Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Friday - August 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:123 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YARBOROUGH 7 3 2nk 2 21 21 1¼ (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 20% 3.90 1.50 W
CHARGING LADY 8 8 8 7 75 4 2¼ (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 123 2.50 51% 0.90 5.50 P
TIZ KOBE TIME 3 1 1nk 1 11 11 3 (servis tyle)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 6.00 22.10  
GOLD WATCH 4 5 6 8 65 5 4 (einhorn kim)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 3.50 6% 14.60 2.80  
EMMYLOU 1 6 5 4 42 31 5 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 2.90  
GOLDEN BELIEF 6 2 3.2 5 5 6 67 (matz r)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00 22.70  
VALEURETTE 5 4 4¾ 6 8 8 7 (servi)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00 42.70  
LAZARA 2 7 7 3 3 7 810¾ (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 10.00 20.20  
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION               (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
SCR  STANDOFF               (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50    
 
MTH-2   08/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113 1:254   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY BAFFLED 5 4 2½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 1 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 116 3.50 1.30  
COLLIN'S GREY LADY 3 3 4 42 4 3 2 (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 116 10.00 7.90  
REGAL REALM 1 2 3 3 2nk 1½ 33 (thoma)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 1.00 41% 1.40 1.10 S
POOR NO MORE 4 5 5 59 57 46 4 (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 109 20.00 16.00  
LI'L MISS CAMILLE 2 1 1½ 1½ 33 510 527 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 116 6.00 14% 6.10 5.90  
SCR  PAPER MANSION               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 116 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
MTH-3   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:222 :454 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FITTS 4 1 21 3   2nk 1hd (berrios)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 20.00 52.50  
DAKOTA BOY 5 3 11 1   1nk 2hd (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.00 17% 4.90 0.70 P
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS 3 5 4 2   3½ 3nk (zerpa gilberto)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 10% 8.90 3.60 S
NOT A POSTINO 2 4 5 55   5 4 (plaza albert)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 4.00 16% 5.20 4.20  
COLD ROCK 6 2 31 42   44 57 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 15.00 31.90  
WINE TIME 1 6 611½ 610   6 6 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.50 37% 1.70 5.00  
SCR  ALIGNMENT               (farro pat)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
 
MTH-4   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:123 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONESOME FUGITIVE (IRE) 2 5 5 41 4 3½ 1¼ (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 28% 2.60 1.40 W
IT CAN BE DONE 3 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 2¼ (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 2.00  
RECONVENE 4 6 6 62 6 52 32 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 23.90  
MT SURIBACHI 6 3 4 3½ 3.2 2½ 4 (smylie timot)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00 8.50  
DOMINATE THEMOMENT 5 1 31 5 5 4 53 (brown r)JUAREZ NIK 124 4.00 3.90  
MAGICAL MARRIAGE 7 4 1nk 2nk 2nk 65 68 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 12.00 11.60  
BALLAGH ROCKS 1 7 7 7 7 7 710½ (englehart)VARGAS A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
SCR  ANGELUS WARRIOR               (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  CYBERVIKING               (delgado jorge)FERRER C 115 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  OLYMPIC ROMP               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
 
MTH-5   08/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:111 1:374   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIENDLY FELLA 4 2 2½ 11 15 17 1 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 2.50 28% 2.60 1.40 W
FLOWERS FOR LISA 6 6 5 5 25 27 2 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 6.00 8% 11.80 6.70 P
LOOK OUT LAMBO 1 5 65 67 510 412 311¾ (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 124 10.00 6.40  
TRAPPEZOID 5 3 1½ 21 36 311 417¾ (atras)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 34% 1.90 4.40  
CURLIN'S THRILL 2 4 4 3 47 513 528 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 3.10  
INDIAN BUZZ 3 1 31 4 610 616 632¾ (nobles reynal)SOSA LAUREANO 112 4.50 8% 12.10 7.70  
SCR  RELISHMENT               (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
SCR  TITAN'S WILL               (garibay andres)JUAREZ NIK 122 8.00    
 
MTH-6   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:122 1:374   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK THE STARS 7 4 3 4 31 1½ 1hd (rodriguez dar)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 61% 0.60 2.00 W
HOOKY PLAYER 6 3 5 5 5 31 2hd (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00 9% 9.70 6.60 P
MARVELOUSMOONDANCE 8 6 8 6 6 43 3 (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 123 6.00 6% 15.30 9.60 S
EQUALJUSTICEFORALL 1 5 7 8 8 6 43 (milne joan)CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00 11.30  
TIMO 5 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 2½ 5 (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 2.70  
PRINCE OF TROY 2 7 44 7 7 8 6 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 118 5.00 5.30  
STAFF SERGEANT 3 8 6 3.2 4 7 7 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00 38.00  
JOHN JAY 4 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 54 8 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 118 10.00 7.00  
SCR  AMERICAN DAY               (schis)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
SCR  LATE CALL               (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50    
SCR  NANTASKET BEACH               (lawrence james)ADORNO ABNER 118 15.00    
 
MTH-7   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:214 :441 :564     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) 8 4 21 2nk   2nk 1¾ (englehart je)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 27% 2.70 1.50 W
POWERFULLY BUILT 4 1 11 1nk   1nk 2¾ (huston)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 8.00 12% 7.60 9.10 P
AEQUOR 7 5 810 710¾   58 3 (russo j)FERRER C 120 12.00 13.90  
RAISE THE RENT 5 3 31 34   35 4 (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00 17% 4.80 7.00  
CANT STOP THIS MAN 1 8 65 5   69 5 (penaloza mig)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 3.50 13% 6.70 3.10  
DOUBLE PLAY KING 2 7 54 6   712 613¼ (garoffalo jose)CAMACHO SAMY 115 10.00 21.20  
COMPOUND IT 6 2 4 46   4 714 (penaloza mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 20.00 8% 11.70 30.20  
FROMANOTHAMUTHA 3 6 7 812¼   812¼ 814 (handal ra)VARGAS A 115 3.00 3.80  
SCR  VIKRAM               (holle)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 5.00    
 
MTH-8   08/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:131 1:392   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKILLFUL 4 2 43 5 21 1½ 1¼ (ortega leopol)CARDENAS LUIS 124 4.00 23% 3.30 4.30 W
UMBRAGE 2 6 32 2½ 11 2½ 2¼ (alcala)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 8.00 5.30 P
CANDY KINGDOM 5 4 7 7 64 47 3 (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 121 10.00 13.20  
BELLAMY DOLCE 7 3 8 8 54 3 4 (simmonds mich)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 12.00 17.30  
SHIMMERING LIGHT 3 1 2 3 8 7 510¾ (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.00 30% 2.30 1.90  
JOHNNYPUMP 8 8 53 4 4 57 612¼ (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 8.20  
AMERICAN FORCES 6 7 6 6 7 8 713¼ (alcala ce)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.00 22% 3.60 6.90  
KITH 1 5 1 1½ 32 68 814 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 121 3.50 5.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.