Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/31/2022 12540ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
4:471         4:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PROVEN INNOCENT 7 43½ 43 43 33 22½ 1½ (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 2.50 24% 3.10 1.95 W
1  BANDUA 1 65½ 65½ 64 54 12½ 2½ (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 156 2.00 50% 1.00 2.40  
3  WHO'S COUNTING 3 11½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 33 37 (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 6.00 ★ 2.70 S
6  BALTIMORE KID (IRE) 6 55 54 53½ 64½ 47½ 49¼ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 3.50 ★ 4.80  
1A  PROJECT TWO (IRE) 4 21½ 32 32½ 43 511½ 518 (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150 2.00 ★ 2.40  
2  ANCIENT TIMES 2 76½ 78 75 76 612 620¼ (kingsley arc)WATTERS GRAHAM 156 8.00 16.10  
5  BRIGHT EYED EAGLE (IRE) 5 32 2½ 2½ 2½ 713 730 (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 156 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
SCR  FIGHTINIRISHTABIT               (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 156 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  I'M NERVOUS NOW 5 4 32 31½   1nk 11½ (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 42% 1.40 3.15 W
4  YOGI 3 2 42 42½   31 21½ (antonucci jena )CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 30.50  
3  LAUGHTER 2 3 11 1½   2nk 32½ (lerman s)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 9% 9.80 1.00 S
8  SUMMER SNOW 7 1 21 2½   44 46¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 6.20  
5  KUKARO 4 8 87¾ 88¼   87¾ 59¾ (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 11% 8.40 36.00  
7  FROSTY INVASION 6 6 63¼ 52½   56½ 610½ (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 14.30  
2  MADDIE'S SURPRISE 1 7 73¾ 78   66¾ 714 (sciacca gary)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 10% 8.70 5.00  
9  FLATTERING GAL 8 5 53 63   77¼ 816 (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 119 10.00 7% 13.90 39.75  
SCR  DUCKPHAT               (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/31/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :47 :60     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR 3 7 63½ 53½   22½ 11 (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★ 3.15  
2  WEBSLINGER 2 5 74 75   64½ 21 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 16% 5.30 2.95 P
4  OWN THE FIELD 4 2 42 42½   43½ 31 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 ★ 14.70 S
7  THREE ZERO 7 1 11½ 11½   12½ 42½ (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 ★ 5.60  
8  NIEUWENDYK 8 3 21½ 21½   33 53½ (begg be)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 18.20  
1  WICKED SECRET 1 8 86½ 85½   75½ 64¼ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 9.90  
5  ROCK CHALK 5 4 53 64½   86 75½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50 58% 0.70 2.40  
6  IRON MAN JIMMY 6 6 32 32½   54½ 86 (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 18.10  
SCR  WINNING CONNECTION               (reynolds patrick )RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/31/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:113     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SCOTISH STAR (ARG) 5 4 23½ 210 25 2½ 12¾ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 ★ 1.85  
4  NEVISIAN SUNRISE 4 3 13½ 110 15 1½ 22¾ (brown c)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.00 39% 1.60 3.50 P
3  ZAINALARAB 3 2 35 312 37 33 33¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 12% 7.40 2.15 S
6  SECRET TIME (GER) 6 6 49½ 413½ 47½ 43½ 45¾ (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 8.70  
2  BABY BLYTHE 2 5 611 514 510½ 58½ 510¾ (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 4.80  
1  EMILIA'S MOON 1 1 510½ 617 615½ 613 613¼ (hemingway miche)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 29.25  
SCR  FAMILY TIME               (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00    
SCR  HALO CITY               (lynch natalia)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  SMARMY               (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  VEGAS WEEKEND               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
SCR  W W FITZY               (diodoro robertino)RIDER TBA 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
SAR-5   08/31/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:122 1:394   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BIG GREY 5 5 53½ 46¼ 46½ 2nk 1½ (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 ★ 7.90  
2  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE 1 6 31½ 3.2 1½ 1nk 2½ (kantarmaci mer)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 8.00  
4  WILL E SUTTON 2 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 31 37¼ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.40 17% 5.00 0.90 S
5  DONTBELATE 3 1 41½ 58¾ 520½ 512½ 410 (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 120 8.00 7.40  
7  SCOTTY 6 3 67 615¼ 620¾ 612¾ 510½ (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 ★ 13.10  
6  ROAD TO SUCCESS 4 4 2½ 2nk 3½ 41½ 610½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 60% 0.70 2.75  
SCR  FOREVER WICKED               (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  REVENIO               (zito nicholas )LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00 ★    
 
SAR-6   08/31/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:151     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SALS DREAM GIRL 5 3 64½ 64 63 11 12½ (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 56% 0.80 2.25 W
3  BOURBON DIVERSION 3 9 76 75 74½ 41½ 22½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 16.50  
7  WINE GODDESS 6 7 88 87 85 52 32¾ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5.10  
10  CERRETTA 8 5 42½ 42½ 31½ 21 44¼ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 8% 12.10 4.80  
