The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 31, 2022
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SAR-1   08/31/2022 12540ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
4:471         4:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PROVEN INNOCENT 7 43½ 43 43 33 22½ 1½ (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 2.50 24% 3.10 1.95 W
1  BANDUA 1 65½ 65½ 64 54 12½ 2½ (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 156 2.00 50% 1.00 2.40  
3  WHO'S COUNTING 3 11½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 33 37 (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 6.00 ★ 2.70 S
6  BALTIMORE KID (IRE) 6 55 54 53½ 64½ 47½ 49¼ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 3.50 ★ 4.80  
1A  PROJECT TWO (IRE) 4 21½ 32 32½ 43 511½ 518 (young f)GARNER THOMAS 150 2.00 ★ 2.40  
2  ANCIENT TIMES 2 76½ 78 75 76 612 620¼ (kingsley j)WATTERS GRAHAM 156 8.00 16.10  
5  BRIGHT EYED EAGLE (IRE) 5 32 2½ 2½ 2½ 713 730 (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 156 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
SCR  FIGHTINIRISHTABIT               (hendriks j)BESWICK HARRISON 156 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/31/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
:231 :464 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  I'M NERVOUS NOW 5 4 32 31½   1nk 11½ (joseph a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 42% 1.40 3.15 W
4  YOGI 3 2 42 42½   31 21½ (antonucci m)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 30.50  
3  LAUGHTER 2 3 11 1½   2nk 32½ (lerman s)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 9% 9.80 1.00 S
8  SUMMER SNOW 7 1 21 2½   44 46¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 6.20  
5  KUKARO 4 8 87¾ 88¼   87¾ 59¾ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 11% 8.40 36.00  
7  FROSTY INVASION 6 6 63¼ 52½   56½ 610½ (schettino a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 14.30  
2  MADDIE'S SURPRISE 1 7 73¾ 78   66¾ 714 (sciacca gary)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 10% 8.70 5.00  
9  FLATTERING GAL 8 5 53 63   77¼ 816 (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 119 10.00 7% 13.90 39.75  
SCR  DUCKPHAT               (ferraro w)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/31/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
:224 :47 :60     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR 3 7 63½ 53½   22½ 11 (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★ 3.15  
2  WEBSLINGER 2 5 74 75   64½ 21 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 16% 5.30 2.95 P
4  OWN THE FIELD 4 2 42 42½   43½ 31 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 ★ 14.70 S
7  THREE ZERO 7 1 11½ 11½   12½ 42½ (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 ★ 5.60  
8  NIEUWENDYK 8 3 21½ 21½   33 53½ (begg bentley)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 18.20  
1  WICKED SECRET 1 8 86½ 85½   75½ 64¼ (stewart dallas)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 9.90  
5  ROCK CHALK 5 4 53 64½   86 75½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50 58% 0.70 2.40  
6  IRON MAN JIMMY 6 6 32 32½   54½ 86 (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 18.10  
SCR  WINNING CONNECTION               (reynolds j)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/31/2022 5280ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
:233 :463 1:113     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SCOTISH STAR (ARG) 5 4 23½ 210 25 2½ 12¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 ★ 1.85  
4  NEVISIAN SUNRISE 4 3 13½ 110 15 1½ 22¾ (brown c)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.00 39% 1.60 3.50 P
3  ZAINALARAB 3 2 35 312 37 33 33¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 12% 7.40 2.15 S
6  SECRET TIME (GER) 6 6 49½ 413½ 47½ 43½ 45¾ (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 8.70  
2  BABY BLYTHE 2 5 611 514 510½ 58½ 510¾ (mcgaughey iii)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 4.80  
1  EMILIA'S MOON 1 1 510½ 617 615½ 613 613¼ (hemingway michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 29.25  
SCR  FAMILY TIME               (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00    
SCR  HALO CITY               (lynch natalia)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  SMARMY               (bauer a)LEPAROUX R 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  VEGAS WEEKEND               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
SCR  W W FITZY               (diodoro robertino)RIDER TBA 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
SAR-5   08/31/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:242 :481 1:122 1:394   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BIG GREY 5 5 53½ 46¼ 46½ 2nk 1½ (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 ★ 7.90  
2  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE 1 6 31½ 3.2 1½ 1nk 2½ (kantarmaci mertkan)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 8.00  
4  WILL E SUTTON 2 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 31 37¼ (falcone n)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.40 17% 5.00 0.90 S
5  DONTBELATE 3 1 41½ 58¾ 520½ 512½ 410 (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 120 8.00 7.40  
7  SCOTTY 6 3 67 615¼ 620¾ 612¾ 510½ (diprima gregory)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 ★ 13.10  
6  ROAD TO SUCCESS 4 4 2½ 2nk 3½ 41½ 610½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 60% 0.70 2.75  
SCR  FOREVER WICKED               (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  REVENIO               (zito p)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00 ★    
 
