Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Monday - August 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONFESSOR Jul29 May28 Apr08 Mar11   (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 123 4.00 11% 7.80    
2  STONE COURAGEOUS Jul10 Jun12 May01 Apr10 Mar26 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00 11% 8.20    
3  COUSIN LARRY Jul13 Jun19 May28 Apr15   (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 123 6.00    
4  SPANKHURST Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun02 May05 (vance thomas )KARAMANOS A 123 1.60 43% 1.40    
5  SHORTLIST Jul04 Apr22 Apr02 Jan29   (van thoma)ROCCO S 123 4.50 ★    
6  OUTLIER Aug08 Jul29 Jul10 Jul04 Jun02 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 116 3.00 ★    
 
CNL-2   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUXURY BOY Aug02         (reardon m )ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00    
2  CLASS WIZARD Jul29 Jul02 Jun10 Apr02 Mar18 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 1.20 56% 0.80    
3  DYNA MAST Jul13         (fout dougl)ARROYO S 119 12.00    
4  BIG WOO Jul20         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 7% 14.30    
5  CHARMING COUNCIL Jul19         (lusk r)AVILES YAN 114 30.00    
SCR  RUBY ROAD         (martin jan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 12.00    
7  NEWTOWN Jan14         (olivo k)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00    
8  COVERT KAT Jul15 Jun17 May21     (trombetta m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.50 13% 6.40    
9  C J 'S CAT FIVE Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jun29 Jun14 (connelly teresa)GOMEZ KEVIN 114 5.00 ★    
10  COMMAND TO FIRE         (duffy sean)ZAYAS J 119 10.00 ★    
 
CNL-3   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALICORN         (perri gina)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 5% 17.90    
2  RIVER CITY ROCKER         (morgan carla)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 5.00 ★    
3  JAYLA Jun28         (wittek karyn)ROCCO S 119 6.00    
4  LOVE ME OR DON'T         (mccutchen ja)ARROYO S 119 6.00    
5  FLAMINGO FAZE         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  FOUR LEMURS LINDY         (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 5% 17.90    
7  VIVID EXPOSURE Jul04 Jun19       (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 114 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  WICKED KITTEN         (allen ferri)ALVELO C 119 5.00    
 
CNL-4   08/15/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTSIDE COOL Jul27 Jun05 Apr23 Apr03 Mar19 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.00 ★    
2  FULL CHARGE Jul13 Jun09 May12 Apr15 Feb23 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00    
3  BUY ME CANDY Jul18 Apr27 Mar18 Feb10   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 5.00 ★    
4  MO HAWK Jul29 Jun18 May07 Feb24 Jan14 (avila car)REYES LEONEL 123 8.00 8% 11.50    
5  STARTING OVER Jul02 Jun03 May07 Feb05 Jan08 (falcone rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00 ★    
6  BIZZEE CHANNEL Jul19 Jun25 May28 May07 Apr10 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 1.60 57% 0.70    
 
CNL-5   08/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG RED CARDINAL Jul29         (ryan dere)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 54% 0.90    
2  DIVINAS CONNECTION Jul27 May07 Feb03     (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 111 30.00    
3  ICE BAR Jul12 Jun03 May09 Apr26 Mar22 (morris neil )ARROYO S 118 10.00 ★    
4  AND THE OSCAR GOES Jul20 Jul01 Apr08 Mar06 Feb19 (lusk r)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 16% 5.30    
5  ANALYZEYOURVISION Jul13 Jun25 May06 Apr22 Mar13 (o'connell kath)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.00 6% 15.10    
6  BLAST THE MUSIC Jul18         (bentley fenneka)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 30.00    
7  RIXEY ROCKET Jul20 Jun25 May26 Apr29   (morgan car)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 20.00    
8  GIRO D'ORO Aug02         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 124 8.00    
9  DIABLO DADDY Jul31 Jul17 Jul04 Jun25 Jun05 (zook jeff )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00    
10  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Jul12 Jun25 May29 Apr22 Apr01 (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 124 10.00 ★    
11  REAL RICK         (williams gar)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 12.00    
 
