACIAL 6 6 1nk 1nk 3½ 44 510½ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 ★ 1.43  
6  VOLCANIC 5 5 41¼ 61½ 64 67 619 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 4.59  
SCR  CAN'T HUSH THIS               (holsapple hut)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 13% 6.60    
 
ELP-3   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:142 1:264   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHOP CHOP 4 2 32½ 21½ 22 1½ 11½ (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 29% 2.40 2.10 W
6  BEL ROSSO 5 7 53½ 63¾ 33 2½ 21½ (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 10.98  
7  DON'T GO CHANGING 6 10 108 96¼ 75¼ 43 32½ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 11.99  
10  GUNS N' LILIES 9 4 11½ 11½ 12 3½ 44½ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 4.24  
4  MARMO MOON 3 6 75½ 85¼ 85¾ 65¼ 56 (walden wi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 14.02  
11  SAVE YOUR TEARS 10 8 42½ 42½ 54½ 55 67½ (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 2.00 45% 1.20 7.47  
2  BEA FLATTERED 2 5 97½ 107¼ 109¼ 910¼ 714½ (romans dal)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 12.19  
1  NAVY FLEET 1 1 64 53½ 64¾ 88¼ 814¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.00 5% 19.00 6.05  
8  AHA MOMENT 7 3 21½ 31½ 43 78¼ 914¾ (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 ★ 10.00  
9  SURE ENOUGH 8 9 86½ 75¼ 99¼ 1012¾ 1021¼ (lynch a)LANERIE J 119 6.00 ★ 20.72  
SCR  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF               (leonard)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
 
ELP-4   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOVELY PRINCESS 4 2 43 51¾ 3½ 1½ 1¼ (mcpeek kennet)LEBRON VICTOR 118 5.00 13% 6.80 1.71 W
8  QUALITY STAR 6 9 76¼ 63¼ 41½ 2½ 2¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 18% 4.70 2.31 P
9  GUN MOLL 7 5 2nk 2½ 52 31½ 34¾ (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00 25.07  
11  ARROBLUE 9 10 1013¾ 109¼ 94¼ 44 45¼ (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 10.02  
2  SMUGNESS 1 1 65¾ 73¼ 62¼ 65 59½ (devaux cheri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 7.83  
10  MY LILY MAE 8 8 89¼ 96¾ 84¼ 55 610 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 8.00 5% 19.00 7.83  
6  CANDY KICK 5 6 911¼ 85¾ 73¼ 78 713 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 12.61  
12  ALEATORY 10 7 31 3½ 2nk 810 820½ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 15.10  
3  LITTLE GIA 2 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 911½ 923¼ (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 37.36  
4  ISABEL DE CLARE 3 4 53¼ 41½ 106¼ 1016½ 1028¾ (wojczynski)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 30.00 38.96  
SCR  FASCINATION               (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  IRISH KITTEN               (platt noah)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 30.00    
SCR  SHA GIRL               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
SCR  SIGNADORA               (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.50    
SCR  SPARE CASH               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  SUPER WEST               (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
 
ELP-5   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:11     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TOP RECRUIT 6 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 1nk (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 41% 1.40 6.88 W
2  CURLY JACK 2 5 53 41¼   1nk 2nk (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 2.00 22% 3.50 1.20 P
3  ROMAN GIANT 3 4 64 65¼   58¼ 314¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 ★ 4.12 S
5  FROSTED DEPARTURE 5 2 3½ 2nk   35 417¾ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 5.00 ★ 2.22  
1  ZAICI 1 6 42 52¼   48 520½ (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00 12.29  
4  ELI'S PROMISE 4 3 1½ 31   618¼ 637¼ (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 9% 10.20 18.67  
 
