Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER VISION Jun30 Jun22 Jun08 May26   (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00    
2  CONDUCIVE Jun28 Jun13 May21 Apr25   (genoves)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 8% 10.90    
3  BUCKY Jun30 Jun08 May31 Mar31 Mar16 (inirio carlos)DIAZ I 119 10.00 12% 7.00    
4  ALGORIX Jun30 Jun08 May26 May09 Apr25 (vecchi)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
5  GEH SCHNELL Jun28 Jun08 Jan14     (manning c)VELEZ J 119 3.50 ★    
6  SCHMULTZY Jun20 May25 May10 May02   (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00    
7  GUCCISSIMO Jun22 May26 May09 Apr25 Apr12 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
 
TDN-2   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THANKSDAD Jun29 Apr04 Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 2.50 ★    
1A  ZAROSHA Jun29 May31 May16 Apr27   (poole m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50    
2  BIG TIME FLIRT Jun29 Jun14       (bird dann)CORREA L 119 10.00    
2B  TANNER Jun29 May31 May16     (bird dann)CORREA L 123 10.00    
3  JOHNS BIG RED Jun29 Jun14 Jan22 Jan05   (radcliff d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  NOSEY POWER May31 May21 May04 Apr09 Mar19 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.50 ★    
5  MARCH MAGIC Jun29 Jun14 May31 May16 Apr27 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 1.60 40% 1.50    
6  DASH OF FIRE Jun21         (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 12.00 12% 7.50    
 
TDN-3   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMITYAAZ Jun13 May11 Apr24 Mar05 Jan30 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
2  O K BABY Jun07         (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 9% 10.10    
3  CALTHA May25         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 2.50 ★    
4  BOURBONWITHGINGER May23 Apr15 Jan25 Jan09   (tooley jenn)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 5.00 ★    
5  BLUE SAGE (IRE) Jun14 Mar01 Jan22 Jan12 Jan01 (skerrett j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 12% 7.10    
6  MY GLORY Jun08 Jan21       (murillo r)CORREA L 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTIGER SPECIAL Jun07 May23 Apr25     (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
2  HE'S A BELIEVER Jun29 Jun08 May24 May09 Apr25 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 58% 0.70    
3  GET ALONG Jun29 Jun08 May23     (buhrow d)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
4  STAYIN OR STRAYIN May23 May06 Apr23 Apr08 Mar19 (poole jeffr)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 ★    
5  TURNING PAGES May23 May12       (jackson ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 2.50 ★    
6  EXONERATED PREZ Jun29 Jun08 May24 May09   (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 11% 7.90    
7  FAST CALL Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 May17 May02 (bailey ricard)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-5   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA POP STAR Jun16 May17       (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 ★    
2  I GOT HOPE Jun16 May17       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 27% 2.60    
3  CRYPTONIC CATWALK Jun25 Jun08 Apr11 Mar23 Mar02 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  TILLY MANILLY Jun08 May09 Apr25 Apr13 Mar15 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 115 4.00 8% 11.50    
5  NORMAS HOPEFULGIRL Jun08         (radcliff d)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00    
6  COWCHI Jun29 May24 May09 Apr11 Mar18 (diehl c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 3.50 ★    
7  LOLA LOUISE Jun25 Jun14 May24     (ott l)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASUAL ATTIRE         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 13% 6.50    
1A  CONTROLLER         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 3.00    
2  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Jun28         (radosevich jake )BAEZ M 113 3.50 ★    
2B  OKLAHOMA JOE         (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  PRIMITIVO         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00 ★    
4  KING PATRIOT Jun28         (rone m)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 12.00    
5  INDY CARR Jun28         (tooley jenn)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 5.00    
6  SAMMY AND SHORTY         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 6.00 ★    
7  AINT NO BANDLEADER Jun28 Jun01       (estvanko richa)HOUGHTON D 118 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
TDN-7   07/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ THIRSTY Jun07         (rini an)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00    
2  GOLDEN TEMPLE Jun22 May26 May07 Mar31 Mar14 (bird danny)DIAZ I 123 3.00 ★    
3  LUCKY QUARTERS Mar08 Feb21 Jan05     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
4  OPULENT WAYS Jun27 May25       (severin robert)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 ★    
5  WAR CAT Jun27 Jun11 May26 May17 May03 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 20.00    
6  COOL IRIS Jun21 Jun07 May30 May11   (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 123 8.00    
7  CAROL'S ROYALTY Jun27 Jun07 May17 May07   (romero jos)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.50 12% 7.10    
8  TALKBACK Jun27 Jun11 Mar31 Mar23 Mar02 (castillo jabdi)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 4.50 13% 6.50    
 
TDN-8   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAIGHT TO GO Jun19 May21 May08 Mar18 Feb26 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 16% 5.20    
2  TEST YOUR FAITH May31 May11 Apr13     (campbell ant)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00    
3  PURDY PUMKIN         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.50 56% 0.80    
4  MISS ENCISO Jun25 Jun11 May07 Apr22 Apr09 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 ★    
5  OAXACA Jun29 Jun10 May30 Apr23 Mar23 (quartarolo antho)RIVERA R 119 3.50 ★    
6  MALIBU SKY Jun11 May07 Apr23 Mar11 Feb18 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
7  ROMA MONA Jun11 May24 Feb23 Jan21   (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
8  BELLAVALENCIA Jun11 May31 Mar23 Mar04 Feb06 (fadlovich megan)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.