Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/31/2022 12540ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANDUA Aug15 Jul26       (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 156 2.00 50% 1.00    
1A  PROJECT TWO (IRE) Aug01         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150 2.00 ★    
2  ANCIENT TIMES Jul27 Jul11 Apr30     (kingsley arch)GERAGHTY ROSS 156 8.00    
3  WHO'S COUNTING Aug08 Jul18 Jun26     (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 6.00 ★    
SCR  FIGHTINIRISHTABIT Aug15 Jul27 May24     (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 156 10.00    
5  BRIGHT EYED EAGLE (IRE) Jul26 Jul11       (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 156 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BALTIMORE KID (IRE) Aug10         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 3.50 ★    
7  PROVEN INNOCENT Jul27 May14 Apr30     (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
SAR-2   08/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUCKPHAT May12 Apr23 Feb11     (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 6.00    
2  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Aug12         (sciacca gary)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 10% 8.70    
3  LAUGHTER Aug03 Jul04 Jun04 May07   (lerman s)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 9% 9.80    
4  YOGI Aug03         (antonucci jena )CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
5  KUKARO Aug05         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 11% 8.40    
6  I'M NERVOUS NOW         (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
7  FROSTY INVASION Aug03 Jun24 May12 Feb26 Jan08 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
8  SUMMER SNOW Jul09         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
9  FLATTERING GAL         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 119 10.00 7% 13.90    
 
SAR-3   08/31/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED SECRET         (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
2  WEBSLINGER Aug06         (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
3  CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR         (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★    
4  OWN THE FIELD         (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 ★    
5  ROCK CHALK Aug14         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50 58% 0.70    
6  IRON MAN JIMMY         (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
7  THREE ZERO Aug14 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 May20 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 ★    
8  NIEUWENDYK         (begg be)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  WINNING CONNECTION         (reynolds patrick )RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/31/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMILIA'S MOON Jul17 Jun23       (hemingway miche)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
2  BABY BLYTHE Jul31 Jun09 May14     (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00    
3  ZAINALARAB Jul10 Jun10 Apr15     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 12% 7.40    
4  NEVISIAN SUNRISE Jul10 Jun10 Apr23     (brown c)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
5  SCOTISH STAR (ARG)         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 ★    
6  SECRET TIME (GER) Aug04 Jun04 Feb25     (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
SCR  SMARMY Jul12 Jun23 May07 Mar23 Mar11 (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  W W FITZY Aug04 Jun12 May06 Apr01 Feb27 (diodoro robertino)RIDER TBA 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  HALO CITY Aug14 Jun23 May27 May06 Mar31 (lynch natalia)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  VEGAS WEEKEND Feb18         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
SCR  FAMILY TIME Jun04 May06 Apr09 Mar09 Jan29 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00    
 
SAR-5   08/31/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BIG GREY Aug20 Aug07 Jul01 Jun23 May28 (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  FOREVER WICKED Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 Jul04 Jun16 (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
2  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Aug07 Jun16 Mar31 Feb03   (kantarmaci mer)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  REVENIO Jul17 May28 Mar31 Mar11 Feb20 (zito nicholas )LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00 ★    
4  WILL E SUTTON Jul15 Jun17 May06 Mar19 Feb12 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.40 17% 5.00    
5  DONTBELATE Jul15 Jun16 May01 Apr10 Feb25 (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 120 8.00    
6  ROAD TO SUCCESS Jul17 Jun04 Apr30 Apr07 Feb20 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 60% 0.70    
7  SCOTTY May07 Apr14 Mar25 Feb26 Jan08 (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 ★    
 
