Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:124 1:252   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAKWATER 2 4 3 3 2nk 1½ 1 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 1.60 54% 0.90 0.80 W
CHENTI 3 3 2 2½ 1nk 2½ 2 (parra hernan)ZAYAS J 124 1.80 12% 7.70 2.10 P
QAADER 1 1 68 6 6 3 3 (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 124 3.50 11% 7.80 6.30 S
ELUSIVE 6 6 4 42 42 4 4 (fout dougla)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00 6.80  
MOTANAAFER 5 5 5 5 5 6 515¾ (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 20.00 62.20  
JAHEZ 4 2 1 1½ 3½ 5 618¾ (trujillo elv)ARROYO S 118 20.00 42.00  
VALENTIN C 7 7 710 78 714½ 719½ 740 (reardon c)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00 18.80  
 
CNL-2   08/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHER AUTHORITY 5 3 2 2½   1½ 1 (vance thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 1.70  
IT'S FATE 2 2 3 32   31 2 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 14% 6.00 8.40 P
ELEVATED FOREVER 4 1 1 1½   2½ 3 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 3.00 17% 5.00 4.20 S
FOREVAMO 3 6 54 4   42 4 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 2.50 29% 2.40 1.40  
ZONIC 1 5 6 6   6 59 (mcgoey mon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 5% 18.00 10.70  
STUNNING BABY 6 4 4 5   56 610¼ (dye steven)CAMACHO SAMY 124 8.00 14.60  
SCR  TY RAN A HOMER               (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
 
CNL-3   08/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:134 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACKER GIRL 7 4 3 2½ 1½ 1½ 1½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 3.00 19% 4.30 2.50 W
MAGNOLIA ROAD 6 7 7 7 3½ 2½ 2½ (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 4.50 16% 5.20 3.60 P
SUWANNEE CHICK 8 8 8 8 9 56 3 (parra hernan)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 6% 15.10 11.10 S
WI FI 2 3 22 31 4 3 42 (danner kel)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 3.50 21% 3.70 1.90  
LUNA'S TREASURE 3 2 4 6 6 67 5 (o'connell kath)ARAUJO DENIS 118 8.00 9.00  
LOTTACLASS LILSASS 4 9 9 9 8 811 67 (aguirre anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 10.00 35.50  
SATISFIED 9 5 5 4 2½ 4 710½ (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 118 10.00 15.80  
RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE 1 6 6 5 7 79 819 (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 118 10.00 14% 6.20 21.10  
LLUVIA 5 1 12 1½ 52 921 939 (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 118 6.00 13.50  
 
CNL-4   08/30/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:243 :50 1:143 1:391   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING FORTRESS 4 1 11 11 1½ 1 11 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 123 1.80 63% 0.60 0.70 W
COMMUNITY ADJUSTED 5 4 42 4 2½ 2 21 (clement ch)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 1.20 2.00 P
LONGPANTS REQUIRED 2 3 64 64 53 5 33 (walsh brendan )ROCCO S 123 12.00 8% 12.00 14.40 S
GO BIG BLUE NATION 3 6 53 5 4 43 43 (motion h )CARRASCO R 123 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
STAR RULES 1 2 3 3 3 33 5 (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 123 20.00 41.20  
UNADULTERATED 6 5 21 21 64 610¼ 614 (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 5.00 10.50  
 
