Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - July 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:131     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEH SCHNELL 5 5 6 65 4 2nk 12 (manning c)VELEZ J 119 3.50 13.70  
SUPER VISION 1 4 5¾ 2nk 1 1nk 22 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 4.20  
GUCCISSIMO 7 6 3½ 3½ 3 4 3 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 19% 4.40 2.30 S
ALGORIX 4 2 1nk 1nk 2 3.2 43 (vecchio )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 29% 2.40 0.90  
BUCKY 3 7 7 712 6 6 5 (inirio carlos)DIAZ I 119 10.00 12% 7.00 10.60  
CONDUCIVE 2 3 2nk 4 5 5 6 (genovese )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 8% 10.90 31.30  
SCHMULTZY 6 1 4¾ 54 7 714¼ 734 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 39.30  
 
TDN-2   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THANKSDAD 1 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 11 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 2.50 3.90  
MARCH MAGIC 6 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 21 (brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 1.60 40% 1.50 0.50 P
NOSEY POWER 3 4 5 5   32 35 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 10.60 S
1A  ZAROSHA 5 5 4¾ 31   4 47 (poole m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 3.90  
JOHNS BIG RED 2 6 6 6   5 5 (radcliff don)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 22% 3.60 5.30  
DASH OF FIRE 8 7 7 7   77 6 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 12.00 12% 7.50 21.30  
BIG TIME FLIRT 4 2 3½ 43   65 710½ (bird danny)CORREA L 119 10.00 10.50  
2B  TANNER 7 8 810¼ 814¾   814 824 (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 10.00 10.50  
 
TDN-3   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE SAGE (IRE) 5 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1 (skerrett jef)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 12% 7.10 2.30 W
EMITYAAZ 1 5 55 5   44 2 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 1.80 40% 1.50 3.00 P
BOURBONWITHGINGER 4 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 3 (tooley jennif)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 5.00 7.40 S
CALTHA 3 4 4 34   3 4 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 2.50 1.10  
MY GLORY 6 3 32 4   5 54 (murillo rod)CORREA L 119 12.00 34.30  
O K BABY 2 6 6 6   6 612¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 9% 10.10 15.10  
 
TDN-4   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNING PAGES 5 3 11 13   14 12 (jackson jame)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 2.50 0.80  
HE'S A BELIEVER 2 6 58 510   3 22 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 58% 0.70 6.30 P
GOTIGER SPECIAL 1 7 47 38   4 35 (trevino stephen )DIAZ I 119 15.00 30.00  
EXONERATED PREZ 6 2 37 48   57 4 (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 11% 7.90 6.40  
FAST CALL 7 1 21 23   24 5 (bailey ricardo)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.50 2.80  
GET ALONG 3 4 69 612   611 610 (buhrow d)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 25.10  
STAYIN OR STRAYIN 4 5 710½ 712½   711¼ 711 (poole jeffrey)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 10.20  
 
TDN-5   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWCHI 6 3 3.2 2nk   1nk 13 (diehl can)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 3.50 1.90  
SHEZA POP STAR 1 5 5 33   3 23 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 6.80 P
I GOT HOPE 2 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 27% 2.60 1.00 S
CRYPTONIC CATWALK 3 4 4 4   4 48 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 3.00 32% 2.10 5.50  
LOLA LOUISE 7 1 1nk 5   5 514 (ott l)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 33.80  
TILLY MANILLY 4 7 7 6   69 616½ (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 115 4.00 8% 11.50 12.20  
NORMAS HOPEFULGIRL 5 6 6 711¾   714½ 731¼ (radcliff don)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00 51.90  
 
TDN-6   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:01     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMMY AND SHORTY 6 3 1nk 1   13 110¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 6.00 2.00  
KING PATRIOT 2 8 5 4   23 210¼ (rone mik)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 12.00 35.40  
CASUAL ATTIRE 3 5 6 5   5 313¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 13% 6.50 2.10 S
PRIMITIVO 1 6 4 2   3 415¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00 8.90  
2B  OKLAHOMA JOE 7 4 2nk 3   47 516½ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 118 3.50 29% 2.50 5.10  
INDY CARR 4 7 8 6   611 616¾ (tooley jennif)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 5.00 10.80  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 5 9 9 9   713 719 (radosevich s)BAEZ M 113 3.50 5.10  
1A  CONTROLLER 8 2 7 7   813½ 822½ (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 3.00 2.10  
AINT NO BANDLEADER 9 1 3.2 8   915½ 930¼ (estvanko richard)HOUGHTON D 118 2.50 38% 1.70 3.90  
 
TDN-7   07/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALKBACK 8 1 4 1nk   1 1 (castillo jabdiel)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 4.50 13% 6.50 1.40 W
COOL IRIS 6 4 6 6   33 2 (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 123 8.00 11.60  
OPULENT WAYS 4 6 5 5   5 3 (severin robert)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 19.50 S
CAROL'S ROYALTY 7 3 3.2 31   45 4 (romero jose )SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.50 12% 7.10 3.70  
LUCKY QUARTERS 3 5 1nk 2nk   2 56 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 50% 1.00 1.80  
WAR CAT 5 2 2nk 4   612½ 619 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 20.00 31.30  
GOLDEN TEMPLE 2 8 821¼ 828¼   823½ 720½ (bird danny)DIAZ I 123 3.00 15.50  
TIZ THIRSTY 1 7 7 710¼   717½ 823½ (rini anth)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00 26.40  
 
TDN-8   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLAVALENCIA 8 2 42 2nk   1 1 (fadlovich megan)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 6.70  
OAXACA 5 4 2nk 1nk   2 2 (quartarolo anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.50 1.10 P
PURDY PUMKIN 3 6 67 68   5 3 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.50 56% 0.80 1.80 S
STRAIGHT TO GO 1 5 5 45   4 4 (fletcher)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 16% 5.20 8.30  
MISS ENCISO 4 1 1nk 31   3 513¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 9.00  
TEST YOUR FAITH 2 8 813½ 817   819½ 623¼ (campbell antho)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00 43.80  
ROMA MONA 7 3 31 5   613½ 723¾ (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 40.80  
MALIBU SKY 6 7 7 711   715½ 824¾ (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 32.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.