Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Colonial Downs
Monday - August 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:231 :452 1:091 1:214   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPANKHURST 4 2 11½ 1½ 1½ 13 1hd (vance thomas )KARAMANOS A 123 1.60 43% 1.40 7.60 W
1  CONFESSOR 1 6 66 57 52¾ 33 2hd (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 123 4.00 11% 7.80 2.30 P
5  SHORTLIST 5 5 44½ 46 42½ 53¼ 31 (van thoma)ROCCO S 123 4.50 ★ 5.40 S
3  COUSIN LARRY 3 1 31½ 2½ 2½ 23 43 (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 123 6.00 8.90  
6  OUTLIER 6 3 21½ 31 3½ 43¼ 53 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 116 3.00 ★ 0.90  
2  STONE COURAGEOUS 2 4 55 69 69¾ 69¼ 66 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00 11% 8.20 20.40  
 
CNL-2   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :46 :58     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CLASS WIZARD 1 5 42 41   22 1¾ (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 1.20 56% 0.80 0.50 W
8  COVERT KAT 6 3 31½ 3½   32 2¾ (trombetta m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.50 13% 6.40 6.50 P
4  BIG WOO 3 4 1nk 1nk   12 31¾ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 7% 14.30 4.30 S
9  C J 'S CAT FIVE 7 1 52½ 52   54¼ 44¼ (connelly teresa)GOMEZ KEVIN 114 5.00 ★ 11.10  
5  CHARMING COUNCIL 4 7 75¼ 63   69¼ 59¾ (lusk r)AVILES YAN 114 30.00 56.00  
3  DYNA MAST 2 6 88¼ 87¾   710¼ 69¾ (fout dougl)ARROYO S 119 12.00 12.60 DH
7  NEWTOWN 5 2 2nk 2nk   44 69¾ (olivo k)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00 18.30 DH
10  COMMAND TO FIRE 8 8 62¾ 73¼   812¼ 821¾ (duffy sean)ZAYAS J 119 10.00 ★ 19.90  
SCR  LUXURY BOY               (reardon m )ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00    
SCR  RUBY ROAD               (martin jan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 12.00    
 
CNL-3   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FLAMINGO FAZE 5 3 34½ 22   22½ 1¾ (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 4.00 31% 2.20 5.20 W
7  VIVID EXPOSURE 6 1 13 12   12½ 2¾ (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 114 3.50 21% 3.70 1.30 P
2  RIVER CITY ROCKER 2 4 46 43   36½ 37 (morgan carla)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 5.00 ★ 5.80 S
3  JAYLA 3 6 58 58   49½ 47½ (wittek karyn)ROCCO S 119 6.00 2.50  
1  ALICORN 1 5 69½ 69   511½ 512 (perri gina)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 5% 17.90 11.70  
4  LOVE ME OR DON'T 4 2 23 32   612 626¼ (mccutchen ja)ARROYO S 119 6.00 6.80  
SCR  FOUR LEMURS LINDY               (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  WICKED KITTEN               (allen ferri)ALVELO C 119 5.00    
 
CNL-4   08/15/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STARTING OVER 5 3 21½ 21 21 1½ 1¼ (falcone rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00 ★ 3.90  
6  BIZZEE CHANNEL 6 4 43½ 42 42½ 2½ 2¼ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 1.60 57% 0.70 2.00 P
3  BUY ME CANDY 3 6 54 52½ 64½ 42 32¾ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 5.00 ★ 1.50 S
2  FULL CHARGE 2 5 64½ 63½ 54½ 62¼ 45¼ (west w)ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00 7.00  
4  MO HAWK 4 1 11½ 11 11 3½ 57 (avila car)REYES LEONEL 123 8.00 8% 11.50 13.40  
1  EASTSIDE COOL 1 2 33 31½ 32 52¼ 67¼ (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.00 ★ 8.80  
 
