Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:22 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE JEDI 2 7 1nk 11   11 1¾ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 1.80 58% 0.70 1.43 W
SUTHERLAND 7 1 3 33   31 2¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 4.32 P
SARGENT LEE 9 3 2nk 21   21 33 (o'neill doug)DIAZ RENE 114 4.50 4.58  
PINE VALLEY 4 4 4 5   44 4 (brisset rodo)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 13% 6.60 5.48  
BOCO 3 9 6 66   56 511¼ (hamilton troy)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 47.92  
MOUNT KISCO 5 5 5 44   6 614¼ (howell jessica)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 50.00 55.12  
NAVY SOUL 8 2 9 910   910¾ 715¾ (pittman bonni)PETERSON FERRIN 119 50.00 5% 19.00 42.29  
EMBRACE (IRE) 6 6 7 7   7 815¾ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH null   7% 12.80 4.34  
TEBOW 1 8 8 89   8 918 (vaccarezza carlo)GRAHAM J 124 20.00 31.12  
 
ELP-2   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:091     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECODED 4 3 1nk 2nk   1nk 1½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 3.21  
COPPELIA 2 5 2nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 7% 13.40 2.22 P
READY FOR CHANGE 3 6 4 4   3 3 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 28% 2.60 7.08 S
UPANDCOMINGSTAR 6 2 5 5   5 4 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 36% 1.80 4.45  
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 7 1 3½ 3   44 5 (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 115 3.50 4.46  
MALLOY 5 4 6 6   6 6 (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00 15.25  
COMPELLING SMILE 1 7 7 7   7 7 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 7.79  
 
ELP-3   08/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:232 :464 :583     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM 10 1 11 12   1 1 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 47% 1.10 2.84 W
MIDVALE 8 4 32 32   2 2 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 18.38  
11  STAR POSE 11 2 21 22   3 3 (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 114 4.00 9.20  
CREATIVE DI 4 5 5 54   45 410½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.82  
EXCELLENT QUESTION 9 8 8 7   88 510¾ (walsh brendan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 2.75  
LIGHTER KNOT 2 11 6 8   7 611¼ (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 23.83  
PEACOCK LASS 6 7 4 6   5 711¾ (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
12  WITS AND WAGERS 12 12 9 4   6 814¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 10.96  
PERFECT ROSE 3 6 10 10   9 916¾ (vasquez germa)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 81.09  
ELECTRIC SENSE 5 10 116 9   1011 1017¼ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.50 10% 9.00 4.83  
FROSTY DIVA 1 9 12 11   1112 1121¼ (forster grant )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 5% 19.00 38.80  
REDHAIREDCOLLEEN 7 3 7 1219¼   1237 1277 (reece claire)ELLIOTT JANE 119 50.00 61.74  
SCR  BABY GOT BACKSPIN               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00    
SCR  JOKES ON BLUE               (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
ELP-4   08/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:112 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MISS YEARWOOD 9 10 1010¾ 1013¾ 8 5 1 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 1.60 41% 1.40 4.30 W
FINAL BELLE 1 1 3 3 21 1nk 2 (mott i)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 32% 2.10 2.47 P
12  BERATE 10 9 5 5 5 4 3 (mcgaughey claud)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 5.00 5.73 S
DUPLICITOUS 5 2 11 1nk 4 3 4 (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00 21.39  
NECK ON THE NILE 4 3 6 6 6 7 5 (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 115 10.00 14.47  
LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH 3 7 9 911¾ 9 6 6 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 123 6.00 7.28  
TWIRLING PATTI 7 5 21 2nk 11 2nk 7 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 5% 19.00 2.54  
10  THROMBOCYTOPENIA 8 8 8 7 76 8 8 (obert daniell)PETERSON FERRIN 123 30.00 62.92  
RED HOT MAMA 6 4 4 4 3 9 911½ (stewart dall)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00 54.14  
FULL FOCUS 2 6 7 811¾ 1013¾ 1026¾ 1055½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 22.89  
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE               (king )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 20.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY MOM               (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116 50.00    
 
