Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STUNNING BABY 3 4 51¾ 51¾   2nk 1¼ (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 119 12.00 19% 4.30 5.70 W
5  REINSURE 4 5 41¾ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (zielinski)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 25% 3.00 2.50 P
2  VALIANT THOR 2 2 2nk 1nk   34 39 (cady khalil)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 8.00 12.70  
6  LONESOME PHIL 5 1 3.2 3.2   44¼ 49½ (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 23% 3.30 1.90  
1  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 1 3 1nk 4¾   59¼ 524½ (casalinova tina)DIAZ I 119 3.50 ★ 1.60  
SCR  JACKSON STRONG               (figueroa nelson)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 ★    
 
TDN-2   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OL' L B 7 2 32½ 32   2nk 13½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 ★ 0.80  
2  MANNFORD 1 3 1½ 11   1nk 23½ (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00 54% 0.90 2.00 P
4  GALACTIC 4 1 2½ 21   33 34 (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 22% 3.60 5.70 S
1A  WEST LEONARD 3 7 77½ 77¾   57 46¼ (johnson gar)CORREA L 121 4.50 ★ 11.20  
3  TWO EAGLES 2 4 44½ 45½   46 56¼ (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 12.00 14.30  
6  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 6 6 66 65¾   79¾ 610¼ (romero a)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00 ★ 22.20  
5  QUALITY MAN 5 5 56 55½   69½ 710½ (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 38.40  
SCR  SHOW SLIDING HOME               (johnson gar)CORREA L 123 4.50    
 
TDN-3   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :47 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE EMPIRE 1 5 66 2½   11½ 13¼ (reust megan)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 ★ 6.90  
6  SOLDAT TEMPTATION 6 1 44½ 52¾   43 23¼ (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 10.60  
3  ALITA 3 6 33½ 4¾   21½ 34 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 4.00 9% 10.00 3.10 S
2  PURCHASE POINT 2 4 23 3½   31½ 45½ (figueroa nelson)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 56% 0.80 0.70  
4  MY DANCING QUEEN 4 3 13 1½   58 521¾ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 9% 10.60 5.20  
5  SWAMP WITCH HADDY 5 2 55 67¾   615 624½ (syed riaz)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 ★ 41.20  
 
TDN-4   07/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PERFECT SENSE 4 5 31½ 21 21 11½ 15 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 32% 2.10 2.10 W
1  COMPLY (NZ) 1 3 42½ 54¼ 46 54¾ 25 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 13% 6.60 7.50 P
3  SURF AND TURF 3 2 52½ 44 56 44½ 35½ (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 ★ 2.70 S
6  HOOKED A GOODWIN 6 4 21 31 32½ 34½ 47¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 ★ 1.70  
5  AYE AYE SIR 5 1 11 11 11 21½ 58½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 7.90  
2  FRANCO (MEX) 2 6 68 68¼ 68½ 610¾ 612¾ (hurley l)JIMENEZ S 119 8.00 24% 3.20 26.30  
 
TDN-5   07/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:144 1:422   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MANHATTAN LADY 6 3 21 21 2nk 12½ 14½ (brown joh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 10.10  
7  CHECK SIX 7 5 42 33 42¼ 34 24½ (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 6.00 ★ 12.50 P
5  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 5 1 11 11 1nk 22½ 35¼ (cady khalil)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 1.60  
4  DESIGNATE 4 4 53½ 64¼ 53¼ 46 46½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50 55% 0.80 2.60  
1  SMART PEGASUS 1 6 75½ 75¾ 77¾ 69 510½ (miller a)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 ★ 8.70  
2  KENNEDIE SKY 2 7 65 43 32 57½ 614 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 ★ 5.50  
3  LORAN HOLIDAY (ARG) 3 2 32 54 67¾ 716 724 (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00 18% 4.40 5.80  
 
TDN-6   07/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:132 1:403   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMANRASSETT 1 1 11 1½ 15 19 112½ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50 30% 2.30 2.30 W
3  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN 3 5 65¼ 65 45¼ 29 212½ (genovese richard)DIAZ I 123 4.00 ★ 6.30 P
5  GUCCISSIMO 4 6 55 42½ 35 311 315 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00 4.70  
6  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 5 3 31 31 25 415 421 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 2.70  
8  HERACLITUS 6 4 43½ 53 55¼ 516 526¼ (genovese richar)CEDILLO MAURO 118 30.00 47.40  
2  ISTILLGOTIT 2 2 21 2½ 67¼ 623 641 (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 16% 5.10 2.10  
SCR  BLAZING DESIRE               (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 20.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  OAKS HONEY               (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
TDN-7   07/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:121     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I WANNA WIN 1 2 11 11½ 11½ 16½ 18 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 3.00 7% 13.80 1.30 W
8  MO DONT NO 7 1 64½ 63¼ 44½ 37½ 28 (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 4.00 20% 4.10 6.40 P
3  OVER ICCE 3 7 77½ 76¼ 77¾ 510 38¾ (brown glenroy)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 24.90  
6  ALTISSIMO 6 3 31½ 21½ 21½ 26½ 411 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 47% 1.10 3.20  
2  HENRY MAC 2 4 21 42½ 67¾ 610½ 512 (west eth)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 ★ 4.70  
5  INDIAN FEVER 5 5 53 52¾ 34½ 410 616¼ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 5.00 5.50  
4  COINCIDENTALLY 4 6 42½ 31½ 57½ 714½ 720¼ (skerrett jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 ★ 15.20  
SCR  BLACKTIEANDTUX               (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-8   07/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:14     1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PALI'S REWARD 2 7 78½ 713½ 711½ 64¼ 11¼ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 20.00 6% 16.60 25.50 W
8  LADY ITCH 7 6 43½ 57 67 32½ 21¼ (blackhur)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 16.80  
1  CHILLVILLE 1 2 11½ 12½ 12½ 11½ 33¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 38% 1.70 2.80 S
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 3 3 67 69½ 57 42½ 43¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.00 4.90  
6  CITY SIGNS 5 1 21½ 22½ 22½ 21½ 56 (gorham robe)CORREA L 115 4.00 35% 1.90 1.70  
7  DOUBLE EDGED 6 5 31½ 33½ 33½ 52¾ 67¼ (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 115 4.50 ★ 3.60  
5  SURE FIRE READY 4 4 55½ 45½ 46 77¼ 711¼ (richards m)GONZALEZ A 119 20.00 ★ 7.90  
SCR  FAITHFUL SOLUTION               (skerrett jef)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.