Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - August 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMMYLOU Jul01         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
2  LAZARA Jul02 May09 Mar27 Feb12   (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 10.00    
3  TIZ KOBE TIME         (servis tyle)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 6.00    
4  GOLD WATCH Jul24 Jul02 Jun11 May21 Mar27 (einhorn kim)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 3.50 6% 14.60    
5  VALEURETTE Jul19         (servi)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00    
6  GOLDEN BELIEF Jan06         (matz r)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00 ★    
7  YARBOROUGH Jul24         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
8  CHARGING LADY Jul02 May19 Apr13     (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 123 2.50 51% 0.90    
SCR  STANDOFF         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION Jun26         (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
 
MTH-2   08/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL REALM Jul23 Jul08 May26 Apr15   (thoma)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 1.00 41% 1.40    
2  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Jul31 Jul09 Jun11 Mar23 Mar06 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 116 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  COLLIN'S GREY LADY Aug03 Jun29 Jan19     (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 116 10.00    
SCR  PAPER MANSION Jul30 Jun28 Jun13 May23 May02 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 116 2.50 20% 4.00    
5  POOR NO MORE Jul26 Jul05 Jun20 Jun06 May23 (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 109 20.00 ★    
6  LADY BAFFLED Jul03 Apr09       (sweezey j)VARGAS A 116 3.50 ★    
 
MTH-3   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINE TIME Jul29 Jun26 May30     (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  NOT A POSTINO Jul01 Jun17 May30 May14   (plaza albert)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 4.00 16% 5.20    
3  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Aug04 Jul01 Apr28 Mar24 Mar12 (zerpa gilberto)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 10% 8.90    
4  FITTS         (berrios)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
SCR  ALIGNMENT Jul27 Jul12 Jun07 May21 Apr27 (farro pat)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
6  DAKOTA BOY Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 Jun03 May19 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.00 17% 4.90    
7  COLD ROCK         (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 15.00 ★    
 
MTH-4   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALLAGH ROCKS Jun26 May20       (englehart)VARGAS A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANGELUS WARRIOR Jul21 Jun18       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00 6% 16.30    
3  LONESOME FUGITIVE (IRE) Jul09 May29 Apr15 Jan05   (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  IT CAN BE DONE Jun26 May29       (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00    
5  RECONVENE Jun26 May29 Apr02 Feb10   (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
6  DOMINATE THEMOMENT Jul23 Jul02 May21 Apr23 Mar23 (brown r)JUAREZ NIK 124 4.00 ★    
7  MT SURIBACHI Jul29 Jun26 Jun14 May29   (smylie timot)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
SCR  OLYMPIC ROMP Jul19 Jun17 Jun04 Apr15 Mar29 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
9  MAGICAL MARRIAGE Jun26 May28 Mar23 Feb11   (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 12.00    
SCR  CYBERVIKING Jul17 Jul04 Jun18 Apr30 Mar26 (delgado jorge)FERRER C 115 4.00 37% 1.70    
 
MTH-5   08/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOK OUT LAMBO Aug06 Jul29 Jul02 Jun24 Jun12 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 124 10.00    
2  CURLIN'S THRILL Jun26 Jun10 May14 Apr24 Mar27 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  RELISHMENT Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jul02 Jun19 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
4  INDIAN BUZZ Jul29 Jun10 Apr24 Apr06 Mar16 (nobles reynal)SOSA LAUREANO 112 4.50 8% 12.10    
5  FRIENDLY FELLA Aug01 Jul08 Jun10 May14 Mar31 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  TRAPPEZOID Jul09 Jun03 May07 Mar31 Mar11 (atras)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
7  FLOWERS FOR LISA Aug01 Jul09 Jun26 Jun10 May21 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 6.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  TITAN'S WILL Aug01 Jul20 Jul07 Jun16 May28 (garibay andres)JUAREZ NIK 122 8.00    
 
MTH-6   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Jul31 Jul03 Jun12     (milne joan)CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00    
SCR  AMERICAN DAY Jul31 Jun26 May22 Apr15   (schis)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00 ★    
3  PRINCE OF TROY Jul31 Jul03 May22     (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 118 5.00    
4  STAFF SERGEANT Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 May27   (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00    
5  JOHN JAY Jul17 Jun24 Jun04     (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 118 10.00    
6  TIMO Jul14         (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00    
7  HOOKY PLAYER Jul31 Jun18 May15     (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00 9% 9.70    
8  ROCK THE STARS Jul31 Jun24 May22 Apr23 Mar20 (rodriguez dar)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 61% 0.60    
9  MARVELOUSMOONDANCE Jul20 Jun11 May14     (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 123 6.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  LATE CALL Jun05 May05       (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 ★    
SCR  NANTASKET BEACH Feb12 Jan01       (lawrence james)ADORNO ABNER 118 15.00    
 
MTH-7   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANT STOP THIS MAN Jul18 Jul05 Jun07 May17 May02 (penaloza mig)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 3.50 13% 6.70    
2  DOUBLE PLAY KING May26 May12 Mar26 Mar12 Feb05 (garoffalo jose)CAMACHO SAMY 115 10.00    
3  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Apr09 Mar05 Jan13     (handal ra)VARGAS A 115 3.00    
4  POWERFULLY BUILT Jul31 Jul10 Jun18     (huston)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 8.00 12% 7.60    
5  RAISE THE RENT Jul24 May28 Mar09 Feb06 Jan08 (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
6  COMPOUND IT Jul23 Jun24 Jun04     (penaloza mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 20.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  VIKRAM Aug07 Jun12       (holle)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 5.00    
8  AEQUOR Jul08 Jun19 May29 Apr16 Mar10 (russo j)FERRER C 120 12.00    
9  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Jun19 May29 May14 Mar26 Feb18 (englehart je)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
MTH-8   08/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITH Aug02 Jul11 Jun29 Jun11 May16 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 121 3.50    
2  UMBRAGE Jul30 Jul23 Jul03 Jun24 Jun12 (alcala)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 8.00 ★    
3  SHIMMERING LIGHT Jul29 Jun11 May29 Apr17 Mar20 (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  SKILLFUL Jul30 Jul02 Jun25 Apr06 Mar16 (ortega leopol)CARDENAS LUIS 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
5  CANDY KINGDOM Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 May21 (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 121 10.00    
6  AMERICAN FORCES Aug05 Jul08 Jul02 Jun10 Apr29 (alcala ce)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  BELLAMY DOLCE Jul08 Jun10 May30 May16 Mar26 (simmonds mich)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 12.00    
8  JOHNNYPUMP Jul26 Jun29 May21 Mar26 Mar04 (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.