4  EAU CLAIRE 4 2 53 53½ 53 63 58 (delacour arna)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 5% 19.00 2.75  
2  HONOR STAR 2 10 99½ 108½ 107½ 107 610¼ (ferraro j)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 40.00  
1  SO ARE YOU 1 1 1010 98 97 96½ 712 (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00 60.00  
12  TREAT STREET 9 4 11 11 1½ 31½ 812½ (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 11% 7.90 7.80  
13  BERN ROSEY BERN 10 6 21 21 2½ 73½ 913 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 28.00  
8  SHESADANCINGQUEEN 7 8 31 32 42 85½ 1016 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 22.80  
SCR  FALSE HOPE               (schet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
SCR  LACEY UNDERALL               (jerkens james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SCR  OAK LOVES A FIGHT               (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  QUIET TYPE               (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
SCR  SKYWARD PRINCESS               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE LISA               (klesaris robe)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/31/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SEVEN SCENTS 6 5 33 33   23 11 (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 ★ 3.05  
7  NOT PHAR NOW 7 1 12½ 12½   13 21 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 2.80  
2  BALLYDOOLEY (GB) 2 3 43 22½   33½ 33 (nevin michelle)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 ★ 5.30 S
3  DURESS 3 4 711 711½   79½ 43 (albertrani tho)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 14% 6.30 10.30  
1  SHIRAZ 1 6 55 55½   47½ 53¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 ★ 8.90  
5  SPIRIT ANIMAL 5 7 67½ 66½   58 612 (caramori eduard)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 25.50  
4  XY SPEED 4 2 22½ 43   69 714¾ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 2.50 58% 0.70 2.30  
 
SAR-8   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BANYAN BREEZE 2 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¾ (acquilano j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 24% 3.10 2.40 W
6  DOUBLE SHOT 4 3 31 31½   32 2¾ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 9% 9.70 0.95 P
7  DURKIN'S CALL 5 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 3¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 ★ 4.10 S
1  SOMEBODY 1 4 41¼ 42½   47 49 (bond ja)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5.50  
5  MANIFEST DESTINY 3 5 55¼ 58   510½ 511 (younghans wi)HOWELL TALBERT 122 30.00 20.30  
SCR  BODEFLEX               (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  JOE DI BAGGIO               (david a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-9   08/31/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:153 1:403   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BOPPY O 6 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 1¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 23.10  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PAPPASCAT by SCAT DADDY)
1  BATTLE OF NORMANDY 1 5 53½ 43½ 42½ 41¼ 2¼ (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 24% 3.20 2.40 P
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ADORABLE MISS by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  ANDTHEWINNERIS 2 2 32 32½ 31 2nk 31¾ (catalano wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 2.25  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of RUN LIKE THE BOSS by SCAT DADDY)
11  DETERMINEDLY 7 3 43½ 54 53 31 43 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 ★ 3.15  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of BAILZEE by GRAND SLAM)
3  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 3 6 65 65½ 64 53¼ 55¼ (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 13.10  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of MY CARA MIA by COLONEL JOHN)
9  OUR DREAM RYE'D 5 7 76½ 77 74½ 63¾ 68 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 29% 2.50 3.75  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ON THE TRAIL by BERNARDINI)
5  EL CONEJITO 4 4 1½ 1½ 2nk 77¼ 724 (stephens john)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 26.75  
  (by PALACE out of DARK OPERA by MONTBROOK)
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of NATURALLY NAUGHTY by HOLY BULL)
SCR  BRAMBLE BLAZE               (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of REGAL ROSE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  LACHAISE               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  QUINCY CAFE               (gaudet lacey)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
SAR-10   08/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BASIS RISK 8 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 13½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 6.50  
5  SINFUL DANCER 4 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 23½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.85 P
7  CUMBERLAND BLUES 6 5 42½ 33½   34½ 37 (martin carl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 8.60  
3  DEVIL BOY 2 8 86 66½   45½ 47¼ (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 29% 2.50 2.40  
8  BEACH BOY AL 7 6 64 44   57 59¼ (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 ★ 5.30  
2  CAPT' REMINGTON 1 7 74½ 78½   610 612¼ (davis d)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
4  SOUTHERN CIVILITY 3 3 32½ 88¾   818½ 722 (rey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 112 30.00 47.75  
6  MY SLICK NICK 5 2 53 56   716 822¾ (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 124 20.00 18.60  
SCR  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE               (david a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 ★    
SCR  MAKART               (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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