Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/17/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANK HOLIDAY         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
2  HYPNOCURRENCY         (begg ben)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
3  IN GOOD TROUBLE Aug24         (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
4  RED BUTTERFLY         (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
5  MIDTOWN LIGHTS         (cox h)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 12% 7.30    
6  SOUFFLE (GB) Jul28         (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 119 1.80 51% 1.00    
7  ARMY OF THOUGHTS         (begg b)SAMUEL L 119 30.00    
8  A ROYAL SHIN         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
9  FLEETFOOTED Jul28         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
10  RED HOT CHICK Aug17         (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
SCR  SHOWEMYOURHEELS Jul28         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 5% 17.70    
SCR  MOONAGE DAYDREAM Jul28         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SLOW DOWN SUMMER Jul28         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
SCR  FANCYPANTS JULIANA Jul28         (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 9% 10.50    
SCR  HAPPY WARRIOR Aug17         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
SCR  AUGUST BLOOM Aug24         (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG TERM THINKING Sep01 Jul22 Jul16 Jul01 Jun05 (avila c)SAMUEL L 121 10.00    
2  BRONX BOMBER Sep01 Jul30 Jul04 Jun16 May14 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80 44% 1.30    
3  MUSICAL AMERICA Sep01 Aug24 Aug14 Jul16 Jun30 (jones eduardo)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00 13% 6.50    
4  JEMOGRAPHY Aug05 Jul10 Jun23 Jun16 May14 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 ★    
5  REUX (GB) Aug21 Jul10 Jun09     (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00 ★    
6  ALCOOLS Aug18 Jul16 Jun19 May19 Feb18 (englehart jere)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.00 14% 5.90    
 
BAQ-3   09/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDEMNIFY (FR) Aug19 Jul22       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
2  BOBBIE D (IRE)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRIUMPHANT ROAD Aug19 Aug03       (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
4  BALI RIDDIM Aug19 Jul10 Jun11 Jun03 May20 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00    
5  LABARDE Jan13         (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  JURKOVEC Jul20         (albertran)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 20.00    
7  LOGAN'S RUNNER         (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
8  STEADY ON Aug28         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
9  ARUBA (IRE) Jan09         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE null      
10  SIEGE OF BOSTON Aug09 Jul01       (toner james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN Aug04 Jul16 Jun26 Jan29   (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUMAR Aug25 Jul21 Jun03 May06 Apr09 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50    
SCR  DEVIOUS MO May31 May18 May07 Mar25 Mar04 (chichakl)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
3  O SHEA CAN U SEE Aug05 Jun24 May21 Apr21 Apr01 (laxme)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00    
4  FIRST DEPUTY Aug10 Jul26 Jun01 Apr15 Mar10 (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LIL COMMISSIONER Aug24 Jul09 May07 Apr02 Jan13 (antonacci philip)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
6  DARK STORM Aug05 Jul14 Jun30 May29 May06 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 ★    
7  MAGNETRON Aug05 Jul13 May31 Apr30 Mar26 (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 9% 10.30    
8  ITS ALL RELEVANT Jun24 May27 Apr28 Mar27 Mar20 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.40 38% 1.70    
 
BAQ-5   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALITE Jul24 Jul08 Jun19 May28 May05 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00    
2  SCOTTO Sep01 Aug21 Aug14 Jul16 Jun30 (parker joseph)RICHARDS G 122 30.00 5% 17.20    
3  UMBRIA Jul09 May30 Apr30 Apr07 Mar19 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 41% 1.50    
4  LUCKY BRODY Sep01 Jul27 Jul02 May06 Apr01 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  ONCE A GIANT Sep01 Jul24 Jun04 May08 Apr08 (d'angelo jo)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 12% 7.40    
6  PRINCE OF JOY Aug03 Jul08 May06 Apr10 Mar11 (legall r)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
7  B C GLORY DAYS Sep01 Aug10 Jul16 Jul09 May21 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 12.00 6% 17.00    
8  AMEDEUS MUSIC Aug09 Jul24 Jul15 Jun25 May20 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.50    
9  FLIPPING FUN Aug03 Jun22       (davis d)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA MICHELLE Aug28         (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
2  BULSARA Aug17         (trombetta michael)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 ★    
3  PADMA Aug17         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 1.80 48% 1.10    
4  SPUN SPECIAL Aug21         (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  BINSKY Jul21         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 10% 8.90    
6  ROYAL POPPY Aug14         (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
7  OCCULT         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
8  CANDY STRIKE         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 ★    
 
