Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Wednesday - August 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/31/2022 12540ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
4:471         4:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVEN INNOCENT 7 4 43 43 33 2 1½ (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 2.50 24% 3.10 1.95 W
BANDUA 1 6 6 64 54 1 2½ (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 156 2.00 50% 1.00 2.40  
WHO'S COUNTING 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 33 37 (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 6.00 2.70 S
BALTIMORE KID (IRE) 6 55 54 5 6 4 4 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 3.50 4.80  
1A  PROJECT TWO (IRE) 4 2 32 3 43 511½ 518 (young f)GARNER THOMAS 150 2.00 2.40  
ANCIENT TIMES 2 7 78 75 76 612 620¼ (kingsley archi)WATTERS GRAHAM 156 8.00 16.10  
BRIGHT EYED EAGLE (IRE) 5 32 2½ 2½ 2½ 713 730 (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 156 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
SCR  FIGHTINIRISHTABIT               (hendriks ric)BESWICK HARRISON 156 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M NERVOUS NOW 5 4 32 3   1nk 1 (joseph saffie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 42% 1.40 3.15 W
YOGI 3 2 42 4   31 2 (antonucci m)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 30.50  
LAUGHTER 2 3 11 1½   2nk 3 (lerman s)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 9% 9.80 1.00 S
SUMMER SNOW 7 1 21 2½   44 4 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 6.20  
KUKARO 4 8 8 8   8 5 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 11% 8.40 36.00  
FROSTY INVASION 6 6 6 5   5 610½ (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 14.30  
MADDIE'S SURPRISE 1 7 7 78   6 714 (sciacca gary)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 10% 8.70 5.00  
FLATTERING GAL 8 5 53 63   7 816 (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 119 10.00 7% 13.90 39.75  
SCR  DUCKPHAT               (ferraro)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/31/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :47 :60     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR 3 7 6 5   2 11 (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 3.15  
WEBSLINGER 2 5 74 75   6 21 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 16% 5.30 2.95 P
OWN THE FIELD 4 2 42 4   4 31 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 14.70 S
THREE ZERO 7 1 1 1   1 4 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 5.60  
NIEUWENDYK 8 3 2 2   33 5 (begg bent)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 18.20  
WICKED SECRET 1 8 8 8   7 6 (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 9.90  
ROCK CHALK 5 4 53 6   86 7 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50 58% 0.70 2.40  
IRON MAN JIMMY 6 6 32 3   5 86 (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 18.10  
SCR  WINNING CONNECTION               (reynolds j)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/31/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:113     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTISH STAR (ARG) 5 4 2 210 25 2½ 1 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 1.85  
NEVISIAN SUNRISE 4 3 1 110 15 1½ 2 (brown c)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.00 39% 1.60 3.50 P
ZAINALARAB 3 2 35 312 37 33 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 12% 7.40 2.15 S
SECRET TIME (GER) 6 6 4 413½ 4 4 4 (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 8.70  
BABY BLYTHE 2 5 611 514 510½ 5 510¾ (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 4.80  
EMILIA'S MOON 1 1 510½ 617 615½ 613 613¼ (hemingway michell)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 29.25  
SCR  FAMILY TIME               (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00    
SCR  HALO CITY               (lynch natalia)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  SMARMY               (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 124 4.50    
SCR  VEGAS WEEKEND               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
SCR  W W FITZY               (diodoro robertino)RIDER TBA 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
SAR-5   08/31/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:122 1:394   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BIG GREY 5 5 5 4 4 2nk 1½ (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 7.90  
CONVERTIBLE FREEZE 1 6 3 3.2 1½ 1nk 2½ (kantarmaci mertk)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 8.00  
WILL E SUTTON 2 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 31 3 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.40 17% 5.00 0.90 S
DONTBELATE 3 1 4 5 520½ 512½ 410 (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 120 8.00 7.40  
SCOTTY 6 3 67 615¼ 620¾ 612¾ 510½ (dipri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 13.10  
ROAD TO SUCCESS 4 4 2½ 2nk 3½ 4 610½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 60% 0.70 2.75  
SCR  FOREVER WICKED               (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  REVENIO               (zito p)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00    
 
