The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Colonial Downs
Monday - August 15, 2022

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CNL-1   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
:231 :452 1:091 1:214   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANKHURST 4 2 1 1½ 1½ 13 1hd (vance d)KARAMANOS A 123 1.60 43% 1.40 7.60 W
CONFESSOR 1 6 66 57 5 33 2hd (bennett s)CENTENO E 123 4.00 11% 7.80 2.30 P
SHORTLIST 5 5 4 46 4 531 (van thomas)ROCCO S 123 4.50 5.40 S
COUSIN LARRY 3 1 3 2½ 2½ 23 43 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 123 6.00 8.90  
OUTLIER 6 3 2 31 3½ 453 (cash l)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 3.00 0.90  
STONE COURAGEOUS 2 4 55 69 6 666 (smith a)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00 11% 8.20 20.40  
 
CNL-2   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:222 :46 :58     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASS WIZARD 1 5 42 41   22 1¾ (trombetta j)CARRASCO R 119 1.20 56% 0.80 0.50 W
COVERT KAT 6 3 3 3½   32 2¾ (trombetta j)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.50 13% 6.40 6.50 P
BIG WOO 3 4 1nk 1nk   12 3(catalano m)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 7% 14.30 4.30 S
C J 'S CAT FIVE 7 1 5 52   54(connelly teresa)GOMEZ KEVIN 114 5.00 11.10  
CHARMING COUNCIL 4 7 7 63   65(lusk r)AVILES YAN 114 30.00 56.00  
DYNA MAST 2 6 8 8   710¼ 6(fout douglas)ARROYO S 119 12.00 12.60 DH
NEWTOWN 5 2 2nk 2nk   44 6(olivo k)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00 18.30 DH
10  COMMAND TO FIRE 8 8 6 7   812¼ 821¾ (duffy sean)ZAYAS J 119 10.00 19.90  
SCR  LUXURY BOY               (reardon c)ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00    
SCR  RUBY ROAD               (martin jane)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 12.00    
 
CNL-3   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:41
:23 :464 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAMINGO FAZE 5 3 3 22   21¾ (schoenthal phil)CARRASCO R 119 4.00 31% 2.20 5.20 W
VIVID EXPOSURE 6 1 13 12   12¾ (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 114 3.50 21% 3.70 1.30 P
RIVER CITY ROCKER 2 4 46 43   337 (morgan carla)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 5.00 5.80 S
JAYLA 3 6 58 58   44(wittek karyn)ROCCO S 119 6.00 2.50  
ALICORN 1 5 6 69   511½ 512 (perri gina)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 5% 17.90 11.70  
LOVE ME OR DON'T 4 2 23 32   612 626¼ (mccutchen jason)ARROYO S 119 6.00 6.80  
SCR  FOUR LEMURS LINDY               (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  WICKED KITTEN               (allen ferris)ALVELO C 119 5.00    
 
CNL-4   08/15/2022 5940ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
:24 :481 1:121 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARTING OVER 5 3 2 21 21 1½ 1¼ (falcone n)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00 3.90  
BIZZEE CHANNEL 6 4 4 42 4 2½ 2¼ (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 1.60 57% 0.70 2.00 P
BUY ME CANDY 3 6 54 5 6 42 3(correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 5.00 1.50 S
FULL CHARGE 2 5 6 6 5 64(west w)ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00 7.00  
MO HAWK 4 1 1 11 11 3½ 57 (avila carlos)REYES LEONEL 123 8.00 8% 11.50 13.40  
EASTSIDE COOL 1 2 33 3 32 56(asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.00 8.80  
 
CNL-5   08/15/2022 5280ft TURF GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
:24 :481 1:14 1:263   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AND THE OSCAR GOES 4 3 8 8 6 31 1¾ (lusk r)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 16% 5.30 7.10 W
10  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA 10 8 7 7 4¼ 1nk 2¾ (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 124 10.00 1.80 P
BLAST THE MUSIC 6 7 6 53 3.2 2nk 31 (bentley fenneka)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 30.00 33.20  
DIABLO DADDY 9 5 3 42 5 44(zook w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00 5.90  
ANALYZEYOURVISION 5 2 5 6 93 55(o'connell kathleen)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.00 6% 15.10 2.60  
BIG RED CARDINAL 1 10 9 10 83 66(ryan s)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 54% 0.90 4.50  
11  REAL RICK 11 11 11 11 104 87 7(williams l)MENESES MARCOS 111 12.00 46.80  
ICE BAR 3 6 10 9 116 98(morris r)ARROYO S 118 10.00 40.50  
DIVINAS CONNECTION 2 9 4 31 7 79(locklear james)SIMPSON JASON 111 30.00 94.10  
RIXEY ROCKET 7 1 1 1nk 1nk 101012¼ (morgan carla)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 20.00 60.20  
GIRO D'ORO 8 4 2 2nk 2nk 1111½ 1115 (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 124 8.00 20.10  
 
CNL-6   08/15/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
:243 :491 1:132 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED WIND 6 1 1 1 12 11(mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 125 3.50 14% 6.20 2.20 W
MAP EM UP 7 7 6 6 43 22(rodriguez m)MENESES MARCOS 125 4.50 7.00  
MISS MORENO 1 2 3 3 33 33 34 (allen ferris)ALVELO C 125 10.00 30.00  
WINDY CITY GIRL 8 6 7 7 65 45 4(rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 2.50 36% 1.80 2.60  
CLASSY OF COURSE 3 5 4 4 5 67 510¼ (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 125 4.50 14% 6.10 2.80  
OVER TO YOU 9 8 8 8 8 79 610¾ (morris r)AVILES YAN 120 10.00 12% 7.20 9.20  
GIVEITSOMEWELLIE 2 3 2 2 22 56 712¼ (reardon c)ARROYO S 125 8.00 11.10  
OBLIO'S WISH 5 9 9 9 9 8813¼ (rodriguez m)ALONSO LUIS 125 20.00 5% 19.00 58.60  
AUBURN 4 4 5 5 76 919½ 931¾ (lusk r)MENA E 125 20.00 47.80  
 
