The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 22, 2022

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PID-1   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
:221 :453 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOFBURG PALACE 4 3 33 3   32 1(trombetta j)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 11% 8.30 1.00 W
HE IS READY 3 5 5 5   42(roman d)STANLEY O 120 5.00 18.80 P
AGGRANDIZE 6 2 4 2½   2nk 3(hendriks j)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 3.90 S
ROGERS GINGER 5 1 1nk 1½   1nk 4(kintz matthew)WHISMAN AVERY 124 2.50 58% 0.70 2.00  
GOVERNOR ATWOOD 1 6 6 6   55(russell randall)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00 29.50  
SPIRITED DEBATE 2 4 2nk 4   613 615 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 8.00 9.60  
 
PID-2   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 1:57
:223 :463 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACH STREET 3 6 4 31   11(dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 2.50 1.70  
MEAT SWEATS 1 3 1nk 1nk   22(pappada c)WALKER M 117 6.00 5.40 P
STONE OVEN BAKER 6 2 3 43   435 (potts g)GALLARDO A 117 3.50 22% 3.60 2.60 S
MR. JEKYLL 2 4 5 55   547 (dickey keith)KNOTT L 120 5.00 13.30  
GOOSE HUNTER 4 1 2nk 2nk   35(brooks e)ALENCAR WALBER 120 3.00 36% 1.80 2.80  
HOLD THE WARRIOR 5 5 6 6   611½ 617¼ (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 120 10.00 11.50  
SCR  WRECKING BALL               (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
PID-3   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:24
:243 :482 1:132 1:254   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENDRICKSON 6 2 34 33 2 1½ 1(motion graham)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 2.40  
DAWGMENTALITY 4 1 1½ 1½ 1 2½ 2(potts g)WALKER M 120 2.00 33% 2.10 5.20 P
DECEITFUL 1 3 6 5 3 33 3(hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 12% 7.60 1.90 S
SWELTER 2 4 4 45 54 57 412¼ (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 120 3.00 32% 2.10 4.60  
DR. HYDE 5 7 5 67 44 47 512¼ (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 24.70  
SLIPPERY WHEN WET 3 6 79 711 78 613 622½ (hayes leland)WHISMAN AVERY 120 8.00 5.80  
ALWAYS THERE 7 5 2½ 2½ 65 716 731½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 8.00 15.80  
 
PID-4   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
:223 :45 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY IN HEELS 9 2 1 1   11(bowersock maria)ALLEN D 118 4.00 4.70  
IRISH DREAM GIRL 6 5 55 66   52(bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 2.30 P
ETTAPLACE 4 4 7 55   44 3(gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 7.80  
SO MOXIE 3 9 8 77   74(skawinski a)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 15.40  
CINCO DE MANDEE 8 1 3 3   34 5(rotunno r)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 25.20  
TUDOX ROADSTER 5 6 6 88   86(potts g)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 6.10  
QUALITY TOO SPARE 1 8 9 99   679 (spanabel r)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00 54.90  
SERENE WARRIOR 2 7 4 2   289 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 53% 0.90 3.00  
EVERY LITTLE BIT 7 3 2 4   9916 (lucarelli shana)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 16% 5.20 7.10  
 
PID-5   08/22/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:224 :461 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARETH 1 5 44 3½   31hd (barron rory)ALLEN D 122 4.50 11% 8.30 2.80 W
10  BLICHTON 7 2 54 4¾   1nk 2hd (radosevich r)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 6.70  
STUCK UP 2 4 3 5   43 3¾ (potts g)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 5.70  
DON'T DARE ME 6 3 22 1nk   2nk 42 (rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 37% 1.70 1.70  
CAPTAIN MAD JACK 3 6 67 6   55 5(radosevich r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 6% 16.20 9.50  
LEBASI 5 7 716 7   66(hogue l)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00 22.30  
SAMURAI LEGACY 4 1 12 2nk   711 713 (markgraf david)WALKER M 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
SCR  CHARLIE CHARLIE               (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  MAKES GOOD SENSE               (roman d)STANLEY O 122 8.00    
SCR  NOTACATBUTACARD               (hoffman mark)DELGADO DAVID 122 6.00    
 
