Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - August 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:22 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRUE JEDI 2 7 1nk 11   11 1¾ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 1.80 58% 0.70 1.43 W
7  SUTHERLAND 7 1 31½ 33   31 2¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 ★ 4.32 P
9  SARGENT LEE 9 3 2nk 21   21 33 (o'neill doug)DIAZ RENE 114 4.50 4.58  
4  PINE VALLEY 4 4 42½ 54½   44 48½ (brisset ro)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 13% 6.60 5.48  
3  BOCO 3 9 63¼ 66   56 511¼ (hamilton tr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 47.92  
5  MOUNT KISCO 5 5 52¾ 44   66¼ 614¼ (howell jessi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 50.00 55.12  
8  NAVY SOUL 8 2 95¼ 910   910¾ 715¾ (pittman bon)PETERSON FERRIN 119 50.00 5% 19.00 42.29  
6  EMBRACE (IRE) 6 6 74¾ 77½   79¾ 815¾ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH null   7% 12.80 4.34  
1  TEBOW 1 8 84¾ 89   89¾ 918 (vaccarezza carlo)GRAHAM J 124 20.00 31.12  
 
ELP-2   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:091     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RECODED 4 3 1nk 2nk   1nk 1½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 3.21  
2  COPPELIA 2 5 2nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 7% 13.40 2.22 P
3  READY FOR CHANGE 3 6 43½ 44½   32½ 32½ (pessin l)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 28% 2.60 7.08 S
6  UPANDCOMINGSTAR 6 2 54½ 54¾   54¼ 43¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 36% 1.80 4.45  
7  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 7 1 3½ 31½   44 55¼ (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 115 3.50 4.46  
5  MALLOY 5 4 68½ 69¼   65¾ 65½ (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00 15.25  
1  COMPELLING SMILE 1 7 78¾ 79¼   76¼ 76¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 7.79  
 
ELP-3   08/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:232 :464 :583     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM 10 1 11 12   12½ 16¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 47% 1.10 2.84 W
9  MIDVALE 8 4 32 32   22½ 26¾ (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 18.38  
11  STAR POSE 11 2 21 22   33½ 37¾ (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 114 4.00 9.20  
5  CREATIVE DI 4 5 53½ 54   45 410½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.82  
1  EXCELLENT QUESTION 9 8 84¼ 75¾   88 510¾ (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 2.75  
3  LIGHTER KNOT 2 11 63½ 86¾   76½ 611¼ (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 23.83  
7  PEACOCK LASS 6 7 42½ 64¼   55½ 711¾ (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
12  WITS AND WAGERS 12 12 94¼ 43½   66½ 814¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 10.96  
4  PERFECT ROSE 3 6 105¾ 109¼   99½ 916¾ (vasquez ger)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 81.09  
6  ELECTRIC SENSE 5 10 116 98¼   1011 1017¼ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.50 10% 9.00 4.83  
2  FROSTY DIVA 1 9 126½ 119¼   1112 1121¼ (forster gran)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 5% 19.00 38.80  
8  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN 7 3 73¾ 1219¼   1237 1277 (reece claire)ELLIOTT JANE 119 50.00 61.74  
SCR  BABY GOT BACKSPIN               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00    
SCR  JOKES ON BLUE               (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
ELP-4   08/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:112 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MISS YEARWOOD 9 10 1010¾ 1013¾ 87½ 52¼ 11¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 1.60 41% 1.40 4.30 W
1  FINAL BELLE 1 1 32½ 31½ 21 1nk 21¼ (mott i)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 32% 2.10 2.47 P
12  BERATE 10 9 55½ 56¾ 52½ 41¾ 33¼ (mcgaughey cla)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 5.00 ★ 5.73 S
6  DUPLICITOUS 5 2 11 1nk 41½ 31½ 43¼ (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00 21.39  
5  NECK ON THE NILE 4 3 65¾ 67¼ 63½ 73¾ 53½ (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 115 10.00 14.47  
4  LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH 3 7 99¼ 911¾ 97¾ 63¼ 64¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 123 6.00 ★ 7.28  
9  TWIRLING PATTI 7 5 21 2nk 11 2nk 75¾ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 5% 19.00 2.54  
10  THROMBOCYTOPENIA 8 8 88¾ 79¾ 76 85¾ 86¼ (obert danie)PETERSON FERRIN 123 30.00 62.92  
8  RED HOT MAMA 6 4 42½ 41¾ 31½ 96¾ 911½ (stewart da)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00 54.14  
3  FULL FOCUS 2 6 77¾ 811¾ 1013¾ 1026¾ 1055½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 22.89  
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE               (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 20.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY MOM               (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116 50.00    
 
