The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Ellis Park
Saturday - August 06, 2022

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ELP-1   08/06/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
:223 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER WONDER GIRL 1 4 1nk 1½   11(williamson brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.00 23% 3.40 2.26 W
LA TOURISTA 4 5 5 53   32 2(vasquez sr)LANERIE J 122 6.00 9.06 P
SHAPE OF YOU 3 2 3.2 2½   23(pittman bonnie)STILLION BROOKE 122 3.00 34% 2.00 16.22 S
CATCHUSIFYOUCAN 5 1 4 41   43 4(casse w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 3.70  
LILY'S WOOFY 2 3 2nk 3½   53 5(catalano m)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 112 1.40 20% 4.00 0.86  
 
ELP-2   08/06/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
:22 :452 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE 5 7 811½ 710   44 1½ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 4.41  
11  ICY RIVER 8 5 1½ 11   12½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 11.23  
TIME FOR CUPID 2 2 32 3   23(asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 56% 0.80 3.25 S
13  SOMEBODY LOVES ME 9 8 6 68   66 4(walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 11% 8.50 2.30  
TWENTYTWENTY HOAX 3 4 5 45   55(king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.50 6.17  
MAHOMEBRED 7 3 2½ 21   36(williamson brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 12.88  
GHOST BAYOU 1 1 43 56   77(hobby steve)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 8.24  
LIVE WIRE 4 6 710 815½   813 810½ (maker j)DIAZ RENE 114 10.00 13.50  
SUPER WEST 6 9 919½ 921½   917½ 918¾ (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 52.08  
SCR  BOOGIE BABY               (drury jr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00    
SCR  CAUSE CELEBRE               (margolis r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
SCR  LADY PELE               (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  RAMADHAAN (IRE)               (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 112 20.00    
 
ELP-3   08/06/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:46
:222 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JACE'S ROAD 9 4 31 2nk   1nk 1(cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 16% 5.40 1.43 W
RETAINED 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2(walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 58% 0.70 2.24 P
12  HAPPY IS A CHOICE 11 6 6 42   3311½ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 29.63  
11  WEBSLINGER 10 5 53 66   56 413½ (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 9.31  
SUNDANCE 7 3 2nk 3½   43 514¾ (brisset rodolphe)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 5% 18.10 6.74  
PACE 2 11 1111¼ 1010¼   7618¼ (simms jr)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 22.42  
FACE VALUE 8 7 10 8   6720¾ (walsh p)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 13.67  
WAVE AFTER WAVE 5 8 9 1110½   1110½ 823 (catalano m)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 15.47  
COLLECTORATE 4 2 4 5   99 924 (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 48.55  
ORBI ONE 6 9 7 9   109 1024½ (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 63.58  
LEVEL UP 3 10 8 7   81126¼ (nihei michelle)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 35.03  
SCR  BEN DREAMING               (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
SCR  BLAMETHEGOODTIMES               (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00    
SCR  HOW DID HE DO THAT               (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
SCR  LAST COOKIE               (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
 
ELP-4   08/06/2022 5280ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($61K) 3 F PT- 3:14
:242 :48 1:114 1:233   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROBATIC 6 11 10 10 6 31½ (brown c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.50 29% 2.50 2.72 W
12  GOLDEN SIGHTS 11 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 1nk 2½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 47% 1.10 3.62 P
STREET TAPPER 1 4 6 5 5 54 3(calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00 24.58  
QUEROBIN DOURADA 9 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 4(lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 9.83  
AALIYAH EZRI 2 1 4 3 32 456 (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00 6.11  
CARIBBEAN NIGHT 4 9 8 9 8 76 67 (drury jr)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 14.20  
11  IMPLOSION 10 5 31 42 4 679 (margolis r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 24.39  
THE CLUB 8 6 5 64 7 88(oliver victoria)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 12.00 44.22  
STEPPER 3 8 7 75 9 99(drury jr)LANERIE J 120 5.00 3.42  
CODE FOR SUCCESS 7 7 9 8 10 101010¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 24.61  
KHULUQ 5 10 11 11 1113¼ 1115¾ 1128¾ (brown c)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 14.78  
SCR  CHARLEE O               (waltz brian)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
SCR  DIVINE HOPE               (taylor brent)MILLER CHASE 120 30.00    
SCR  FULL FOCUS               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50    
SCR  LADY ARSINOE               (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 115 12.00    
SCR  ZING               (catalano m)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
 