CNL-5   08/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14 1:263   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AND THE OSCAR GOES 4 3 85¼ 85¼ 61½ 31 1¾ (lusk r)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 16% 5.30 7.10 W
10  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA 10 8 74¾ 75¼ 4¼ 1nk 2¾ (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 124 10.00 ★ 1.80 P
6  BLAST THE MUSIC 6 7 63¾ 53 3.2 2nk 31 (bentley fenneka)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 30.00 33.20  
9  DIABLO DADDY 9 5 32½ 42 51¼ 41½ 41¼ (zook jeff )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00 5.90  
5  ANALYZEYOURVISION 5 2 53½ 63¼ 93 53½ 55½ (o'connell kath)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.00 6% 15.10 2.60  
1  BIG RED CARDINAL 1 10 96¼ 106½ 83 64½ 66¼ (ryan dere)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 54% 0.90 4.50  
11  REAL RICK 11 11 119¾ 118½ 104 87 78¼ (williams gar)MENESES MARCOS 111 12.00 46.80  
3  ICE BAR 3 6 106¾ 96¼ 116 97½ 88½ (morris neil )ARROYO S 118 10.00 ★ 40.50  
2  DIVINAS CONNECTION 2 9 42½ 31 72½ 76½ 99½ (locklear jame)SIMPSON JASON 111 30.00 94.10  
7  RIXEY ROCKET 7 1 11½ 1nk 1nk 109½ 1012¼ (morgan car)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 20.00 60.20  
8  GIRO D'ORO 8 4 21½ 2nk 2nk 1111½ 1115 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 124 8.00 20.10  
 
CNL-6   08/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:132 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RED WIND 6 1 11½ 11½ 12 12½ 11¼ (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 125 3.50 14% 6.20 2.20 W
7  MAP EM UP 7 7 62¾ 62¾ 43 22½ 21¼ (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 125 4.50 7.00  
1  MISS MORENO 1 2 31½ 31½ 33 33 34 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 125 10.00 30.00  
8  WINDY CITY GIRL 8 6 73¼ 74¼ 65 45 45¾ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 2.50 36% 1.80 2.60  
3  CLASSY OF COURSE 3 5 42½ 42½ 53½ 67 510¼ (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 125 4.50 14% 6.10 2.80  
9  OVER TO YOU 9 8 83½ 84½ 86¼ 79 610¾ (morris r)AVILES YAN 120 10.00 12% 7.20 9.20  
2  GIVEITSOMEWELLIE 2 3 21½ 21½ 22 56 712¼ (reardon c)ARROYO S 125 8.00 11.10  
5  OBLIO'S WISH 5 9 98½ 99½ 97¼ 89½ 813¼ (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 125 20.00 5% 19.00 58.60  
4  AUBURN 4 4 52¾ 52¾ 76 919½ 931¾ (lusk r)MENA E 125 20.00 47.80  
 
CNL-7   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TAK E LADY 8 4 51½ 42   2nk 1¼ (ashby lynn)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 5.40  
8  TEA IN CHINA 7 5 72¾ 63¼   41½ 2¼ (godsey de)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 2.50 13% 6.80 3.20 P
4  WRITE THIS DOWN 3 8 96¾ 95   63¼ 3½ (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 3.30  
11  YIRA 10 3 41½ 52¼   51¾ 4½ (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 117 12.00 9.10  
2  MAMBA QUEEN 1 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 52¼ (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 8.00 6% 15.80 2.50  
7  ELUSIVE UNCAPTURED 6 6 31 31   31 62¾ (o'connell kath)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 6% 16.90 8.00  
3  SIREN'S LUCKY SONG 2 7 84¾ 84¾   74¾ 73¼ (d'angelo jose)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
10  V K STAR 9 10 108¼ 107   86¼ 86½ (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 122 20.00 43.80  
5  A WISH FOR TRISH 4 2 2½ 2nk   98¼ 918¼ (kurtinecz lilli)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00 41.80  
6  FIRST IKIGAI 5 9 61¾ 73¼   1011¼ 1019½ (mejia maria )SUAREZ ANTHONY 118 30.00 66.40  
SCR  ICY REPLY               (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
CNL-8   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:224 :451 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SANCTIFIED 3 8 98 96¼   82¾ 1½ (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 7.90  
2  BY THE SEY SHORE 2 6 64½ 53¼   41 2½ (trombetta mi)ZAYAS J 122 8.00 25% 3.10 3.80 P
5  SMALL FIELD 5 4 54½ 63¾   51¼ 31 (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 119 12.00 4.70  
8  UPBEAT MELODY 8 1 12½ 12   1½ 41½ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 43% 1.30 4.80  
4  SIMPLE LOGIC 4 7 85½ 73¾   93 51¾ (block chris)REYES LEONEL 122 6.00 6% 16.50 6.90  
6  LUCA DREW THE ACE 6 2 44 43   2½ 62¼ (dion andrew)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00 6.20  
9  E J'S REVENGE 9 3 22½ 22   31 72¼ (murtaugh andr)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00 15.40  
1  BUTTON BOY 1 9 75 84¼   61¼ 83¾ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00 ★ 6.30  
7  SHELLY ISLAND 7 5 33 32   72¼ 94½ (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
SCR  AIRSPEED VELOCITY               (toner jam)CARRASCO R 118 8.00    
 
