Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Sunday - August 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE JEDI   (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 1.80 58% 0.70 1.43 W
SUTHERLAND   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 4.32 P
SARGENT LEE   (o'neill doug)DIAZ RENE 114 4.50 4.58  
PINE VALLEY   (brisset ro)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 13% 6.60 5.48  
BOCO   (hamilton tr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 47.92  
MOUNT KISCO   (howell jessi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 50.00 55.12  
NAVY SOUL   (pittman bon)PETERSON FERRIN 119 50.00 5% 19.00 42.29  
EMBRACE (IRE)   (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH null   7% 12.80 4.34  
TEBOW   (vaccarezza carlo)GRAHAM J 124 20.00 31.12  
 
ELP-2   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECODED   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 3.21  
COPPELIA   (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 7% 13.40 2.22 P
READY FOR CHANGE   (pessin l)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 28% 2.60 7.08 S
UPANDCOMINGSTAR   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 36% 1.80 4.45  
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)   (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 115 3.50 4.46  
MALLOY   (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00 15.25  
COMPELLING SMILE   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 7.79  
 
ELP-3   08/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 47% 1.10 2.84 W
MIDVALE   (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 18.38  
11  STAR POSE   (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 114 4.00 9.20  
CREATIVE DI   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.82  
EXCELLENT QUESTION   (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 2.75  
LIGHTER KNOT   (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 23.83  
PEACOCK LASS   (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
12  WITS AND WAGERS   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 10.96  
PERFECT ROSE   (vasquez ger)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 81.09  
ELECTRIC SENSE   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.50 10% 9.00 4.83  
FROSTY DIVA   (forster gran)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 5% 19.00 38.80  
REDHAIREDCOLLEEN   (reece claire)ELLIOTT JANE 119 50.00 61.74  
SCR  BABY GOT BACKSPIN   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00    
SCR  JOKES ON BLUE   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
ELP-4   08/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MISS YEARWOOD   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 1.60 41% 1.40 4.30 W
FINAL BELLE   (mott i)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 32% 2.10 2.47 P
12  BERATE   (mcgaughey cla)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 5.00 5.73 S
DUPLICITOUS   (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00 21.39  
NECK ON THE NILE   (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 115 10.00 14.47  
LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 123 6.00 7.28  
TWIRLING PATTI   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 5% 19.00 2.54  
10  THROMBOCYTOPENIA   (obert danie)PETERSON FERRIN 123 30.00 62.92  
RED HOT MAMA   (stewart da)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00 54.14  
FULL FOCUS   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 22.89  
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE   (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 20.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY MOM   (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116 50.00    
 
ELP-5   08/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CARE   (medina rob)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 15.50  
SUNNY RIVER   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 1.60 29% 2.40 1.11 P
11  SWEET LADY IVANKA   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 5.00 21% 3.80 3.76 S
FRAGRANT   (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 13.94  
ROLLESTON   (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 113 12.00 28.27  
FIVE PRIZES   (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.84  
10  PLEASE BE KIND   (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 6% 16.80 5.81  
VERY WEALTHY   (lucas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 65.21  
12  YOUR SO SILLEA   (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00 24% 3.20 8.87  
RED BEE   (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 50.00 82.91  
BELPERRON   (manley ste)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 62.80  
SCR  CONTESSINA   (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ALL IN SYNC   (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 22.90 W
CHARCOAL   (wisner j)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 8.17  
BAD BEAT BRIAN   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 10.00 33% 2.10 4.90 S
TOTALLY BOSS   (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 40% 1.50 2.02  
CALL ME MIDNIGHT   (desormeaux j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 40.12  
OCEANIC   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 10.84  
INTO THE SUNRISE   (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 14.64  
THANKS MR. EIDSON   (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 3.50 3.04  
SEVEN SCENTS   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00 6.07  
SCR  NECKER ISLAND   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
 
ELP-7   08/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRIETTA TOPHAM   (mulcahy geoff)HOLMES GAGE 122 20.00 9.72  
TURNERLOOSE   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 21% 3.80 1.61 P
TOUCH OF CLASS (GER)   (flint s)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 17.37  
TAKE CHARGE RO   (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00 35% 1.90 2.90  
DEMODOG   (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00 4.26  
WILDWOOD'S BEAUTY   (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 30.18  
UNDISTURBED   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 5.00 20% 4.00 8.02  
LADY FROSTED   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.98  
PYRAMID PRINCESS   (stuart shea)EMIGH A 122 20.00 46.08  
SCR  SISTER ANNIE   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
 
ELP-8   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE CREDIT   (haehn r)POMPELL L 124 8.00 7% 13.60 11.08 W
BROOKE MARIE   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 43% 1.30 3.14 P
10  TOBYS HEART   (lynch brian )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00 8% 12.10 3.99 S
VIOLENZA   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 18.90  
SOCIAL CHATTER   (oliver vic)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 7.24  
SPEEDOMETER   (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.03  
ELLE Z   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 126 3.50 18% 4.70 1.84  
STERLING MISS   (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 45.36  
AMBASSADOR LUNA   (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 39.35  
LITTLE BLAZE   (vaccarezza car)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00 23.23  
 
ELP-9   08/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY'S FABLE   (lynch bria)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 3.50 10.77  
MR DUMAS   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 38% 1.60 0.95 P
TUT'S REVENGE   (stuart she)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 30% 2.30 8.01 S
KITTANSETT   (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00 8.63  
KITODAN   (foster eric)LOPEZ E 120 10.00 10.61  
CUPID'S CLAWS   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 23.29  
12  TEMPER TANTRUM   (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 34.40  
MOUNT RUNDLE   (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 9% 9.50 20.58  
10  TEJANO TWIST   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 42.60  
11  PENALTY   (mott i)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 18.14  
13  MR. HUSTLE   (maker j)LANERIE J 122 12.00 10.94  
DREAMER'S DISEASE   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00 24.60  
SCR  GREYES CREEK   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  SANTOS DUMONT   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.