ELP-6   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:114     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  JUSTA WARRIOR 11 3 41½ 31   1nk 11 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 24% 3.20 2.51 W
13  PACHUCA 12 4 106¾ 86¼   63¾ 21 (gutierrez fau)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 9.46  
8  TAP'ER LIGHT 7 6 52½ 41½   41¼ 31¾ (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 120 20.00 23.90  
4  MOR LIVELY 4 5 1½ 1nk   2nk 44¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 ★ 10.22  
1  SHOPLIFTER 1 11 62½ 63¼   73¾ 55¼ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 3.95  
10  HOLIDAY DECISION 9 2 2½ 2nk   3.2 65¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 18% 4.60 14.09  
2  CRACKALACKING 2 8 31 51¾   52¼ 76¼ (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 32.02  
11  KISS ME ON OCONEE 10 12 1210¾ 1110½   84 87 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 31.30  
6  C C CRUISE CONTROL 6 9 73 73¼   106½ 98 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 12.00 16.02  
5  CHIQUITA MOSCA 5 10 118¾ 97¼   95 108¾ (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00 53.54  
3  ZAPPLE 3 7 95¼ 1212   1117½ 1142½ (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 6.66  
9  EMPIRE OF MY OWN 8 1 83¼ 1010¼   1224½ 1258¾ (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 120 3.00 26% 2.90 5.01  
SCR  KARMA GHIA               (lucas wayn)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY LOTTIE               (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL               (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
SCR  PACHANGA LOCA               (gutierrez fau)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
 
ELP-7   08/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LAST LEAF 5 10 82¾ 42   1½ 11¾ (spatz b)BEJARANO R 120 2.00 37% 1.70 3.37 W
3  TAKE A STAND 3 9 95¾ 74¼   42 21¾ (oliver )DE CRUZ 118 10.00 20.58  
7  GUNNING 7 4 3½ 1nk   2½ 34 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 4.50 19% 4.20 1.31 S
4  OPTIONALITY 4 5 41½ 52¼   54 46¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 10% 9.00 11.27  
8  PATNA 8 3 2nk 2nk   31½ 58 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 12% 7.40 5.41  
10  VALENTINA DAY 10 2 52 85¼   88½ 612½ (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 11.59  
9  GATA RUNZ 9 1 1nk 3½   66½ 713½ (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 118 20.00 ######  
6  QUEENS UP 6 6 106 107¼   99 817¼ (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 ★ 42.02  
2  DAME JOVIALE 2 7 62½ 96¼   1011 917¾ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 11.13  
1  RING ME DARLING 1 8 72¾ 64¼   78 1024 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 12.58  
 
ELP-8   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:231 :453 1:103 1:233   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LI'L TOOTSIE 8 6 55 43 1nk 11½ 11½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 7% 12.90 13.45 W
5  JILTED BRIDE 5 7 98½ 910¼ 53¾ 44½ 21½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 7% 14.20 9.46 P
9  RECODED 9 5 32 31 3.2 32½ 32½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 37.41  
2  SUPER QUICK 2 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 21½ 43 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.11  
1  FOUR GRACES 1 2 65½ 67 64¾ 56½ 54 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 4.50 39% 1.60 2.19  
10  SALUTE THE FLAG 10 10 88 78½ 76¼ 68½ 67 (jones la)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00 9.30  
7  ROC'S PRINCESS 7 8 1011½ 1016¼ 1010¼ 811 715½ (gowan william)LANERIE J 122 20.00 48.89  
4  TEMPER TIME 4 9 77½ 88¾ 88¼ 711 816 (romans dale)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 41.59  
6  XTREMA 6 3 43 54½ 98¼ 1013½ 922½ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 20.00 82.92  
3  GRAYSONSMACHO GAL 3 4 2nk 2nk 43¼ 913 1034 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 ★ 10.84  
SCR  TAKE CHARGE LORIN               (lukas wayne)COURT K 122 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:111 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  STEAL SUNSHINE 8 8 96½ 85¾ 64¼ 31 13¼ (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 118 8.00 ★ 5.99  
4  ROME 4 2 11 11½ 11½ 1½ 23¼ (condon sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 57.50  
2  STRAVA 2 4 74½ 74¾ 74¾ 41½ 33½ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 32% 2.20 2.80 S
6  CHASING TIME 6 5 31½ 31½ 21½ 2½ 44½ (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 118 8.00 ★ 4.93  
9  TRADEMARK 9 9 64 63¼ 54 74 58¾ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 9.32  
7  KNOCKER DOWN 7 7 42 41¾ 31½ 53½ 610 (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00 55.38  
1  FRIAR LAURENCE 1 1 53 52¾ 42 63½ 714½ (colebrook )MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00 12% 7.40 9.46  
3  TOP OF THE CHARTS 3 3 21 21½ 86¾ 813 833 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 30% 2.30 1.70  
5  WE ALL SEE IT 5 6 85½ 96¼ 910¾ 913½ 934½ (cano mun)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 23.75  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.