ELP-5   08/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:101 1:23   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TAKE CARE 5 2 42¼ 42 21½ 21½ 11¼ (medina rob)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 15.50  
8  SUNNY RIVER 7 6 2nk 1nk 11½ 11½ 21¼ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 1.60 29% 2.40 1.11 P
11  SWEET LADY IVANKA 10 7 52¾ 52¼ 52¼ 34 39 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 5.00 21% 3.80 3.76 S
4  FRAGRANT 4 3 65¼ 67¾ 75¼ 57½ 413½ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 13.94  
9  ROLLESTON 8 10 76¾ 78¾ 85¾ 67½ 514¼ (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 113 12.00 28.27  
1  FIVE PRIZES 1 9 1111¼ 1112¼ 910¼ 99¾ 616 (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.84  
10  PLEASE BE KIND 9 5 1nk 2nk 31½ 47 720½ (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 6% 16.80 5.81  
3  VERY WEALTHY 3 1 87¾ 88¾ 65¼ 77¾ 825 (lucas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 65.21  
12  YOUR SO SILLEA 11 8 3.2 3½ 41¾ 89¾ 925¼ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00 24% 3.20 8.87  
6  RED BEE 6 11 108¾ 1010¾ 1114¼ 1115¼ 1030 (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 50.00 82.91  
2  BELPERRON 2 4 98¼ 99¾ 1011¾ 1013¾ 1130 (manley ste)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 62.80  
SCR  CONTESSINA               (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:214 :442 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ALL IN SYNC 9 9 84¼ 62¾   72¼ 1¼ (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 22.90 W
2  CHARCOAL 2 3 42 51¾   61¼ 2¼ (wisner j)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 8.17  
3  BAD BEAT BRIAN 3 5 52¼ 41¼   4¾ 3¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 10.00 33% 2.10 4.90 S
1  TOTALLY BOSS 1 8 95¾ 83¾   83¼ 4¾ (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 40% 1.50 2.02  
4  CALL ME MIDNIGHT 4 6 74¼ 72¾   5¾ 51¾ (desormeaux j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 40.12  
9  OCEANIC 8 4 31 3.2   3½ 62¼ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 10.84  
5  INTO THE SUNRISE 5 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 72½ (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 14.64  
7  THANKS MR. EIDSON 7 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 85½ (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 3.50 3.04  
6  SEVEN SCENTS 6 7 63¾ 94¾   96¼ 98½ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00 ★ 6.07  
SCR  NECKER ISLAND               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
 
ELP-7   08/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:112 1:233   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HENRIETTA TOPHAM 8 7 73¾ 63 73¼ 52¼ 1½ (mulcahy geoff)HOLMES GAGE 122 20.00 9.72  
2  TURNERLOOSE 2 4 52½ 53 63¼ 42 2½ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 21% 3.80 1.61 P
6  TOUCH OF CLASS (GER) 6 3 11 11 1½ 11½ 3¾ (flint s)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 17.37  
4  TAKE CHARGE RO 4 5 63½ 84¼ 85¼ 62¾ 41 (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00 35% 1.90 2.90  
9  DEMODOG 9 9 84¼ 74 51¾ 21½ 51¾ (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00 4.26  
5  WILDWOOD'S BEAUTY 5 2 21 21 2½ 32 65 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 30.18  
7  UNDISTURBED 7 6 32 31½ 3½ 83¾ 75¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 5.00 20% 4.00 8.02  
1  LADY FROSTED 1 1 42 42 41½ 73¾ 86 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.98  
3  PYRAMID PRINCESS 3 8 95¼ 94¼ 97¾ 96¾ 910¼ (stuart shea)EMIGH A 122 20.00 46.08  
SCR  SISTER ANNIE               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
 
ELP-8   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:22 :441 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE CREDIT 1 2 11 11½   12½ 12 (haehn r)POMPELL L 124 8.00 7% 13.60 11.08 W
3  BROOKE MARIE 3 4 63¼ 63¼   34 22 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 43% 1.30 3.14 P
10  TOBYS HEART 10 8 74¾ 74¾   44½ 32 (lynch brian )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00 8% 12.10 3.99 S
6  VIOLENZA 6 7 86¼ 86¼   54½ 42½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 18.90  
7  SOCIAL CHATTER 7 10 96¾ 96¼   75½ 54¼ (oliver vic)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 7.24  
2  SPEEDOMETER 2 3 42 32   22½ 64¾ (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.03  
5  ELLE Z 5 1 21 21½   65 76½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 126 3.50 18% 4.70 1.84  
9  STERLING MISS 9 9 107¾ 108¾   98 87½ (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 45.36  
4  AMBASSADOR LUNA 4 5 32 42   87½ 99 (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 39.35  
8  LITTLE BLAZE 8 6 53 53   1010½ 1011¼ (vaccarezza car)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00 23.23  
 
ELP-9   08/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:104 1:224   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GRAY'S FABLE 8 6 75¾ 95¼ 93¾ 51¼ 1¼ (lynch bria)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 3.50 10.77  
3  MR DUMAS 3 5 107¾ 106¼ 104¾ 61¾ 2¼ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 38% 1.60 0.95 P
6  TUT'S REVENGE 5 3 33 32 31½ 1½ 3¼ (stuart she)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 30% 2.30 8.01 S
1  KITTANSETT 1 4 54½ 63½ 63 72¼ 41½ (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00 8.63  
2  KITODAN 2 1 96¼ 73¾ 53 3½ 52½ (foster eric)LOPEZ E 120 10.00 ★ 10.61  
4  CUPID'S CLAWS 4 10 129½ 128¼ 116¾ 114½ 64¼ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 23.29  
12  TEMPER TANTRUM 11 9 21 2½ 2½ 41 75 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 34.40  
8  MOUNT RUNDLE 7 8 86¼ 84¼ 83¾ 83¾ 85½ (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 9% 9.50 20.58  
10  TEJANO TWIST 9 12 118 116¾ 127 126 96 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 42.60  
11  PENALTY 10 7 44½ 53½ 73¼ 93¾ 107¼ (mott i)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 18.14  
13  MR. HUSTLE 12 11 64¾ 42½ 42 104 117½ (maker j)LANERIE J 122 12.00 10.94  
7  DREAMER'S DISEASE 6 2 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 127½ (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00 24.60  
SCR  GREYES CREEK               (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  SANTOS DUMONT               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.