Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QAADER Aug25 Aug01 Jul03 Jun17   (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
2  BREAKWATER Jul19 Jul02 May05 Apr03   (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 1.60 54% 0.90    
3  CHENTI Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 May21   (parra hernan)ZAYAS J 124 1.80 12% 7.70    
4  JAHEZ Jul15 Jun17       (truji)LLAGAS ENRIQUE 118 20.00    
5  MOTANAAFER Aug23 Aug01       (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 20.00 ★    
6  ELUSIVE Aug09 Jul13       (fout dougla)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00 ★    
7  VALENTIN C         (reardon c)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00    
 
CNL-2   08/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZONIC Jul26 Jul03 Mar25 Jan28 Jan09 (mcgoey mon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 5% 18.00    
2  IT'S FATE Aug17 Aug03 Jun30 Jun11 Apr27 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
3  FOREVAMO Jul24 Jun23 May01 Mar17 Feb11 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  TY RAN A HOMER Aug17 Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 May11 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
5  ELEVATED FOREVER Aug03 Jun25 May21 Mar25 Feb11 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
6  HIGHER AUTHORITY Aug03 Jul11 Jun30 Jun08 May27 (vance thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 ★    
7  STUNNING BABY Aug17 Aug03 Jul18 Jun21 Jun06 (dye steven)CAMACHO SAMY 124 8.00    
 
CNL-3   08/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE Aug24         (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 118 10.00 14% 6.20    
2  WI FI Aug09 Jul13 Jul01 Apr16 Mar17 (danner kel)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  LUNA'S TREASURE Jul23 Jul01 Jun10 Apr23 Apr01 (o'connell kath)ARAUJO DENIS 118 8.00    
4  LOTTACLASS LILSASS Aug13 Jul23 Jun26 Feb06 Jan20 (aguirre anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 10.00    
5  LLUVIA Aug03 Jul20 Jul12 Feb24 Feb06 (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 118 6.00    
6  MAGNOLIA ROAD Jul26 Jun12 May29 May01 Mar24 (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 4.50 16% 5.20    
7  PACKER GIRL Jul20 Jun19       (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
8  SUWANNEE CHICK Aug09 Jul26 Jul20 Jun30 May07 (parra hernan)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 6% 15.10    
9  SATISFIED Jul20 Jul04 Jun11 May28 May01 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 118 10.00    
 
CNL-4   08/30/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR RULES Aug08 Jul12 May25 Apr28   (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 123 20.00 ★    
2  LONGPANTS REQUIRED Jul12 Jun04 May19 Apr09   (walsh brendan )ROCCO S 123 12.00 8% 12.00    
3  GO BIG BLUE NATION Jul12 May28 Apr21     (motion h )CARRASCO R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FLYING FORTRESS Jul12 Apr24       (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 123 1.80 63% 0.60    
5  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED Jul31 Jun17 May07     (clement ch)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 1.20 ★    
6  UNADULTERATED Aug03 Jul02 Jun04 May19 Apr24 (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 5.00    
 
CNL-5   08/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA TACHE Aug03 Jul12       (stidham michae)ROCCO S 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  REPLICATED Aug03 Jul02       (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.00 ★    
3  PUSH         (mccutchen ja)ARROYO S 119 10.00 ★    
4  MY BATON ROUGE Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 Jun08   (ramos juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 20.00    
5  SHE'SSODONETALKING         (smith franklin)ARAUJO DENIS 119 15.00    
6  NEXT EPISODE Jun16         (saville niall)KARAMANOS A 119 4.50 32% 2.20    
7  SAENGER STAR Aug03         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00    
8  THEOLA FUGGINS         (bailes robert)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 15.00    
9  LADY KITTY         (wetherington m)REYES LEONEL 119 15.00    
10  LIL ALMA         (garza hector)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00    
SCR  RIVER CITY ROCKER Aug15         (morgan carla)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-6   08/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUXURY BOY Aug23 Aug17 Aug02     (reardon )STRANDBERG MALLORY 125 30.00    
2  WONDER WATER Aug19 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 May28 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  MOTAWAAFEQ Jul14 Jun24 May21 Apr03 Mar18 (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 125 3.50 13% 6.60    
4  CIVICS CLASS Jul27 May28 Apr09     (lovell mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 ★    
5  DIAMANTE DE ORO Aug18 Jul30 Jul08 Jun29 Jun10 (ovando melvi)ARROYO S 125 12.00    
6  CALIPARI Aug06 Jun11 May26 Jan08   (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 8.00    
7  PRACTICAL SENSE Aug10         (stidham michae)ROCCO S 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
8  TARAASHOQ Aug23 Jul01 Jan07     (parra hernan)REYES LEONEL 125 10.00    
9  BRUCE BANNER Aug10 Jun24 May27 Apr09 Feb12 (campbell m)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 6.00 ★    
 
CNL-7   08/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER E Aug13 Jul19 Jul01 Jun17   (smith hami)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 6.00    
2  MEAN MACHINE Aug02 Jul18 May19 Apr16 Mar20 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123 4.00    
3  BLUE BONZAI Jul26 Jul08 Jun22 Jun05 Mar18 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 23% 3.30    
4  MCQUEEN'S BULLITT Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 May30 Apr20 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 ★    
5  VINTNER Aug09 Jul20 May04 Apr10 Mar19 (yanez moises)ARROYO S 123 10.00 ★    
6  JUSTIN'S QUEST Aug09 Jun25 Apr29 Feb20 Jan16 (van thom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 51% 1.00    
7  HONOR MY WORLD Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 May12   (horner)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 5.00    
8  BARAHIN Aug10 Jul26 Jun11 May29 May06 (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 3.00 ★    
 
CNL-8   08/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOLAGA BAY Aug08 Jul18       (kingsley arch)LYNCH FEARGAL 125 1.20 29% 2.40    
2  VOTETHEMALLOUT Jul18 Jun25 May20 Apr29   (trombetta)CARRASCO R 118 6.00 ★    
3  AKINGISALWAYSKING Aug17 Aug06 Jul23 Jul07 Jun23 (ovando m)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 15.00    
4  PRIORITIZATION May28 May08 Mar24 Feb26 Jan07 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
5  DREAMIN OF SEVILLE Aug13 Jul20 Jun15     (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 18% 4.40    
6  SOROLLA Aug05 Jul16       (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 123 6.00 ★    
7  SPRITZER Aug17 Aug02 Jul13 Jun10 May01 (hester leann)ARROYO S 123 15.00    
 
CNL-9   08/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTESSOFLOVELACE Aug09 Jul20 Apr24 Apr17 Feb17 (kurtinecz lil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00 7% 13.60    
2  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Jul26 Feb19 Jan30     (yanez mois)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 7% 12.70    
3  MORENA DANCER Aug09 Jul19 Jul02 Apr17 Apr03 (wetherington)ARROYO S 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  FIRST LADY DI DA Aug20 Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 Mar06 (sillaman r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  STEPSTONES Aug09 Jul26 Jun17 Apr17 Mar31 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  CODAS HONOR Aug03         (huffman kenn)MORRISON AILSA 111 20.00    
7  HEARTBURN Aug21 Aug13 Jul08     (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 20.00    
SCR  LADY FLINTSHIRE Aug03         (vance thom)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 15.00    
9  BASHFUL MARIE Aug09 Jul20 Jun30 Apr23 Apr06 (schuh tim)REYES LEONEL 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.