CNL-9   08/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:132 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  NICKY BEAR 8 9 96 84¼ 63¾ 31 11½ (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00 7.50  
12  CLARESTOWN 9 7 42 3½ 1nk 1½ 21½ (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 23% 3.30 1.80 P
9  BAIL OUT 6 5 74½ 62¾ 42¼ 42 32 (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 4.30  
4  NOMADIC FIGHTER 3 3 11 1nk 2nk 2½ 42¾ (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 10.00 9.70  
2  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE 2 4 64 94¼ 73¾ 54 53½ (lusk r)AVILES YAN 113 15.00 17.80  
10  SEIZING THE DREAM 7 8 85 73¾ 87¾ 88½ 67½ (toner jam)CARRASCO R 123 8.00 5.40  
6  STAR SHOPPING 5 2 21 2nk 3.2 66 78 (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 118 12.00 5.50  
5  CHINA BEACH 4 6 32 41½ 52¾ 77 88¼ (brown dona)ALONSO LUIS 123 6.00 ★ 12.20  
1  TRANSIT 1 1 53 51¾ 98 911½ 914¾ (voss elizabeth)ROCCO S 123 12.00 28.20  
SCR  EYE OF THE CAT               (catalano way)ZAYAS J 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  KOKO STAR               (worton dor)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  PURSUING PACE               (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 120 4.50 12% 7.50    
 
CNL-10   08/15/2022 11880ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
4:094         4:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BANDUA 2 74½ 84½ 64 31½ 16 12 (morris r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
7  SEISMIC WAVE 7 95 96 96¼ 85½ 36½ 22 (morris r)FOLEY BARRY 154      
1  HONOR UP 1 32 42½ 42½ 63½ 26 34 (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 154   7% 13.20   S
4  JIMMY P 4 64 63½ 53 52½ 57½ 44½ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148   48% 1.10    
6  AHNAF 6 11 21 31½ 42½ 47½ 56½ (cockburn sam)GERAGHTY ROSS 154      
5  QUALITY CHOICE 5 21 11 11½ 1½ 68 610¾ (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 149   18% 4.50    
9  BRAVE DEACON 9 42½ 31½ 21½ 2½ 711 714½ (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 149      
8  ZARKALLANI (FR) 8 53 53 74½ 74½ 812½ 817½ (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 154   ★    
3  KID MACHO 3 85 74 84¾ 910½ 916½ 920 (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 154   5% 18.60    
 
CNL-11   08/15/2022 11880ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
4:08         4:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FIGHTINIRISHTABIT 4 12 13 1nk 2nk 16 113¾ (hendriks rich)BARGARY JAMIE 154   ★    
2  MAKE A STAND 2 22 23 2nk 3.2 26 213¾ (watters grah)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
1  CRITICIZE 1 33 33 32 1nk 37 321 (morris nei)BESWICK HARRISON 145   ★   S
4  PEAT MOSS (IRE) 3 44 44½ 4100 4100 4100 4100 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158   53% 0.90    
SCR  HE'LL DO               (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 153   20% 4.00    
SCR  TELEGRAM               (voss elizabet)GARNER THOMAS 156   ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.