CNL-7   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
:222 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAK E LADY 8 4 5 42   2nk 1¼ (ashby lynn)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 5.40  
TEA IN CHINA 7 5 7 6   42¼ (godsey dennehy)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 2.50 13% 6.80 3.20 P
WRITE THIS DOWN 3 8 9 95   63½ (englehart s)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 3.30  
11  YIRA 10 3 4 5   54½ (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 117 12.00 9.10  
MAMBA QUEEN 1 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 5(mcmahon i)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 8.00 6% 15.80 2.50  
ELUSIVE UNCAPTURED 6 6 31 31   31 6(o'connell kathleen)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 6% 16.90 8.00  
SIREN'S LUCKY SONG 2 7 8 8   77(d'angelo francisco)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
10  V K STAR 9 10 10 107   88(ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 122 20.00 43.80  
A WISH FOR TRISH 4 2 2½ 2nk   9918¼ (kurtinecz lilli)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00 41.80  
FIRST IKIGAI 5 9 6 7   1011¼ 1019½ (mejia ines)SUAREZ ANTHONY 118 30.00 66.40  
SCR  ICY REPLY               (sanchez-salomon rodolfo)GARCIA LUIS 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
CNL-8   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
:224 :451 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANCTIFIED 3 8 98 9   81½ (stidham michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 7.90  
BY THE SEY SHORE 2 6 6 5   41 2½ (trombetta j)ZAYAS J 122 8.00 25% 3.10 3.80 P
SMALL FIELD 5 4 5 6   531 (huffman g)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 4.70  
UPBEAT MELODY 8 1 1 12   1½ 4(rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 43% 1.30 4.80  
SIMPLE LOGIC 4 7 8 7   93 5(block chris)REYES LEONEL 122 6.00 6% 16.50 6.90  
LUCA DREW THE ACE 6 2 44 43   2½ 6(dion andrew)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00 6.20  
E J'S REVENGE 9 3 2 22   31 7(murtaugh j)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00 15.40  
BUTTON BOY 1 9 75 8   68(correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00 6.30  
SHELLY ISLAND 7 5 33 32   79(cooney s)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
SCR  AIRSPEED VELOCITY               (toner j)CARRASCO R 118 8.00    
 
CNL-9   08/15/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
:241 :49 1:132 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  NICKY BEAR 8 9 96 8 6 31 1(milosevic milan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00 7.50  
12  CLARESTOWN 9 7 42 3½ 1nk 1½ 2(block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 23% 3.30 1.80 P
BAIL OUT 6 5 7 6 4 42 32 (englehart s)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 4.30  
NOMADIC FIGHTER 3 3 11 1nk 2nk 2½ 4(asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 10.00 9.70  
SOCIALLONGDISTANCE 2 4 64 9 7 54 5(lusk r)AVILES YAN 113 15.00 17.80  
10  SEIZING THE DREAM 7 8 85 7 8 86(toner j)CARRASCO R 123 8.00 5.40  
STAR SHOPPING 5 2 21 2nk 3.2 66 78 (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 118 12.00 5.50  
CHINA BEACH 4 6 32 4 5 77 8(brown l)ALONSO LUIS 123 6.00 12.20  
TRANSIT 1 1 53 5 98 911½ 914¾ (voss elizabeth)ROCCO S 123 12.00 28.20  
SCR  EYE OF THE CAT               (catalano m)ZAYAS J 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  KOKO STAR               (worton elisabeth)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  PURSUING PACE               (bailes robert)KARAMANOS A 120 4.50 12% 7.50    
 
CNL-10   08/15/2022 11880ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
4:094         4:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANDUA 2 78 64 3 16 12 (morris r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
SEISMIC WAVE 7 95 96 9 8 322 (morris r)FOLEY BARRY 154      
HONOR UP 1 32 4 4 6 26 34 (young f)GARNER THOMAS 154   7% 13.20   S
JIMMY P 4 64 6 53 5 54(brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148   48% 1.10    
AHNAF 6 11 21 3 4 45(cockburn sam)GERAGHTY ROSS 154      
QUALITY CHOICE 5 21 11 1 1½ 68 610¾ (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 149   18% 4.50    
BRAVE DEACON 9 43 2 2½ 711 714½ (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 149      
ZARKALLANI (FR) 8 53 53 7 7 812½ 817½ (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 154      
KID MACHO 3 85 74 8 910½ 916½ 920 (mckenna todd)BESWICK HARRISON 154   5% 18.60    
 
CNL-11   08/15/2022 11880ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:50
4:08         4:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTINIRISHTABIT 4 12 13 1nk 2nk 16 113¾ (hendriks j)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
MAKE A STAND 2 22 23 2nk 3.2 26 213¾ (watters graham)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
CRITICIZE 1 33 33 32 1nk 37 321 (morris r)BESWICK HARRISON 145     S
PEAT MOSS (IRE) 3 44 4 4100 4100 4100 4100 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158   53% 0.90    
SCR  HE'LL DO               (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 153   20% 4.00    
SCR  TELEGRAM               (voss elizabeth)GARNER THOMAS 156      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.