CNL-6   08/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MORENO Aug08 Jun24 Jun04 May12 Apr28 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 125 10.00    
2  GIVEITSOMEWELLIE Aug02 May06 Mar30 Feb26 Feb20 (reardon c)ARROYO S 125 8.00    
3  CLASSY OF COURSE Aug08 Jul01 May28 Apr30 Feb26 (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 125 4.50 14% 6.10    
4  AUBURN May06 Apr24 Apr16 Mar13 Feb27 (lusk r)MENA E 125 20.00    
5  OBLIO'S WISH Jul30         (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  RED WIND Aug02 Jul26 Jul01 Jun19 May20 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 125 3.50 14% 6.20    
7  MAP EM UP Apr24 Apr10 Mar18 Feb24 Feb09 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 125 4.50    
8  WINDY CITY GIRL Aug08 Jun18 May28 Jan02   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
9  OVER TO YOU Jun19 May31       (morris r)AVILES YAN 120 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
CNL-7   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ICY REPLY Aug14 Jul28 Jul02 Jun25 Jun12 (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  MAMBA QUEEN Jul28 May19 Apr30 Apr09 Jan23 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 8.00 6% 15.80    
3  SIREN'S LUCKY SONG Jul21 Jun24 May26 May13 Apr03 (d'angelo jose)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WRITE THIS DOWN Jun17 Apr29 Feb18 Jan23   (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
5  A WISH FOR TRISH Jun22 May09 Apr26     (kurtinecz lilli)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00    
6  FIRST IKIGAI Jun30         (mejia maria )SUAREZ ANTHONY 118 30.00    
7  ELUSIVE UNCAPTURED May22 Apr29 Apr03 Feb18 Feb04 (o'connell kath)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 6% 16.90    
8  TEA IN CHINA Aug02 Jul11       (godsey de)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 2.50 13% 6.80    
9  TAK E LADY Jul27 Jul07 Jun17 Jun02 May06 (ashby lynn)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
10  V K STAR Aug02 Jul13 Jul01 May21 Apr20 (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 122 20.00    
11  YIRA Jul28 Jul02       (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 117 12.00    
 
CNL-8   08/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUTTON BOY         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00 ★    
2  BY THE SEY SHORE Jul15 Jul03 May29     (trombetta mi)ZAYAS J 122 8.00 25% 3.10    
3  SANCTIFIED Jul19 Jan09       (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
4  SIMPLE LOGIC Jul18 Jun25 Jun10     (block chris)REYES LEONEL 122 6.00 6% 16.50    
5  SMALL FIELD Aug02 Jul27 Jul12 Apr28   (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
6  LUCA DREW THE ACE Jul11 May08 Apr16 Apr06 Mar18 (dion andrew)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
7  SHELLY ISLAND Jul20 May29       (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  UPBEAT MELODY Jun11 May03       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 43% 1.30    
9  E J'S REVENGE Jul20 Jul11 Jun24 Jun09 May26 (murtaugh andr)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00    
SCR  AIRSPEED VELOCITY Jun26 May21 Apr16 Feb19   (toner jam)CARRASCO R 118 8.00    
 
CNL-9   08/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANSIT Jul23 Jun05       (voss elizabeth)ROCCO S 123 12.00    
2  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Jul18 Jun30 Jun19     (lusk r)AVILES YAN 113 15.00    
SCR  EYE OF THE CAT Jun25 May31       (catalano way)ZAYAS J 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
4  NOMADIC FIGHTER Jul29 Jul10 Jun20     (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 10.00    
5  CHINA BEACH Aug08 Jul18 Apr13 Mar02 Feb13 (brown dona)ALONSO LUIS 123 6.00 ★    
6  STAR SHOPPING Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 Apr16 Mar06 (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 118 12.00    
SCR  PURSUING PACE Jul17 Jul02 May28 Apr30   (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 120 4.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  KOKO STAR Aug01 Jul12       (worton dor)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 4.00 25% 3.00    
9  BAIL OUT Jul15 Jun05 May15 Apr15   (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00    
10  SEIZING THE DREAM Jul15 Jun18 Feb17     (toner jam)CARRASCO R 123 8.00    
11  NICKY BEAR Jul08 Jun26 May13 Apr28   (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
12  CLARESTOWN Jun11 May21       (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 23% 3.30    
 
CNL-10   08/15/2022 11880ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR UP Jul26         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 154   7% 13.20    
2  BANDUA Jul26         (morris r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
3  KID MACHO Jan17         (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 154   5% 18.60    
4  JIMMY P Jul26 Mar06       (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148   48% 1.10    
5  QUALITY CHOICE Aug01 Jul11       (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 149   18% 4.50    
6  AHNAF Aug01         (cockburn sam)GERAGHTY ROSS 154      
7  SEISMIC WAVE Aug01 Jun29       (morris r)FOLEY BARRY 154      
8  ZARKALLANI (FR) Jul11         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 154   ★    
9  BRAVE DEACON Aug01 Jul13 Jun26     (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 149      
 
CNL-11   08/15/2022 11880ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRITICIZE Jul26 Jul12 Jun18 Jun01   (morris nei)BESWICK HARRISON 145   ★    
2  MAKE A STAND Jul26         (watters grah)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
SCR  TELEGRAM         (voss elizabet)GARNER THOMAS 156   ★    
4  PEAT MOSS (IRE) Jul26         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158   53% 0.90    
5  FIGHTINIRISHTABIT Jul27 May24       (hendriks rich)BARGARY JAMIE 154   ★    
SCR  HE'LL DO         (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 153   20% 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.