ELP-5   08/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:101 1:23   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CARE 5 2 4 42 2 2 1 (medina rober)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 15.50  
SUNNY RIVER 7 6 2nk 1nk 1 1 2 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 1.60 29% 2.40 1.11 P
11  SWEET LADY IVANKA 10 7 5 5 5 34 39 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 5.00 21% 3.80 3.76 S
FRAGRANT 4 3 6 6 7 5 413½ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 13.94  
ROLLESTON 8 10 7 7 8 6 514¼ (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 113 12.00 28.27  
FIVE PRIZES 1 9 1111¼ 1112¼ 910¼ 9 616 (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.84  
10  PLEASE BE KIND 9 5 1nk 2nk 3 47 720½ (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 6% 16.80 5.81  
VERY WEALTHY 3 1 8 8 6 7 825 (lucas wayne)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 65.21  
12  YOUR SO SILLEA 11 8 3.2 3½ 4 8 925¼ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00 24% 3.20 8.87  
RED BEE 6 11 10 1010¾ 1114¼ 1115¼ 1030 (cundiff waylo)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 50.00 82.91  
BELPERRON 2 4 9 9 1011¾ 1013¾ 1130 (manley steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 62.80  
SCR  CONTESSINA               (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:214 :442 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ALL IN SYNC 9 9 8 6   7 1¼ (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 22.90 W
CHARCOAL 2 3 42 5   6 2¼ (wisner j)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 8.17  
BAD BEAT BRIAN 3 5 5 4   4¾ 3¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 10.00 33% 2.10 4.90 S
TOTALLY BOSS 1 8 9 8   8 4¾ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 40% 1.50 2.02  
CALL ME MIDNIGHT 4 6 7 7   5¾ 5 (desormeaux k)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 40.12  
OCEANIC 8 4 31 3.2   3½ 6 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 10.84  
INTO THE SUNRISE 5 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 7 (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 14.64  
THANKS MR. EIDSON 7 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 8 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 3.50 3.04  
SEVEN SCENTS 6 7 6 9   9 9 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00 6.07  
SCR  NECKER ISLAND               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
 
ELP-7   08/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:112 1:233   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRIETTA TOPHAM 8 7 7 63 7 5 1½ (mulcahy geoff)HOLMES GAGE 122 20.00 9.72  
TURNERLOOSE 2 4 5 53 6 42 2½ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 21% 3.80 1.61 P
TOUCH OF CLASS (GER) 6 3 11 11 1½ 1 3¾ (flint s)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 17.37  
TAKE CHARGE RO 4 5 6 8 8 6 41 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00 35% 1.90 2.90  
DEMODOG 9 9 8 74 5 2 5 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00 4.26  
WILDWOOD'S BEAUTY 5 2 21 21 2½ 32 65 (becker scot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 30.18  
UNDISTURBED 7 6 32 3 3½ 8 7 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 5.00 20% 4.00 8.02  
LADY FROSTED 1 1 42 42 4 7 86 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.98  
PYRAMID PRINCESS 3 8 9 9 9 9 910¼ (stuart shea)EMIGH A 122 20.00 46.08  
SCR  SISTER ANNIE               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
 
ELP-8   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:22 :441 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE CREDIT 1 2 11 1   1 12 (haehn r)POMPELL L 124 8.00 7% 13.60 11.08 W
BROOKE MARIE 3 4 6 6   34 22 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 43% 1.30 3.14 P
10  TOBYS HEART 10 8 7 7   4 32 (lynch a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00 8% 12.10 3.99 S
VIOLENZA 6 7 8 8   5 4 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 18.90  
SOCIAL CHATTER 7 10 9 9   7 5 (oliver victo)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 7.24  
SPEEDOMETER 2 3 42 32   2 6 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.03  
ELLE Z 5 1 21 2   65 7 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 126 3.50 18% 4.70 1.84  
STERLING MISS 9 9 10 10   98 8 (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 45.36  
AMBASSADOR LUNA 4 5 32 42   8 99 (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 39.35  
LITTLE BLAZE 8 6 53 53   1010½ 1011¼ (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00 23.23  
 
ELP-9   08/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:104 1:224   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY'S FABLE 8 6 7 9 9 5 1¼ (lynch brian )MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 3.50 10.77  
MR DUMAS 3 5 10 10 10 6 2¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 38% 1.60 0.95 P
TUT'S REVENGE 5 3 33 32 3 1½ 3¼ (stuart shea)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 30% 2.30 8.01 S
KITTANSETT 1 4 5 6 63 7 4 (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00 8.63  
KITODAN 2 1 9 7 53 3½ 5 (foster eric)LOPEZ E 120 10.00 10.61  
CUPID'S CLAWS 4 10 12 12 11 11 6 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 23.29  
12  TEMPER TANTRUM 11 9 21 2½ 2½ 41 75 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 34.40  
MOUNT RUNDLE 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 9% 9.50 20.58  
10  TEJANO TWIST 9 12 118 11 127 126 96 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 42.60  
11  PENALTY 10 7 4 5 7 9 10 (mott i)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 18.14  
13  MR. HUSTLE 12 11 6 4 42 104 11 (maker j)LANERIE J 122 12.00 10.94  
DREAMER'S DISEASE 6 2 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 12 (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00 24.60  
SCR  GREYES CREEK               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  SANTOS DUMONT               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.