Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Jul05 May18 May09 Apr26 Apr01 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 3.50 ★    
2  VALIANT THOR Jul05         (cady khalil)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 8.00    
3  STUNNING BABY Jun21 Jun06 Apr15 Mar18 Feb19 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 12.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  JACKSON STRONG Jul07 Jun30 Jun15 May18 Apr22 (figueroa nelson)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 ★    
5  REINSURE Jul05         (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
6  LONESOME PHIL Jul05 Jun07 May26 May02   (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
TDN-2   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WEST LEONARD Jun30 Jun03 May23 May07 Apr16 (johnson g)CORREA L 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  SHOW SLIDING HOME Jul06 Jun14 May03 Apr16 Mar24 (johnson g)CORREA L 123 4.50    
2  MANNFORD Jun30 Jun16 Jun03 May18 May03 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00 54% 0.90    
3  TWO EAGLES Jun21 Jun01 May02 Apr16 Apr04 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
4  GALACTIC Jun30 Jun16 May18 May03 Apr05 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  QUALITY MAN Jun30 May31 May18 Apr13 Mar09 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
6  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Jun30 Jun06 May23 May07 Apr12 (romero jose)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00 ★    
7  OL' L B Jun30 Jun16 May18     (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-3   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE EMPIRE May31 Apr27 Apr09 Apr02 Mar10 (reust megan)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 ★    
2  PURCHASE POINT May27         (figueroa nelson)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
3  ALITA Jun25 Jan28       (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 4.00 9% 10.00    
4  MY DANCING QUEEN Jun25         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 9% 10.60    
5  SWAMP WITCH HADDY Jun25         (syed riaz)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 ★    
6  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Jun25 May24 May10 Apr27 Apr03 (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50    
 
TDN-4   07/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLY (NZ) Jun11 May09 Apr15 Jan22   (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 13% 6.60    
2  FRANCO (MEX) Jul07 Jun08       (hurley l)JIMENEZ S 119 8.00 24% 3.20    
3  SURF AND TURF Jun29 May24 May03 Apr01 Mar09 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 ★    
4  PERFECT SENSE Jun30 May18 May03 Apr11 Jan22 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  AYE AYE SIR Jun25 May30 May12     (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00    
6  HOOKED A GOODWIN Jul07 May30 Feb18 Jan23 Jan01 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-5   07/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART PEGASUS Jun30 Jun18 May28 May14 Apr15 (miller)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 ★    
2  KENNEDIE SKY Jun28 Mar10 Feb23 Jan14 Jan01 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 ★    
3  LORAN HOLIDAY (ARG) Jun13 May09 Mar01 Feb01   (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00 18% 4.40    
4  DESIGNATE May31 Mar10 Feb16 Feb01 Jan19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50 55% 0.80    
5  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Jun07 May04 Feb09 Jan29 Jan09 (cady khalil)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
6  MANHATTAN LADY Jul06 Jun20 Jun01 May21 May04 (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50    
7  CHECK SIX Jul04 Jun22 Jun02 May04 Apr11 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 6.00 ★    
 
TDN-6   07/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMANRASSETT Jun22 May16 May04 Apr09 Mar09 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50 30% 2.30    
2  ISTILLGOTIT Jun22 Jun13 May21 May02 Jan01 (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 16% 5.10    
3  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN Jun28 May26 May09     (genovese richa)DIAZ I 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  OAKS HONEY Jun22 May31 May18 May02 Apr16 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
5  GUCCISSIMO Jul11 Jun22 May26 May09 Apr25 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00    
6  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Jun28 Jun20 Jun11 May21   (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
SCR  BLAZING DESIRE May21         (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 20.00 12% 7.20    
8  HERACLITUS Jun27 Jan14       (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 118 30.00    
 
TDN-7   07/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I WANNA WIN Jun29 Jun06 May23 May03   (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 3.00 7% 13.80    
2  HENRY MAC Jun29 Jun03 May03 Apr11   (west e)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 ★    
3  OVER ICCE Jun20 Jun06 May23 May03 Apr12 (brown glenroy)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
4  COINCIDENTALLY Jun30         (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 ★    
5  INDIAN FEVER Jun03 May23 May03     (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 5.00    
6  ALTISSIMO Jun03         (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  BLACKTIEANDTUX Jun06 Feb26 Feb15 Jan11   (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
8  MO DONT NO Jun21 Jun03 May12 Apr05   (johnson g)CORREA L 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
TDN-8   07/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILLVILLE Jun29 Jun11 May11     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 38% 1.70    
2  PALI'S REWARD Jun20 Jun01 May18 Mar26 Mar09 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 20.00 6% 16.60    
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Jun29 Jun13 May24 May09 Apr13 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.00    
SCR  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Jun29 Jun07       (skerrett j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 6.00    
5  SURE FIRE READY Jun30 Apr11 Mar18 Feb18 Jan05 (richards rusty)GONZALEZ A 119 20.00 ★    
6  CITY SIGNS Jul01 May24 May09 Mar18 Jan22 (gorham ro)CORREA L 115 4.00 35% 1.90    
7  DOUBLE EDGED May09 Apr02       (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 115 4.50 ★    
8  LADY ITCH Jun29 Jun06 Jan25 Jan12   (blackh)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.