BAQ-7   09/17/2022 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($700K) 3 F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCKULICK (GB) Aug07 Jul09 Jun04 May06   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 0.80 39% 1.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ASTRELLE by MAKFI (GB))
2  NOSTALGIC Aug20 Jul23 May06 Apr09 Mar03 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BEEN HERE BEFORE by TAPIT)
3  CANISY Aug25 Jul14 Jun16 May01   (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
4  TOSKANA BELLE (FR)         (wohler an)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 3.50 ★    
  (by SHAMALGAN out of TRISTANE by TEOFILO (PER))
5  MISS YEARWOOD Aug07 Jun18 May20 Apr30 Apr10 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 8.00 ★    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of SATISFACTION by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  BESIDE HERSELF Aug25 Jul23 Jun04 Apr28 Mar05 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 18% 4.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of EXCITED by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
 
BAQ-8   09/17/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING ANGELO Jul24 Jun04       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  IKIGAI Aug25 Jul28 Jun10 May20 Apr23 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 ★    
3  OUTLAW KID Aug28 Jan28       (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 ★    
4  PHANTOM SMOKE Aug21 Jul24 Jun26     (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  MARITIME WINGS (IRE) Aug17 May29       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
6  IMMORTALIZATION Aug18 Jul28 Jul01 Jun17 Apr21 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
7  CARPE'S DREAM Aug13 Jun18 May29     (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
8  GIANNI LAMBO         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
9  KLICKITAT May15         (rice linda)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 5.00 31% 2.20    
 
BAQ-9   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Aug06 May07 Apr07 Mar05 Feb05 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00    
SCR  RYAN'S CAT Aug20 Jul23 Jul01 Jun10 Apr28 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 10.00 ★    
2  MACKILLOP Aug17 May05 Mar27     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
3  DOT'S DOLLAR Aug03 Jun11 May19 Apr10 Feb17 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 9% 10.60    
4  PRISONER Jul23 Jun10 Mar18 Feb05   (baker charlton)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
5  NABOKOV Aug18 Jul02 May15 Apr14   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
6  CAPONE Aug13 Jul01 Jun02 May05 Feb03 (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
7  EXPRESSMAN Aug13         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 120 0.40 32% 2.10    
 
BAQ-10   09/17/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 May07 Apr02 (mcpeek kenneth)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 14% 6.10    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of PRIVATE WORLD by THUNDER GULCH)
2  WICKED FAST Aug20 Aug06 Jun03 Apr02 Mar16 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 7% 14.20    
  (by TOURIST out of WICKED CHARM by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  NATIONS PRIDE (IRE) Aug06 Jul09       (appleby c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.00 50% 1.00    
  (by TEOFILO out of IMPORTANT TIME by OASIS DREAM (GB))
4  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) Aug25 Jun26       (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 ★    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FANCY by JUSTIFY)
5  DAUNT Aug25 Aug13 Jul16 Jun04 May05 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of PROMOTIONAL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
6  ARDAKAN (GB)         (klug markus)STARKE A 122 4.00 ★    
  (by RELIABLE MAN out of ALASKAKONIGIN by STERNKOENIG (IRE))
 
BAQ-11   09/17/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL CURRENCY Aug20 Jul31 Jul09 May30 Apr23 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 10% 8.80    
2  ALESTE Aug11         (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
3  TRUE MARTINI         (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00    
4  SHINFULL Aug20 Jun19 Jun04 Apr29   (schosberg ric)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Aug31 Aug12       (sciac)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00    
6  LITA         (klesaris ste)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00    
7  LEMON RED Jan19         (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
8  ROYAL DANCER Aug18 Jul23 Jun19 May12 Apr14 (nevin miche)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 1.40 55% 0.80    
9  ARD MACHA Jun26 May30       (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  VOLEUSE Aug26 Jul31 Jul09 Jun04 Apr22 (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 121 1.20 12% 7.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.