SAR-6   08/31/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO ARE YOU Jul06 Jun15       (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00    
2  HONOR STAR Jul31         (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
3  BOURBON DIVERSION Jan13         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
4  EAU CLAIRE Jul31 Jun04 Apr28     (delacour arna)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 5% 19.00    
5  SALS DREAM GIRL Jul16 May12       (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  LACEY UNDERALL         (jerkens james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
7  WINE GODDESS Jun25 May08       (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
8  SHESADANCINGQUEEN Jun17 Apr28       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE LISA         (klesaris robe)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
10  CERRETTA Jul16 May21 Apr23 Feb19   (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  SKYWARD PRINCESS Aug05 Jul17 Jun04     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
12  TREAT STREET Jul23 Apr29       (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 11% 7.90    
13  BERN ROSEY BERN Aug11 Jun26 May30     (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SCR  QUIET TYPE Aug12 Jun16 May21 Apr24 Mar25 (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
SCR  OAK LOVES A FIGHT Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Jun16 May30 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  FALSE HOPE Aug12 Jun16 May21 Apr24 Feb26 (schet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
 
SAR-7   08/31/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIRAZ Jul24 Jun26 Jun16     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 ★    
2  BALLYDOOLEY (GB) Jul04         (nevin michelle)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 ★    
3  DURESS Jul10 Jun03 May12     (albertrani tho)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
4  XY SPEED Jun22 May22 Mar30 Feb19   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
5  SPIRIT ANIMAL Jul29 Jul13 May30 May17   (caramori eduard)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
6  SEVEN SCENTS Aug07 Jun22 May21 Apr24 Mar19 (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 ★    
7  NOT PHAR NOW Aug11 Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 May15 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
 
SAR-8   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMEBODY Jul28 Jul09 May19 Apr03 Feb27 (bond ja)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
2  BANYAN BREEZE Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 Jun06 May24 (acquilano j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  BODEFLEX         (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  JOE DI BAGGIO Aug20 Jul15 Jun30 May13 Apr16 (david a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  MANIFEST DESTINY Aug17 Jul09 Jun18 Mar04 Feb20 (younghans wi)HOWELL TALBERT 122 30.00    
6  DOUBLE SHOT Jul16 Jun16 May21 Apr03 Mar19 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 9% 9.70    
7  DURKIN'S CALL Jun18 Mar31 Feb20 Jan01   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 ★    
 
SAR-9   08/31/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLE OF NORMANDY Aug06         (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ADORABLE MISS by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  ANDTHEWINNERIS Jul04 Apr28       (catalano wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of RUN LIKE THE BOSS by SCAT DADDY)
3  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Aug19 Jul27       (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of MY CARA MIA by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY Jun27 May30 Apr28     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of NATURALLY NAUGHTY by HOLY BULL)
5  EL CONEJITO Jul31         (stephens john)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE out of DARK OPERA by MONTBROOK)
SCR  BRAMBLE BLAZE Aug14         (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of REGAL ROSE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  QUINCY CAFE Jul31 Jul09 Jun25     (gaudet lacey)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  LACHAISE Aug04         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  OUR DREAM RYE'D Jul30 Jun19       (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ON THE TRAIL by BERNARDINI)
10  BOPPY O Jul16 May20       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PAPPASCAT by SCAT DADDY)
11  DETERMINEDLY Jul30 Jun30       (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 ★    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of BAILZEE by GRAND SLAM)
 
SAR-10   08/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAKART Aug05 Jul22 Jun18 May15 Feb25 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
2  CAPT' REMINGTON Aug05 Jun29 May31     (davis d)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DEVIL BOY Jul28 Jun09 May14     (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  SOUTHERN CIVILITY Jul22 Jul08 May13 Jan16   (reyno)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 30.00    
5  SINFUL DANCER Jul28 Jul03 Jun09 Apr30 Apr03 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  MY SLICK NICK Aug05         (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 124 20.00    
7  CUMBERLAND BLUES         (martin carl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
8  BEACH BOY AL Jul03 Mar05 Feb11 Jan09   (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Aug15 Jun23 May22 Apr29 Apr02 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 ★    
10  BASIS RISK Apr30         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.