ELP-5   08/06/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:42
:232 :464 1:114 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JET SETTING 1 3 31 2 2 2½ 1(cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.50 8% 12.10 2.49 W
10  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 9 6 11 1 1 1½ 2(kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 6% 14.70 3.07 P
LADY SQUARED 2 2 54 54 34 333 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 7.35  
AUDACIOUSNESS 5 4 6 6 67 45 4(stall m)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 52% 0.90 4.18  
BEST SELLER 3 1 21 32 45 5510¼ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 11.47  
SHEZA SHINING STAR 8 5 4 4 5 6610¾ (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 11% 8.50 3.84  
BIG SIS NIC 6 7 98 9 710½ 712½ 722 (mcpeek g)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 41.42  
UNIFIED DECISION 4 9 76 76 912½ 819 833 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 27.61  
MISS ADDIE LYNN 7 8 8 87 811½ 919 933½ (lukas wayne)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 43.91  
SCR  LADY EVA               (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
 
ELP-6   08/06/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
:243 :472 1:112 1:352   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISK MANAGER 1 4 7 7 7 31¾ (gutierrez faustio)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 2.50 32% 2.20 2.43 W
HOZIER 5 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 2nk 2¾ (brisset rodolphe)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 7.81  
LIGHT FURY 7 6 2½ 2nk 1nk 1nk 3¾ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 6% 16.00 3.88 S
HAWK OF WAR 4 3 65 6 5 54(maker j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 2.00 37% 1.70 2.26  
CELERITY 3 2 44 4 32 43 5(cundiff waylon)HERRFORTH ERICA 112 30.00 20.01  
GREY STREAK 6 7 8 8 8 66(arnold r)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 16.87  
JIMMY DAN 8 8 54 5 4 7717¾ (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 122 8.00 15.79  
FAN CLUB 2 5 9 912¼ 914¾ 813¼ 823½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 8.21  
LEBLON 9 9 3 31 6 915¾ 931½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 39.34  
SCR  BLUE KENTUCKY               (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
 
ELP-7   08/06/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:232 :454 1:094 1:214   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INJUNCTION 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 123 12.00 2.00  
WEST WILL POWER 3 3 4 4 3 32nk (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 14% 6.10 2.99 P
LAST SAMURAI 5 5 2nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 3¾ (lukas wayne)COURT K 125 4.00 4.97 S
TITLE READY 2 2 5 5 44 44(stewart dallas)LANERIE J 121 3.00 2.91  
MAILMAN MONEY 6 6 31 31 5 59 515 (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 9.32  
NIGHT OPS 4 4 6 6 6 610 615¼ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 8.11  
SCR  BACKSIDEOFTHEMOON               (diodoro robertino)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 20.00    
SCR  HELIUM               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  SOUNION               (cano munoz)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 25.00    
SCR  TUT'S REVENGE               (stuart shea)CORRALES GERARDO 125 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
ELP-8   08/06/2022 5280ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
:243 :48 1:112 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CLOUDY 9 6 6 6 4 42 1hd (mcgaughey iii)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 47% 1.10 2.18 W
ROUGHIN THE CITY 4 1 4 5 6 62hd (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 30.00 68.32  
WAKE SURF 2 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 13.15 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 32.08  
RED HORNET 5 4 3 31 3½ 34¾ (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 123 4.00 3.24  
GREATHEART 6 7 7 7 7 551 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00 14.62  
REWARD NIGHT 1 5 5 4 5 76(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 6.00 20% 4.00 3.13  
10  DEEP STATE 8 9 109 10 9 87(lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 8.00 21.68  
ROCHAMBEAU 3 2 2nk 2nk 2nk 28(devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00 4.70  
12  COOL RAGS 10 10 8 8 8 9912¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 14.70  
FINDING FREEDOM 7 8 9 9 10 1010¼ 1013 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 15.00 8% 11.70 33.40  
SCR  ENDLESS SUNSET               (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 118 25.00    
SCR  PURPLE DREAM               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.