SAR-6   08/31/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:151     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALS DREAM GIRL 5 3 6 64 63 11 1 (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 56% 0.80 2.25 W
BOURBON DIVERSION 3 9 76 75 7 4 2 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 16.50  
WINE GODDESS 6 7 88 87 85 52 3 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5.10  
10  CERRETTA 8 5 4 4 3 21 4 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 8% 12.10 4.80  
EAU CLAIRE 4 2 53 5 53 63 58 (delacour arnaud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 5% 19.00 2.75  
HONOR STAR 2 10 9 10 10 107 610¼ (ferraro jam)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 40.00  
SO ARE YOU 1 1 1010 98 97 9 712 (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00 60.00  
12  TREAT STREET 9 4 11 11 1½ 3 812½ (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 11% 7.90 7.80  
13  BERN ROSEY BERN 10 6 21 21 2½ 7 913 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 28.00  
SHESADANCINGQUEEN 7 8 31 32 42 8 1016 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 22.80  
SCR  FALSE HOPE               (schetti)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
SCR  LACEY UNDERALL               (jerkens a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SCR  OAK LOVES A FIGHT               (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
SCR  QUIET TYPE               (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
SCR  SKYWARD PRINCESS               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE LISA               (klesaris robert)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/31/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN SCENTS 6 5 33 33   23 11 (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 3.05  
NOT PHAR NOW 7 1 1 1   13 21 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 2.80  
BALLYDOOLEY (GB) 2 3 43 2   3 33 (nevin michelle)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 5.30 S
DURESS 3 4 711 711½   7 43 (albertrani thoma)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 14% 6.30 10.30  
SHIRAZ 1 6 55 5   4 5 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 8.90  
SPIRIT ANIMAL 5 7 6 6   58 612 (caramori eduardo)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 25.50  
XY SPEED 4 2 2 43   69 714¾ (maker j)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 58% 0.70 2.30  
 
SAR-8   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANYAN BREEZE 2 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¾ (acquilano jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 24% 3.10 2.40 W
DOUBLE SHOT 4 3 31 3   32 2¾ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 9% 9.70 0.95 P
DURKIN'S CALL 5 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 3¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 4.10 S
SOMEBODY 1 4 4 4   47 49 (bond jame)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5.50  
MANIFEST DESTINY 3 5 5 58   510½ 511 (younghans will)HOWELL TALBERT 122 30.00 20.30  
SCR  BODEFLEX               (rohena rafael)CAMILO D 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  JOE DI BAGGIO               (david a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-9   08/31/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:153 1:403   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BOPPY O 6 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 1¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 23.10  
BATTLE OF NORMANDY 1 5 5 4 4 4 2¼ (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 24% 3.20 2.40 P
ANDTHEWINNERIS 2 2 32 3 31 2nk 3 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 2.25  
11  DETERMINEDLY 7 3 4 54 53 31 43 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 3.15  
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 3 6 65 6 64 5 5 (friedman mitche)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 13.10  
OUR DREAM RYE'D 5 7 7 77 7 6 68 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 29% 2.50 3.75  
EL CONEJITO 4 4 1½ 1½ 2nk 7 724 (stephens john)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 26.75  
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  BRAMBLE BLAZE               (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
SCR  LACHAISE               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  QUINCY CAFE               (gaudet lacey)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
 
SAR-10   08/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BASIS RISK 8 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 6.50  
SINFUL DANCER 4 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 2 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.85 P
CUMBERLAND BLUES 6 5 4 3   3 37 (martin carlos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 8.60  
DEVIL BOY 2 8 86 6   4 4 (englehart jeremi)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 29% 2.50 2.40  
BEACH BOY AL 7 6 64 44   57 5 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 5.30  
CAPT' REMINGTON 1 7 7 7   610 612¼ (davis d)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
SOUTHERN CIVILITY 3 3 3 8   818½ 722 (reyno)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 112 30.00 47.75  
MY SLICK NICK 5 2 53 56   716 822¾ (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 124 20.00 18.60  
SCR  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE               (david a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  MAKART               (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.