The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - September 17, 2022
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BAQ-1   09/17/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 1:00
:224 :46 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FLEETFOOTED 9 1 11 11   12 11½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.70  
4  RED BUTTERFLY 4 2 42 43   43½ 21½ (de horacio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 13.50  
10  RED HOT CHICK 10 5 84¾ 77¾   55 31¾ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 38.25  
6  SOUFFLE 6 3 32 33   33½ 41¾ (clement christophe)CASTELLANO J 119 1.80 51% 1.00 0.45  
5  MIDTOWN LIGHTS 5 8 21 21   22 52 (cox h)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 12% 7.30 11.40  
3  IN GOOD TROUBLE 3 4 94¾ 910¼   77 63¼ (diprima gregory)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00 25.75  
7  ARMY OF THOUGHTS 7 9 53 55½   65½ 75 (begg bentley)SAMUEL L 119 30.00 91.00  
2  HYPNOCURRENCY 2 6 63½ 88¼   99 811 (begg bentley)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 30.50  
8  A ROYAL SHIN 8 7 73¾ 65¾   88½ 912¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 14.20  
1  BANK HOLIDAY 1 10 1029¾ 1040¼   1041 1038½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 49.75  
SCR  AUGUST BLOOM               (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
SCR  FANCYPANTS JULIANA               (englehart c)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 9% 10.50    
SCR  HAPPY WARRIOR               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
SCR  MOONAGE DAYDREAM               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHOWEMYOURHEELS               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 5% 17.70    
SCR  SLOW DOWN SUMMER               (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
:23 :463 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JEMOGRAPHY 4 4 1½ 1½   11½ 12¼ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 ★ 3.85  
6  ALCOOLS 6 1 2½ 3½   21½ 22¼ (englehart c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.00 14% 5.90 1.00 P
1  LONG TERM THINKING 1 5 54 43   44 36 (avila c)SAMUEL L 121 10.00 17.20  
2  BRONX BOMBER 2 3 32 2½   32 46½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80 44% 1.30 1.80  
3  MUSICAL AMERICA 3 2 65 511   514 521½ (jones e)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00 13% 6.50 70.00  
5  REUX (GB) 5 6 42 615½   621 635 (kantarmaci mertkan)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00 ★ 15.30  
 
BAQ-3   09/17/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
:24 :484 1:124     1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  STEADY ON 8 2 1½ 11 11 1½ 11½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 12.10  
10  SIEGE OF BOSTON 10 6 74½ 42 31½ 2½ 21½ (toner j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 ★ 6.60 P
1  INDEMNIFY (FR) 1 5 42 52¼ 43 41½ 31½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 48% 1.10 0.90 S
9  ARUBA 9 1 2½ 21 21 31½ 42¾ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 24% 3.20 5.00  
2  BOBBIE D (IRE) 2 10 64 73¾ 64½ 54 55¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
6  JURKOVEC 6 3 32 32 54½ 64½ 66¾ (albertrani thomas)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 20.00 22.70  
4  BALI RIDDIM 4 4 85 84¾ 87 79½ 711¼ (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00 ######  
3  TRIUMPHANT ROAD 3 9 97½ 96¾ 109½ 1011¼ 814½ (barker r)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 24.25  
5  LABARDE 5 7 53½ 62¾ 76 89¾ 915 (de horacio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00 55.75  
7  LOGAN'S RUNNER 7 8 1011½ 108¾ 99 911¼ 1015¾ (levine bruce)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00 72.00  
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN               (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
:24 :474 1:114     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DARK STORM 5 4 21 21½ 23 22 11¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 ★ 9.00  
8  ITS ALL RELEVANT 7 1 11 11½ 13 12 21¼ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.40 38% 1.70 0.80 P
3  O SHEA CAN U SEE 2 7 74½ 77½ 615 612¼ 38¾ (laxmeter daniel)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00 23.70  
4  FIRST DEPUTY 3 6 64 65½ 410½ 310 49½ (englehart s)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
1  KUMAR 1 3 42 55½ 310 410 510¼ (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 6.60  
7  MAGNETRON 6 2 53 45 510½ 510¼ 615½ (englehart c)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 9% 10.30 8.00  
5  LIL COMMISSIONER 4 5 32 33 721½ 732¼ 749½ (antonacci philip)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 27% 2.70 3.85  
SCR  DEVIOUS MO               (chichakly amira)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:233 :48 1:123     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UMBRIA 3 4 813½ 811¾ 710 76 12½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 41% 1.50 0.85 W
6  PRINCE OF JOY 5 1 34½ 3½ 21½ 21 22½ (legall e)DAVIS A 122 20.00 8.40  
1  ALITE 1 5 46 53¼ 45 33½ 32¾ (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00 43.25  
7  B C GLORY DAYS 6 2 21½ 2½ 11½ 11 43 (barrera s)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 12.00 6% 17.00 11.40  
8  AMEDEUS MUSIC 7 8 56½ 4¾ 55½ 44 53 (englehart s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.50 3.70  
4  LUCKY BRODY 4 6 67½ 64¾ 66½ 55½ 67½ (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 124 4.00 14% 6.00 4.40  
2  SCOTTO 2 7 712½ 79¼ 813½ 814 713½ (parker joseph)RICHARDS G 122 30.00 5% 17.20 38.00  
9  FLIPPING FUN 8 3 11½ 1½ 33½ 65½ 815¼ (davis d)LUZZI J 122 20.00 33.00  
SCR  ONCE A GIANT               (d'angelo francisco)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 12% 7.40    
 