CNL-5   08/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:232 :474 :594     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT EPISODE 6 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 1¼ (saville niall)KARAMANOS A 119 4.50 32% 2.20 4.30 W
LA TACHE 1 4 42 6   2½ 2¼ (stidham michae)ROCCO S 119 2.50 42% 1.40 1.90 P
SAENGER STAR 7 3 3½ 3.2   3 3 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00 5.20  
MY BATON ROUGE 4 6 6 72   64 4 (ramos juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 20.00 17.80  
REPLICATED 2 9 8 8   5 55 (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.00 5.10  
PUSH 3 1 1½ 1nk   4 6 (mccutchen ja)ARROYO S 119 10.00 13.00  
SHE'SSODONETALKING 5 8 9 9   76 78 (smith franklin)ARAUJO DENIS 119 15.00 30.10  
LADY KITTY 9 7 7 5   9 811 (wetherington m)REYES LEONEL 119 15.00 9.30  
THEOLA FUGGINS 8 5 5 4   8 911¼ (bailes robert)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 15.00 10.80  
10  LIL ALMA 10 10 1010¼ 10   1016¾ 10100 (garza hect)ALONSO LUIS 119 15.00 26.30  
SCR  RIVER CITY ROCKER               (morgan carla)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-6   08/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:11 1:231   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIVICS CLASS 2 2 11 1 14 16 1 (lovell mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 1.40  
BRUCE BANNER 7 1 5 4 24 26 2 (campbell m)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 6.00 6.30 P
WONDER WATER 1 5 3 5 4 3 39 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 120 5.00 26% 2.90 6.10 S
PRACTICAL SENSE 5 3 21 2 35 49 413¾ (stidham michae)ROCCO S 120 3.00 35% 1.90 1.40  
TARAASHOQ 6 4 4 3 5 510½ 515¼ (parra hernan)REYES LEONEL 125 10.00 38.50  
DIAMANTE DE ORO 3 7 718¾ 716¾ 716 620½ 624¾ (ovando melvi)ARROYO S 125 12.00 49.20  
CALIPARI 4 6 616¾ 612¾ 614½ 720½ 725 (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 8.00 12.40  
SCR  LUXURY BOY               (reardon )STRANDBERG MALLORY 125 30.00    
SCR  MOTAWAAFEQ               (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 125 3.50 13% 6.60    
 
CNL-7   08/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:144 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIN'S QUEST 6 2 1 11 1½ 14 1 (van thom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 51% 1.00 1.10 W
SUPER E 1 3 53 6 74 46 2 (smith hami)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 6.00 4.00  
HONOR MY WORLD 7 4 2 31 3 34 3 (horner g)REYES LEONEL 123 5.00 16.90  
BARAHIN 8 6 32 21 2½ 24 4 (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 3.00 5.90  
VINTNER 5 1 43 5 5 5 5 (yanez moises)ARROYO S 123 10.00 29.70  
MCQUEEN'S BULLITT 4 8 7 7 6 7 68 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 13.60  
BLUE BONZAI 3 7 6 4 4 6 7 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 23% 3.30 12.50  
MEAN MACHINE 2 5 85 8 8 810¾ 813½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123 4.00 4.20  
 
CNL-8   08/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:141 1:263   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOLAGA BAY 1 4 64 6 6 31 1¾ (kingsley arch)LYNCH FEARGAL 125 1.20 29% 2.40 1.00 W
DREAMIN OF SEVILLE 5 5 5 53 41 11 2¾ (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 18% 4.40 1.90 P
PRIORITIZATION 4 7 75 7 52 42 3 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50 28% 2.60 4.10 S
SOROLLA 6 6 43 3 31 5 4 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 123 6.00 26.80  
SPRITZER 7 3 1 11 1½ 21 5 (hester leann)ARROYO S 123 15.00 62.10  
AKINGISALWAYSKING 3 2 2 21 2½ 63 6 (ovando m)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 15.00 31.40  
VOTETHEMALLOUT 2 1 32 43 7 79 712¼ (trombetta)CARRASCO R 118 6.00 6.70  
 
CNL-9   08/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:242 :511 1:154 1:403   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEARTBURN 6 3 1nk 1 12 12 1 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 118 20.00 7.50  
MORENA DANCER 3 6 53 6 43 3 2 (wetherington)ARROYO S 124 3.00 35% 1.90 2.30 P
COUNTESSOFLOVELACE 1 1 3 4 22 22 3 (kurtinecz lil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00 7% 13.60 3.00 S
LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS 2 2 2nk 2 32 4 4 (yanez mois)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 7% 12.70 8.00  
CODAS HONOR 5 5 6 5 65 5 5 (huffman ke)ALONSO LUIS 111 20.00 24.50  
FIRST LADY DI DA 4 4 42 3 5 6 617¾ (sillaman r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 6.00 15% 5.80 7.50  
BASHFUL MARIE 7 7 7 7 78 714½ 725 (schuh tim)REYES LEONEL 118 10.00 2.40  
SCR  LADY FLINTSHIRE               (vance thom)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 15.00    
SCR  STEPSTONES               (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 2.50 15% 5.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.