PID-6   08/22/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
:233 :47 1:104 1:351   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CARPENTERS CALL 9 5 53 53 5 2nk 1(bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 117 2.50 1.20  
DECLARED 4 9 96 6 7 31 2(bourke john)ALENCAR WALBER 117 10.00 19.10  
NICE ACE 7 2 32 3 31 1nk 3(girten tim)SPIETH S 125 4.50 62% 0.60 9.90 S
11  SURLY FURIOUS 10 6 74 10 63 44(wismer s)WHISMAN AVERY 117 3.00 3.60  
DOUBLE CROWN 1 8 43 4 42 65(cash l)ACOSTA D 121 8.00 6% 15.30 5.70  
NATHAN DETROIT 3 10 10 9 84 76(cash l)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 20.80  
GOODIE GOOMER 2 7 85 8 95 87(bourke john)STANLEY O 117 20.00 44.80  
FRANZ JOSEF 6 3 11 1nk 1½ 588 (wismer s)MARTINEZ A 117 20.00 61.40  
GOOD ON YA 8 4 6 7 10 1014¾ 918¾ (winters michelle)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 117 12.00 ######  
GROUNDED 5 1 21 2nk 2½ 912¾ 1022 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 117 6.00 7% 13.00 4.80  
SCR  STRIKE APPEAL               (londono j)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 12.00    
 
PID-7   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:221 :451 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARTERMASTER 6 6 6 5   22 1¾ (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 4.00 5% 19.00 5.40 W
STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON 2 2 1nk 11   12 2¾ (russell randall)DELGADO DAVID 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.50 P
11  CLOUD PLAY 7 7 7 7   32 32 (brooks e)SPIETH S 118 4.50 28% 2.50 2.10 S
K C ROCKET 1 3 4 21   444 (martin n)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 40% 1.50 1.20  
SPIRITED SOL 5 1 5 64   557 (depasquale kimberly)MORALES PABLO 122 12.00 11.50  
HOLIDAY HOUSE 4 5 3.2 4   6613¼ (morrison mike)ACOSTA D 118 20.00 24.40  
BLAKENSTEIN 3 4 2nk 3   710 714¼ (guciardo john)WHISMAN AVERY 122 15.00 46.90  
SCR  GOLD HERITAGE               (mckeever andrew)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
SCR  GRUMLEY               (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 20.00    
SCR  HEATHER'S GOLD               (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
SCR  STRANGE ARRANGE               (potts g)MARTINEZ W 118 8.00    
 
PID-8   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
:242 :48 1:124 1:253   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JINGLE BELLS 1 8 8 8 7 31 1(fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 4.50 42% 1.40 2.20 W
CHAOS KID 8 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 1nk 2(guciardo john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00 23.50  
NO TIME TO YAWN 2 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 2nk 3(fiesman l)FOX CHRIS 122 30.00 5% 19.00 46.40 S
ATLANTIC RULER 9 4 45 44 31 54(pappada c)WALKER M 122 5.00 15.30  
FARAT 5 1 56 5 53 454 (markgraf david)WHISMAN AVERY 122 4.00 17% 5.00 5.10  
10  PAUPING 10 9 1011½ 9 9 665 (cooney s)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 3.70  
KID CHOCOLATE 4 10 911 10 10 776 (brooks e)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 5% 17.60 2.70  
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 7 6 68 7 6 88(gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 117 10.00 8.60  
TITHED 6 7 7 66 42 99(russell randall)ALLEN D 122 20.00 36.40  
HOUSE LIGHTS 3 5 3 3 8 101014½ (schaber debbie)STANLEY O 122 30.00 ######  
SCR  K. K. ICHIKAWA               (lecesse michael)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  LONESOME PHIL               (winters michelle)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.