Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOVERNOR ATWOOD Aug01 Jul18 Jun29 Jun15   (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00    
2  SPIRITED DEBATE         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 8.00 ★    
3  HE IS READY Jul07 May30 Apr20 Mar19   (roman d)STANLEY O 120 5.00 ★    
4  HOFBURG PALACE Jul25 Jul11 May30 May16 Apr10 (trombett)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 11% 8.30    
5  ROGERS GINGER Aug01 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 Mar27 (kintz matth)WHISMAN AVERY 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
6  AGGRANDIZE         (hendriks richa)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 ★    
 
PID-2   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAT SWEATS Jul23 Jul02       (pappada micha)WALKER M 117 6.00 ★    
2  MR. JEKYLL Aug01         (dickey keith)KNOTT L 120 5.00    
SCR  WRECKING BALL         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
4  PEACH STREET Aug05 Jul26       (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 2.50 ★    
5  GOOSE HUNTER         (brooks geral)ALENCAR WALBER 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  HOLD THE WARRIOR Jul28 Jul19 Jun14     (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 120 10.00    
7  STONE OVEN BAKER         (potts ro)GALLARDO A 117 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
PID-3   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECEITFUL         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
2  SWELTER Jul28 Jul14       (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Aug02         (hayes leland)WHISMAN AVERY 120 8.00    
4  DAWGMENTALITY Jul14         (potts g)WALKER M 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
5  DR. HYDE Aug02         (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00    
6  HENDRICKSON Jul15         (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 ★    
7  ALWAYS THERE Jul23 Jul16 Jun25     (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 8.00 ★    
 
PID-4   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY TOO SPARE Jul18 Jul12 Jun09 May24 Apr06 (spanabel kell)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00    
2  SERENE WARRIOR Aug01 Jul05 Jun16 May31 May18 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
3  SO MOXIE Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 Jun06 Apr24 (skawinski ca)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
4  ETTAPLACE Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 May23   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
5  TUDOX ROADSTER Aug03 Jul12 Jun23 Jun07 May17 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
6  IRISH DREAM GIRL Jul23 Apr03 Mar09 Feb19 Feb04 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 ★    
7  EVERY LITTLE BIT Jun27 May24       (lucarelli sha)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
8  CINCO DE MANDEE Jul12 Jun29 Jun07 May17   (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 ★    
9  LADY IN HEELS Aug03 Jul12 Jun27 Jun09 May18 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.00 ★    
 
PID-5   08/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARLIE CHARLIE Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun14   (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
2  JARETH Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Jun22 Jun02 (barron rory)ALLEN D 122 4.50 11% 8.30    
3  STUCK UP Aug01 Jul13 Jun27 Jun13   (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
4  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Aug02 Jul11 Jul04 Jun15 May25 (radosevich sh)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 6% 16.20    
5  SAMURAI LEGACY Aug02 Jul21 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  LEBASI Aug15 Jul14 Jul07     (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
SCR  NOTACATBUTACARD Jul27 Jun27 Jun21 Jun13 Jun01 (hoffman mark)DELGADO DAVID 122 6.00    
SCR  MAKES GOOD SENSE Aug15 Aug01 Jul05 Jun27 Jun16 (roman d)STANLEY O 122 8.00    
9  DON'T DARE ME Aug02 Jul19 Jun11 May28 May06 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
10  BLICHTON Aug02 Jul13 Jul04 Jun22 May30 (radosevich s)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   08/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE CROWN Aug08 Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 Jun05 (cash l)ACOSTA D 121 8.00 6% 15.30    
2  GOODIE GOOMER Jul25 Jul05 Jun29 Jun13   (bourke john)STANLEY O 117 20.00    
3  NATHAN DETROIT Aug13 Jul27 Jul16 Jul04 Jun29 (cash nor)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
4  DECLARED Aug03 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Jun14 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 117 10.00    
5  GROUNDED Jun29 Jun21 Mar09 Jan02   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 117 6.00 7% 13.00    
6  FRANZ JOSEF Aug08 Jul11 Jun30 Jun15 May16 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 117 20.00    
7  NICE ACE Aug03 Jul26 Jun21 Jun01 May16 (girten tim)SPIETH S 125 4.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  STRIKE APPEAL May24 Apr01 Mar09 Jan29 Jan07 (londono odi)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 12.00    
9  GOOD ON YA Aug08 Jul26 Jun29 Jun09   (winters michelle)NO RIDER 117 12.00    
10  CARPENTERS CALL Jul23 Jun29 May28 Apr02 Feb27 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 117 2.50 ★    
11  SURLY FURIOUS Jul23 Jul05 Jun13 Jun01   (wismer glenn )WHISMAN AVERY 117 3.00 ★    
 
PID-7   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K C ROCKET Jun21 Jun01 May18 Apr09 Mar17 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  HEATHER'S GOLD Aug10 Aug01 Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
3  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Aug01 Jul11 Jun15 Feb04   (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLAKENSTEIN Jul20 Jun30 Jun15 Apr15 Mar18 (guciardo john)WHISMAN AVERY 122 15.00    
SCR  GOLD HERITAGE Jul28 Jun20 May15     (mckeever andr)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
6  HOLIDAY HOUSE Jul29 Apr23 Feb28 Feb05   (morrison mike)ACOSTA D 118 20.00    
7  SPIRITED SOL Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01   (depasquale k)AYALA J 122 12.00    
8  QUARTERMASTER Aug01 Jul11 Jun29 Jun13 May30 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRANGE ARRANGE Jul27 Jul20 Jun30 May30 May13 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  GRUMLEY Aug21 Jun19 May28 May04 Mar12 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 20.00    
11  CLOUD PLAY Aug06 Jul26 Jul11 Jun15 Jun01 (brooks e)SPIETH S 118 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
PID-8   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JINGLE BELLS Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 Jul04 Jun02 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 4.50 42% 1.40    
2  NO TIME TO YAWN Aug03 May26       (fiesman l)FOX CHRIS 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOUSE LIGHTS Jul27 Jul14 Jul05 Jun22 Jun16 (schaber debbie)STANLEY O 122 30.00    
4  KID CHOCOLATE Jun19 May28 Feb26 Feb04 Jan08 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 5% 17.60    
5  FARAT Aug10 Aug03 Jul21 Jul11 Jun26 (markgraf davi)WHISMAN AVERY 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
6  TITHED Aug15 Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 20.00    
7  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Aug06 Jun15 Apr30 Apr10 Jan30 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 117 10.00    
8  CHAOS KID Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 Jun02   (guciardo joh)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
9  ATLANTIC RULER Aug03 Jul20 Jul06     (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00    
10  PAUPING Aug02 Jul11 Jun20 May24   (cooney susan )MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
SCR  K. K. ICHIKAWA Jul26 Jul05 Jun08 May30 May18 (lecesse mich)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  LONESOME PHIL Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 Jun07 May26 (winters mic)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.