SAR-6   08/31/2022 5280ft TURF GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
:244 :494 1:151     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SALS DREAM GIRL 5 3 64½ 64 63 11 12½ (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 56% 0.80 2.25 W
3  BOURBON DIVERSION 3 9 76 75 74½ 41½ 22½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 16.50  
7  WINE GODDESS 6 7 88 87 85 52 32¾ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5.10  
10  CERRETTA 8 5 42½ 42½ 31½ 21 44¼ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 8% 12.10 4.80  
4  EAU CLAIRE 4 2 53 53½ 53 63 58 (delacour arnaud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 5% 19.00 2.75  
2  HONOR STAR 2 10 99½ 108½ 107½ 107 610¼ (ferraro w)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 40.00  
1  SO ARE YOU 1 1 1010 98 97 96½ 712 (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00 60.00  
12  TREAT STREET 9 4 11 11 1½ 31½ 812½ (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 11% 7.90 7.80  
13  BERN ROSEY BERN 10 6 21 21 2½ 73½ 913 (giangiulio michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 28.00  
8  SHESADANCINGQUEEN 7 8 31 32 42 85½ 1016 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 22.80  
SCR  FALSE HOPE               (schettino a)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
SCR  LACEY UNDERALL               (jerkens a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SCR  OAK LOVES A FIGHT               (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  QUIET TYPE               (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
SCR  SKYWARD PRINCESS               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE LISA               (klesaris p)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/31/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:221 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SEVEN SCENTS 6 5 33 33   23 11 (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 ★ 3.05  
7  NOT PHAR NOW 7 1 12½ 12½   13 21 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 2.80  
2  BALLYDOOLEY (GB) 2 3 43 22½   33½ 33 (nevin michelle)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 ★ 5.30 S
3  DURESS 3 4 711 711½   79½ 43 (albertrani thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 14% 6.30 10.30  
1  SHIRAZ 1 6 55 55½   47½ 53¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 ★ 8.90  
5  SPIRIT ANIMAL 5 7 67½ 66½   58 612 (caramori eduardo)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 25.50  
4  XY SPEED 4 2 22½ 43   69 714¾ (maker j)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 58% 0.70 2.30  
 
SAR-8   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:224 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BANYAN BREEZE 2 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¾ (acquilano james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 24% 3.10 2.40 W
6  DOUBLE SHOT 4 3 31 31½   32 2¾ (d'angelo francisco)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 9% 9.70 0.95 P
7  DURKIN'S CALL 5 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 3¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 ★ 4.10 S
1  SOMEBODY 1 4 41¼ 42½   47 49 (bond james)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5.50  
5  MANIFEST DESTINY 3 5 55¼ 58   510½ 511 (younghans william)HOWELL TALBERT 122 30.00 20.30  
SCR  BODEFLEX               (rohena jose)CAMILO D 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  JOE DI BAGGIO               (david a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-9   08/31/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 5:39
:25 :50 1:153 1:403   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BOPPY O 6 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 1¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 23.10  
1  BATTLE OF NORMANDY 1 5 53½ 43½ 42½ 41¼ 2¼ (mcgaughey iii)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 24% 3.20 2.40 P
2  ANDTHEWINNERIS 2 2 32 32½ 31 2nk 31¾ (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 2.25  
11  DETERMINEDLY 7 3 43½ 54 53 31 43 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 ★ 3.15  
3  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 3 6 65 65½ 64 53¼ 55¼ (friedman mitchell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 13.10  
9  OUR DREAM RYE'D 5 7 76½ 77 74½ 63¾ 68 (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 29% 2.50 3.75  
5  EL CONEJITO 4 4 1½ 1½ 2nk 77¼ 724 (stephens john)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 26.75  
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  BRAMBLE BLAZE               (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
SCR  LACHAISE               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  QUINCY CAFE               (gaudet lacey)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
 
SAR-10   08/31/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
:221 :452 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BASIS RISK 8 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 13½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 6.50  
5  SINFUL DANCER 4 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 23½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.85 P
7  CUMBERLAND BLUES 6 5 42½ 33½   34½ 37 (martin f)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 8.60  
3  DEVIL BOY 2 8 86 66½   45½ 47¼ (englehart c)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 29% 2.50 2.40  
8  BEACH BOY AL 7 6 64 44   57 59¼ (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 ★ 5.30  
2  CAPT' REMINGTON 1 7 74½ 78½   610 612¼ (davis d)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
4  SOUTHERN CIVILITY 3 3 32½ 88¾   818½ 722 (reynolds j)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 112 30.00 47.75  
6  MY SLICK NICK 5 2 53 56   716 822¾ (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 124 20.00 18.60  
SCR  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE               (david a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 ★    
SCR  MAKART               (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.