BAQ-6   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 3:35
:223 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PADMA 3 3 52½ 32   31 13¾ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 1.80 48% 1.10 0.95 W
6  ROYAL POPPY 5 2 2½ 1½   2nk 23¾ (handal raymond)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 10.40  
4  SPUN SPECIAL 4 1 1½ 2½   1nk 34½ (gyarmati leah)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 9.50  
7  OCCULT 6 4 31 52½   45 48 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 19% 4.20 3.30  
1  BELLA MICHELLE 1 6 63 42   55¼ 59½ (martin f)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 36.25  
2  BULSARA 2 7 77 77   615¼ 621 (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 ★ 19.30  
8  CANDY STRIKE 7 5 41½ 66   717¼ 723½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★ 4.20  
SCR  BINSKY               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 10% 8.90    
 
BAQ-7   09/17/2022 7260ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($700K) 3 F PT- 4:07
:242 :481 1:124 1:361 2:001 2:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCKULICK (GB) 1 43 44½ 42½ 42½ 1nk 1½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 0.80 39% 1.60 0.80 W
4  TOSKANA BELLE (FR) 4 21 22 21 2½ 2nk 2½ (wohler andreas)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 3.50 ★ 2.40 P
5  MISS YEARWOOD 5 65 69 67 66 42 31¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 8.00 ★ 23.40 S
6  BESIDE HERSELF 6 11 12 11 1½ 31 43 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 18% 4.70 4.00  
3  CANISY 3 31½ 32½ 32 32½ 53½ 54¾ (clement christophe)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 15% 5.60 18.00  
2  NOSTALGIC 2 54½ 56 54 55½ 66½ 615½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 14.20  
 
BAQ-8   09/17/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
:221 :442 :561     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OUTLAW KID 2 4 33 23½   2nk 14¾ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 ★ 4.10  
8  GIANNI LAMBO 7 2 64¾ 68   46½ 24¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 3.15  
2  IKIGAI 1 5 13 13½   1nk 35¼ (jacobson david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 ★ 34.00 S
9  KLICKITAT 8 1 86¼ 79   78¾ 46½ (rice linda)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 5.00 31% 2.20 6.40  
7  CARPE'S DREAM 6 6 75¾ 57½   67¼ 56¾ (diprima gregory)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 8.90  
5  MARITIME WINGS (IRE) 4 8 54½ 45½   57 67¾ (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 9.30  
4  PHANTOM SMOKE 3 3 23 33½   35 79 (clement christophe)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 26% 2.90 2.65  
6  IMMORTALIZATION 5 7 43½ 89½   811¾ 812¼ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 7.10  
SCR  KING ANGELO               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
BAQ-9   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
:222 :452 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NABOKOV 5 4 53½ 53   2nk 11¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 14% 6.00 8.00 W
7  EXPRESSMAN 7 6 3½ 41   1nk 21¼ (pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 120 0.40 32% 2.10 0.30 P
1A  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 2 1 64½ 65   4¾ 33½ (rodriguez gustavo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00 22.40  
3  DOT'S DOLLAR 3 2 1½ 1nk   3½ 45¼ (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 9% 10.60 17.50  
4  PRISONER 4 3 2½ 2nk   53¾ 510½ (baker charlton)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00 17.70  
2  MACKILLOP 1 7 710 711   77¾ 610½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 19% 4.20 5.70  
6  CAPONE 6 5 41 3½   66¾ 714½ (jerkens a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00 47.75  
SCR  RYAN'S CAT               (rodriguez gustavo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 10.00 ★    
 
BAQ-10   09/17/2022 7920ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($1000K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
:234 :482 1:123 1:37 2:01 2:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NATIONS PRIDE (IRE) 3 32 32 32 21 12 16¼ (appleby charles)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.00 50% 1.00 0.55 W
4  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 4 64 55 54 52 32½ 26¼ (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 ★ 11.90 P
1  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 1 11 11 1½ 11 22 36¾ (mcpeek g)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 14% 6.10 2.75 S
6  ARDAKAN (GB) 6 42½ 42½ 42½ 41½ 53½ 47½ (klug markus)STARKE A 122 4.00 ★ 5.80  
5  DAUNT 5 21 21 2½ 31½ 43½ 57¾ (ribaudo j)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 49.00  
2  WICKED FAST 2 53½ 65½ 66½ 65½ 66½ 68½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 7% 14.20 21.60  
 
BAQ-11   09/17/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
:231 :462 :574     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROYAL DANCER 7 2 1½ 11   11½ 11¼ (nevin michelle)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 1.40 55% 0.80 0.65 W
4  SHINFULL 4 1 31 31½   21½ 21¼ (schosberg richard)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 ★ 5.50 P
9  ARD MACHA 8 6 2½ 21   32½ 34 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 ★ 6.80 S
2  ALESTE 2 4 63 42½   43½ 45 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 9.00  
6  LITA 5 7 52 52½   55½ 56½ (klesaris steve)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 17.00  
3  TRUE MARTINI 3 8 83¾ 85   76 66½ (miceli michael)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 28.75  
1  ROYAL CURRENCY 1 5 73½ 74½   66 77 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 10% 8.80 9.80  
7  LEMON RED 6 3 42 63½   88 812¾ (de horacio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 27.50  
SCR  MADDIE'S SURPRISE               (sciacca gary)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00    
SCR  VOLEUSE               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 121 1.20 12% 7.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.